Victoria Kickham started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for DC Velocity.
It’s hard to find workers these days, especially in the ultra-labor-intensive warehouse. Many companies are turning to technology to solve the problem, implementing various automated warehouse solutions to narrow the resource gap—from robotic goods-to-person picking systems to cycle-counting drones and everything in between. Many are also looking to their forklift fleets as potential sources of labor optimization, finding that advances in automated guided vehicles (AGVs) and autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) can help boost productivity and reduce worker fatigue, ultimately allowing them to reallocate scarce labor to other warehouse tasks.
“I talk to operations managers for different customers [and] facilities all the time, and some of them say they are buying this equipment because they just cannot get enough people to get product out the door,” explains Martin Buena-Franco, manager of product marketing for automation at The Raymond Corp., which manufactures a wide range of material handling equipment, including AGVs. “It’s not an exaggeration. They’re in a situation where they need bodies, people, help. Labor shortages, in some areas, are very real. They’re trying to figure out ways to move product through the facility.”
Norm Saenz, partner and managing director at material handling consulting firm St. Onge Co., agrees and adds that labor optimization via automation is a major part of most facility design projects these days.
“The big difference in the last few years is automation being [included] on almost every project—and the idea of really trying to put AMRs or AGVs in existing facilities to remove labor,” Saenz says.
That trend is likely to continue as equipment gets better and better. Improved mapping and navigation systems, the application of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), and greater ease of integration into warehouse IT systems are some of the attributes that are making automated forklifts an attractive solution to today’s labor and throughput problems.
MARKET TRENDS DRIVE DEMAND
It’s no surprise that interest in automated forklifts is growing. More than three-quarters of supply chain and logistics leaders say they are experiencing “notable workforce shortages in their operations,” according to a survey of 1,000 industry business leaders published in January by supply chain technology company Descartes Systems Group. Nearly 40% of those surveyed say they would characterize the situation as “extreme,” with more than half—56%—citing the warehouse as one of the areas most affected by labor shortages, second only to transportation operations (61%).
Those numbers help explain why industry watchers expect to see an increase in demand for automated warehouse equipment and systems over the next few years. This follows a recent pullback from the heavy investments companies made during 2020 and 2021, when the Covid-19 pandemic created labor shortages and soaring e-commerce activity that spurred a buying spree among many companies. The research firm Interact Analysissaid last year it expects investments in warehouse automation, including mobile robotics such as AMRs and AGVs, to increase slightly this year and return to high growth rates in 2025 and beyond.
Anecdotally, Buena-Franco says warehousing and logistics has suffered the least from the automation pullback of 2022 and 2023, noting that Raymond has been seeing a steady rise in demand for AGVs among that customer base since before the pandemic. He says robotics suppliers are sounding more upbeat as well, noting that those attending a January meeting of the Association for Advancing Automation (A3) were optimistic that sales will increase this year. A3 is a trade group representing companies in the robotics, machine vision, motion control, and industrial AI industries.
Together, these labor and automation trends are making AGVs and AMRs an increasingly attractive option for warehouse managers looking to get the most out of their workforce and keep operations humming. In fact, a separate 2023 study from research firm Statista estimates that the U.S. AGV market will grow at a compound annual growth rate of nearly 7% between 2022 and 2027, reaching a size of more than $3 billion.
“[Worker] shortages are not the totality of it. Some companies are looking for ways to optimize efficiencies,” Buena-Franco observes, noting that AGVs run more consistently than manually operated trucks, so the switch can give warehouses an immediate increase in throughput and productivity. “AGVs operate, if not 24/7, pretty close to that. … Our experience with manually operated trucks [is that] a truck running an eight-hour shift isn’t running for eight hours.”
Tightening up those forklift operations can create a domino effect that leads to even more efficiencies within the four walls of the warehouse.
“Implementing a fleet [of automated forklifts] in a given area opens up opportunity to take people [who were] working on that task and reallocate them upstream or downstream to smooth out bottlenecks,” Buena-Franco adds.
One sticking point with adopting automated equipment is the return on investment (ROI). Many companies find it difficult to justify the high cost of the vehicles and related installation and maintenance costs, especially given today’s high interest rates.
But there’s an often-overlooked factor in calculating ROI that may make a difference. Buena-Franco points to hiring and training expenses and the often-high employee turnover rates in warehousing and logistics—factors that can cost companies big in both investment dollars and lost productivity. He says automation can offset some of those expenses in the long run.
SMARTER EQUIPMENT, EASIER INTEGRATION
There’s another reason behind the growing interest in automated material handling equipment: Advanced technologies are making automated and self-driving forklifts safer and easier to use. Both AGVs (which operate on a predetermined path) and AMRs (which move independently throughout a facility) are getting better thanks to the use of telematics—which allows managers to collect and analyze data from fleets of vehicles—and the application of AI and machine learning.
“What really stands out for me is that the navigation and mapping continue to get better every day,” Buena-Franco says. “You have better fields for detecting [objects] and a lot more data points [to analyze].”
That’s because robotics companies and equipment manufacturers are employing the latest sensors and light-detection technologies, which allow users to create better digital maps of the warehouse environment. That makes it easier for the forklifts to avoid obstacles and adapt to changing conditions on the floor. On top of that, the addition of AI and machine learning algorithms allows the equipment to learn from experience and, thus, get “smarter” all the time.
Today’s automated forklifts can also more easily integrate with a facility’s warehouse management system (WMS) or labor management software, allowing for better orchestration of all the equipment and systems running throughout the facility. Such broad integration can help companies better allocate warehouse tasks, such as sending the right work order to the right vehicle at the right time or deploying people to certain areas of the warehouse when needed—all of which promotes a more efficient, smoother-running operation.
“We have so many clients looking at automation, and we’re building pretty good business cases” for it, Saenz, of St. Onge Co., adds. “There are more vendors, more options, and prices are more competitive. [Companies] want automation, and they want advancement. And the demand for removing labor is real.”
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.