Victoria Kickham, an editor at large for Supply Chain Quarterly, started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for Supply Chain Quarterly's sister publication, DC Velocity.
Managing the returns process has long been an afterthought for many retailers, manufacturers, and fulfillment companies, but it may finally be getting the attention it’s due, given the supply chain challenges and accelerating e-commerce activity of the past year. Industry observers say more companies are catching on to the importance of a good returns process these days—one marked by clear policies, smooth processes, and greater visibility across inventory networks and IT (information technology) systems.
“Returns are becoming a more important issue across all stakeholders due to the volume increase of e-commerce orders. Whether B2B, B2C, 3PLs, or pure-play brands, the current returns process is too manual and complex to effectively scale with the increased volume of returns,” explains Gaurav Saran, founder and CEO of returns management system (RMS) technology platform ReverseLogix. “Returns have become so mainstream now [that] most organizations need to think of a returns management system as part of their toolbox. Volumes are so high, and that will continue to be the trend.”
Tony Sciarrotta, executive director of the industry trade group Reverse Logistics Association (RLA), says cost is a driver as well.
“The cost of all of these returns used to be hidden in many different silos,” including transportation, customer service, and sustainability, with no high-level view of the end-to-end cost of a return, Sciarrotta explains. “Now, because of volume, companies are starting to see that they are paying more to ship goods back than [those goods are worth]. It’s a complicated world, and I’m glad that more people are paying attention to it.”
Roughly $450 billion worth of goods were returned in the United States in 2020, according to Saran and Sciarrotta, who cite widely accepted industry statistics. About 8% of brick-and-mortar purchases are returned, a figure that more than triples for online purchases to an average of 30%, they said. Those numbers are only expected to increase, creating an even greater incentive for sellers to get a better handle on the problem.
FOCUSING ON RETURNS
A good returns process is critical to getting and keeping customers, especially in retail—and that’s another reason reverse logistics is taking on a higher profile. A survey of more than 1,000 consumers this past fall found that nearly 40% said they won’t buy a product online if they can’t find the return policy. The research, an annual consumer returns survey conducted by retail technology platform Narvar, also found that three-quarters of first-time shoppers who had a positive returns experience with a retailer said they would shop with that retailer again based on the experience.
Essentially, a better returns experience contributes to a better overall customer experience, which is another important aspect of addressing the reverse logistics challenge.
“Returns don’t occur because people buy stuff they don’t want. Returns occur because of a bad customer experience,” Sciarotta says, adding that much work remains to be done to improve the online buying experience so that fewer items are sent back. “Reducing the amount of returns is related to improving that customer experience—tell people what they are going to get and deliver what you promise them, and you will reduce returns. Make their experience so great that they will not only love what you send them, but they’ll go on Facebook and tell people about it.”
MANAGING INCREASED VOLUMES
Even if companies are already working to improve service and reduce returns, they are likely to face a flood of incoming items this post-holiday peak season—due largely to accelerating e-commerce activity. Beyond those problems are even deeper issues that are complicating the returns environment, according to Terry Neidiffer, senior manager, solutions design, for third-party logistics services provider (3PL) Ryder System Inc. A labor shortage and the associated cost increases are making it difficult for DCs to process higher returns volumes, for example. And for some companies, materials shortages are hampering efforts to automate DC operations in response to those challenges.
“While there are options for automation, most equipment vendors are backlogged more than double what they historically have been. Additionally, a shortage of raw materials such as steel and computer chips is impacting the manufacturing and cost of automated equipment, which makes it much less deployable for many,” Neidiffer explains, adding that the post-holiday returns season will be tough for many to manage. “Unless a company planned to invest in its returns area many, many months ago, the ability to now impact the process is very limited.”
Limited, but not impossible. Training is one card companies can always play, Neidiffer says, calling it an often overlooked and simple way to maintain processes, service, and efficiency. Cross-training “forward logistics” associates—those involved in regular receive/pick/pack/ship operations—to handle returned goods is critical, as is training all employees on the triage and disposition of returned items so the process moves effectively, without rework and waste. A clean and accurate returned merchandise authorization (RMA)—a mechanism companies use to track returns—is also essential, he says.
“From a technology standpoint, RMA ‘cleanliness’ and accuracy is the single biggest driver of returns efficiency from a general units-per-hour standpoint. Assuming an employee has a clean, well-presented RMA that is easily credited back and dispositioned through technology, the process will move quickly,” he says. “However, [the need for] RMA research, having to cross-reference orders, and other issues will quickly cause a reverse process to stall. Well-built triage software that allows configuration by SKU [stock-keeping unit] and product type is the single best technology investment in returns.”
Saran urges organizations to take a step back and ensure they have clear returns policies that are well communicated to customers—and that employees understand the complexity of the returns process, which is highly dependent upon product type, seasonality, geography, and other factors. The return of an electronic device may involve triage, testing, and other steps, whereas the return of a book may be more straightforward, for instance. A winter jacket may need to be returned to inventory more quickly than a pair of sneakers. Clear policies and procedures form the baseline from which good processes and technologies can be applied, the experts say.
And when it comes time to adopt technology, Saran says companies should first visualize and be clear about the current state of their process and where they want to improve.
“Then look at evolving that process and making it smarter and more intelligent,” he says, emphasizing the advantages of applying an end-to-end RMS—software that can integrate with existing enterprise resource planning (ERP) or warehouse management systems—over more piecemeal approaches. “One central platform can enable a variety of strategies, from cradle to grave.”
Technology solutions can also help provide greater visibility across your inventory network, which is critical to managing the returns process, adds Brenda Stoner, founder and CEO of last-mile delivery service Pickup, an asset-light company that handles delivery of big, bulky, high-value goods for retail, commercial, and industrial customers. She advocates for a “singular view of inventory” that allows for greater flexibility in the returns process, meaning that customers can return items in a variety of ways—via an app, in the store, to another location, and so on. That ability is increasing as more companies digitally transform their businesses, she says.
“Without digital transformation and that singular view of inventory, [it’s hard to solve] for the returns problem,” Stoner adds.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.