A survey released today by a leading third-party logistics provider came to the rather unsurprising conclusion that larger trucking firms have been more engaged in installing electronic logging devices (ELDs) than their smaller brethren.
The survey, conducted over the past few months by Dallas-based Transplace, canvassed more than 400 motor carriers of various sizes. It found that 81 percent of large fleets—firms with more than 250 trucks—had achieved full ELD implementation. The survey found that the remaining 19 percent were working toward full implementation, which, barring a court decision to overturn the rule, is scheduled to take effect across the industry on Dec. 16, 2017, according to Department of Transportation (DOT) regulations.
By contrast, only one-third of fleets with less than 250 trucks have fully installed ELD equipment and systems, the survey found. About 29 percent have begun the implementation process, while the remaining 38 percent have no immediate plans to begin implementation, according to the survey.
Many large fleets have voluntarily installed ELDs in their cabs over the past few years. Many reported initial cost and productivity hiccups, but those problems have generally disappeared. Smaller fleets and owner-operators, which operate by the seat of their pants and are already burdened with significant costs, may find the cost and productivity hits to be too much to manage.
Still, ELD implementation is seen as imposing a uniform hit if and when the rules are finalized, the survey found. About 56 percent of large carriers expect their capacity levels or their equipment utilization to decline. Smaller carriers appear to be more concerned, with 64 percent expecting their fleet utilization to be negatively affected, according to the survey.
An anticipated decline in fleet utilization could stem from drivers exiting the industry as a result of the mandate. Slightly more than half of the respondents said they have lost drivers who did not want to operate under ELDs. Most noted that the driver attrition has been minor, the survey found. However, one carrier respondent said it lost half its drivers when it switched from traditional paper logs to electronic logs.
According to the survey, 45 percent said ELD compliance, which covers buying and deploying the equipment, would translate into a per-unit cost of about $700. About 18 percent said the cost would range between $500 and $700 per unit, while 19 percent expected the cost per unit to fall between $300 and $500. The cost estimates do not include any hits from diminished productivity; analysts have said fleet productivity will take a low- to mid-single-digit hit due to ELD implementation.
For supporters of ELD implementation, the survey brought some positive news. Of the carriers that have installed ELDs, 84 percent of large fleets and 56 percent of smaller fleets have reported a reduction in the frequency of federal driver hours-of-service (HOS) and logging violations. About one-third of all respondents said they expect ELD compliance to improve their fleet-monitoring efforts. ELDs will track a vehicle's location, but not a driver's whereabouts at a given point in time.
Many smaller operators may be hanging back to see how the legal battle over ELDs plays out before deciding whether to commit. A hearing was held yesterday in federal appeals court in Chicago to hear arguments in a suit filed by the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA), which represents owner-operators and micro fleets, to block the rules. OOIDA has argued that an order to install an ELD device for prolonged use without a warrant represents an unconstitutional search and seizure under the Fourth Amendment.
Because drivers must still manually input changes in their duty status, the rule fails to comply with a congressional statute requiring ELDs to accurately and automatically record those changes, according to OOIDA. As a result, the devices are no more reliable than paper logbooks for recording hours-of-service compliance, it said.
In 2011, the group convinced the courts to block rules governing ELD implementation on grounds they failed to do enough to protect drivers from the possibility of harassment by fleet owners and operators. The modified final rule contains significant driver-protection provisions, according to the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA), the DOT sub-agency that crafted the regulations.
Norita Taylor, an OOIDA spokeswoman, said the group is confident it can get the rules overturned again.
In a statement, Ben Cubitt, Transplace's senior vice president, consulting and engineering, said most carriers, regardless of size, expect a "noticeable impact to utilization and capacity" from the ELD mandate. The challenge, Cubitt said, will be to "find the right balance of good safety practices without causing a significant disruption to the transportation industry."
The supply chain risk management firm Overhaul has landed $55 million in backing, saying the financing will fuel its advancements in artificial intelligence and support its strategic acquisition roadmap.
The equity funding round comes from the private equity firm Springcoast Partners, with follow-on participation from existing investors Edison Partners and Americo. As part of the investment, Springcoast’s Chris Dederick and Holger Staude will join Overhaul’s board of directors.
According to Austin, Texas-based Overhaul, the money comes as macroeconomic and global trade dynamics are driving consequential transformations in supply chains. That makes cargo visibility and proactive risk management essential tools as shippers manage new routes and suppliers.
“The supply chain technology space will see significant consolidation over the next 12 to 24 months,” Barry Conlon, CEO of Overhaul, said in a release. “Overhaul is well-positioned to establish itself as the ultimate integrated solution, delivering a comprehensive suite of tools for supply chain risk management, efficiency, and visibility under a single trusted platform.”
Artificial intelligence (AI) and data science were hot business topics in 2024 and will remain on the front burner in 2025, according to recent research published in AI in Action, a series of technology-focused columns in the MIT Sloan Management Review.
In Five Trends in AI and Data Science for 2025, researchers Tom Davenport and Randy Bean outline ways in which AI and our data-driven culture will continue to shape the business landscape in the coming year. The information comes from a range of recent AI-focused research projects, including the 2025 AI & Data Leadership Executive Benchmark Survey, an annual survey of data, analytics, and AI executives conducted by Bean’s educational firm, Data & AI Leadership Exchange.
The five trends range from the promise of agentic AI to the struggle over which C-suite role should oversee data and AI responsibilities. At a glance, they reveal that:
Leaders will grapple with both the promise and hype around agentic AI. Agentic AI—which handles tasks independently—is on the rise, in the form of generative AI bots that can perform some content-creation tasks. But the authors say it will be a while before such tools can handle major tasks—like make a travel reservation or conduct a banking transaction.
The time has come to measure results from generative AI experiments. The authors say very few companies are carefully measuring productivity gains from AI projects—particularly when it comes to figuring out what their knowledge-based workers are doing with the freed-up time those projects provide. Doing so is vital to profiting from AI investments.
The reality about data-driven culture sets in. The authors found that 92% of survey respondents feel that cultural and change management challenges are the primary barriers to becoming data- and AI-driven—indicating that the shift to AI is about much more than just the technology.
Unstructured data is important again. The ability to apply Generative AI tools to manage unstructured data—such as text, images, and video—is putting a renewed focus on getting all that data into shape, which takes a whole lot of human effort. As the authors explain “organizations need to pick the best examples of each document type, tag or graph the content, and get it loaded into the system.” And many companies simply aren’t there yet.
Who should run data and AI? Expect continued struggle. Should these roles be concentrated on the business or tech side of the organization? Opinions differ, and as the roles themselves continue to evolve, the authors say companies should expect to continue to wrestle with responsibilities and reporting structures.
Shippers today are praising an 11th-hour contract agreement that has averted the threat of a strike by dockworkers at East and Gulf coast ports that could have frozen container imports and exports as soon as January 16.
The agreement came late last night between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) representing some 45,000 workers and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) that includes the operators of port facilities up and down the coast.
Details of the new agreement on those issues have not yet been made public, but in the meantime, retailers and manufacturers are heaving sighs of relief that trade flows will continue.
“Providing certainty with a new contract and avoiding further disruptions is paramount to ensure retail goods arrive in a timely manner for consumers. The agreement will also pave the way for much-needed modernization efforts, which are essential for future growth at these ports and the overall resiliency of our nation’s supply chain,” Gold said.
The next step in the process is for both sides to ratify the tentative agreement, so negotiators have agreed to keep those details private in the meantime, according to identical statements released by the ILA and the USMX. In their joint statement, the groups called the six-year deal a “win-win,” saying: “This agreement protects current ILA jobs and establishes a framework for implementing technologies that will create more jobs while modernizing East and Gulf coasts ports – making them safer and more efficient, and creating the capacity they need to keep our supply chains strong. This is a win-win agreement that creates ILA jobs, supports American consumers and businesses, and keeps the American economy the key hub of the global marketplace.”
The breakthrough hints at broader supply chain trends, which will focus on the tension between operational efficiency and workforce job protection, not just at ports but across other sectors as well, according to a statement from Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, a freight booking and payment platform. Port automation was the major sticking point leading up to this agreement, as the USMX pushed for technologies to make ports more efficient, while the ILA opposed automation or semi-automation that could threaten jobs.
"This is a six-year détente in the tech-versus-labor tug-of-war at U.S. ports," Levine said. “Automation remains a lightning rod—and likely one we’ll see in other industries—but this deal suggests a cautious path forward."
Editor's note: This story was revised on January 9 to include additional input from the ILA, USMX, and Freightos.
Logistics industry growth slowed in December due to a seasonal wind-down of inventory and following one of the busiest holiday shopping seasons on record, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The monthly LMI was 57.3 in December, down more than a percentage point from November’s reading of 58.4. Despite the slowdown, economic activity across the industry continued to expand, as an LMI reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The LMI researchers said the monthly conditions were largely due to seasonal drawdowns in inventory levels—and the associated costs of holding them—at the retail level. The LMI’s Inventory Levels index registered 50, falling from 56.1 in November. That reduction also affected warehousing capacity, which slowed but remained in expansion mode: The LMI’s warehousing capacity index fell 7 points to a reading of 61.6.
December’s results reflect a continued trend toward more typical industry growth patterns following recent years of volatility—and they point to a successful peak holiday season as well.
“Retailers were clearly correct in their bet to stock [up] on goods ahead of the holiday season,” the LMI researchers wrote in their monthly report. “Holiday sales from November until Christmas Eve were up 3.8% year-over-year according to Mastercard. This was largely driven by a 6.7% increase in e-commerce sales, although in-person spending was up 2.9% as well.”
And those results came during a compressed peak shopping cycle.
“The increase in spending came despite the shorter holiday season due to the late Thanksgiving,” the researchers also wrote, citing National Retail Federation (NRF) estimates that U.S. shoppers spent just short of a trillion dollars in November and December, making it the busiest holiday season of all time.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
As U.S. small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) face an uncertain business landscape in 2025, a substantial majority (67%) expect positive growth in the new year compared to 2024, according to a survey from DHL.
However, the survey also showed that businesses could face a rocky road to reach that goal, as they navigate a complex environment of regulatory/policy shifts and global market volatility. Both those issues were cited as top challenges by 36% of respondents, followed by staffing/talent retention (11%) and digital threats and cyber attacks (2%).
Against that backdrop, SMEs said that the biggest opportunity for growth in 2025 lies in expanding into new markets (40%), followed by economic improvements (31%) and implementing new technologies (14%).
As the U.S. prepares for a broad shift in political leadership in Washington after a contentious election, the SMEs in DHL’s survey were likely split evenly on their opinion about the impact of regulatory and policy changes. A plurality of 40% were on the fence (uncertain, still evaluating), followed by 24% who believe regulatory changes could negatively impact growth, 20% who see these changes as having a positive impact, and 16% predicting no impact on growth at all.
That uncertainty also triggered a split when respondents were asked how they planned to adjust their strategy in 2025 in response to changes in the policy or regulatory landscape. The largest portion (38%) of SMEs said they remained uncertain or still evaluating, followed by 30% who will make minor adjustments, 19% will maintain their current approach, and 13% who were willing to significantly adjust their approach.