In the home computer market, a single return can vaporize all the profits from the sale. No wonder consumer electronics manufacturers and retailers are so intent on avoiding them.
John Johnson joined the DC Velocity team in March 2004. A veteran business journalist, John has over a dozen years of experience covering the supply chain field, including time as chief editor of Warehousing Management. In addition, he has covered the venture capital community and previously was a sports reporter covering professional and collegiate sports in the Boston area. John served as senior editor and chief editor of DC Velocity until April 2008.
Every day, somewhere in America, an unsuspecting consumer wanders into an electronics store and leaves clutching the latest wireless networking device. Dazzled by the prospect of effortless access to files stored on his home or work computer from anywhere in the world—or the capacity to turn his computer on and off from just about anywhere, at any time—or the ability to keep up with the bills during next month's extended business trip to Hong Kong, he races home to set it up.
But once he gets home, buyer's remorse quickly sets in. Try as he might, he can't install and configure the wireless network. Aggravated by indecipherable error messages and despairing of ever getting the technical support he needs, he heads back to the store's returns counter.
In a day and age when Americans are deluged by ever more sophisticated consumer electronics, the sad truth is much of it gets returned by consumers who find themselves in over their heads. That's particularly true of wireless technology, which has pushed networking out of the average user's reach. "Only the leading-edge techno-geek people are playing with a lot of this new networking equipment," admits Intel executive Scott Lofgren, who is chairman of the Ease of Use/PC Quality Roundtable.
That collective consumer frustration is causing more than just headaches for the industry; it's costing them serious money. A study conducted by the Reverse Logistics Executive Council revealed that although the average profit for a PC sold at the retail level is $75, returns and support costs can run as high as $95 per unit. That's led some manufacturers to band together to form the Ease of Use/PC Quality Roundtable, which addresses—among other things—the problems users face when they attempt to link PCs and consumer electronics devices at home. "Our job as an industry has to be to figure out how to improve the consumer experience," says Lofgren.
Rage against the machines
The problem's not limited to computers. Companies that make and sell devices like DVD recorders are experiencing similar problems. "The things we're trying to do with devices in the home right now are much different than when we just slapped a record on a turntable," says Lofgren. Manufacturers have come to realize that they're partly to blame for the frustration. "DVD recorders have [excessively] high return rates and that seems driven — by ease of use issues," admits Tony Sciarrotta, director of returns management for Philips Consumer Electronics. "The consumer is genuinely frustrated by this. We don't make these products easy to use."
Nor are they easy to network. As anyone who's ever tried to hook up a new DVD recorder to a VCR or satellite TV receiver knows, you have to fight your way through a tangle of wires and navigate a dizzying array of output and input options. "The hookup aspect is the real nightmare," acknowledges Sciarrotta. "That's where we get the most calls [to customer service]. If we solve the problem—fine. But if we don't, it's our product the consumer will probably end up returning because it was the most recent purchase." In fact, return rates for DVD recorders run well above the 5 to 6 percent typical of the consumer electronics industry.
Still another problem is a lack of standardization. Manufacturers have made little attempt to standardize their formats. Bring home a Philips or Sony DVD recorder and you may be dismayed to find that it uses a different format disk from your old Panasonic unit. It's no wonder consumers are throwing up their hands in defeat.
The best return is no return
What can manufacturers do about mounting returns costs? Some have hired third-party returns specialists to manage reverse logistics for them. Others have invested in tracking software to help rein in costs.
But Sciarrotta thinks he has a better idea: He's concentrating on finding ways to keep returns from happening in the first place—or at least minimizing the number of items that need to be returned. So far, his company has been remarkably successful implementing this strategy, known in the industry as "avoidance." Though Philips' rate of returns once ran about double the industry standard, the company has sliced its rate in half, cutting annual returns from $200 million's worth of merchandise to well under $100 million.
So what does avoidance involve? Sometimes it's simply a matter of designing products better or making them easier to use. "Avoidance really starts right from the beginning of the product design stage," says Dale Rogers, professor of supply chain management at the University of Nevada and chairman of the Reverse Logistics Executive Council.
Other times, it's not so much the products as the ancillary items or services that are responsible for consumers' frustration. Some manufacturers have found that what they really need to do is improve their after-sales support—supplying better-written user manuals or making it easier for customers to get help. And needless to say, it's essential to work out any quality control issues to ensure that products are defect-free before they leave the plant.
Point of no return?
But even providing 100-percent defect-free DVD players or cell phones is no guarantee that consumers won't return them. Statistics show that for some consumer electronic product lines, seven in 10 items that are returned have nothing wrong with them.
It's partly a cultural issue, says Sciarrotta. "Over the years we've made it extremely easy for consumers to bring an item back to a retailer and get their money back—even if it's not defective." Blanket no-questions-asked returns policies have led to abuses like the college kid who scores backstage passes to a Lenny Kravitz concert, buys a digital camera to record the big event, downloads the photos to his PC, and returns the camera the next morning.
Other times, perfectly good products are returned simply because the manufacturer has recently introduced a newer, faster, more powerful model and the consumer feels entitled to an upgrade at no cost. That's a trend that Philips, for one, has been tracking for some time now, says Sciarrotta. "Every three to six months, a higher-speed CD burner comes out, and it's evident that consumers are bringing the old ones back and getting the new higher-speed ones as replacements."
Philips' response to that has been to establish better gatekeeping policies—refusing to accept items that should not have been returned in the first place or that have been returned to an inappropriate destination. "Instead of taking anything back anytime from anybody, you use entitlement controls to authorize models that are within a certain window," Sciarrotta explains.
For example, Philips now publishes "approved model lists" that spell out for retailers which products they're authorized to accept as returns. If a retailer grants an unauthorized return and ships the item back to Philips, the company will send it back with an invoice to cover the cost of the return. Philips has also set time limits, says Sciarrotta. "We shouldn't take things back that are five years old."
To flag items that aren't eligible for returns, retailers like Wal-Mart and Target have launched electronic product registration programs. When a bar code is scanned at the register, a Wal-Mart associate, for example, also scans a serial number that records information about the sale in the retailer's database. If a customer attempts to return the product later without a receipt, the store associate can simply scan the serial number to confirm when and where the product was purchased. "We have people try to return things at Wal-Mart that are five years old," says Sciarrotta. "Our retailers can avoid that now with this … validation process."
Some retailers have even come up with programs to discourage returns on their own. Wal-Mart, for example, has implemented a national warranty repair program. If a customer walks in with, say, a two-year-old CD burner (or any item purchased outside of its approved returns window—normally 30 to 90 days), Wal-Mart will no longer exchange it for a new one. Instead, it offers to ship the product to the manufacturer, which will repair or replace it and ship it back to Wal-Mart. Once customers realize that they won't get cash back for the return, many opt to keep the product.
Though he admits the program is expensive, Sciarrotta considers it well worth the cost. For one thing, Wal-Mart enjoys extremely competitive shipping rates with UPS, which keeps transportation costs down to reasonable levels. Second, the program helps manufacturers like Philips retain customers, which is a key goal. "If Wal-Mart granted a refund," he says, "the user would most likely go out and buy something [made by someone] else."
"The combination of electronic serial number registration, plus the national warranty repair program has put them in a tremendous position to minimize returns," says Sciarrotta, who reports that Philips has seen a 50-percent reduction in returns from Wal-Mart. "That's cash flow right out of the register. If a retailer can make even a 1-percent improvement there, [it is] looking at a huge improvement to the bottom line."
Shippers today are praising an 11th-hour contract agreement that has averted the threat of a strike by dockworkers at East and Gulf coast ports that could have frozen container imports and exports as soon as January 16.
The agreement came late last night between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) representing some 45,000 workers and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) that includes the operators of port facilities up and down the coast.
Details of the new agreement on those issues have not yet been made public, but in the meantime, retailers and manufacturers are heaving sighs of relief that trade flows will continue.
“Providing certainty with a new contract and avoiding further disruptions is paramount to ensure retail goods arrive in a timely manner for consumers. The agreement will also pave the way for much-needed modernization efforts, which are essential for future growth at these ports and the overall resiliency of our nation’s supply chain,” Gold said.
The next step in the process is for both sides to ratify the tentative agreement, so negotiators have agreed to keep those details private in the meantime, according to identical statements released by the ILA and the USMX. In their joint statement, the groups called the six-year deal a “win-win,” saying: “This agreement protects current ILA jobs and establishes a framework for implementing technologies that will create more jobs while modernizing East and Gulf coasts ports – making them safer and more efficient, and creating the capacity they need to keep our supply chains strong. This is a win-win agreement that creates ILA jobs, supports American consumers and businesses, and keeps the American economy the key hub of the global marketplace.”
The breakthrough hints at broader supply chain trends, which will focus on the tension between operational efficiency and workforce job protection, not just at ports but across other sectors as well, according to a statement from Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, a freight booking and payment platform. Port automation was the major sticking point leading up to this agreement, as the USMX pushed for technologies to make ports more efficient, while the ILA opposed automation or semi-automation that could threaten jobs.
"This is a six-year détente in the tech-versus-labor tug-of-war at U.S. ports," Levine said. “Automation remains a lightning rod—and likely one we’ll see in other industries—but this deal suggests a cautious path forward."
Editor's note: This story was revised on January 9 to include additional input from the ILA, USMX, and Freightos.
As U.S. small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) face an uncertain business landscape in 2025, a substantial majority (67%) expect positive growth in the new year compared to 2024, according to a survey from DHL.
However, the survey also showed that businesses could face a rocky road to reach that goal, as they navigate a complex environment of regulatory/policy shifts and global market volatility. Both those issues were cited as top challenges by 36% of respondents, followed by staffing/talent retention (11%) and digital threats and cyber attacks (2%).
Against that backdrop, SMEs said that the biggest opportunity for growth in 2025 lies in expanding into new markets (40%), followed by economic improvements (31%) and implementing new technologies (14%).
As the U.S. prepares for a broad shift in political leadership in Washington after a contentious election, the SMEs in DHL’s survey were likely split evenly on their opinion about the impact of regulatory and policy changes. A plurality of 40% were on the fence (uncertain, still evaluating), followed by 24% who believe regulatory changes could negatively impact growth, 20% who see these changes as having a positive impact, and 16% predicting no impact on growth at all.
That uncertainty also triggered a split when respondents were asked how they planned to adjust their strategy in 2025 in response to changes in the policy or regulatory landscape. The largest portion (38%) of SMEs said they remained uncertain or still evaluating, followed by 30% who will make minor adjustments, 19% will maintain their current approach, and 13% who were willing to significantly adjust their approach.
The overall national industrial real estate vacancy rate edged higher in the fourth quarter, although it still remains well below pre-pandemic levels, according to an analysis by Cushman & Wakefield.
Vacancy rates shrunk during the pandemic to historically low levels as e-commerce sales—and demand for warehouse space—boomed in response to massive numbers of people working and living from home. That frantic pace is now cooling off but real estate demand remains elevated from a long-term perspective.
“We've witnessed an uptick among firms looking to lease larger buildings to support their omnichannel fulfillment strategies and maintain inventory for their e-commerce, wholesale, and retail stock. This trend is not just about space, but about efficiency and customer satisfaction,” Jason Tolliver, President, Logistics & Industrial Services, said in a release. “Meanwhile, we're also seeing a flurry of activity to support forward-deployed stock models, a strategy that keeps products closer to the market they serve and where customers order them, promising quicker deliveries and happier customers.“
The latest figures show that industrial vacancy is likely nearing its peak for this cooling cycle in the coming quarters, Cushman & Wakefield analysts said.
Compared to the third quarter, the vacancy rate climbed 20 basis points to 6.7%, but that level was still 30 basis points below the 10-year, pre-pandemic average. Likewise, overall net absorption in the fourth quarter—a term for the amount of newly developed property leased by clients—measured 36.8 million square feet, up from the 33.3 million square feet recorded in the third quarter, but down 20% on a year-over-year basis.
In step with those statistics, real estate developers slowed their plans to erect more buildings. New construction deliveries continued to decelerate for the second straight quarter. Just 85.3 million square feet of new industrial product was completed in the fourth quarter, down 8% quarter-over-quarter and 48% versus one year ago.
Likewise, only four geographic markets saw more than 20 million square feet of completions year-to-date, compared to 10 markets in 2023. Meanwhile, as construction starts remained tempered overall, the under-development pipeline has continued to thin out, dropping by 36% annually to its lowest level (290.5 million square feet) since the third quarter of 2018.
Despite the dip in demand last quarter, the market for industrial space remains relatively healthy, Cushman & Wakefield said.
“After a year of hesitancy, logistics is entering a new, sustained growth phase,” Tolliver said. “Corporate capital is being deployed to optimize supply chains, diversify networks, and minimize potential risks. What's particularly encouraging is the proactive approach of retailers, wholesalers, and 3PLs, who are not just reacting to the market, but shaping it. 2025 will be a year characterized by this bias for action.”
Under terms of the deal, Sick and Endress+Hauser will each hold 50% of a joint venture called "Endress+Hauser SICK GmbH+Co. KG," which will strengthen the development and production of analyzer and gas flow meter technologies. According to Sick, its gas flow meters make it possible to switch to low-emission and non-fossil energy sources, for example, and the process analyzers allow reliable monitoring of emissions.
As part of the partnership, the product solutions manufactured together will now be marketed by Endress+Hauser, allowing customers to use a broader product portfolio distributed from a single source via that company’s global sales centers.
Under terms of the contract between the two companies—which was signed in the summer of 2024— around 800 Sick employees located in 42 countries will transfer to Endress+Hauser, including workers in the global sales and service units of Sick’s “Cleaner Industries” division.
“This partnership is a perfect match,” Peter Selders, CEO of the Endress+Hauser Group, said in a release. “It creates new opportunities for growth and development, particularly in the sustainable transformation of the process industry. By joining forces, we offer added value to our customers. Our combined efforts will make us faster and ultimately more successful than if we acted alone. In this case, one and one equals more than two.”
According to Sick, the move means that its current customers will continue to find familiar Sick contacts available at Endress+Hauser for consulting, sales, and service of process automation solutions. The company says this approach allows it to focus on its core business of factory and logistics automation to meet global demand for automation and digitalization.
Sick says its core business has always been in factory and logistics automation, which accounts for more than 80% of sales, and this area remains unaffected by the new joint venture. In Sick’s view, automation is crucial for industrial companies to secure their productivity despite limited resources. And Sick’s sensor solutions are a critical part of industrial automation, which increases productivity through artificial intelligence and the digital networking of production and supply chains.
He replaces Loren Swakow, the company’s president for the past eight years, who built a reputation for providing innovative and high-performance material handling solutions, Noblelift North America said.
Pedriana had previously served as chief marketing officer at Big Joe Forklifts, where he led the development of products like the Joey series of access vehicles and their cobot pallet truck concept.
According to the company, Noblelift North America sells its material handling equipment in more than 100 countries, including a catalog of products such as electric pallet trucks, sit-down forklifts, rough terrain forklifts, narrow aisle forklifts, walkie-stackers, order pickers, electric pallet trucks, scissor lifts, tuggers/tow tractors, scrubbers, sweepers, automated guided vehicles (AGV’s), lift tables, and manual pallet jacks.
"As part of Noblelift’s focus on delivering exceptional customer experiences, we are excited to have Bill Pedriana join us in this pivotal leadership role," Wendy Mao, CEO at Noblelift Intelligent Equipment Co. Ltd., the China-based parent company of Noblelift North America, said in a release. “His passion for the industry, proven ability to execute innovative strategies, and dedication to customer satisfaction make him the perfect leader to guide Noblelift into our next phase of growth.”