Some critics say C-TPAT is too lax. Others complain that its requirements are so vague as to be nearly useless. Yet others revile its standards as too stringent and unnecessary. Who's to be believed?
Barry Brandman is president of Danbee Investigations, a Midland Park, N.J., company that provides investigative, loss prevention and security consulting services to many of the top names in the logistics industry. He has been a guest speaker for the Department of Homeland Security, CSCMP, and WERC, and is the author of Security Best Practices: Protecting Your Distribution Center From Inventory Theft, Fraud, Substance Abuse, Cybercrime and Terrorism. You can reach him via e-mail at
or (201) 652-5500.
When it comes to the government security initiative known as C-TPAT, everyone's a critic. Some say it's too lax, charging that thousands of companies have obtained security clearance based on nothing more than their word. Others complain that its requirements are so vague as to be nearly useless. Yet others revile its standards as too stringent and unnecessary. Who's to be believed?
To understand the problem, you need to know a little about the program's background. The Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism (C-TPAT) was conceived in the wake of the catastrophic events of 9/11, when Americans woke up to the fact that we have enemies out there with not only the inclination, but also the lethal capability to exploit weaknesses in domestic security. As U.S. officials scrambled to plug holes in national security in the days following the attacks, they quickly homed in on the commercial supply chain as an area of vulnerability.
U.S. businesses bring approximately 20 million trailers, railcars, air containers and ocean containers into the country each year, each one a target for terrorists bent on smuggling in material that is radioactive, explosive or biologically hazardous.
Right now, the Bureau of Customs and Border Protection (CBP) inspects less than 3 percent of those 20 million inbound shipments. And although there have been calls from Congress to step up inspections, anyone with even a passing familiarity with global supply chains understands the futility of that effort. No matter how much equipment or how many people were allocated to the project, it would be physically impossible to inspect every one of those boxes without choking off commerce. For an idea of the economic impact of widespread delays, you need look no further than the 2002 West Coast port labor dispute. While labor and management wrangled, ocean liners stacked up in the Pacific for as far as the eye could see, weighted down with goods that couldn't be offloaded. American companies, including distributors, logistics service providers, and retailers, felt the financial sting to the
tune of $2 billion a day.
Unable to police the global supply chain on its own, CBP came up with an alternative plan: get U.S. companies to shoulder some of the burden. Customs could significantly increase the effectiveness of the small percentage of inspections taking place if it could focus its resources on the high-risk shipments. CBP has no clout over foreign companies, clearly one of the most vulnerable links in the global supply chain. But U.S. importers have plenty of leverage with their suppliers. If those U.S. importers would commit to upgrading their supply chain security programs and persuading their overseas business partners to do the same, Customs would reward them by reducing their risk of being targeted for inspections. We know that program as C-TPAT.
C-TPAT comes under fire
In its nearly four years of existence, C-TPAT has drawn some flak. Some, for example, have voiced concerns about what they see as inadequate enforcement, charging that certification has been awarded to thousands of companies based solely on the submission of their security Profile Report.
That's a legitimate concern. However, it's also necessary to be pragmatic. After 9/11, the agency was faced with the need to act swiftly. Had Customs waited until it could recruit and fully train hundreds of additional inspectors and procure all the high-tech screening equipment it would need, the C-TPAT program would probably have been delayed 18 to 24 months. In my opinion, that delay would have posed a significantly greater risk than allowing companies to receive certification without being validated.
To be sure, there may have been importers, manufacturers and carriers who were guilty of misrepresentation and neglect. But I believe that a larger percentage of companies applying for C-TPAT certification were serious about identifying their deficiencies, developing and implementing improved safeguards, training their personnel to recognize security threats, and communicating the need to upgrade supply chain safeguards to their overseas suppliers and vendors. As a result, this enormous project got under way sooner rather than two years later.
Another criticism leveled at C-TPAT is that security standards communicated by CBP haven't been detailed or consistent. While it's true that many of the recommended safeguards appear to be generic, security experts understood that it simply wasn't possible to produce a "one size fits all" standard when dealing with thousands of businesses of various types and sizes, all with different logistics and operating practices.
My company is frequently asked to assess corporate supply chains and help companies develop programs compliant with C-TPAT standards. Over the years, we've learned that even companies in the same field and of similar size require customized security solutions rather than broad boilerplate fixes, which tend to be both superficial and ineffective.
Nonetheless, CBP responded to its critics, introducing new and stiffer standards for C-TPAT certification on March 25. Companies seeking C-TPAT certification will need to meet or exceed the new security criteria, which cover areas like container integrity, personnel background checks and IT security. Companies that have already obtained certification have been allowed to bring their operations into compliance in phases.
Still, it appears that CBP can't win. The same parties that had clamored for clearer, better-defined standards jumped all over the new C-TPAT standards, branding them as extreme and unnecessary. I would disagree. Although I may not concur with the requirements on every point, I still think it's necessary to take a broader view of what the C-TPAT program is designed to accomplish as well as the formidable obstacles that must be faced each day.
To those who protest that the new standards are too stringent, I'd like to point out that shipments from C-TPAT certified companies are precisely the shipments most likely to be targeted by terrorist cells. It's no secret that shipments to certified companies stand a much lower than average chance of being opened by CBP inspectors. For that reason, it's imperative that certified companies follow the very best security practices, support their practices with state-of-the-art technology, and diligently check and test their procedures on a regular basis. Anything less creates vulnerabilities.
Making progress
For all the criticism, the good news is that CBP, through programs like C-TPAT and the Container Security Initiative, has made considerable progress, in a relatively short period of time, securing America's borders. Many of America's largest importers have embraced the C-TPAT program and strengthened their supply chain security. Not only has this reduced their exposure to smuggling and cargo theft (itself a multi-billion dollar problem annually), but most C-TPAT-certified companies have also reaped significant financial benefits. To begin with, their risk of shipment delays caused by security inspections has dropped drastically. In addition, their participation in C-TPAT makes them eligible for expedited clearance via Customs' FAST (Free and Secure Trade) program at the Mexican and Canadian borders, and has given them added leverage in negotiating insurance premiums.
Despite its imperfections, I support the concept of C-TPAT. And I'm convinced others will embrace it as well. Consider this: Despite all the complaints, no company that I'm aware of has voluntarily given up its C-TPAT certification. And other countries are now developing security programs for their inbound supply chains that are modeled on America's C-TPAT program.
I certainly don't see C-TPAT going away. To the contrary, I expect that C-TPAT, much like ISO certification, will become a widely recognized standard in the international business community and a reflection of a company's commitment to operational excellence.
Editor's note: This is the first of two parts. Next month's SecurityBrief column will discuss best practices and strategies for obtaining—and keeping—C-TPAT certification.
Artificial intelligence (AI) and data science were hot business topics in 2024 and will remain on the front burner in 2025, according to recent research published in AI in Action, a series of technology-focused columns in the MIT Sloan Management Review.
In Five Trends in AI and Data Science for 2025, researchers Tom Davenport and Randy Bean outline ways in which AI and our data-driven culture will continue to shape the business landscape in the coming year. The information comes from a range of recent AI-focused research projects, including the 2025 AI & Data Leadership Executive Benchmark Survey, an annual survey of data, analytics, and AI executives conducted by Bean’s educational firm, Data & AI Leadership Exchange.
The five trends range from the promise of agentic AI to the struggle over which C-suite role should oversee data and AI responsibilities. At a glance, they reveal that:
Leaders will grapple with both the promise and hype around agentic AI. Agentic AI—which handles tasks independently—is on the rise, in the form of generative AI bots that can perform some content-creation tasks. But the authors say it will be a while before such tools can handle major tasks—like make a travel reservation or conduct a banking transaction.
The time has come to measure results from generative AI experiments. The authors say very few companies are carefully measuring productivity gains from AI projects—particularly when it comes to figuring out what their knowledge-based workers are doing with the freed-up time those projects provide. Doing so is vital to profiting from AI investments.
The reality about data-driven culture sets in. The authors found that 92% of survey respondents feel that cultural and change management challenges are the primary barriers to becoming data- and AI-driven—indicating that the shift to AI is about much more than just the technology.
Unstructured data is important again. The ability to apply Generative AI tools to manage unstructured data—such as text, images, and video—is putting a renewed focus on getting all that data into shape, which takes a whole lot of human effort. As the authors explain “organizations need to pick the best examples of each document type, tag or graph the content, and get it loaded into the system.” And many companies simply aren’t there yet.
Who should run data and AI? Expect continued struggle. Should these roles be concentrated on the business or tech side of the organization? Opinions differ, and as the roles themselves continue to evolve, the authors say companies should expect to continue to wrestle with responsibilities and reporting structures.
Shippers today are praising an 11th-hour contract agreement that has averted the threat of a strike by dockworkers at East and Gulf coast ports that could have frozen container imports and exports as soon as January 16.
The agreement came late last night between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) representing some 45,000 workers and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) that includes the operators of port facilities up and down the coast.
Details of the new agreement on those issues have not yet been made public, but in the meantime, retailers and manufacturers are heaving sighs of relief that trade flows will continue.
“Providing certainty with a new contract and avoiding further disruptions is paramount to ensure retail goods arrive in a timely manner for consumers. The agreement will also pave the way for much-needed modernization efforts, which are essential for future growth at these ports and the overall resiliency of our nation’s supply chain,” Gold said.
The next step in the process is for both sides to ratify the tentative agreement, so negotiators have agreed to keep those details private in the meantime, according to identical statements released by the ILA and the USMX. In their joint statement, the groups called the six-year deal a “win-win,” saying: “This agreement protects current ILA jobs and establishes a framework for implementing technologies that will create more jobs while modernizing East and Gulf coasts ports – making them safer and more efficient, and creating the capacity they need to keep our supply chains strong. This is a win-win agreement that creates ILA jobs, supports American consumers and businesses, and keeps the American economy the key hub of the global marketplace.”
The breakthrough hints at broader supply chain trends, which will focus on the tension between operational efficiency and workforce job protection, not just at ports but across other sectors as well, according to a statement from Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, a freight booking and payment platform. Port automation was the major sticking point leading up to this agreement, as the USMX pushed for technologies to make ports more efficient, while the ILA opposed automation or semi-automation that could threaten jobs.
"This is a six-year détente in the tech-versus-labor tug-of-war at U.S. ports," Levine said. “Automation remains a lightning rod—and likely one we’ll see in other industries—but this deal suggests a cautious path forward."
Editor's note: This story was revised on January 9 to include additional input from the ILA, USMX, and Freightos.
Logistics industry growth slowed in December due to a seasonal wind-down of inventory and following one of the busiest holiday shopping seasons on record, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The monthly LMI was 57.3 in December, down more than a percentage point from November’s reading of 58.4. Despite the slowdown, economic activity across the industry continued to expand, as an LMI reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The LMI researchers said the monthly conditions were largely due to seasonal drawdowns in inventory levels—and the associated costs of holding them—at the retail level. The LMI’s Inventory Levels index registered 50, falling from 56.1 in November. That reduction also affected warehousing capacity, which slowed but remained in expansion mode: The LMI’s warehousing capacity index fell 7 points to a reading of 61.6.
December’s results reflect a continued trend toward more typical industry growth patterns following recent years of volatility—and they point to a successful peak holiday season as well.
“Retailers were clearly correct in their bet to stock [up] on goods ahead of the holiday season,” the LMI researchers wrote in their monthly report. “Holiday sales from November until Christmas Eve were up 3.8% year-over-year according to Mastercard. This was largely driven by a 6.7% increase in e-commerce sales, although in-person spending was up 2.9% as well.”
And those results came during a compressed peak shopping cycle.
“The increase in spending came despite the shorter holiday season due to the late Thanksgiving,” the researchers also wrote, citing National Retail Federation (NRF) estimates that U.S. shoppers spent just short of a trillion dollars in November and December, making it the busiest holiday season of all time.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
As U.S. small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) face an uncertain business landscape in 2025, a substantial majority (67%) expect positive growth in the new year compared to 2024, according to a survey from DHL.
However, the survey also showed that businesses could face a rocky road to reach that goal, as they navigate a complex environment of regulatory/policy shifts and global market volatility. Both those issues were cited as top challenges by 36% of respondents, followed by staffing/talent retention (11%) and digital threats and cyber attacks (2%).
Against that backdrop, SMEs said that the biggest opportunity for growth in 2025 lies in expanding into new markets (40%), followed by economic improvements (31%) and implementing new technologies (14%).
As the U.S. prepares for a broad shift in political leadership in Washington after a contentious election, the SMEs in DHL’s survey were likely split evenly on their opinion about the impact of regulatory and policy changes. A plurality of 40% were on the fence (uncertain, still evaluating), followed by 24% who believe regulatory changes could negatively impact growth, 20% who see these changes as having a positive impact, and 16% predicting no impact on growth at all.
That uncertainty also triggered a split when respondents were asked how they planned to adjust their strategy in 2025 in response to changes in the policy or regulatory landscape. The largest portion (38%) of SMEs said they remained uncertain or still evaluating, followed by 30% who will make minor adjustments, 19% will maintain their current approach, and 13% who were willing to significantly adjust their approach.
The overall national industrial real estate vacancy rate edged higher in the fourth quarter, although it still remains well below pre-pandemic levels, according to an analysis by Cushman & Wakefield.
Vacancy rates shrunk during the pandemic to historically low levels as e-commerce sales—and demand for warehouse space—boomed in response to massive numbers of people working and living from home. That frantic pace is now cooling off but real estate demand remains elevated from a long-term perspective.
“We've witnessed an uptick among firms looking to lease larger buildings to support their omnichannel fulfillment strategies and maintain inventory for their e-commerce, wholesale, and retail stock. This trend is not just about space, but about efficiency and customer satisfaction,” Jason Tolliver, President, Logistics & Industrial Services, said in a release. “Meanwhile, we're also seeing a flurry of activity to support forward-deployed stock models, a strategy that keeps products closer to the market they serve and where customers order them, promising quicker deliveries and happier customers.“
The latest figures show that industrial vacancy is likely nearing its peak for this cooling cycle in the coming quarters, Cushman & Wakefield analysts said.
Compared to the third quarter, the vacancy rate climbed 20 basis points to 6.7%, but that level was still 30 basis points below the 10-year, pre-pandemic average. Likewise, overall net absorption in the fourth quarter—a term for the amount of newly developed property leased by clients—measured 36.8 million square feet, up from the 33.3 million square feet recorded in the third quarter, but down 20% on a year-over-year basis.
In step with those statistics, real estate developers slowed their plans to erect more buildings. New construction deliveries continued to decelerate for the second straight quarter. Just 85.3 million square feet of new industrial product was completed in the fourth quarter, down 8% quarter-over-quarter and 48% versus one year ago.
Likewise, only four geographic markets saw more than 20 million square feet of completions year-to-date, compared to 10 markets in 2023. Meanwhile, as construction starts remained tempered overall, the under-development pipeline has continued to thin out, dropping by 36% annually to its lowest level (290.5 million square feet) since the third quarter of 2018.
Despite the dip in demand last quarter, the market for industrial space remains relatively healthy, Cushman & Wakefield said.
“After a year of hesitancy, logistics is entering a new, sustained growth phase,” Tolliver said. “Corporate capital is being deployed to optimize supply chains, diversify networks, and minimize potential risks. What's particularly encouraging is the proactive approach of retailers, wholesalers, and 3PLs, who are not just reacting to the market, but shaping it. 2025 will be a year characterized by this bias for action.”