Making Mattel’s supply chain strong “kenough”: interview with Roberto Isaias
Mattel Chief Supply Chain Officer—and CSCMP EDGE keynote speaker—Roberto Isaias discusses how changes to the toy company’s supply chain planning process helped it handle the pandemic and the spike in sales from the Barbie movie.
Susan Lacefield has been working for supply chain publications since 1999. Before joining DC VELOCITY, she was an associate editor for Supply Chain Management Review and wrote for Logistics Management magazine. She holds a master's degree in English.
This story first appeared in the July/August 2024 issue of Supply Chain Xchange, a journal of thought leadership for the supply chain management profession and a sister publication to AGiLE Business Media & Events’ DC Velocity.
Supply chain disruptions don’t always come from negative events like a global pandemic or a natural disaster. Sometimes they come out of positive events such as a spike in sales or an innovation.
In the past four years, the toy company Mattel has faced disruptions on several fronts—both good and bad. Like everyone, Mattel had to deal with the challenges of the Covid pandemic. Then last year, the smash success of the Barbie movie drove sales of movie-related items sky high, putting pressure on its supply chain to keep up.
Fortunately, the company and its chief supply chain officer, Roberto Isaias, have been taking steps for years to transform and better synchronize Mattel’s supply chain operations. This transformative work laid a solid foundation that helped them make savvy decisions in the moment and seize opportunities that both these events offered.
Isaias began his supply chain career at Procter & Gamble, which he calls a “formative” experience and excellent training ground for how to conduct large-scale projects focused on supply chain network planning, network optimization, and strategic planning. He then switched over to the commercial side before joining Mattel in 2002. At Mattel, Isaias, who is from Mexico, held a variety of leadership roles in Latin America prior to his appointment as chief supply chain officer in 2019.
Isaias will be discussing his experience guiding Mattel’s supply chain during his keynote address on Oct. 1 at the Annual CSCMP EDGE Conference in Nashville, Tennessee. DC Velocity Editor at Large Susan Lacefield recently had an opportunity to talk to Isaias and provide a preview of topics that he may be covering.
Q: What were some of the first initiatives that you were involved with when you became chief supply chain officer at Mattel?
A: That was a really exciting time, as the company was in the midst of a turnaround led by our current CEO, Ynon Kreiz. And a lot of the focus was to really restructure our system in ways that [would allow us to] be more profitable. Kreiz is a great boss. He really allows you to make decisions and push the boundaries. So very quickly we were able to reconcile the system and redesign the way we were working.
The biggest changes we made were on the planning side. I call it “synchronizing the supply chain.” For example, we had an algorithm that used inventory turns to calculate production levels at the plant. So we were having a very “nervous” system, where we were making a lot of [production] changes that were really hitting our profitability. But frankly, when you do that in China, it doesn’t make any sense. Because after you turn that fast, you put it on a boat for eight to 10 weeks. So why were you in a hurry? Why don’t you try to keep your productivity?
What we did is say, “Look, we should not be running our manufacturing lines for two or three or four hours, as you do in other businesses like consumer goods. What we need to do is to run our manufacturing lines for days.” That will increase our inventories probably by a day and a half. But frankly, it doesn’t really matter; we’re going to put that on the boat for 10 weeks. If [running our manufacturing lines longer] is going to give us much more productivity, we probably want to do that. So we changed the pattern of how we plan. And that algorithm alone probably gave us 30% more productivity.
The second thing we did is resize our capacity. When every single line is 30% more productive, then your costs also go down, and you don’t need as many factories. As a result, we decided to close some of our factories, particularly in North America. But even with fewer plants, we were [still] able to produce the same amount of product, so a lot of our fixed costs were reduced.
And the third [thing we did] was to make a lot of changes in the way we select an end-of-life for a product. By now, we have reduced probably close to 40% of our SKUs. We used to have a line that was very broad. And as we reduced that, we actually increased our productivity again, reduced our complexity, and sped up inventory turns in the plant. All of that really helped us to work in much better ways. From 2019 to 2023, we have saved about $380 million.
Q: Mattel faced some significant challenges during the pandemic. Could you talk about those challenges and how the work that you had done previously helped you handle them?
A: The pandemic was a crazy time. I think that the work we did systematizing the way we did the production planning in the plants really helped us. Before the pandemic, we pulled production planning out of the plants, so that the production planner was here in the U.S. We have a team that is in a central location, and we have created visibility to all the raw materials and all the components in our [manufacturing resource planning] tool and to our suppliers’ materials.
When we saw the pandemic beginning, there were three things that we did really well. First, we increased our safety inventories in the plants from 30 days to 120 days. We immediately put in orders for electronics, paint, plastic, and pellets. We went to the CFO and said, “Look, this is going to be about $200 million of more inventory. But if we don’t order now and the cost goes up, then we will not be able to survive.”
Our CEO and our CFO were key. They were open [to the recommendation], and they said, “Look, most of it you will use anyway. Of course, it will be a time and a cash flow challenge for the next few months. But after that, if we get it right, we will be able to grow.” It was really lucky that we saw that [trend], and we were really supported by our management team.
The second thing that we did is [ensure] we had that centrality that allows us to make production decisions and react really fast. Sometimes we were changing the production on a daily basis.
And third, our planning person—who has worked in our plants in mainland China and Asia—and myself—who has been here for a long time—we were able to understand the trade dynamics. We knew that if we produce enough and the demand was still high, our customers would take the inventory sooner or later. So [in the summer], they were pausing [orders with us]. But we knew that after that, [our products] would go because they need to sell toys in the winter. So we took the risk of continuing to produce and build our inventory up in China to 300 containers. We took those containers and placed them in basketball courts and football fields we had rented. As soon as our customers’ summer items were gone, they immediately started taking our product, and we were able to grow 20% that year. We hadn’t grown that much in many years.
But again, the CFO, the chief commercial officer, our CEO, and everyone was aligned on how much risk we wanted to take. And it played out well. In our plan, we were supposed to grow 4%, and we ended up growing 20%.
Probably the key pieces were what we did before [the pandemic] to really be prepared and really have a consistent system with enough visibility, and then some smart choices on how to operate. Compared to our peers that produce in China, we were probably the best ones in service and growth.
Q: Did that basis also help you respond to the increase in sales you saw as a result of the Barbie movie?
A: This is incredibly exciting! The Barbie movie has been one of the great events during my career at Mattel. I don’t know if you know, but Mattel was actually the first company that advertised toys on TV. It was during “The Mickey Mouse Club” in the 1950s. That’s what drove the early success of Barbie and Hot Wheels, and the explosion of Mattel as a global company. Now with the Barbie movie, our team and some of the visionaries that we have here really were able to put together a great story with a great director and with great talent.
With this movie, we had two challenges. First, the launch was really tight. Normally we have a lot of time to go see the movie and have the [toy] designers draw their ideas with the movie in place. In this case, we were not able to do that. So our designers and some design developers were on the set. As they were filming the movie, the designers were drawing ideas and creating products. That was completely different from what we did in the past.
We also started with some direct-to-plant development ideas. We took a lot of the product development ideas and sent them to the plant to continue the development process not in the U.S. but in Indonesia. And that really accelerated the development.
Third, we started working around the clock on the production. And once we reached the volume that we were planning to have, we kept producing. This allowed us to hold some of the inventory and then have production capacity later in the year in case demand [exceeded our initial expectations], which actually happened. We were glad that we created some of that inventory early in the year.
Our plants are not completely full the entire year, as we have a very seasonal business. They are completely heavy-loaded from April to September. But they are probably [at] 50% [capacity] the rest of the year. So what we do when we really need to drive volume is we fully pull forward the production. Instead of starting in March or April, when we’re supposed to start, we produce in December, January, February, and that allows us to have some free capacity. Of course, it creates more inventory and more risk. But it allows you to have more of what we call “chasing capacity”—that allows us to really adapt and produce more of what is in demand in the later months of the year. So what we did is we created spare capacity or chasing capacity for that summer, and we’re really happy that we did that. That is the way we actually managed those changes in production. And that’s how we were able to chase the higher-than-expected demand for the movie items.
Q: How did you work with your customers in handling the demand?
A: Our customers were so eager to have the product. We would say, “Well, yeah, I can ship you that. But I will only have [the products] on Sunday, the 7th,” and our customers would say, “Yes! How many trucks do you have?” Or we would say, “We can send it to the store, but people will not get it until June. Is that OK?” And our customers would respond, “Yes. I’ll send a note. Tell me the date; I’ll make it happen.”
The eagerness and the excitement around the movie was great, and our customers were great partners. Our customers have their own schedules; they have a lot of stores and a lot of suppliers they are trying to manage. They have a very hard business to run. I was surprised how flexible, how nice, and how excited they were about the movie. Everyone wanted the product, and everyone wanted the material associated with the movie, and everybody was asking for tickets to the premiere, which were extremely limited!
I would say part of the fun of the story is how flexible our customers were. They were just willing to open their doors and help us drive this on a compressed schedule. Part of the success is not only what we did, it was also that they were extremely helpful. And it was one of the biggest successes that Mattel has had in its history. And now we have a lot of other movies in the pipeline. And that is super exciting!
Most of the apparel sold in North America is manufactured in Asia, meaning the finished goods travel long distances to reach end markets, with all the associated greenhouse gas emissions. On top of that, apparel manufacturing itself requires a significant amount of energy, water, and raw materials like cotton. Overall, the production of apparel is responsible for about 2% of the world’s total greenhouse gas emissions, according to a report titled
Taking Stock of Progress Against the Roadmap to Net Zeroby the Apparel Impact Institute. Founded in 2017, the Apparel Impact Institute is an organization dedicated to identifying, funding, and then scaling solutions aimed at reducing the carbon emissions and other environmental impacts of the apparel and textile industries.
The author of this annual study is researcher and consultant Michael Sadowski. He wrote the first report in 2021 as well as the latest edition, which was released earlier this year. Sadowski, who is also executive director of the environmental nonprofit
The Circulate Initiative, recently joined DC Velocity Group Editorial Director David Maloney on an episode of the “Logistics Matters” podcast to discuss the key findings of the research, what companies are doing to reduce emissions, and the progress they’ve made since the first report was issued.
A: While companies in the apparel industry can set their own sustainability targets, we realized there was a need to give them a blueprint for actually reducing emissions. And so, we produced the first report back in 2021, where we laid out the emissions from the sector, based on the best estimates [we could make using] data from various sources. It gives companies and the sector a blueprint for what we collectively need to do to drive toward the ambitious reduction [target] of staying within a 1.5 degrees Celsius pathway. That was the first report, and then we committed to refresh the analysis on an annual basis. The second report was published last year, and the third report came out in May of this year.
Q: What were some of the key findings of your research?
A: We found that about half of the emissions in the sector come from Tier Two, which is essentially textile production. That includes the knitting, weaving, dyeing, and finishing of fabric, which together account for over half of the total emissions. That was a really important finding, and it allows us to focus our attention on the interventions that can drive those emissions down.
Raw material production accounts for another quarter of emissions. That includes cotton farming, extracting gas and oil from the ground to make synthetics, and things like that. So we now have a really keen understanding of the source of our industry’s emissions.
Q: Your report mentions that the apparel industry is responsible for about 2% of global emissions. Is that an accurate statistic?
A: That’s our best estimate of the total emissions [generated by] the apparel sector. Some other reports on the industry have apparel at up to 8% of global emissions. And there is a commonly misquoted number in the media that it’s 10%. From my perspective, I think the best estimate is somewhere under 2%.
We know that globally, humankind needs to reduce emissions by roughly half by 2030 and reach net zero by 2050 to hit international goals. [Reaching that target will require the involvement of] every facet of the global economy and every aspect of the apparel sector—transportation, material production, manufacturing, cotton farming. Through our work and that of others, I think the apparel sector understands what has to happen. We have highlighted examples of how companies are taking action to reduce emissions in the roadmap reports.
Q: What are some of those actions the industry can take to reduce emissions?
A: I think one of the positive developments since we wrote the first report is that we’re seeing companies really focus on the most impactful areas. We see companies diving deep on thermal energy, for example. With respect to Tier Two, we [focus] a lot of attention on things like ocean freight versus air. There’s a rule of thumb I’ve heard that indicates air freight is about 10 times the cost [of ocean] and also produces 10 times more greenhouse gas emissions.
There is money available to invest in sustainability efforts. It’s really exciting to see the funding that’s coming through for AI [artificial intelligence] and to see that individual companies, such as H&M and Lululemon, are investing in real solutions in their supply chains. I think a lot of concrete actions are being taken.
And yet we know that reducing emissions by half on an absolute basis by 2030 is a monumental undertaking. So I don’t want to be overly optimistic, because I think we have a lot of work to do. But I do think we’ve got some amazing progress happening.
Q: You mentioned several companies that are starting to address their emissions. Is that a result of their being more aware of the emissions they generate? Have you seen progress made since the first report came out in 2021?
A: Yes. When we published the first roadmap back in 2021, our statistics showed that only about 12 companies had met the criteria [for setting] science-based targets. In 2024, the number of apparel, textile, and footwear companies that have set targets or have commitments to set targets is close to 500. It’s an enormous increase. I think they see the urgency more than other sectors do.
We have companies that have been working at sustainability for quite a long time. I think the apparel sector has developed a keen understanding of the impacts of climate change. You can see the impacts of flooding, drought, heat, and other things happening in places like Bangladesh and Pakistan and India. If you’re a brand or a manufacturer and you have operations and supply chains in these places, I think you understand what the future will look like if we don’t significantly reduce emissions.
Q: There are different categories of emission levels, depending on the role within the supply chain. Scope 1 are “direct” emissions under the reporting company’s control. For apparel, this might be the production of raw materials or the manufacturing of the finished product. Scope 2 covers “indirect” emissions from purchased energy, such as electricity used in these processes. Scope 3 emissions are harder to track, as they include emissions from supply chain partners both upstream and downstream.
Now companies are finding there are legislative efforts around the world that could soon require them to track and report on all these emissions, including emissions produced by their partners’ supply chains. Does this mean that companies now need to be more aware of not only what greenhouse gas emissions they produce, but also what their partners produce?
A: That’s right. Just to put this into context, if you’re a brand like an Adidas or a Gap, you still have to consider the Scope 3 emissions. In particular, there are the so-called “purchased goods and services,” which refers to all of the embedded emissions in your products, from farming cotton to knitting yarn to making fabric. Those “purchased goods and services” generally account for well above 80% of the total emissions associated with a product. It’s by far the most significant portion of your emissions.
Leading companies have begun measuring and taking action on Scope 3 emissions because of regulatory developments in Europe and, to some extent now, in California. I do think this is just a further tailwind for the work that the industry is doing.
I also think it will definitely ratchet up the quality requirements of Scope 3 data, which is not yet where we’d all like it to be. Companies are working to improve that data, but I think the regulatory push will make the quality side increasingly important.
Q: Overall, do you think the work being done by the Apparel Impact Institute will help reduce greenhouse gas emissions within the industry?
A: When we started this back in 2020, we were at a place where companies were setting targets and knew their intended destination, but what they needed was a blueprint for how to get there. And so, the roadmap [provided] this blueprint and identified six key things that the sector needed to do—from using more sustainable materials to deploying renewable electricity in the supply chain.
Decarbonizing any sector, whether it’s transportation, chemicals, or automotive, requires investment. The Apparel Impact Institute is bringing collective investment, which is so critical. I’m really optimistic about what they’re doing. They have taken a data-driven, evidence-based approach, so they know where the emissions are and they know what the needed interventions are. And they’ve got the industry behind them in doing that.
The global air cargo market’s hot summer of double-digit demand growth continued in August with average spot rates showing their largest year-on-year jump with a 24% increase, according to the latest weekly analysis by Xeneta.
Xeneta cited two reasons to explain the increase. First, Global average air cargo spot rates reached $2.68 per kg in August due to continuing supply and demand imbalance. That came as August's global cargo supply grew at its slowest ratio in 2024 to-date at 2% year-on-year, while global cargo demand continued its double-digit growth, rising +11%.
The second reason for higher rates was an ocean-to-air shift in freight volumes due to Red Sea disruptions and e-commerce demand.
Those factors could soon be amplified as e-commerce shows continued strong growth approaching the hotly anticipated winter peak season. E-commerce and low-value goods exports from China in the first seven months of 2024 increased 30% year-on-year, including shipments to Europe and the US rising 38% and 30% growth respectively, Xeneta said.
“Typically, air cargo market performance in August tends to follow the July trend. But another month of double-digit demand growth and the strongest rate growths of the year means there was definitely no summer slack season in 2024,” Niall van de Wouw, Xeneta’s chief airfreight officer, said in a release.
“Rates we saw bottoming out in late July started picking up again in mid-August. This is too short a period to call a season. This has been a busy summer, and now we’re at the threshold of Q4, it will be interesting to see what will happen and if all the anticipation of a red-hot peak season materializes,” van de Wouw said.
The report cites data showing that there are approximately 1.7 million workers missing from the post-pandemic workforce and that 38% of small firms are unable to fill open positions. At the same time, the “skills gap” in the workforce is accelerating as automation and AI create significant shifts in how work is performed.
That information comes from the “2024 Labor Day Report” released by Littler’s Workplace Policy Institute (WPI), the firm’s government relations and public policy arm.
“We continue to see a labor shortage and an urgent need to upskill the current workforce to adapt to the new world of work,” said Michael Lotito, Littler shareholder and co-chair of WPI. “As corporate executives and business leaders look to the future, they are focused on realizing the many benefits of AI to streamline operations and guide strategic decision-making, while cultivating a talent pipeline that can support this growth.”
But while the need is clear, solutions may be complicated by public policy changes such as the upcoming U.S. general election and the proliferation of employment-related legislation at the state and local levels amid Congressional gridlock.
“We are heading into a contentious election that has already proven to be unpredictable and is poised to create even more uncertainty for employers, no matter the outcome,” Shannon Meade, WPI’s executive director, said in a release. “At the same time, the growing patchwork of state and local requirements across the U.S. is exacerbating compliance challenges for companies. That, coupled with looming changes following several Supreme Court decisions that have the potential to upend rulemaking, gives C-suite executives much to contend with in planning their workforce-related strategies.”
Stax Engineering, the venture-backed startup that provides smokestack emissions reduction services for maritime ships, will service all vessels from Toyota Motor North America Inc. visiting the Toyota Berth at the Port of Long Beach, according to a new five-year deal announced today.
Beginning in 2025 to coincide with new California Air Resources Board (CARB) standards, STAX will become the first and only emissions control provider to service roll-on/roll-off (ro-ros) vessels in the state of California, the company said.
Stax has rapidly grown since its launch in the first quarter of this year, supported in part by a $40 million funding round from investors, announced in July. It now holds exclusive service agreements at California ports including Los Angeles, Long Beach, Hueneme, Benicia, Richmond, and Oakland. The firm has also partnered with individual companies like NYK Line, Hyundai GLOVIS, Equilon Enterprises LLC d/b/a Shell Oil Products US (Shell), and now Toyota.
Stax says it offers an alternative to shore power with land- and barge-based, mobile emissions capture and control technology for shipping terminal and fleet operators without the need for retrofits.
In the case of this latest deal, the Toyota Long Beach Vehicle Distribution Center imports about 200,000 vehicles each year on ro-ro vessels. Stax will keep those ships green with its flexible exhaust capture system, which attaches to all vessel classes without modification to remove 99% of emitted particulate matter (PM) and 95% of emitted oxides of nitrogen (NOx). Over the lifetime of this new agreement with Toyota, Stax estimated the service will account for approximately 3,700 hours and more than 47 tons of emissions controlled.
“We set out to provide an emissions capture and control solution that was reliable, easily accessible, and cost-effective. As we begin to service Toyota, we’re confident that we can meet the needs of the full breadth of the maritime industry, furthering our impact on the local air quality, public health, and environment,” Mike Walker, CEO of Stax, said in a release. “Continuing to establish strong partnerships will help build momentum for and trust in our technology as we expand beyond the state of California.”
That result showed that driver wages across the industry continue to increase post-pandemic, despite a challenging freight market for motor carriers. The data comes from ATA’s “Driver Compensation Study,” which asked 120 fleets, more than 150,000 employee drivers, and 14,000 independent contractors about their wage and benefit information.
Drilling into specific categories, linehaul less-than-truckload (LTL) drivers earned a median annual amount of $94,525 in 2023, while local LTL drivers earned a median of $80,680. The median annual compensation for drivers at private carriers has risen 12% since 2021, reaching $95,114 in 2023. And leased-on independent contractors for truckload carriers were paid an annual median amount of $186,016 in 2023.
The results also showed how the demographics of the industry are changing, as carriers offered smaller referral and fewer sign-on bonuses for new drivers in 2023 compared to 2021 but more frequently offered tenure bonuses to their current drivers and with a greater median value.
"While our last study, conducted in 2021, illustrated how drivers benefitted from the strongest freight environment in a generation, this latest report shows professional drivers' earnings are still rising—even in a weaker freight economy," ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello said in a release. "By offering greater tenure bonuses to their current driver force, many fleets appear to be shifting their workforce priorities from recruitment to retention."