Making Mattel’s supply chain strong “kenough”: interview with Roberto Isaias
Mattel Chief Supply Chain Officer—and CSCMP EDGE keynote speaker—Roberto Isaias discusses how changes to the toy company’s supply chain planning process helped it handle the pandemic and the spike in sales from the Barbie movie.
Susan Lacefield has been working for supply chain publications since 1999. Before joining DC VELOCITY, she was an associate editor for Supply Chain Management Review and wrote for Logistics Management magazine. She holds a master's degree in English.
This story first appeared in the July/August 2024 issue of Supply Chain Xchange, a journal of thought leadership for the supply chain management profession and a sister publication to AGiLE Business Media & Events’ DC Velocity.
Supply chain disruptions don’t always come from negative events like a global pandemic or a natural disaster. Sometimes they come out of positive events such as a spike in sales or an innovation.
In the past four years, the toy company Mattel has faced disruptions on several fronts—both good and bad. Like everyone, Mattel had to deal with the challenges of the Covid pandemic. Then last year, the smash success of the Barbie movie drove sales of movie-related items sky high, putting pressure on its supply chain to keep up.
Fortunately, the company and its chief supply chain officer, Roberto Isaias, have been taking steps for years to transform and better synchronize Mattel’s supply chain operations. This transformative work laid a solid foundation that helped them make savvy decisions in the moment and seize opportunities that both these events offered.
Isaias began his supply chain career at Procter & Gamble, which he calls a “formative” experience and excellent training ground for how to conduct large-scale projects focused on supply chain network planning, network optimization, and strategic planning. He then switched over to the commercial side before joining Mattel in 2002. At Mattel, Isaias, who is from Mexico, held a variety of leadership roles in Latin America prior to his appointment as chief supply chain officer in 2019.
Isaias will be discussing his experience guiding Mattel’s supply chain during his keynote address on Oct. 1 at the Annual CSCMP EDGE Conference in Nashville, Tennessee. DC Velocity Editor at Large Susan Lacefield recently had an opportunity to talk to Isaias and provide a preview of topics that he may be covering.
Q: What were some of the first initiatives that you were involved with when you became chief supply chain officer at Mattel?
A: That was a really exciting time, as the company was in the midst of a turnaround led by our current CEO, Ynon Kreiz. And a lot of the focus was to really restructure our system in ways that [would allow us to] be more profitable. Kreiz is a great boss. He really allows you to make decisions and push the boundaries. So very quickly we were able to reconcile the system and redesign the way we were working.
The biggest changes we made were on the planning side. I call it “synchronizing the supply chain.” For example, we had an algorithm that used inventory turns to calculate production levels at the plant. So we were having a very “nervous” system, where we were making a lot of [production] changes that were really hitting our profitability. But frankly, when you do that in China, it doesn’t make any sense. Because after you turn that fast, you put it on a boat for eight to 10 weeks. So why were you in a hurry? Why don’t you try to keep your productivity?
What we did is say, “Look, we should not be running our manufacturing lines for two or three or four hours, as you do in other businesses like consumer goods. What we need to do is to run our manufacturing lines for days.” That will increase our inventories probably by a day and a half. But frankly, it doesn’t really matter; we’re going to put that on the boat for 10 weeks. If [running our manufacturing lines longer] is going to give us much more productivity, we probably want to do that. So we changed the pattern of how we plan. And that algorithm alone probably gave us 30% more productivity.
The second thing we did is resize our capacity. When every single line is 30% more productive, then your costs also go down, and you don’t need as many factories. As a result, we decided to close some of our factories, particularly in North America. But even with fewer plants, we were [still] able to produce the same amount of product, so a lot of our fixed costs were reduced.
And the third [thing we did] was to make a lot of changes in the way we select an end-of-life for a product. By now, we have reduced probably close to 40% of our SKUs. We used to have a line that was very broad. And as we reduced that, we actually increased our productivity again, reduced our complexity, and sped up inventory turns in the plant. All of that really helped us to work in much better ways. From 2019 to 2023, we have saved about $380 million.
Q: Mattel faced some significant challenges during the pandemic. Could you talk about those challenges and how the work that you had done previously helped you handle them?
A: The pandemic was a crazy time. I think that the work we did systematizing the way we did the production planning in the plants really helped us. Before the pandemic, we pulled production planning out of the plants, so that the production planner was here in the U.S. We have a team that is in a central location, and we have created visibility to all the raw materials and all the components in our [manufacturing resource planning] tool and to our suppliers’ materials.
When we saw the pandemic beginning, there were three things that we did really well. First, we increased our safety inventories in the plants from 30 days to 120 days. We immediately put in orders for electronics, paint, plastic, and pellets. We went to the CFO and said, “Look, this is going to be about $200 million of more inventory. But if we don’t order now and the cost goes up, then we will not be able to survive.”
Our CEO and our CFO were key. They were open [to the recommendation], and they said, “Look, most of it you will use anyway. Of course, it will be a time and a cash flow challenge for the next few months. But after that, if we get it right, we will be able to grow.” It was really lucky that we saw that [trend], and we were really supported by our management team.
The second thing that we did is [ensure] we had that centrality that allows us to make production decisions and react really fast. Sometimes we were changing the production on a daily basis.
And third, our planning person—who has worked in our plants in mainland China and Asia—and myself—who has been here for a long time—we were able to understand the trade dynamics. We knew that if we produce enough and the demand was still high, our customers would take the inventory sooner or later. So [in the summer], they were pausing [orders with us]. But we knew that after that, [our products] would go because they need to sell toys in the winter. So we took the risk of continuing to produce and build our inventory up in China to 300 containers. We took those containers and placed them in basketball courts and football fields we had rented. As soon as our customers’ summer items were gone, they immediately started taking our product, and we were able to grow 20% that year. We hadn’t grown that much in many years.
But again, the CFO, the chief commercial officer, our CEO, and everyone was aligned on how much risk we wanted to take. And it played out well. In our plan, we were supposed to grow 4%, and we ended up growing 20%.
Probably the key pieces were what we did before [the pandemic] to really be prepared and really have a consistent system with enough visibility, and then some smart choices on how to operate. Compared to our peers that produce in China, we were probably the best ones in service and growth.
Q: Did that basis also help you respond to the increase in sales you saw as a result of the Barbie movie?
A: This is incredibly exciting! The Barbie movie has been one of the great events during my career at Mattel. I don’t know if you know, but Mattel was actually the first company that advertised toys on TV. It was during “The Mickey Mouse Club” in the 1950s. That’s what drove the early success of Barbie and Hot Wheels, and the explosion of Mattel as a global company. Now with the Barbie movie, our team and some of the visionaries that we have here really were able to put together a great story with a great director and with great talent.
With this movie, we had two challenges. First, the launch was really tight. Normally we have a lot of time to go see the movie and have the [toy] designers draw their ideas with the movie in place. In this case, we were not able to do that. So our designers and some design developers were on the set. As they were filming the movie, the designers were drawing ideas and creating products. That was completely different from what we did in the past.
We also started with some direct-to-plant development ideas. We took a lot of the product development ideas and sent them to the plant to continue the development process not in the U.S. but in Indonesia. And that really accelerated the development.
Third, we started working around the clock on the production. And once we reached the volume that we were planning to have, we kept producing. This allowed us to hold some of the inventory and then have production capacity later in the year in case demand [exceeded our initial expectations], which actually happened. We were glad that we created some of that inventory early in the year.
Our plants are not completely full the entire year, as we have a very seasonal business. They are completely heavy-loaded from April to September. But they are probably [at] 50% [capacity] the rest of the year. So what we do when we really need to drive volume is we fully pull forward the production. Instead of starting in March or April, when we’re supposed to start, we produce in December, January, February, and that allows us to have some free capacity. Of course, it creates more inventory and more risk. But it allows you to have more of what we call “chasing capacity”—that allows us to really adapt and produce more of what is in demand in the later months of the year. So what we did is we created spare capacity or chasing capacity for that summer, and we’re really happy that we did that. That is the way we actually managed those changes in production. And that’s how we were able to chase the higher-than-expected demand for the movie items.
Q: How did you work with your customers in handling the demand?
A: Our customers were so eager to have the product. We would say, “Well, yeah, I can ship you that. But I will only have [the products] on Sunday, the 7th,” and our customers would say, “Yes! How many trucks do you have?” Or we would say, “We can send it to the store, but people will not get it until June. Is that OK?” And our customers would respond, “Yes. I’ll send a note. Tell me the date; I’ll make it happen.”
The eagerness and the excitement around the movie was great, and our customers were great partners. Our customers have their own schedules; they have a lot of stores and a lot of suppliers they are trying to manage. They have a very hard business to run. I was surprised how flexible, how nice, and how excited they were about the movie. Everyone wanted the product, and everyone wanted the material associated with the movie, and everybody was asking for tickets to the premiere, which were extremely limited!
I would say part of the fun of the story is how flexible our customers were. They were just willing to open their doors and help us drive this on a compressed schedule. Part of the success is not only what we did, it was also that they were extremely helpful. And it was one of the biggest successes that Mattel has had in its history. And now we have a lot of other movies in the pipeline. And that is super exciting!
Businesses engaged in international trade face three major supply chain hurdles as they head into 2025: the disruptions caused by Chinese New Year (CNY), the looming threat of potential tariffs on foreign-made products that could be imposed by the incoming Trump Administration, and the unresolved contract negotiations between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the U.S. Maritime Alliance (USMX), according to an analysis from trucking and logistics provider Averitt.
Each of those factors could lead to significant shipping delays, production slowdowns, and increased costs, Averitt said.
First, Chinese New Year 2025 begins on January 29, prompting factories across China and other regions to shut down for weeks, typically causing production to halt and freight demand to skyrocket. The ripple effects can range from increased shipping costs to extended lead times, disrupting even the most well-planned operations. To prepare for that event, shippers should place orders early, build inventory buffers, secure freight space in advance, diversify shipping modes, and communicate with logistics providers, Averitt said.
Second, new or increased tariffs on foreign-made goods could drive up the cost of imports, disrupt established supply chains, and create uncertainty in the marketplace. In turn, shippers may face freight rate volatility and capacity constraints as businesses rush to stockpile inventory ahead of tariff deadlines. To navigate these challenges, shippers should prepare advance shipments and inventory stockpiling, diversity sourcing, negotiate supplier agreements, explore domestic production, and leverage financial strategies.
Third, unresolved contract negotiations between the ILA and the USMX will come to a head by January 15, when the current contract expires. Labor action or strikes could cause severe disruptions at East and Gulf Coast ports, triggering widespread delays and bottlenecks across the supply chain. To prepare for the worst, shippers should adopt a similar strategy to the other potential January threats: collaborate early, secure freight, diversify supply chains, and monitor policy changes.
According to Averitt, companies can cushion the impact of all three challenges by deploying a seamless, end-to-end solution covering the entire path from customs clearance to final-mile delivery. That strategy can help businesses to store inventory closer to their customers, mitigate delays, and reduce costs associated with supply chain disruptions. And combined with proactive communication and real-time visibility tools, the approach allows companies to maintain control and keep their supply chains resilient in the face of global uncertainties, Averitt said.
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."