Bruised and battered, post-pandemic supply chains look to 3PLs to ease the pain
Persistent inflation, bloated inventories, and shifting supply chain strategies all are conspiring to upend carefully crafted supply chains—and put fresh pressures on 3PLs to deliver solutions.
Gary Frantz is a contributing editor for DC Velocity and its sister publication, Supply Chain Xchange. He is a veteran communications executive with more than 30 years of experience in the transportation and logistics industries. He's served as communications director and strategic media relations counselor for companies including XPO Logistics, Con-way, Menlo Logistics, GT Nexus, Circle International Group, and Consolidated Freightways. Gary is currently principal of GNF Communications LLC, a consultancy providing freelance writing, editorial and media strategy services. He's a proud graduate of the Journalism program at California State University–Chico.
Jeff Jackson, recently promoted to president at Penske Logistics, has spent some 30 years in the trucking and logistics business. He looks back on the past couple of years as having been among the most challenging for the industry as shippers and their third-party logistics service providers (3PLs) navigated the pandemic and all manner of once-in-a-generation issues. Demand cratered, then surged. Ports buckled under record volumes. Freight sat on docks, then inventories bulged as businesses, wary of running out of goods, over-ordered and packed warehouses to the rafters. Truckers fell into a freight recession, some closing their doors. Supply chains broke down, then struggled to keep goods flowing.
Nearly a year after the end of the pandemic, the market continues to evolve due to shifting trade patterns, geopolitical conflicts, and other fundamental challenges. Global sourcing strategies are undergoing dramatic adjustments. Shippers increasingly have focused on minimizing risk in an effort to return their supply chains to some sense of normalcy. At the same time, the costs for virtually every aspect of supply chain operations—from truck rates to warehouse leases to equipment, technology, energy, labor, and even capital for expansion—remain on the rise.
AN EVOLVING MARKET
It’s an evolving market, with new challenges and demands, yet one where today’s 3PLs have to adapt but still provide the basic blocking and tackling of storing goods, then getting them to factories and markets with as much velocity, efficiency, and accuracy as possible. And do it flawlessly.
What are shippers asking for? In many cases, they’re asking how 3PLs can help them “de-risk” their supply chains to ensure business continuity. At the same time, they’re pressing their partners to adjust their networks to better serve shifting sourcing strategies; provide deeper and ever more detailed, precise, and proactive visibility and intelligence into supply chain performance and problems; and squeeze every last dime out of logistics costs.
Some industries still are experiencing supplier disruptions, but those are diminishing, observes Jackson. Managing and mitigating risk and ensuring supply chains are effectively protected from cyberattacks are among the most pressing “asks” from shippers.
“We are asked more and more about what our business continuity plans are, and within that, how we can help shippers de-risk their supply chains,” Jackson notes. There is more bid activity, particularly in transportation, where rates remain depressed. “There is a huge spread between low [price] and value; spot rates are well below carrier costs,” he adds. In some cases, “shippers are sacrificing value for cost.”
The most intense focus, Jackson says, is on cost. “Covid came with extreme cost increases for everyone,” he notes. “Shippers are [now] in a cost-scrutinizing mode with 3PLs, trying to sift through what was really inflationary that needs to be sustained, and what was more of a margin grab opportunity that they now want to claw back.”
ACCELERATING NEARSHORING—AND RESHORING
There is no question that the pandemic and its aftermath shined an intense light on capacity, cycle times, and dependability issues from long, over-water global supply chains. That’s driving more businesses to not just think about shifting production and distribution closer to end-users, but also to actively move in that direction. By one report, more than 300 Chinese-based companies have set up manufacturing and/or distribution operations in Mexico as well as other south-of-the-border locations in the past several years. And the trend is accelerating. Another report cites some 425 companies actively pursuing setting up nearshored operations.
“We are excited about this trend,” says Daryl Knight, chief commercial officer of ProTrans International, an Indianapolis-based 3PL. “We have a significant history and presence in Mexico, and with our experience, we can help our customers enter or expand” as they look to implement nearshoring strategies.
As a 3PL, ProTrans’ goal is essentially “erasing the border” for its customers, providing a service that reduces the complexity of cross-border transportation and does it in a reliable and predictable-cost manner, Knight says.
He also stresses the importance of resiliency, noting that if this post-Covid environment taught us anything, it’s that “customers want a flexible and variable supply chain model” that can adapt quickly. “The ability to adjust and be agile with our supply chain partners enables us to react faster to issues with less disruption in the form of service and cost impacts,” he notes.
Like many 3PLs, ProTrans continues to invest in its TMS (transportation management system) “to ensure we have real-time visibility into not just trucks and trailers moving cross-border, but also the paperwork flow,” Knight says. Documents, electronic or paper, that are properly prepared and correctly address government regulations in a timely manner “are just as important as a reliable truck and driver” to smooth cross-border movement, he explains.
Yet at the end of the day, doing the basics right, day in and day out, is table stakes, says Knight. “Pick up and deliver on time. Tell me where [the shipment] is at any given time. Is there an issue, and if so, what is your plan to solve it?” Supporting effective execution of the basics is increasing demand for quality data, predictive analytics, and solid integration with multiple data sources and platforms.
The third piece, Knight says, is to “be transparent. Tell the shipper what you see about the business, good or bad, and offer insights and knowledge to help customers get better and overcome issues. There are always challenges, but it’s how you work through them, collaborate with partners, and bring solutions to the customer that defines success.”
THE DRIVE TO “ANTI-FRAGILE” SUPPLY CHAINS
“Most 3PLs will tell you that the impact of nearshoring and reshoring has shifted trade flows somewhat, and therefore 3PLs have to access new skills, networks, and services”—the traditional example being the U.S.-Mexico trade lane, says Matthew Beckett, senior director, research and advisory, at consulting firm Gartner Inc. As if to illustrate that, Mexico recently became the U.S.’s largest trading partner, surpassing China for the first time.
Manufacturing certain products closer to the customer “has made good sense for companies to ‘anti-fragile’ their supply chains,” says Beckett. “It’s certainly a trend we suspect will continue into the near future.”
He notes as well that companies are increasingly seeking to de-risk their supply chains, with the intent of putting in processes and partners who can identify and mitigate risk, and when a risk issue arises, have the resources, skills, and plans in place to resolve it quickly before it becomes disruptive.
Another trend Beckett sees gaining traction is companies consolidating services and partners across fewer 3PLs—and stressing more true partnerships. It’s an effort to “sort out the wheat from the chaff,” he notes.
“Does your [3PL] network have the ability to shift modes? Do you have the right contract structure in place, and is your 3PL incented in the right way? Do you have the right mix of services and access to networks? And are those relationships able to seize on opportunities quickly and be agile enough to take advantage of them?” Beckett asks.
Being integrated at multiple levels and across multiple technologies with your 3PL is much more important now than it was in the past, Beckett has observed. “You want your 3PLs to be risk managers and provide you with visibility and transparency into risks across all the modes and nodes of a global supply chain.” It’s something that successful 3PLs “are at the forefront of and need to be really good at. That’s changing the dynamic,” he says.”
“When you are integrating data and processes [from multiple partners and platforms], there is a lot of operational risk. It has to be done exceptionally well. You want your 3PL to be your periscope” into your supply chain.
NO MORE EXTRA STORAGE
The pandemic and the period following it created all kinds of odd issues and behaviors for 3PLs and their customers. As supply chains strive to return to some sense of normalcy, some of those issues still exist but are slowly resolving themselves.
“We have certainly seen a shift,” notes Jeff Beckham, chief executive officer of 3PL Kingsgate Logistics, which has some $500 million of freight under management and is heavily into inbound vendor management for its food and beverage and retail CPG (consumer packaged goods) clients. “Going back during the pandemic, we had clients who had upwards of 50 trailers loaded and sitting in the warehouse yard because the warehouse was full,” he recalls. “We even started looking into buying trailers because there was a shortage and so many were being used for storage.”
Late in 2022 and through 2023, Beckham saw a rightsizing begin to take hold. “Last January, we had a couple of clients in the retail space shut down receiving for a week so they could right-size their inventory,” he recalls. “Now we are seeing a bit more balance.”
One trend that Beckham says seems to have gained traction is companies putting in smaller, yet more frequent, orders for goods. “In the past, a shipment might be 20,000 pounds; now it is down to 8,000 pounds. It’s ordering less but doing so more frequently, which is a different challenge when you’re managing the transportation.”
Beckham echoes the observations of other 3PLs with respect to nearshoring, noting that Kingsgate has relationships with Mexican partners that go back to the company’s founding 37 years ago. “Those [relationships] have been instrumental in helping us proactively address customers’ needs” as they set up or expand cross-border operations.
He too has found shippers clamoring for more and deeper real-time visibility into supply chains. “We have taken it to the next level,” he says. Kingsgate continues to invest in its tech stack and now is able to provide clients with visibility not only around the status of the vehicle and purchase order (PO), but also down to the SKU (stock-keeping unit) level.
“So instead of just knowing what truck it’s on and the PO arrival time, they know sizes, colors, and quantities for each product coming in on that PO. On the retail side, that really helps with warehouse planning and optimized fulfillment into stores.”
He notes as well that particularly in the food and beverage space, where shelf life is a huge consideration, “this level of detail informs planning and scheduling with precise data about what is coming in to a manufacturing site and when. There are so many moving parts, accurate data at very detailed levels is critical to optimizing production planning.”
Lastly, Beckham shares how customers are demanding 3PLs provide not only a much deeper dive into their supply chains, but also sophisticated analytics and data security to complement it. “There is not a meeting I take where the topic does not come up,” he notes. “Eighty percent of the conversations are around data—data integration, quality, security, and analytics. In the past, data security might have been [the subject of] three or four questions in an RFP [request for proposal]. Now there are literally pages of questions.”
TO BUNDLE OR NOT TO BUNDLE?
As shippers look to rationalize their 3PL services, some are looking to break up what were once “bundled” services and instead procure them as discrete, separate services, looking for providers who specialize in a particular service as their core competency. One reason is shippers want to better understand the actual cost of each service and ensure that there hasn’t been what some call “margin creep” in those services.
The trend cuts both ways, notes Steve Sensing, president of supply chain and dedicated transportation solutions at logistics and transportation giant Ryder System Inc.
He believes the bundled approach provides the best value and most efficient method for delivering an integrated solution.
“Our strategy is to be an integrated port-to-door 3PL,” he says. “Seventy percent of our revenues come from customers who use more than one service on the supply chain side.” He notes Ryder’s teams “often know more about our customer’s business than our customers do because we have been in the industry, we have experience with others in the same business, and we know the best practices and processes [unique to that industry].”
He has watched other competitors break apart their integrated offerings and go to market differently, offering a menu of individual services. “And I think that’s good for us,” he adds.
Kingsgate’s Beckham has experienced the other side of the bundle/unbundle equation. “We had two clients where we lost the business two years ago when they decided to bundle everything,” he recalls. “Fast forward to today, those same clients are now unbundling the work, and we are getting back our part of the business, which was managed transportation.”
IS THE SUN SETTING ON THE BROKER?
Trucking is one business where brokers have been able to carve out a niche. Their business model: find a driver and a truck, match it to a load, and take a commission on the transaction or pocket the spread between what the broker is paying for the truck and what it is charging the shipper.
“You can separate logistics providers, in which I include brokers, into three camps: the good, the bad, and the ugly,” comments Satish Jindel, principal at transportation data analytics firm ShipMatrix.
He says it is important for shippers to understand the difference between a broker versus a true 3PL—and know what you’re getting.
“3PLs or brokers who are pure play and just taking a markup on the driver and truck will be of lower value and find it harder and harder to stay in business,” Jindel believes. “Where they have opportunity to be recognized and rewarded for their role in the supply chain is in helping shippers and carriers leverage capacity or empty space on the truck by matching it with different shippers.”
Most trucks running down the highway are not full, Jindel notes. Yet utilizing that capacity will require a sea change in how shippers and carriers work together, particularly when it comes to providing real-time visibility into capacity so that all parties know what is available in each other’s network. For this to happen, “you have to be willing to share that [information] with a competitor,” he says. “That will require an element of trust we don’t have today and technology that gives us visibility down to the lane and trailer level across carriers and locations in real time.”
Even as a last-minute deal today appeared to delay the tariff on Mexico, that deal is set to last only one month, and tariffs on the other two countries are still set to go into effect at midnight tonight.
Once new U.S. tariffs go into effect, those other countries are widely expected to respond with retaliatory tariffs of their own on U.S. exports, that would reduce demand for U.S. and manufacturing goods. In the context of that unpredictable business landscape, many U.S. business groups have been pressuring the White House to pull back from the new policy.
Here is a sampling of the reaction to the tariff plan by the U.S. business community:
American Association of Port Authorities (AAPA)
“Tariffs are taxes,” AAPA President and CEO Cary Davis said in a release. “Though the port industry supports President Trump’s efforts to combat the flow of illicit drugs, tariffs will slow down our supply chains, tax American businesses, and increase costs for hard-working citizens. Instead, we call on the Administration and Congress to thoughtfully pursue alternatives to achieving these policy goals and exempt items critical to national security from tariffs, including port equipment.”
Retail Industry Leaders Association (RILA)
“We understand the president is working toward an agreement. The leaders of all four nations should come together and work to reach a deal before Feb. 4 because enacting broad-based tariffs will be disruptive to the U.S. economy,” Michael Hanson, RILA’s Senior Executive Vice President of Public Affairs, said in a release. “The American people are counting on President Trump to grow the U.S. economy and lower inflation, and broad-based tariffs will put that at risk.”
National Association of Manufacturers (NAM)
“Manufacturers understand the need to deal with any sort of crisis that involves illicit drugs crossing our border, and we hope the three countries can come together quickly to confront this challenge,” NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons said in a release. “However, with essential tax reforms left on the cutting room floor by the last Congress and the Biden administration, manufacturers are already facing mounting cost pressures. A 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico threatens to upend the very supply chains that have made U.S. manufacturing more competitive globally. The ripple effects will be severe, particularly for small and medium-sized manufacturers that lack the flexibility and capital to rapidly find alternative suppliers or absorb skyrocketing energy costs. These businesses—employing millions of American workers—will face significant disruptions. Ultimately, manufacturers will bear the brunt of these tariffs, undermining our ability to sell our products at a competitive price and putting American jobs at risk.”
American Apparel & Footwear Association (AAFA)
“Widespread tariff actions on Mexico, Canada, and China announced this evening will inject massive costs into our inflation-weary economy while exposing us to a damaging tit-for-tat tariff war that will harm key export markets that U.S. farmers and manufacturers need,” Steve Lamar, AAFA’s president and CEO, said in a release. “We should be forging deeper collaboration with our free trade agreement partners, not taking actions that call into question the very foundation of that partnership."
Healthcare Distribution Alliance (HDA)
“We are concerned that placing tariffs on generic drug products produced outside the U.S. will put additional pressure on an industry that is already experiencing financial distress. Distributors and generic manufacturers and cannot absorb the rising costs of broad tariffs. It is worth noting that distributors operate on low profit margins — 0.3 percent. As a result, the U.S. will likely see new and worsened shortages of important medications and the costs will be passed down to payers and patients, including those in the Medicare and Medicaid programs," the group said in a statement.
National Retail Federation (NRF)
“We support the Trump administration’s goal of strengthening trade relationships and creating fair and favorable terms for America,” NRF Executive Vice President of Government Relations David French said in a release. “But imposing steep tariffs on three of our closest trading partners is a serious step. We strongly encourage all parties to continue negotiating to find solutions that will strengthen trade relationships and avoid shifting the costs of shared policy failures onto the backs of American families, workers and small businesses.”
Businesses are scrambling today to insulate their supply chains from the impacts of a trade war being launched by the Trump Administration, which is planning to erect high tariff walls on Tuesday against goods imported from Canada, Mexico, and China.
Tariffs are import taxes paid by American companies and collected by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) Agency as goods produced in certain countries cross borders into the U.S.
In a last-minute deal announced on Monday, leaders of both countries said the tariffs on goods from Mexico will be delayed one month after that country agreed to send troops to the U.S.-Mexico border in an attempt to stem to flow of drugs such as fentanyl from Mexico, according to published reports.
If the deal holds, it could avoid some of the worst impacts of the tariffs on U.S. manufacturers that rely on parts and raw materials imported from Mexico. That blow would be particularly harsh on companies in the automotive and electrical equipment sectors, according to an analysis by S&P Global Ratings.
However, tariff damage is still on track to occur for U.S. companies with tight supply chain connections to Canada, concentrated in commodity-related processing sectors, the firm said. That disruption would increase if those countries responded with retaliatory tariffs of their own, a move that would slow the export of U.S. goods. Such an event would hurt most for American businesses in the agriculture and fishing, metals, and automotive areas, according to the analysis from Satyam Panday, Chief US and Canada Economist, S&P Global Ratings.
To dull the pain of those events, U.S. business interests would likely seek to cushion the declines in output by looking to factors such as exchange rate movements, availability of substitutes, and the willingness of producers to absorb the higher cost associated with tariffs, Panday said.
Weighing the long-term effects of a trade war
The extent to which increased tariffs will warp long-standing supply chain patterns is hard to calculate, since it is largely dependent on how long these tariffs will actually last, according to a statement from Tony Pelli, director of supply chain resilience, BSI Consulting. “The pause [on tariffs with Mexico] will help reduce the impacts on agricultural products in particular, but not necessarily on the automotive industry given the high degree of integration across all three North American countries,” he said.
“Tariffs on Canada or Mexico will disrupt supply chains beyond just finished goods,” Pelli said. “Some products cross the US, Mexico, and Canada borders four to five times, with the greatest impact on the auto and electronics industries. These supply chains have been tightly integrated for around 30 years, and it will be difficult for firms to simply source elsewhere. There are dense supplier networks along the US border with Mexico and Canada (especially Ontario) that you can’t just pick up and move somewhere else, which would likely slow or even stop auto manufacturing in the US for a time.”
If the tariffs on either Canada or Mexico stay in place for an extended period, the effects will soon become clear, said Hamish Woodrow, head of strategic analytics at Motive, a fleet management and operations platform. “Ultimately, the burden of these tariffs will fall on U.S. consumers and retailers. Prices will rise, and businesses will pass along costs as they navigate increased expenses and uncertainty,” Woodrow said.
But in the meantime, companies with international supply chains are quickly making contingency plans for any of the possible outcomes. “The immediate impact of tariffs on trucking, freight, and supply chains will be muted. Goods already en route, shipments six weeks out on the water, and landed inventory will continue to flow, meaning the real disruption will be felt in Q2 as businesses adjust to the new reality,” Woodrow said.
“By the end of the day, companies will be deploying mitigation strategies—many will delay inventory shipments to later in the year, waiting to see if the policy shifts or exemptions are introduced. Those who preloaded inventory will likely adopt a wait-and-see approach, holding off on further adjustments until the market reacts. In the short term, sourcing alternatives are limited, forcing supply chains to pause and reassess long-term investments while monitoring policy developments,” said Woodrow.
Editor's note: This story was revised on February 3 to add input from BSI and Motive.
Businesses dependent on ocean freight are facing shipping delays due to volatile conditions, as the global average trip for ocean shipments climbed to 68 days in the fourth quarter compared to 60 days for that same quarter a year ago, counting time elapsed from initial booking to clearing the gate at the final port, according to E2open.
Those extended transit times and booking delays are the ripple effects of ongoing turmoil at key ports that is being caused by geopolitical tensions, labor shortages, and port congestion, Dallas-based E2open said in its quarterly “Ocean Shipping Index” report.
The most significant contributor to the year-over-year (YoY) increase is actual transit time, alongside extraordinary volatility that has created a complex landscape for businesses dependent on ocean freight, the report found.
"Economic headwinds, geopolitical turbulence and uncertain trade routes are creating unprecedented disruptions within the ocean shipping industry. From continued Red Sea diversions to port congestion and labor unrest, businesses face a complex landscape of obstacles, all while grappling with possibility of new U.S. tariffs," Pawan Joshi, chief strategy officer (CSO) at e2open, said in a release. "We can expect these ongoing issues will be exacerbated by the Lunar New Year holiday, as businesses relying on Asian suppliers often rush to place orders, adding strain to their supply chains.”
Lunar New Year this year runs from January 29 to February 8, and often leads to supply chain disruptions as massive worker travel patterns across Asia leads to closed factories and reduced port capacity.
That changing landscape is forcing companies to adapt or replace their traditional approaches to product design and production. Specifically, many are changing the way they run factories by optimizing supply chains, increasing sustainability, and integrating after-sales services into their business models.
“North American manufacturers have embraced the factory of the future. Working with service providers, many companies are using AI and the cloud to make production systems more efficient and resilient,” Bob Krohn, partner at ISG, said in the “2024 ISG Provider Lens Manufacturing Industry Services and Solutions report for North America.”
To get there, companies in the region are aggressively investing in digital technologies, especially AI and ML, for product design and production, ISG says. Under pressure to bring new products to market faster, manufacturers are using AI-enabled tools for more efficient design and rapid prototyping. And generative AI platforms are already in use at some companies, streamlining product design and engineering.
At the same time, North American manufacturers are seeking to increase both revenue and customer satisfaction by introducing services alongside or instead of traditional products, the report says. That includes implementing business models that may include offering subscription, pay-per-use, and asset-as-a-service options. And they hope to extend product life cycles through an increasing focus on after-sales servicing, repairs. and condition monitoring.
Additional benefits of manufacturers’ increased focus on tech include better handling of cybersecurity threats and data privacy regulations. It also helps build improved resilience to cope with supply chain disruptions by adopting cloud-based supply chain management, advanced analytics, real-time IoT tracking, and AI-enabled optimization.
“The changes of the past several years have spurred manufacturers into action,” Jan Erik Aase, partner and global leader, ISG Provider Lens Research, said in a release. “Digital transformation and a culture of continuous improvement can position them for long-term success.”
Women are significantly underrepresented in the global transport sector workforce, comprising only 12% of transportation and storage workers worldwide as they face hurdles such as unfavorable workplace policies and significant gender gaps in operational, technical and leadership roles, a study from the World Bank Group shows.
This underrepresentation limits diverse perspectives in service design and decision-making, negatively affects businesses and undermines economic growth, according to the report, “Addressing Barriers to Women’s Participation in Transport.” The paper—which covers global trends and provides in-depth analysis of the women’s role in the transport sector in Europe and Central Asia (ECA) and Middle East and North Africa (MENA)—was prepared jointly by the World Bank Group, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), the German Agency for International Cooperation (GIZ), the European Investment Bank (EIB), and the International Transport Forum (ITF).
The slim proportion of women in the sector comes at a cost, since increasing female participation and leadership can drive innovation, enhance team performance, and improve service delivery for diverse users, while boosting GDP and addressing critical labor shortages, researchers said.
To drive solutions, the researchers today unveiled the Women in Transport (WiT) Network, which is designed to bring together transport stakeholders dedicated to empowering women across all facets and levels of the transport sector, and to serve as a forum for networking, recruitment, information exchange, training, and mentorship opportunities for women.
Initially, the WiT network will cover only the Europe and Central Asia and the Middle East and North Africa regions, but it is expected to gradually expand into a global initiative.
“When transport services are inclusive, economies thrive. Yet, as this joint report and our work at the EIB reveal, few transport companies fully leverage policies to better attract, retain and promote women,” Laura Piovesan, the European Investment Bank (EIB)’s Director General of the Projects Directorate, said in a release. “The Women in Transport Network enables us to unite efforts and scale impactful solutions - benefiting women, employers, communities and the climate.”