Robotics Roundtable: An inside look at a fast-changing industry
Where does the robotics industry stand today? What operations are easiest to automate? How does the move to automation affect staffing and worker training? And, perhaps most importantly, what will DCs look like 10 years from now? To get some answers, we asked experts from several leading robotics companies. Here’s what they had to say.
David Maloney has been a journalist for more than 35 years and is currently the group editorial director for DC Velocity and Supply Chain Quarterly magazines. In this role, he is responsible for the editorial content of both brands of Agile Business Media. Dave joined DC Velocity in April of 2004. Prior to that, he was a senior editor for Modern Materials Handling magazine. Dave also has extensive experience as a broadcast journalist. Before writing for supply chain publications, he was a journalist, television producer and director in Pittsburgh. Dave combines a background of reporting on logistics with his video production experience to bring new opportunities to DC Velocity readers, including web videos highlighting top distribution and logistics facilities, webcasts and other cross-media projects. He continues to live and work in the Pittsburgh area.
Q: What is the current state of the robotics industry?
Kevin Reader – Knapp: There is considerable growth projected for the robotics industry—17.64% globally, from $114.7B annually in 2023 to a projected $258.3B in 2028. The largest market is the Asian Pacific market, and the fastest growing market is the North American market. The International Federation of Robotics reported that the demand for robots was primarily fueled by investments in new car production facilities and the modernization of industrial facilities.
More appropriate, perhaps, is the question “What is a robot?” since the term has been overused by venture capital companies and marketing departments, and has come to represent an array of technologies, from goods-to-person to AMR [autonomous mobile robot]-type devices, that are more specialized and more appropriately termed “transport application devices.”
Brian Pulfer – Vargo: The robotics industry still seems to be in growth mode, and I believe that growth is on two fronts. First, the number of deployments of robotics projects is continually increasing within the distribution and warehousing vertical. Second, the R&D [research and development] work for new types of robotic solutions is leading to the introduction of options for many different facets of operations. There are a few robotics offerings that have become mature and trusted deployments such as AMRs, while there are other offerings that are still developing, depending on the application of the technology.
Thomas Meyer-Jander – Movu: While some areas of the logistics industry are in a phase of consolidation, we continue to see strong demand for robotics solutions. This is confirmed by current market research, which predicts annual growth of almost 20%. The demand for robotic solutions, especially for easier, scalable, and flexible plug-and-play solutions, was one of the reasons why the Stow Group launched the new brand “Movu Robotics” worldwide in September.
Q: How has the recent slowing in warehouse investments affected new automation projects?
Steven Hogg – Bastian: We are seeing that fixed warehouse automation solutions are slowing as retailers and manufacturers grapple with capital expenditure limitations. This has led to a growing appetite for scalable technologies like mobile automation, which come in at a price point under $20 million. These offer swift deployment and a rapid return on investment.
Thomas Meyer-Jander – Movu: Our experience has shown that the economic downturn has had no immediate impact on current robotics tenders or projects. In individual cases, the decision-making process on the part of the customer is delayed and more concrete TCO [total cost of ownership] calculations are made.
Brian Pulfer – Vargo: There has definitely been a recent impact on the industry from an economic standpoint, but I believe that there is still an appetite for robotics due to the labor situation in certain areas of the warehouse and in certain regions of the country.
Kevin Reader – Knapp: Not much. Unemployment is still at record lows, and labor availability continues to be a strong decision driver. Investment in new technology is still driven by the same CAPEX [capital expenditure] rules that have applied for decades, except that if companies can’t meet growth and shipment goals, they tend to automate more quickly and at a more aggressive pace than in the past.
Q: For companies just beginning their automation journey, what are the easiest operations to automate?
Steven Hogg – Bastian: The easiest operations to automate are the monotonous, hard-to-staff processes that don’t require dynamic decision-making. By employing automation, companies can reassign employees to more challenging tasks, improving employee safety and job satisfaction. Automating these operations improves the bottom line in obvious ways, like reducing production costs, but also in less-apparent ways, such as reducing the time and resources spent onboarding new and seasonal employees.
Kevin Reader – Knapp: The easiest operations to automate are those that include manufacturing and repetitive tasks. Second are those that include labor-intensive tasks. If we are talking about robotics that must address the “tasks of the hands,” these are more difficult to automate, and there are few examples of these projects being executed well.
Thomas Meyer-Jander – Movu: When considering robotics applications for warehouses, it's important to start with a thorough assessment of specific needs, the project’s budget, and the complexity of the tasks that are being considered for automation. Customers who want to enter into automation often require standardized solutions with short installation times and seamless integration into existing systems. According to our experiences, AMR solutions for picking and shuttle systems for bins or pallets are particularly suitable for operations seeking an easy entry with a manageable level of resources.
Brian Pulfer – Vargo: When considering all the silos of activity within the warehouse, I believe the easiest area to attack is the transitory elements. The distance traveled and overall steps of a warehouse associate are very significant when considering productivity. The ability to reduce this element has a large impact from a budgetary standpoint for any operation.
Q: Does a move to automation change the level of skills needed for workers who must interact with the new systems?
Brian Pulfer – Vargo: I do not believe that it has a significant impact on the skills needed. When many of these technologies are being considered, you hear the term “cobot” or “helper” being utilized as these systems really provide assistance to the current associates. Most warehouse associates over the last 10 to 20 years have become very familiar dealing with conveyors, RF (radio-frequency) devices, tablets, etc., and a lot of these robotic solutions are utilizing similar applications—and in many cases, are even simplifying the interaction between the associate and the system. In today’s world, almost everyone is comfortable with most of these technologies in their personal lives, which translates to the warehouse.
Thomas Meyer-Jander – Movu: Of course, the introduction of automation technologies expands the range of tasks for the workers. It is then less about directly carrying out the picking or storage process than about controlling and monitoring the automation—in some ways, a collaboration between man and machine. In particular, the physical strain on the worker is reduced, which improves working conditions and reduces the susceptibility to errors. The ergonomic factor at the workplace also plays an important role in automation.
Kevin Reader – Knapp: There are considerable and new skills required of those who must maintain this new robotic technology. If you consider that 85% of software is dedicated to error handling and diagnostics, partnering with an experienced supplier also becomes a critical factor. You also cannot look at a robot as a standalone application, as it touches many upstream and downstream applications.
Steven Hogg – Bastian: Currently, one of the primary hurdles companies encounter is recruiting and retaining skilled employees. Over the past few years, there has been a 15% uptick in the number of organizations dedicating resources to upskilling and reskilling initiatives. Among these, 41% are prioritizing efforts to equip their workforce for the emerging-tech-driven roles in the supply chain sector.
Q: How are artificial intelligence and machine learning impacting robotics design and operations?
Thomas Meyer-Jander – Movu: Artificial intelligence (AI) is having a significant impact on the future of warehouse logistics by revolutionizing how operations are managed and optimized. There are several ways in which AI is influencing and shaping the future of warehouse logistics—for example, optimized inventory management, smart predictive maintenance, route optimization, picking and packing optimization, and quality control. Overall, AI is transforming warehouse logistics by increasing efficiency, reducing costs, improving accuracy, and enhancing the customer experience.
As AI technologies continue to advance, we can expect even greater innovations and improvements in the management and automation of warehouse operations, making them more adaptable and responsive to the evolving demands of the supply chain.
Steven Hogg – Bastian: Artificial intelligence allows for greater autonomy in the operation and improves the robot’s recognition and adaptability, which allows for a wider range of products to be handled by automation. This flexibility is critical for a system design that requires a vision system to handle thousands of SKUs (stock-keeping units) in an e-commerce setting or in distribution centers.
Kevin Reader – Knapp: Particularly with the “tasks of the hands,” artificial intelligence has a major impact on the success of robotic applications and is especially important when considering the success of a prototype or test application.
Brian Pulfer – Vargo: It is becoming more and more of a part of the process. There have been continuous advancements on multiple fronts—like product recognition and then how the machine reacts—that are reducing the need for human intervention, which is streamlining the process and boosting overall efficiency.
Q: How does staff training need to be adjusted for associates who will work with today’s robotic systems?
Steven Hogg – Bastian: An often-overlooked factor that significantly impacts a new automated system’s success is employee acceptance and utilization. In staff training sessions, it’s crucial to explain how automation will benefit employees and share plans for repurposed roles. Opening lines of communication with operators enables them to provide feedback on workflows, leading to improved utilization and ROI [return on investment].
Thomas Meyer-Jander – Movu: Despite automation technology, employees remain a company’s most important asset. As innovation continues, employees need regular training to keep up. Training staff to apply innovations and new technologies is a strategic investment that can result in improved efficiency, competitiveness, employee satisfaction, and overall business success. It enables successful companies to harness the full potential of technological advancements and adapt to the ever-changing business landscape.
Brian Pulfer – Vargo: I do not believe that it needs to be adjusted significantly, but what we are seeing more and more is the use of technology in training, which is a significant development. The use of interactive software, virtual reality, etc., in training is helping associates become comfortable with the technology before they ever hit the warehouse floor and start to engage with the robotic solution.
Q: With more automation being implemented every year, what will distribution centers look like 10 years from now?
Thomas Meyer-Jander – Movu: The distribution center will likely undergo further significant transformations over the next 10 years driven by advancements in technology, automation, and evolving supply chain demands. Automation will play a central role, with a wide range of tasks being performed by robots, autonomous vehicles, and other automated systems. Robots, both large and small, will collaborate with human workers in a more integrated manner. Collaborative robots will work alongside humans, enhancing efficiency and safety. Artificial intelligence and machine learning will be used extensively to optimize warehouse operations, and AI algorithms will manage inventory. Autonomous vehicles will move goods within the warehouse, and drones will probably be used for aerial inventory scans and monitoring. Sustainable practices will be a priority. In addition, some warehouses may incorporate 3D printing capabilities to produce spare parts on-site.
Kevin Reader – Knapp: Applications will be simplified, and there will be fewer applications to deal with. Software will take on a more important role, vis-à-vis flexibility, the ability to change, overall operations, and the results that can be achieved. There will also be a proliferation of AI tools to manage operations and resources.
Brian Pulfer – Vargo: That is a very interesting question, and I wish I had a crystal ball, but obviously no one does. In my opinion, there are opportunities for continued advancements, and those are being pursued by many organizations. I know that our Vargo team is continuing to pursue implementing environments that utilize any and all robotic opportunities to streamline each solution that we evaluate, and I think that we will see robotics and automation applied to solutions that will result in significant growth from a productivity and efficiency standpoint.
Steven Hogg – Bastian: With the advances in AI, machine learning, and vision systems, additional opportunities for robotic automation in distribution centers continue to evolve. These technological advances will drive continued growth in DCs, with most of the core material handling operations managed by robotic automation.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.