Intermodal struggles continue as congestion, capacity, supply chain disruptions persist
Rail intermodal operators, already challenged on numerous fronts, have little ability to flex up as peak season rolls on. Shippers are wise to make contingency plans to avoid further supply chain pain.
Gary Frantz is a contributing editor for DC Velocity and its sister publication CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly, and a veteran communications executive with more than 30 years of experience in the transportation and logistics industries. He's served as communications director and strategic media relations counselor for companies including XPO Logistics, Con-way, Menlo Logistics, GT Nexus, Circle International Group, and Consolidated Freightways. Gary is currently principal of GNF Communications LLC, a consultancy providing freelance writing, editorial and media strategy services. He's a proud graduate of the Journalism program at California State University–Chico.
The far-flung intermodal operations of the nation’s Class 1 railroads continue to deal with a host of challenges as shippers look to get peak season cargoes moved without delay and available in stores for the annual holiday sales push.
Those challenges reflect persistent issues that rail service providers, drayage firms, shippers both import and export, and warehouse operators have been dealing with since the onset of Covid. Containers are piling up at seaports and inland port intermodal (IPI) facilities (off port or inland rail depots where containers are staged and loaded on stack trains). Intermodal rail capacity remains stubbornly problematic. Train departures are delayed or canceled as the rail lines continue to recover from staffing shortages, a residual effect of Covid-driven furloughs and layoffs. On-time arrival of dispatched trains is mired in the mid-70% range.
Then there is the impact of warehouses already filled to the rafters with aging inventory that still needs to be moved to stores. That landside capacity crunch means fresh inbound goods have no place to go. As a result, incoming containers are left on rail ramps for extended periods of time, exacerbating congestion issues at the ramps. Those that do move off ramps often are being parked at warehouses, unable to immediately be unloaded. That creates yet another capacity issue, as chassis are then delayed being returned to ports and inland rail ramps.
All this foreshadows a challenging run to the end of the year for intermodal rail providers, drayage truckers, and shippers.
TURNING THE FAUCET OFF, THEN ON
Larry Gross, who has followed the industry for several decades and publishes the monthly "Intermodal in Depth" report, points to a couple of factors that have influenced—and continue to influence—intermodal service and capacity. “Ocean carriers late last year and early this year basically turned off the IPI faucet, because they wanted to corral their [containers] close to the port and shoot them back to Asia as fast as possible,” he said. “They were short of equipment in Asia, and rates were insane coming east. They didn’t want containers spending a lot of time running around the U.S. when [containers] could be back in Shanghai getting another high-profit load,” he noted.
Then they opened the spigots, sending a surge of freight into inland intermodal systems, “which just cannot deal with the speed and magnitude of the changes,” he explained. “Volume went up like an escalator. There are chassis shortages in many lanes, the surge has eaten up all the chassis [capacity], and warehouses are [already] full with the wrong inventory.” All of which led to what seem to be intractable bottlenecks.
While capacity remains tight, Gross believes demand is beginning to slacken, which may provide some relief through the end of the year.
At the same time, the rails are making progress reducing congestion, adding crews, and improving on-time dispatches. But Gross isn’t convinced the pain is behind us. “My expectation for peak season is very muted,” he notes. “We’re already running as fast as we can.” The ability of rails to “flex up” is very limited, particularly as many shippers have advanced or “up-streamed” orders early in an effort to get goods into stores in time for seasonal sales. As a result, for intermodal networks, “when everyone is doing the same thing, it creates a big problem.”
DISJOINTED SUPPLY CHAINS DISRUPTING—AGAIN
“Everyone is acutely aware of supply chain challenges; our service has been impacted as well,” notes Pat Linden, assistant vice president, intermodal marketing for the Union Pacific railroad. “We have taken some actions in terms of metering [restricting] inbound freight as a few inbound ramps are congested with stacked containers.” He emphasizes that “fluidity” and throughput at intermodal ramps depends as well on how promptly shippers pick up their containers. He points out that shippers control “the first or last mile, so we need improvement from our customers to process those loads and get them off the inbound ramps.”
Nevertheless, Linden says that “we at the UP are accountable to our customers for our service, [which] certainly has not been where we want it to be. We need to increase velocity and deliver better performance, and that’s on us.”
Balance is critical to an intermodal network, which Linden says the railroad works constantly to manage, taking steps operationally and commercially to adjust and improve. Crew availability has been an issue—“and we have been very public about the challenges we have faced with crews,” Linden says—but he emphasizes that progress is being made. “Crew availability [in September] is the best it has been since the end of the first quarter.” The UP has graduated nearly 600 train, engine, and yard service employees through July and has another 100-plus member class soon to graduate. “We are on pace to meet our hiring target of 1,400 crew members by the end of the year.”
Linden says the UP has the resources necessary to support the demand it has currently. He notes as well that the railroad is spending some $600 million over the next several years on capacity and commercial facilities, including expansions at existing facilities to increase parking and lift capacity, fund technology initiatives, and “deliver a best-in-class driver experience.” The market is at about the halfway point through the traditional peak season, Linden said in early September. How big of a peak the industry will see remains up for debate, as a cooling economy and rising interest rates and inflation begin to put a damper on consumer spending and industrial output.
Regardless of the market, the UP is plowing ahead with initiatives to improve network fluidity, reduce congestion, and improve overall service performance. “We know that intermodal is a service-sensitive product,” Linden says. “When we don’t perform, that impedes our opportunity to fully capture what is available to us. Our bias is for growth, and we are going to make sure we have the resources and train plans in place to be competitive in the market.”
LOOKING FOR CAPACITY WHEREVER IT EXISTS
Tom Williams, group vice president for consumer products at the Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railway, says the BNSF has been experiencing capacity issues at both East and West Coast gateways and all inland terminals, driven by “crowded warehouses and labor shortages across the supply chain.” The West Coast, which provides the most direct route into the U.S. from Asia, is processing a record number of containers. With congestion apparent across all gateways, “BCOs [beneficial cargo owners] are looking for capacity wherever it exists,” he says.
The BNSF in September instituted metering for international intermodal traffic at its Logistics Park Alliance and Logistics Park Chicago depots to help reduce the high number of ground-stacked containers. Williams says that street turn times for chassis are again spiking, which is “depleting the assets that are needed to unload trains at our facilities.” Those longer chassis turn times are a big factor behind the metering of containers at ports awaiting a train.
Williams stresses that the railroad has been actively managing its network to increase fluidity and reduce congestion. “Managing the active car inventory is an impactful action in the short term to improve fluidity and restore service consistency,” he notes. Those actions include “selective metering of inbound volumes to address high container dwell and chassis unavailability.”
In one effort to alleviate the situation, the BNSF has been working with ship lines and customers to shuttle containers away from ports and IPI yards, stacking them at offsite container yards, which, Williams says, “allows us to move longer-dwelling units away from the production area and off much-needed chassis, ultimately increasing unloading potential and container availability for customers.”
The BNSF also has established a weekend dray-off program (to move containers from rail ramps to offsite yards) using new stacked container yards at its Logistics Park Chicago facility; added new stacking cranes at its Logistics Park Alliance site, which enables faster movement of stacked containers at the 3,000-unit capacity site; and implemented a long-dwelling unit dray-off program in Kansas City.
All the initiatives are part of what Williams calls the BNSF’s “aggressive service recovery plan.” He says the plan has since early July reduced by 50% the number of trains being held or delayed at origin, decreased traffic backlogs, and improved overall network fluidity and velocity.
Williams also cited several BNSF initiatives to unlock more capacity. One is the development of a new rail hub at Washington’s Port of Tacoma in collaboration with the Northwest Seaport Alliance. The new Tacoma South facility will accommodate more than 50,000 annual container lifts. That complements the BNSF’s current facility at Tukwila serving the Seattle harbor. Another is an initiative with freight transportation giant J.B. Hunt, which earlier this year announced plans to grow its intermodal fleet by as many as 150,000 containers. In support of that, the BNSF is investing to increase capability at major intermodal hubs in Southern California, Chicago, Tacoma, and other key terminals to increase efficiency.
The railroad also has been making progress overcoming hiring and retention challenges. To date through early September, the BNSF had achieved 60% of its hiring plan for 2022, which calls for hiring 1,800 train, yard, and engine personnel as well as some 1,200 workers in its engineering, mechanical, and dispatch groups.
At the end of the day, all these activities still come back to one overriding issue, Williams notes. “First and foremost, we need to restore our service to a level our customers expect from us,” he says. “We are confident in our recovery plan, and as service returns, so will volume.”
President-elect Donald Trump today picked Sean Duffy as his nomination to lead the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) for the next four years, choosing a former Republican U.S. Rep. for Wisconsin and current Fox News television host, according to published reports.
Duffy served in the U.S. House for nearly nine years after he found fame as a reality TV show cast member on a spinoff show from the MTV hit series “The Real World” and then as district attorney for a county in Wisconsin. As he named his choice for the potential cabinet slot, Trump noted that Duffy also met his wife on that television series, marrying a fellow actor who also went on to become a Fox News TV personality.
If Duffy earns confirmation by the U.S. Senate, he would become the second Fox News media employee after potential Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth. Duffy would replace current DOT Secretary Pete Buttigieg, a Biden Administration pick who succeeded former Trump Administration choice Elaine Chao, who resigned in the wake of the deadly January 6 riots following Trump’s election loss in 2020.
Following news of the nomination, trucking industry group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) urged Duffy to concentrate on a handful of specific issues. “OOIDA and the 150,000 small business truckers we represent congratulate Representative Sean Duffy on his nomination as Secretary of Transportation,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement. “We look forward to working with him in advancing the priorities of small business truckers across America, including expanding truck parking, fighting freight fraud, and rolling back unnecessary regulations. We encourage a swift confirmation in the Senate and look forward to working with the new administration.”
Likewise, the current Ranking Member of the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, Rick Larsen (D-WA), said he hoped to work with Duffy to pass a bipartisan surface transportation bill in the next term.
“This Congress, the T&I Committee has advanced major bipartisan legislation to keep people and the economy moving, including the FAA Reauthorization Act, the Water Resources Development Act, and the Coast Guard Authorization Act,” Larsen said in an email. “Next Congress, I look forward to working with my T&I colleagues to build on this bipartisan work by passing a surface transportation bill—which Congress has consistently done for the past 25 years—that will create good-paying jobs and build a cleaner, greener, safer and more accessible transportation system across the country. Transportation policy has a long bipartisan history, and I look forward to continuing to maintain the tradition under Former Representative Sean Duffy’s leadership and working together to pass the next surface transportation authorization, creating more jobs, if he is confirmed as Secretary of the U.S. Department of Transportation.”
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
Supply chains are poised for accelerated adoption of mobile robots and drones as those technologies mature and companies focus on implementing artificial intelligence (AI) and automation across their logistics operations.
That’s according to data from Gartner’s Hype Cycle for Mobile Robots and Drones, released this week. The report shows that several mobile robotics technologies will mature over the next two to five years, and also identifies breakthrough and rising technologies set to have an impact further out.
Gartner’s Hype Cycle is a graphical depiction of a common pattern that arises with each new technology or innovation through five phases of maturity and adoption. Chief supply chain officers can use the research to find robotic solutions that meet their needs, according to Gartner.
Gartner, Inc.
The mobile robotic technologies set to mature over the next two to five years are: collaborative in-aisle picking robots, light-cargo delivery robots, autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) for transport, mobile robotic goods-to-person systems, and robotic cube storage systems.
“As organizations look to further improve logistic operations, support automation and augment humans in various jobs, supply chain leaders have turned to mobile robots to support their strategy,” Dwight Klappich, VP analyst and Gartner fellow with the Gartner Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the findings. “Mobile robots are continuing to evolve, becoming more powerful and practical, thus paving the way for continued technology innovation.”
Technologies that are on the rise include autonomous data collection and inspection technologies, which are expected to deliver benefits over the next five to 10 years. These include solutions like indoor-flying drones, which utilize AI-enabled vision or RFID to help with time-consuming inventory management, inspection, and surveillance tasks. The technology can also alleviate safety concerns that arise in warehouses, such as workers counting inventory in hard-to-reach places.
“Automating labor-intensive tasks can provide notable benefits,” Klappich said. “With AI capabilities increasingly embedded in mobile robots and drones, the potential to function unaided and adapt to environments will make it possible to support a growing number of use cases.”
Humanoid robots—which resemble the human body in shape—are among the technologies in the breakthrough stage, meaning that they are expected to have a transformational effect on supply chains, but their mainstream adoption could take 10 years or more.
“For supply chains with high-volume and predictable processes, humanoid robots have the potential to enhance or supplement the supply chain workforce,” Klappich also said. “However, while the pace of innovation is encouraging, the industry is years away from general-purpose humanoid robots being used in more complex retail and industrial environments.”
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.