Will last-mile providers survive a record peak season?
This year’s peak season is proving to be one of unprecedented challenges for providers of “big and bulky” last-mile delivery services, who are struggling with capacity issues amid soaring demand. What’s the outlook?
Gary Frantz is a contributing editor for DC Velocity and its sister publication, Supply Chain Xchange. He is a veteran communications executive with more than 30 years of experience in the transportation and logistics industries. He's served as communications director and strategic media relations counselor for companies including XPO Logistics, Con-way, Menlo Logistics, GT Nexus, Circle International Group, and Consolidated Freightways. Gary is currently principal of GNF Communications LLC, a consultancy providing freelance writing, editorial and media strategy services. He's a proud graduate of the Journalism program at California State University–Chico.
One of the surprising developments from the pandemic was how quickly consumers took to online shopping for all manner of goods and services. Sheltering and working at home, unable to go to their favorite store to touch and feel the merchandise, their reluctance to buy online evaporated. That trend was particularly notable among the baby boomer generation. Once they became comfortable with the experience, the idea of having that order delivered to the home in the next day or two became not just acceptable but expected—for just about anything.
The result was an explosion in last-mile deliveries to the home. And not only of small parcels and packages. It also fueled a surge in the so-called large-format “big and bulky” items that required not just basic dropoff, but also “over-the-threshold white-glove” delivery services in the consumer’s home that included assembly and installation—for items like furniture; appliances and mattresses; desks, chairs, and computers for newly organized home offices; and exercise equipment.
It’s a segment of the transportation industry that some believe has the most compelling prospects for growth. “The market will continue to have a need for big and bulky deliveries; it will be a growth area,” notes Satish Jindel, president of transportation data analytics firm ShipMatrix, “particularly as consumers are more and more comfortable ordering online and the conversion [to e-commerce from brick-and-mortar retail] continues to take place.”
One industry estimate of the heavy-goods delivery market calls it a $13 billion business currently, with 33% of that revenue from orders placed online. Several years down the road, researchers project that number will grow to $16 billion, with 38% of that revenue from online sales.
SPEED BUMPS AHEAD
The surge in demand has retailers, e-tailers, and their last-mile providers scrambling across many fronts. As the 2021 peak season begins to hit its December stride, challenges with capacity, product availability, and delays due to supply chain bottlenecks and port congestion all are conspiring to make this holiday season one where consumers are more likely to see coal in their stockings than presents under the tree.
“The market for capacity is definitely tight, and we’ve experienced increased carrier costs like the rest of the industry,” notes Erik Caldwell, president of last mile for transport and logistics giant XPO. “With supply chains strained everywhere, we are working more closely with our customers than ever before. We’re forecasting together, planning together, and working with them to be as open and transparent on timing for them and the end-consumer.” XPO operates North America’s largest network for big and bulky last-mile deliveries. It has 85 locations, some 1,800 carriers, and access to about 4,400 trucks. For the 12 months ending Sept. 30, XPO’s last-mile operation made over 11 million deliveries for customers such as Ikea and Peloton.
Likewise, Jeff Abeson, vice president of Ryder Last Mile, notes that his company is “not immune to what is going on” in the industry. “Most certainly, the sheer amount of volume is creating some challenges,” he says. A shortage of delivery contractors also is requiring more creativity in recruiting and retention. “It is a competitive market, and we have to be very attractive to get them to come in and support our business,” he notes.
Nevertheless, Abeson believes that the large-format home-delivery market continues to present opportunities and will only continue to grow, given how consumers have embraced online buying and won’t be going back. With more than 100 locations, the Ryder Last Mile network can cover 95% of the U.S., including Puerto Rico and Hawaii, within a two-day time frame.
Abeson believes players who have the network resources, expertise, and technology to ensure consistent, efficient deliveries and a superior customer experience will thrive. “The interesting part, and maybe a touch ironic, [is that] making deliveries that cross the threshold into the home has actually become a little easier [during the pandemic],” he says. That’s largely a result of the Covid-driven shift to remote work, he explains, noting that because consumers are working from home more often, “they are more available to take deliveries.” As a result, “our scheduling has actually become more efficient,” he says.
A recurring challenge in today’s stressed supply chains: getting all the pieces of an order together for final delivery, Abeson notes. A dining room table comes into the warehouse on Tuesday. Two chairs arrive on Thursday. The other four chairs don’t arrive until Monday. “So, we have [a partial order] sitting in the warehouse that we can’t deliver, and we don’t want to [make a delivery] twice,” which requires extra allocation of space and labor—and detracts from the overall consumer experience.
IT’S ALL IN THE RELATIONSHIPS
Like the other carrier executives interviewed for this story, Todd Soiefer, executive vice president of corporate development at Pilot Freight Services, acknowledges the difficulties presented by rising volumes, but he says he’s confident his company is up to the challenge. Soiefer leads Pilot’s last-mile service team. As the second-largest white-glove home delivery company in the market, Pilot Last Mile dispatches some 1,200 teams per day nationwide. Its network includes 65 company stations with Pilot-branded equipment and employees, as well as other Pilot-managed crews operating from some 100 customer locations.
Soiefer says Pilot has ample capacity to handle surging peak season shipping. “We can flex up our fleet with our carriers” and quickly deploy added capacity to meet peak demand, he notes.
“We have very long-standing relationships with our carrier base and are in all the major metro areas,” he adds. For last-mile trucking providers, the advantage to working with a large organization like Pilot, says Soiefer, is “access to multiple customers to keep the crews working.”
He also cites the importance of “treating people right,” referring to the truck drivers his company depends on. “We treat everyone like it is a family company,” he says. That includes not only offering competitive compensation, Soiefer notes, but also doing what he calls “the little things.” “When [the driver] shows up for a load, it’s ready. They don’t have to wait,” their route is organized, orders staged, and appointments for the day scheduled and confirmed. “We communicate extensively and try to make sure [negative] things don’t happen.”
And while he says it’s an “arm’s length relationship” with the company’s contract carriers, Pilot strives to build loyalty by helping small operators build their business. “We find some of these companies when they are small; they put a few trucks with us, they are able to grow to 15–20 trucks, and that generates loyalty leading to long-term relationships,” Soiefer says. He adds that Pilot doesn’t stand in the way of delivery providers working for other clients. “If they want to run five trucks with us and some with others, that’s fine,” he says.
TECHNOLOGY DRIVES MARKET CHANGE
At the same time it’s coping with record demand, the last-mile delivery market is undergoing a digital transformation—one driven largely by the emergence and adoption of powerful mobile-based technology for scheduling, routing, optimization, and engaging directly with the customer.
“In my 20 years of experience in last mile, [technology] is the part of the business that has changed the most,” says XPO’s Caldwell. “It amazes me how quiet the sites are without all the telephone scheduling and constant chatter on handheld radios for dispatch updates.”
He sees the industry quickly moving away from phone calls, with voicemail a relic of the past. “Everything is communicated to the end-customer via text or email,” from scheduling appointments to delivery updates, he notes. GPS tracking provides real-time information that “can alert customers when the delivery is 30 minutes away,” he adds. “Calls from customers about deliveries are down about 20% from the past year, which indicates our process is becoming more efficient,” Caldwell says.
And while large operators like XPO, Pilot, and Ryder offer comprehensive technology solutions used by many last-mile delivery contractors, those systems typically are built to support delivery orders within that company’s ecosystem. That’s left many final-mile white glove carriers, most of whom work with multiple shippers, retailers, and other distribution and logistics providers (and by extension, their various systems), standing on the sidelines of the digital revolution, says Krishna Vattipalli, founder and CEO of software developer Imaginnovate. What the market has lacked until now, he says, is a single system designed to help these carriers manage their business and seamlessly exchange information.
To fill that gap, Imaginnovate earlier this year launched Fleet Enable, a cloud-hosted mobile-app–focused suite of software tools that Vattipalli calls “the first software solution designed expressly for the operating needs of big and bulky white-glove delivery providers.” Offered on a subscription basis, Fleet Enable streamlines the full scope of a last-mile carrier’s planning, operating, and financial administration workflows andenables it to connect—through EDI (electronic data interchange) feeds, APIs (application programming interfaces), and other means—to the multiple third-party service providers and retailers for which it’s taking orders and making across-the-threshold deliveries. Vattipalli believes the addressable market is the more than 10,000 carriers who do last-mile white-glove deliveries, 80% of which are independent contractors with fleets of 50 to100 trucks and delivery teams.
Fleet Enable already has a supporter in Lorri Fairchild, vice president at Leigh-David Logistics, which specializes in complex white-glove deliveries. “This software will create efficiencies for our team in receiving, scheduling, load optimization, customer updates, accounting functions, and more. It is everything we had spent years looking for,” she says.
“ALL THE TRUCKS ARE FULL”
As peak season surges on, carriers who find themselves running short on capacity have limited options. “Right now, you have to think about how to maximize capacity use with what you have because you can’t add capacity. All the trucks are full,” says ShipMatrix’s Jindel. “There are no vans to lease. Trucks are not being produced.” And congestion among ports, rails, and truckers is throwing a wrench into everything, “It’s ruined [shippers’ and carriers’] ability to plan and forecast what they will get and when.”
Yet for those who are prepared, opportunity often presents itself out of seeming chaos. “We live for peak season. We spend all year planning for it,” says XPO’s Caldwell. “This is what we do—deliver Christmas.”
Congestion on U.S. highways is costing the trucking industry big, according to research from the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI), released today.
The group found that traffic congestion on U.S. highways added $108.8 billion in costs to the trucking industry in 2022, a record high. The information comes from ATRI’s Cost of Congestion study, which is part of the organization’s ongoing highway performance measurement research.
Total hours of congestion fell slightly compared to 2021 due to softening freight market conditions, but the cost of operating a truck increased at a much higher rate, according to the research. As a result, the overall cost of congestion increased by 15% year-over-year—a level equivalent to more than 430,000 commercial truck drivers sitting idle for one work year and an average cost of $7,588 for every registered combination truck.
The analysis also identified metropolitan delays and related impacts, showing that the top 10 most-congested states each experienced added costs of more than $8 billion. That list was led by Texas, at $9.17 billion in added costs; California, at $8.77 billion; and Florida, $8.44 billion. Rounding out the top 10 list were New York, Georgia, New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and Tennessee. Combined, the top 10 states account for more than half of the trucking industry’s congestion costs nationwide—52%, according to the research.
The metro areas with the highest congestion costs include New York City, $6.68 billion; Miami, $3.2 billion; and Chicago, $3.14 billion.
ATRI’s analysis also found that the trucking industry wasted more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel fuel in 2022 due to congestion, resulting in additional fuel costs of $32.1 billion.
ATRI used a combination of data sources, including its truck GPS database and Operational Costs study benchmarks, to calculate the impacts of trucking delays on major U.S. roadways.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
A Canadian startup that provides AI-powered logistics solutions has gained $5.5 million in seed funding to support its concept of creating a digital platform for global trade, according to Toronto-based Starboard.
The round was led by Eclipse, with participation from previous backers Garuda Ventures and Everywhere Ventures. The firm says it will use its new backing to expand its engineering team in Toronto and accelerate its AI-driven product development to simplify supply chain complexities.
According to Starboard, the logistics industry is under immense pressure to adapt to the growing complexity of global trade, which has hit recent hurdles such as the strike at U.S. east and gulf coast ports. That situation calls for innovative solutions to streamline operations and reduce costs for operators.
As a potential solution, Starboard offers its flagship product, which it defines as an AI-based transportation management system (TMS) and rate management system that helps mid-sized freight forwarders operate more efficiently and win more business. More broadly, Starboard says it is building the virtual infrastructure for global trade, allowing freight companies to leverage AI and machine learning to optimize operations such as processing shipments in real time, reconciling invoices, and following up on payments.
"This investment is a pivotal step in our mission to unlock the power of AI for our customers," said Sumeet Trehan, Co-Founder and CEO of Starboard. "Global trade has long been plagued by inefficiencies that drive up costs and reduce competitiveness. Our platform is designed to empower SMB freight forwarders—the backbone of more than $20 trillion in global trade and $1 trillion in logistics spend—with the tools they need to thrive in this complex ecosystem."