As pandemic concerns resurface, industry professionals sharpen their focus on risk mitigation and supply chain visibility to manage peak-season challenges.
Victoria Kickham started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for DC Velocity.
The supply chain disruptions that have characterized the past year and a half have put a sharp focus on risk management, a theme that was intensifying as the supply chain prepared for peak shipping season over the summer. Pandemic concerns resurfaced with the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant, further straining an already stressed global supply chain and causing experts from all corners of the industry to warn of capacity constraints, bottlenecks, and the challenges of accelerating e-commerce activity.
“I think what everyone is starting to think about is, what is going to be the impact of delta?” Bill Thayer, co-founder and co-CEO of logistics-as-a-service platformFillogic, said in August as companies were gearing up for peak-season shipping activity. “We were already going into a very difficult third and fourth quarter. Delta will just make that worse.”
Logistics technology companies like Fillogic—which helps retailers manage their middle- and last-mile deliveries through its mall-based microdistribution network—are witnessing the problem firsthand, and they report a growing awareness among shippers, carriers, and logistics services providers alike about the need to manage risk in the face of rising disruptions. Leveraging technology investments, rethinking inventory strategies, and getting a better handle on the last mile remain key tasks as supply chain companies head into the busiest season of the year, they say.
PUTTING TECH TO WORK
Mark Stanton, general manager of asset management solutions providerPowerFleet agrees that one of the most worrisome risks heading into peak season is the delta variant and its potential impact on global supply chains. As of late summer, delta had already been blamed for slowdowns in Asia, where outbreaks shuttered operations at factories in China and Vietnam, and temporarily closed a major terminal at China’s Ningbo container port. Although such shutdowns have had varying impacts on global supply chains depending on their location and length, they are a reminder of how supply chain vulnerabilities have been exacerbated since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.
“There is a huge amount of backlog” in the supply chain, Stanton explains, pointing to the compounded effect of the pandemic on seasonal supply chain stresses such as back-to-school and holiday shipping demand. “Every link in this supply chain … is really being stretched, and has been stretched.”
Technology is one tool that can help address some of those problems, especially by improving visibility across the supply chain.Stanton says companies such asPowerFleet—which provides telemetry solutions for over-the-road vehicles and material handling equipment, including electronic logging devices (ELDs) and asset-tracking and condition-monitoring devices—can help provide some of that insight. PowerFleet’s equipment can be used in the field—on trucks, vans, containers, chassis, and the like—as well as in the warehouse, where it can be used on forklifts, in storage containers, and on other equipment. Data derived from such technology can help companies collaborate and communicate more effectively, improving their ability to react and respond to disruptions. Incremental gains in productivity and efficiency add up as well.
“Anyone in this space is being asked to be more efficient,” Stanton explains, adding that companies have been much more attuned to this need since the pandemic hit and, as a result, are more focused on implementing new technology and using it to its fullest potential. “I think there’s a lot more focus on risk mitigation and trying to plan for the future. And there’s been more emphasis on making sure that whatever the technology platform is, you are getting the most out of it.”
Stanton says customers are asking what more they can do with technology tools and whether or not they can get added value out of the information gleaned from them. As an example, he cites the case of a prospective customer that was looking to improve management of its refrigerated tractor trailers: The customer had recently lost a trailerload of seafood due to delays that resulted in the load’s spoiling before it reached its destination. The loss to the customer was about $177,000, a figure that multiplies when you factor in the ripple effect of that loss through the entire supply chain.
“What did that do to the supply chain when that product didn’t get where it was supposed to be? It’s not just $177,000; it could be hundreds of thousands more, even millions in lost sales because that product didn’t get there,” he notes, adding that greater visibility into the trailer and improved monitoring can help fleet managers avoid such situations—and learn from them. “Customers want to know, ‘How do I manage my risk so that doesn’t happen next time?’ There really is a great deal more emphasis today on the technology that will help them get to where they need to be and beyond.”
Thayer agrees, and points to warehousing capacity constraints and a resulting need for alternative fulfillment strategies. Demand for logistics real estatecontinues to outpace supply, and Fillogic is one company that is benefiting from the trend. As of late summer, its tech-enabled microdistribution hubs were coordinating e-commerce fulfillment and delivery activities for retailers at five locations nationwide, with plans to add another 22 locations by the end of the year.
“Logistics networks are overwhelmed,” placing additional stress on e-commerce fulfillment networks, he explains. “Everyone is looking for an alternative.”
SHIFTING STRATEGIES
Spencer Shute, a consultant with supply chain and procurement consulting firmProxima Group, agrees that there is a growing appreciation for the tools and strategies required to better manage supply chain risk. As one example, Shute says more companies will be focused on switching from a just-in-time inventory model this peak season to a just-in-case or hybrid method that allows them to store more inventory close to where it’s needed. Executing on those tasks will require an innovative mindset, he says.
“That could mean changing the processes that we do today, or it could mean implementing new software,” Shute explains, emphasizing the need to take steps that expand visibility throughout the supply chain. “As we move forward, that’s going to need to be a part of risk management. You need visibility into your supply chain to assess risk.”
You can’t eliminate all risk, Shute adds, but you need to be able to see it in order to deal with it. Companies that have spent the past couple of years investing in tools to improve visibility are in the best position to weather the current storm—especially when it comes to dealing with accelerating e-commerce activity, which is expected to reach record levels again this holiday season.
“If they haven’t been putting in the work to make their networks more e-commerce friendly, [companies] will be behind the eight ball,” Shute warns. “The biggest risk is [around] customer promises and customer expectations; meeting those will be challenging for all shippers.”
Shute says businesses will adapt their shipping strategies to deal with those challenges, moving away from free, fast shipping toward strategies that place more conditions on free shipping—such as spending minimums, early orders, and slower shipping routes.
“Those are things retailers will have to consider,” Shute says. “Retailers are going to start passing more of that cost on to customers—but in more creative ways.”
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.