Consumers keep buying and e-commerce is humming, leading to higher corrugated costs and the need for shippers to rethink the way they package items for delivery.
Victoria Kickham started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for DC Velocity.
Packaging costs are rising as the economic recovery continues and pandemic-induced buying behaviors that favor e-commerce remain strong, factors that are putting pressure on shippers to find better ways to pack and deliver the orders that are streaming through their facilities.
The price of corrugated products was rising through the spring, with some of the country’s largest producers of containerboard—the material used to make corrugated boxes—announcing increases of $50 to $70 per ton. The cost of packaging supplies in general was rising too, increasing by double-digits in many cases,according to government data and industry groups that track packaging demand. John Blake, senior director analyst with consulting and research firm Gartner, says changes in demand for packaging throughout the pandemic, combined with volatile supply chain activity last year, are driving the increases and shining a spotlight on the need for shippers to better manage sourcing strategies and packaging processes.
“[The pandemic] created an unexpected shift in usage, and we’ve seen some spikes in the amount of corrugates and different materials used [as a result]. It’s really an aspect of adjusting to the recovery from the pandemic, in many ways,” Blake explains. “I think best practices or opportunities for companies to mitigate this are around identifying where they have single sourcing of packaging that creates supply chain risk.”
Surging direct-to-consumer sales and related last-mile delivery demands are also to blame, according to Gartner research from late 2020. When asked to rank their strategies for controlling final-mile delivery costs, more than 400 supply chain executives surveyed placed “packaging optimization” in their top three, according to Blake.
“There is an awareness that the way we have been using [packaging] is inefficient and there is opportunity to improve the cost,” he explains. “And there has definitely been an emphasis on that over the past year.”
Blake and others recommend taking small steps, such as re-evaluating the types of packaging a company uses, and considering more advanced strategies such as on-demand packaging to address the problem.
STRONG DEMAND FUELS NEW STRATEGIES
Shipments of corrugated materials hit a record high in 2020, reaching 407 billion square feet of volume, a 3.5% increase over 2019’s 405 billion square feet (which was also the previous record), according to data from the Fibre Box Association (FBA), a trade group representing manufacturers of corrugated products. The industry had been experiencing steady growth since the 2009 recession, when shipments dipped to 345 billion square feet, says Rachel Kenyon, FBA senior vice president.
“There are a couple of reasons we believe we had record growth [in 2020],” she explains, pointing to a steady rise in e-commerce activity over the past several years as a contributing factor. “But that’s not enough to move the needle on corrugated packaging. Last year, when things shut down, you saw even greater growth in e-commerce, and that’s when you really saw the industry start to pick back up.”
Strong e-commerce sales eliminated the tapering of volume the industry typically sees at the end of the year, she says. And following a slight dip in January, corrugated shipments resumed their climb, reaching historic highs this spring, she adds.
All of this is contributing to a sharper focus on packaging in general, according to Blake. The shift from brick-and-mortar to online sales was already forcing companies to examine their packaging protocols, especially when it comes to the last mile. But Blake says the past year has created an opportunity for them to ramp up those efforts and develop packaging processes that best fit the application.
“One of the greatest challenges is the vast variety of fulfillment options. We have [everything] from traditional brick-and-mortar to growth in discounters to e-commerce,” he explains. “All of these different routes to the market, to the consumer, have different packaging requirements, and that creates complexity in the supply chain.”
Product protection is at the heart of the issue. In traditional retail, products are shipped on pallets, where they are protected until the pallets are broken down at the store and the items placed on shelves, with the consumer taking responsibility for safe delivery. E-commerce and direct-to-consumer shipping has changed all that, leaving brands with the responsibility of packaging individual items for safe delivery from the warehouse, distribution center, or retail store through the final mile to the customer’s door. Most brands’ answer to that problem is to add extra packaging to safeguard the items during the journey. But those strategies are changing in light of rising costs and environmental concerns.
“With e-commerce, there’s always been the practice of using more packaging to help [the merchandise] survive the journey. But there is [growing pressure] on companies to reduce the amount of packaging used or work toward making sure what they’re using is curbside recyclable,” Blake explains. “There are a lot of areas where optimizing packaging drives a financial benefit.”
RIGHT-SIZING TO FIT DEMAND
Strategies for reducing package waste include using padded envelopes, plastic mailers, or more appropriately sized boxes—anything to avoid placing items in an oversized box that has to be stuffed with filler. Such adjustments can help reduce the amount of paper and cardboard a company uses as well as free up space in the warehouse and on the delivery truck, factors that also address cost and environmental concerns.
“If you can use a padded envelope instead of a box, [do so]. If you have items that are durable, don’t put them in a big box with a bunch of paper—use something more form fitting, like a mailer,” Blake advises, citing some simple steps companies can take to optimize packaging.
More advanced solutions include employing on-demand, right-sized packaging systems that enable shippers to produce the right-sized package for the job on-site. Such solutions are best suited to high-volume operations, Blake says, but they represent an “interesting and exciting space” in the market.
Salt Lake City-based Packsize is one company that offers such a solution, using a mix of hardware, software, materials, and services for on-site carton creation. Packsize Executive Chairman Hanko Kiessner says right-sized packaging directly addresses the tight capacity and increased costs the market is experiencing—simply because it reduces the overall amount of packaging material a business uses. As for the extent of the opportunity, Kiessner says his company’s studies show that shippers typically use about 30% more packaging than needed.
“To a large degree, these price increases [we are seeing] are self-inflicted by the industry because [shippers] are using large packages, usually too large,” Kiessner explains. “What would happen to the market if every package was sized right? We could save 30% of the total demand for packaging material—in this case, paper.”
With the economic recovery from the pandemic in full swing, and online buying behaviors firmly entrenched, Kiessner and Packsize CEO Rod Gallaway say such questions are likely to persist, leading more companies to evaluate their packaging needs and sourcing strategies.
“I think demand will continue to increase, and I think, therefore, the supply and the secureness of your supply is going to be critical,” Gallaway says. “Many companies did not get all the corrugate they needed in peak season [2020] … we expect that to happen again in 2021.”
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.