Building a resilient supply chain in a post-pandemic world
To better manage risk, companies seek to inject agility into their supply chains with a renewed focus on procurement, customer demand, inventory management, and business partner collaboration.
Victoria Kickham started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for DC Velocity.
Corporate leaders and small-business owners alike are taking a hard look at business continuity planning as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, which devastated the global economy in March and continues to rattle the nerves of business leaders up and down the supply chain. Those who run warehouses and distribution centers (DCs) have seen the problem up close and personal, as they deal with the physical challenges of keeping facilities running during a pandemic as well as broader customer service and strategic planning concerns.
Among the biggest changes in continuity planning over the last six months is how companies view the importance of supply chain agility and adaptability, says Shehrina Kamal, product director at Resilience 360, a supply chain risk management software company.
“We are seeing a major shift in mindset,” Kamal explains. “Supply chain agility needs to be a core part of your operations. We’ve seen companies in the past view this as an optional thing, [but] the pandemic has shown us that in a situation like this, anyone with a supply chain agile enough to quickly adapt will survive. We’ve been saying this, and now companies are seeing that it’s really true.”
Kamal cites growing interest in Resilience 360’s technology platform and supply chain risk management tools as evidence of the change, but there have also been several studies that documented respondents’ lack of preparedness for an event of this scale and their resulting need to re-evaluate their risk management strategies. Over the summer, Resilience 360 and the Business Continuity Institute (BCI) published a pandemic-related survey of more than 350 manufacturers that showed that less than half had a plan in place that sufficiently addressed the supply chain issues they encountered with Covid-19. As a result, more than half—53%—said they planned to create a comprehensive pandemic plan and another 32% said they would adapt their current plans to ensure they cover supply chain issues in sufficient depth going forward.
A separate study by Netherlands-based manufacturing services provider 3D Hubs found that roughly 60% of all companies say the pandemic directly disrupted their supply chain. The firm surveyed 1,300 supply chain professionals and included insights from its own database of 36,000 companies and 240 global manufacturing partners for its Supply Chain Resilience Report 2020. The researchers said the Covid-19 pandemic has been the single biggest disruptive event of the past decade.
As companies look for ways to inject agility into their operations, Kamal and other industry experts say they are focusing on improving supply chain visibility and adjusting inventory strategies—all with an eye toward establishing closer collaboration up and down the supply chain.
FOCUSING ON PROCUREMENT AND DEMAND
Although responding to pandemic-related disruptions has been difficult because of the event’s unprecedented scale, experts say the crisis has revealed a few knowledge “gaps” that companies are now scrambling to address.
“Supply chain visibility is the number one gap,” according to Bindiya Vakil, founder and CEO of supply chain risk management technology firm Resilinc. Vakil characterizes the Covid-19 pandemic as the “black swan of black swan events” that has left many companies searching for better strategies for dealing with disruption.
“I’ve been in supply chain risk management for 20 years,” she says. “There are tremendous numbers of disruptions on an ongoing basis—transportation issues, supply capacity problems, allocation, labor strikes—something is always going on. But with Covid, it was like everything happened at the same time and all within a two-month period.”
By late summer, the situation had improved. Large-scale countrywide shutdowns had eased and disruptions became more localized, making it easier for companies to adapt, she explains. But as many sought to rebound from the experience, they realized they had limited insight into their supply chain operations. On the procurement side, for example, she says businesses found they lacked basic information about their suppliers, such as whom to contact when a disruption occurs. As a result, companies are now taking a “non-spend” approach to managing those suppliers—meaning that they view all suppliers as critical, rather than taking a tiered approach that prioritizes those who get the lion’s share of spending.
Collaborative tools and processes can help too, Vakil says, adding that supply chain mapping is gaining traction. This is a process of identifying exactly where your suppliers are located as well as where their suppliers are located. She says digital tools can help companies gather basic supplier data, such as contact information, details on warehouse and factory locations, and insight into leadtimes.
“[Companies] really need to put a strategy in place to know everything about their suppliers,” Vakil explains. She notes that this should ideally be an ongoing process that includes “keeping a close eye on those suppliers, managing them closely, [and] monitoring their locations—so they are fully aware and abreast of any disruptions.”
Companies also need greater insight into customer demand, especially in light of accelerated e-commerce activity over the past six months. This is causing many to take a closer look at demand planning as they rethink their inventory and order fulfillment strategies, explains Sean Laffere, managing director in the supply chain services practice at Alvarez & Marsal, a global management consulting firm. The first step in the process is asking broad questions about how the pandemic has changed the business landscape.
“Companies need to ask: What effects will a post-pandemic world have on my business? Will this change anything? Am I going to have to deliver products faster than before, and what does that mean from an inventory standpoint?” Laffere explains.
Once they have established that, and based on how they answer those questions, company leaders can begin to look at their existing footprint and determine whether or not they need to ship more regionally, for instance.
“We know we will have disruptions, [but the question is] how do we think about it?” Laffere adds, emphasizing the need for a high-level review of a company’s facility network as well its supply base in making those decisions.
Vakil concurs.
“As we emerge from this, a lot of board-level conversations will happen,” she says. “What did we learn? What would we improve? Every company should ask themselves that.”
CHANGING YOUR APPROACH TO INVENTORY
A company’s approach to inventory may be one of the biggest potential changes on the table. The large-scale disruptions many industries faced at the beginning of the pandemic revealed what Vakil describes as a supply chain trend that leaned too much toward a just-in-time (JIT) model in many cases. As companies rethink their processes with an eye toward enhancing agility, expect a shift to a more flexible approach.
“A lot of companies went too far down the lean and JIT [road],” she says, adding that she doesn’t expect companies to start building bigger warehouses and stuffing them with inventory, but rather, to deploy a more nuanced strategy. “[Companies will] bump up a little inventory and bolster that with a supply chain risk program that is rich in visibility and information—so you can sense disruptions and respond to them faster.”
Brian Deffet, vice president of operations for contract logistics service provider DHL Supply Chain, agrees, adding that DHL is seeing its customers starting to look at the length of their supply chains and potentially localizing more inventory by near-shoring, onshoring, or forward-stocking certain items in order to shorten leadtimes. No matter what approach a company takes, he says, flexibility and collaboration are paramount.
“[The pandemic] has shown companies they need to work collaboratively—not only with [their business] partners, but with their internal departments and partners as well,” he says. “This has brought everyone together to pull in the same direction.”
Kamal echoes those concerns and circles back to the importance of agility and the need to be able to react and make decisions “on the fly.”
“What we’ve seen a lot is companies collaborating more with supply chain partners,” she says. “In order to make decisions on the fly, they need more information [and] better information. If there is anything to take away from 2020, it’s that you’ve got to be prepared for black swan events; you have to treat business continuity and risk management [as a matter of topmost] importance. It’s absolutely critical.”
As a contract provider of warehousing, logistics, and supply chain solutions, Geodis often has to provide customized services for clients.
That was the case recently when one of its customers asked Geodis to up its inventory monitoring game—specifically, to begin conducting quarterly cycle counts of the goods it stored at a Geodis site. Trouble was, performing more frequent counts would be something of a burden for the facility, which still conducted inventory counts manually—a process that was tedious and, depending on what else the team needed to accomplish, sometimes required overtime.
So Levallois, France-based Geodis launched a search for a technology solution that would both meet the customer’s demand and make its inventory monitoring more efficient overall, hoping to save time, labor, and money in the process.
SCAN AND DELIVER
Geodis found a solution with Gather AI, a Pittsburgh-based firm that automates inventory monitoring by deploying small drones to fly through a warehouse autonomously scanning pallets and cases. The system’s machine learning (ML) algorithm analyzes the resulting inventory pictures to identify barcodes, lot codes, text, and expiration dates; count boxes; and estimate occupancy, gathering information that warehouse operators need and comparing it with what’s in the warehouse management system (WMS).
Among other benefits, this means employees no longer have to spend long hours doing manual inventory counts with order-picker forklifts. On top of that, the warehouse manager is able to view inventory data in real time from a web dashboard and identify and address inventory exceptions.
But perhaps the biggest benefit of all is the speed at which it all happens. Gather AI’s drones perform those scans up to 15 times faster than traditional methods, the company says. To that point, it notes that before the drones were deployed at the Geodis site, four manual counters could complete approximately 800 counts in a day. By contrast, the drones are able to scan 1,200 locations per day.
FLEXIBLE FLYERS
Although Geodis had a number of options when it came to tech vendors, there were a couple of factors that tipped the odds in Gather AI’s favor, the partners said. One was its close cultural fit with Geodis. “Probably most important during that vetting process was understanding the cultural fit between Geodis and that vendor. We truly wanted to form a relationship with the company we selected,” Geodis Senior Director of Innovation Andy Johnston said in a release.
Speaking to this cultural fit, Johnston added, “Gather AI understood our business, our challenges, and the course of business throughout our day. They trained our personnel to get them comfortable with the technology and provided them with a tool that would truly make their job easier. This is pretty advanced technology, but the Gather AI user interface allowed our staff to see inventory variances intuitively, and they picked it up quickly. This shows me that Gather AI understood what we needed.”
Another factor in Gather AI’s favor was the prospect of a quick and easy deployment: Because the drones can conduct their missions without GPS or Wi-Fi, the supplier would be able to get its solution up and running quickly. In the words of Geodis Industrial Engineer Trent McDermott, “The Gather AI implementation process was efficient. There were no IT infrastructure or layout changes needed, and Gather AI was flexible with the installation to not disrupt peak hours for the operations team.”
QUICK RESULTS
Once the drones were in the air, Geodis saw immediate improvements in cycle counting speed, according to Gather AI. But that wasn’t the only benefit: Geodis was also able to more easily find misplaced pallets.
“Previously, we would research the inventory’s systemic license plate number (LPN),” McDermott explained. “We could narrow it down to a portion or a section of the warehouse where we thought that LPN was, but there was still a lot of ambiguity. So we would send an operator out on a mission to go hunt and find that LPN,” a process that could take a day or two to complete. But the days of scouring the facility for lost pallets are over. With Gather AI, the team can simply search in the dashboard to find the last location where the pallet was scanned.
And about that customer who wanted more frequent inventory counts? Geodis reports that it completed its first quarterly count for the client in half the time it had previously taken, with no overtime needed. “It’s a huge win for us to trim that time down,” McDermott said. “Just two weeks into the new quarter, we were able to have 40% of the warehouse completed.”
The less-than-truckload (LTL) industry moved closer to a revamped freight classification system this week, as the National Motor Freight Traffic Association (NMFTA) continued to spread the word about upcoming changes to the way it helps shippers and carriers determine delivery rates. The NMFTA will publish proposed changes to its National Motor Freight Classification (NMFC) system Thursday, a transition announced last year, and that the organization has termed its “classification reimagination” process.
Businesses throughout the LTL industry will be affected by the changes, as the NMFC is a tool for setting prices that is used daily by transportation providers, trucking fleets, third party logistics service providers (3PLs), and freight brokers.
Representatives from NMFTA were on hand to discuss the changes at the LTL-focused supply chain conference Jump Start 25 in Atlanta this week. The project’s goal is to make what is currently a complex freight classification system easier to understand and “to make the logistics process as frictionless as possible,” NMFTA’s Director of Operations Keith Peterson told attendees during a presentation about the project.
The changes seek to simplify classification by grouping similar items together and assigning most classes based solely on density. Exceptions will be handled separately, adding other characteristics when density alone is not enough to determine an accurate class.
When the updates take effect later this year, shippers may see shifts in the LTL prices they pay to move freight—because the way their freight is classified, and subsequently billed, could change as a result.
NMFTA will publish the proposed changes this Thursday, January 30, in a document called Docket 2025-1. The docket will include more than 90 proposed changes and is open to industry feedback through February 25. NMFTA will follow with a public meeting to review and discuss feedback on March 3. The changes will take effect July 19.
NMFTA has a dedicated website detailing the changes, where industry stakeholders can register to receive bi-weekly updates: https://info.nmfta.org/2025-nmfc-changes.
Trade and transportation groups are congratulating Sean Duffy today for winning confirmation in a U.S. Senate vote to become the country’s next Secretary of Transportation.
Once he’s sworn in, Duffy will become the nation’s 20th person to hold that post, succeeding the recently departed Pete Buttigieg.
Transportation groups quickly called on Duffy to work on continuing the burst of long-overdue infrastructure spending that was a hallmark of the Biden Administration’s passing of the bipartisan infrastructure law, known formally as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA).
But according to industry associations such as the Coalition for America’s Gateways and Trade Corridors (CAGTC), federal spending is critical for funding large freight projects that sustain U.S. supply chains. “[Duffy] will direct the Department at an important time, implementing the remaining two years of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, and charting a course for the next surface transportation reauthorization,” CAGTC Executive Director Elaine Nessle said in a release. “During his confirmation hearing, Secretary Duffy shared the new Administration’s goal to invest in large, durable projects that connect the nation and commerce. CAGTC shares this goal and is eager to work with Secretary Duffy to ensure that nationally and regionally significant freight projects are advanced swiftly and funded robustly.”
A similar message came from the International Foodservice Distributors Association (IFDA). “A safe, efficient, and reliable transportation network is essential to our industry, enabling 33 million cases of food and related products to reach professional kitchens every day. We look forward to working with Secretary Duffy to strengthen America’s transportation infrastructure and workforce to support the safe and seamless movement of ingredients that make meals away from home possible,” IFDA President and CEO Mark S. Allen said in a release.
And the truck drivers’ group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) likewise called for continued investment in projects like creating new parking spaces for Class 8 trucks. “OOIDA and the 150,000 small business truckers we represent congratulate Secretary Sean Duffy on his confirmation to lead the U.S. Department of Transportation,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a release. “We look forward to continue working with him in advancing the priorities of small business truckers across America, including expanding truck parking, fighting freight fraud, and rolling back burdensome, unnecessary regulations.”
With the new Trump Administration continuing to threaten steep tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China as early as February 1, supply chain organizations preparing for that economic shock must be prepared to make strategic responses that go beyond either absorbing new costs or passing them on to customers, according to Gartner Inc.
But even as they face what would be the most significant tariff changes proposed in the past 50 years, some enterprises could use the potential market volatility to drive a competitive advantage against their rivals, the analyst group said.
Gartner experts said the risks of acting too early to proposed tariffs—and anticipated countermeasures by trading partners—are as acute as acting too late. Chief supply chain officers (CSCOs) should be projecting ahead to potential countermeasures, escalations and de-escalations as part of their current scenario planning activities.
“CSCOs who anticipate that current tariff volatility will persist for years, rather than months, should also recognize that their business operations will not emerge successful by remaining static or purely on the defensive,” Brian Whitlock, Senior Research Director in Gartner’s supply chain practice, said in a release.
“The long-term winners will reinvent or reinvigorate their business strategies, developing new capabilities that drive competitive advantage. In almost all cases, this will require material business investment and should be a focal point of current scenario planning,” Whitlock said.
Gartner listed five possible pathways for CSCOs and other leaders to consider when faced with new tariff policy changes:
Retire certain products: Tariff volatility will stress some specific products, or even organizations, to a breaking point, so some enterprises may have to accept that worsening geopolitical conditions should force the retirement of that product.
Renovate products to adjust: New tariffs could prompt renovations (adjustments) to products that were overdue, as businesses will need to take a hard look at the viability of raising or absorbing costs in a still price-sensitive environment.
Rebalance: Additional volatility should be factored into future demand planning, as early winners and losers from initial tariff policies must both be prepared for potential countermeasures, policy escalations and de-escalations, and competitor responses.
Reinvent: As tariff volatility persists, some companies should consider investing in new projects in markets that are not impacted or that align with new geopolitical incentives. Others may pivot and repurpose existing facilities to serve local markets.
Reinvigorate: Early winners of announced tariffs should seek opportunities to extend competitive advantages. For example, they could look to expand existing US-based or domestic manufacturing capacity or reposition themselves within the market by lowering their prices to take market share and drive business growth.
By the numbers, global logistics real estate rents declined by 5% last year as market conditions “normalized” after historic growth during the pandemic. After more than a decade overall of consistent growth, the change was driven by rising real estate vacancy rates up in most markets, Prologis said. The three causes for that condition included an influx of new building supply, coupled with positive but subdued demand, and uncertainty about conditions in the economic, financial market, and supply chain sectors.
Together, those factors triggered negative annual rent growth in the U.S. and Europe for the first time since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009, the “Prologis Rent Index Report” said. Still, that dip was smaller than pandemic-driven outperformance, so year-end 2024 market rents were 59% higher in the U.S. and 33% higher in Europe than year-end 2019.
Looking into coming months, Prologis expects moderate recovery in market rents in 2025 and stronger gains in 2026. That eventual recovery in market rents will require constrained supply, high replacement cost rents, and demand for Class A properties, Prologis said. In addition, a stronger demand resurgence—whether prompted by the need to navigate supply chain disruptions or meet the needs of end consumers—should put upward pressure on a broad range of locations and building types.