Building a resilient supply chain in a post-pandemic world
To better manage risk, companies seek to inject agility into their supply chains with a renewed focus on procurement, customer demand, inventory management, and business partner collaboration.
Victoria Kickham started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for DC Velocity.
Corporate leaders and small-business owners alike are taking a hard look at business continuity planning as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, which devastated the global economy in March and continues to rattle the nerves of business leaders up and down the supply chain. Those who run warehouses and distribution centers (DCs) have seen the problem up close and personal, as they deal with the physical challenges of keeping facilities running during a pandemic as well as broader customer service and strategic planning concerns.
Among the biggest changes in continuity planning over the last six months is how companies view the importance of supply chain agility and adaptability, says Shehrina Kamal, product director at Resilience 360, a supply chain risk management software company.
“We are seeing a major shift in mindset,” Kamal explains. “Supply chain agility needs to be a core part of your operations. We’ve seen companies in the past view this as an optional thing, [but] the pandemic has shown us that in a situation like this, anyone with a supply chain agile enough to quickly adapt will survive. We’ve been saying this, and now companies are seeing that it’s really true.”
Kamal cites growing interest in Resilience 360’s technology platform and supply chain risk management tools as evidence of the change, but there have also been several studies that documented respondents’ lack of preparedness for an event of this scale and their resulting need to re-evaluate their risk management strategies. Over the summer, Resilience 360 and the Business Continuity Institute (BCI) published a pandemic-related survey of more than 350 manufacturers that showed that less than half had a plan in place that sufficiently addressed the supply chain issues they encountered with Covid-19. As a result, more than half—53%—said they planned to create a comprehensive pandemic plan and another 32% said they would adapt their current plans to ensure they cover supply chain issues in sufficient depth going forward.
A separate study by Netherlands-based manufacturing services provider 3D Hubs found that roughly 60% of all companies say the pandemic directly disrupted their supply chain. The firm surveyed 1,300 supply chain professionals and included insights from its own database of 36,000 companies and 240 global manufacturing partners for its Supply Chain Resilience Report 2020. The researchers said the Covid-19 pandemic has been the single biggest disruptive event of the past decade.
As companies look for ways to inject agility into their operations, Kamal and other industry experts say they are focusing on improving supply chain visibility and adjusting inventory strategies—all with an eye toward establishing closer collaboration up and down the supply chain.
FOCUSING ON PROCUREMENT AND DEMAND
Although responding to pandemic-related disruptions has been difficult because of the event’s unprecedented scale, experts say the crisis has revealed a few knowledge “gaps” that companies are now scrambling to address.
“Supply chain visibility is the number one gap,” according to Bindiya Vakil, founder and CEO of supply chain risk management technology firm Resilinc. Vakil characterizes the Covid-19 pandemic as the “black swan of black swan events” that has left many companies searching for better strategies for dealing with disruption.
“I’ve been in supply chain risk management for 20 years,” she says. “There are tremendous numbers of disruptions on an ongoing basis—transportation issues, supply capacity problems, allocation, labor strikes—something is always going on. But with Covid, it was like everything happened at the same time and all within a two-month period.”
By late summer, the situation had improved. Large-scale countrywide shutdowns had eased and disruptions became more localized, making it easier for companies to adapt, she explains. But as many sought to rebound from the experience, they realized they had limited insight into their supply chain operations. On the procurement side, for example, she says businesses found they lacked basic information about their suppliers, such as whom to contact when a disruption occurs. As a result, companies are now taking a “non-spend” approach to managing those suppliers—meaning that they view all suppliers as critical, rather than taking a tiered approach that prioritizes those who get the lion’s share of spending.
Collaborative tools and processes can help too, Vakil says, adding that supply chain mapping is gaining traction. This is a process of identifying exactly where your suppliers are located as well as where their suppliers are located. She says digital tools can help companies gather basic supplier data, such as contact information, details on warehouse and factory locations, and insight into leadtimes.
“[Companies] really need to put a strategy in place to know everything about their suppliers,” Vakil explains. She notes that this should ideally be an ongoing process that includes “keeping a close eye on those suppliers, managing them closely, [and] monitoring their locations—so they are fully aware and abreast of any disruptions.”
Companies also need greater insight into customer demand, especially in light of accelerated e-commerce activity over the past six months. This is causing many to take a closer look at demand planning as they rethink their inventory and order fulfillment strategies, explains Sean Laffere, managing director in the supply chain services practice at Alvarez & Marsal, a global management consulting firm. The first step in the process is asking broad questions about how the pandemic has changed the business landscape.
“Companies need to ask: What effects will a post-pandemic world have on my business? Will this change anything? Am I going to have to deliver products faster than before, and what does that mean from an inventory standpoint?” Laffere explains.
Once they have established that, and based on how they answer those questions, company leaders can begin to look at their existing footprint and determine whether or not they need to ship more regionally, for instance.
“We know we will have disruptions, [but the question is] how do we think about it?” Laffere adds, emphasizing the need for a high-level review of a company’s facility network as well its supply base in making those decisions.
Vakil concurs.
“As we emerge from this, a lot of board-level conversations will happen,” she says. “What did we learn? What would we improve? Every company should ask themselves that.”
CHANGING YOUR APPROACH TO INVENTORY
A company’s approach to inventory may be one of the biggest potential changes on the table. The large-scale disruptions many industries faced at the beginning of the pandemic revealed what Vakil describes as a supply chain trend that leaned too much toward a just-in-time (JIT) model in many cases. As companies rethink their processes with an eye toward enhancing agility, expect a shift to a more flexible approach.
“A lot of companies went too far down the lean and JIT [road],” she says, adding that she doesn’t expect companies to start building bigger warehouses and stuffing them with inventory, but rather, to deploy a more nuanced strategy. “[Companies will] bump up a little inventory and bolster that with a supply chain risk program that is rich in visibility and information—so you can sense disruptions and respond to them faster.”
Brian Deffet, vice president of operations for contract logistics service provider DHL Supply Chain, agrees, adding that DHL is seeing its customers starting to look at the length of their supply chains and potentially localizing more inventory by near-shoring, onshoring, or forward-stocking certain items in order to shorten leadtimes. No matter what approach a company takes, he says, flexibility and collaboration are paramount.
“[The pandemic] has shown companies they need to work collaboratively—not only with [their business] partners, but with their internal departments and partners as well,” he says. “This has brought everyone together to pull in the same direction.”
Kamal echoes those concerns and circles back to the importance of agility and the need to be able to react and make decisions “on the fly.”
“What we’ve seen a lot is companies collaborating more with supply chain partners,” she says. “In order to make decisions on the fly, they need more information [and] better information. If there is anything to take away from 2020, it’s that you’ve got to be prepared for black swan events; you have to treat business continuity and risk management [as a matter of topmost] importance. It’s absolutely critical.”
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
Supply chains are poised for accelerated adoption of mobile robots and drones as those technologies mature and companies focus on implementing artificial intelligence (AI) and automation across their logistics operations.
That’s according to data from Gartner’s Hype Cycle for Mobile Robots and Drones, released this week. The report shows that several mobile robotics technologies will mature over the next two to five years, and also identifies breakthrough and rising technologies set to have an impact further out.
Gartner’s Hype Cycle is a graphical depiction of a common pattern that arises with each new technology or innovation through five phases of maturity and adoption. Chief supply chain officers can use the research to find robotic solutions that meet their needs, according to Gartner.
Gartner, Inc.
The mobile robotic technologies set to mature over the next two to five years are: collaborative in-aisle picking robots, light-cargo delivery robots, autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) for transport, mobile robotic goods-to-person systems, and robotic cube storage systems.
“As organizations look to further improve logistic operations, support automation and augment humans in various jobs, supply chain leaders have turned to mobile robots to support their strategy,” Dwight Klappich, VP analyst and Gartner fellow with the Gartner Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the findings. “Mobile robots are continuing to evolve, becoming more powerful and practical, thus paving the way for continued technology innovation.”
Technologies that are on the rise include autonomous data collection and inspection technologies, which are expected to deliver benefits over the next five to 10 years. These include solutions like indoor-flying drones, which utilize AI-enabled vision or RFID to help with time-consuming inventory management, inspection, and surveillance tasks. The technology can also alleviate safety concerns that arise in warehouses, such as workers counting inventory in hard-to-reach places.
“Automating labor-intensive tasks can provide notable benefits,” Klappich said. “With AI capabilities increasingly embedded in mobile robots and drones, the potential to function unaided and adapt to environments will make it possible to support a growing number of use cases.”
Humanoid robots—which resemble the human body in shape—are among the technologies in the breakthrough stage, meaning that they are expected to have a transformational effect on supply chains, but their mainstream adoption could take 10 years or more.
“For supply chains with high-volume and predictable processes, humanoid robots have the potential to enhance or supplement the supply chain workforce,” Klappich also said. “However, while the pace of innovation is encouraging, the industry is years away from general-purpose humanoid robots being used in more complex retail and industrial environments.”
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”