The pandemic has given airline management an unprecedented opportunity to showcase the value of cargo. But it won’t do them much good without a new business model for freight.
Mitch Mac Donald has more than 30 years of experience in both the newspaper and magazine businesses. He has covered the logistics and supply chain fields since 1988. Twice named one of the Top 10 Business Journalists in the U.S., he has served in a multitude of editorial and publishing roles. The leading force behind the launch of Supply Chain Management Review, he was that brand's founding publisher and editorial director from 1997 to 2000. Additionally, he has served as news editor, chief editor, publisher and editorial director of Logistics Management, as well as publisher of Modern Materials Handling. Mitch is also the president and CEO of Agile Business Media, LLC, the parent company of DC VELOCITY and CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly.
With rare exceptions, the world’s passenger airlines punch below their weight when it comes to cargo. For decades, aviation’s powerful speed-to-market advantages have been nullified by obsolete information technology that impedes visibility and keeps goods languishing at airports for days after arrival. Airlines long ago ceded cargo’s value proposition, both in pricing and consignee loyalty, to freight forwarders and integrated carriers like FedEx and UPS. Today, airlines are reduced to selling bellyhold volume, not value. The C-suite does little to promote cargo as a valuable part of the overall business, viewing it instead as just a contribution to overhead.
Despite that, cargo often spells the difference between profit and loss on many international widebody routes. In the case of two European airlines, between 60% and 70% of widebody international flights would be unprofitable without bellyhold cargo, according to a white paper published in May by Strategic Aviation Solutions International (SASI), an aviation consultancy. Des Vertannes, former cargo head at the International Air Transport Association (IATA), found during his tenure that cargo represented 12% of a typical IATA member’s revenue. That was three times the revenue of first-class traffic and just below the revenue generated by business class, according to Vertannes’ data. Even before the e-commerce boom, cargo, express, and mail was an $85 billion-a-year business.
Half a year into the coronavirus pandemic, it is apparent that cargo has assumed the central role in airline operations. Pretty much all that flies internationally today are “ghost freighters,” planes with cargo in the bellies, on passenger seats, and in the main cabins with the seats removed. With passenger traffic shut down indefinitely, cargo has become the only way for international flights to earn a buck. In addition, cargo revenue will be critical for airlines to resume profitable commercial operations when global skies open up.
The pandemic has given airline management an unprecedented opportunity to showcase cargo’s value. The opportunity is amplified by the surge of international e-commerce traffic, the speedy fulfillment of which plays into air service’s wheelhouse.
Can it be done? Yes, says SASI President and CEO Stan Wraight, a 40-year aircargo veteran, but only if the airlines develop a new business model for cargo. What won’t work is tinkering with a four-decades-old approach that, among other things, led to the loss of high-value small-package and express business to the integrators, Wraight said. If airlines continue down that path, they will suffer at the hands of the integrators as well as newer, formidable players like Amazon.com and Alibaba, both of whom focus on understanding the needs of the shipper and the end-customer. If the airlines don’t step up their game, most global e-commerce spoils will go to competitors, he said.
One of the most salient points is that airlines should not think like airlines. Integrators like FedEx and UPS spend only 15% on aircraft, and 85% on data and ground-handling services. Airlines typically reverse that ratio, which is a liability to efficient cargo movement, Wraight said.
Another is the development of digital “air logistics corridors” connecting multiple airports. These corridors enable real-time shipment visibility from one stakeholder to another. The destination country gets shipment information before the goods arrive, and the origin country receives all status updates in real time from arrival to delivery, Wraight said.
Most important, cargo needs to be treated as an airline’s core business and cargo logistics as a rewarding profession. “Logistics as an airline career deserves respect and attention from the CEO and board of directors,” Wraight said. It will get that respect, he added, if the C-suite “understands airline economics.”
North American manufacturers have begun stockpiling goods to buffer against the impact of potential tariffs threatened by incoming Trump Administration, building up safety stocks to guard against higher imported costs, according to a report from New Jersey business software firm GEP.
That surge in orders has sparked a jump in production, shrinking the level of spare capacity in global supply chains to its lowest level since June, the firm said in its “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index.” By the numbers, that index rose to -0.20 in November, from -0.39 the month before, based on GEP’s measurement of demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs from its monthly survey of 27,000 businesses.
Another impact of the trend has been to trigger a surge in procurement activity by manufacturers in Asia—especially China—as new orders rebounded sharply. Only India reported a greater rise in raw material purchases than China in November. And preparations to ramp up production even further were evidenced data showing factory procurement activity across Asia rising at its fastest pace for three-and-a-half years, GEP said.
In sharp contrast, Europe's industrial recession worsened in November, in large part due to Germany's deepening manufacturing downturn. Factories in that region went deeper into retrenchment mode, as demand for inputs from manufacturers in Europe was its weakest since December 2023.
"In November, U.S. manufacturers, particularly in the consumer goods sector, increased their safety stocks to help blunt any immediate tariff increases," John Piatek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "In contrast, Chinese manufacturers are getting busier as a result of government stimulus and growth in exports, led by automotives and technology products. Strategically, many global companies have a wait-and-hope approach, while simultaneously planning to remake their global supply chains to respond to a tariff and trade war in 2025 and beyond."
In response to booming e-commerce volumes, investors are currently building $9 billion worth of warehousing and distribution projects under construction in the U.S., with nearly 25% of the activity attributed to one company alone—Amazon.
The measure comes from a report by the Texas-based market analyst firm Industrial Info Resources (IIR), which said that Amazon is responsible for $2 billion in warehousing and distribution projects across the U.S., buoyed by the buildout of fulfillment centers--facilities that help process orders and ship products directly to end customers, ensuring deliveries of online goods from retailers to buyers.
That investment is inspired by U.S. Census Bureau data showing $300.1 billion in a preliminary estimate of U.S. retail e-commerce sales for third-quarter 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation but not for price changes, compared to $287.5 million in the first quarter, and an increase of 7.4% compared with third-quarter 2023. In addition, e-commerce sales accounted for 16.2% of total retail sales in the third quarter of this year, the report said.
Private equity firms are continuing to make waves in the logistics sector, as the Atlanta-based cargo payments and scheduling platform CargoSprint today acquired Advent Intermodal Solutions LLC, a New Jersey firm known as Advent eModal that says its cloud-based platform speeds up laden container movement at ports and intermodal hubs.
According to CargoSprint—which is backed by the private equity investment firm Lone View Capital—the move will expand the breadth of global trade that it facilitates and enhance its existing solutions for air, sea and land freight. The acquisition follows Lone View Capital’s deal just last month to buy a majority ownership stake in CargoSprint.
"CargoSprint and Advent eModal have a shared heritage as founder-led enterprises that rose to market leading positions by combining deep industry expertise with a passion for innovation. We look forward to supporting the combined company as it continues to drive efficiency in global trade,” said Doug Ceto, Partner at Lone View Capital.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but Parvez Mansuri, founder and former CEO of Advent eModal, will act as Chief Strategy Officer and remain a member of the board of directors of the combined company.
Advent eModal says its cloud-based platform, eModal, connects all parts of the shipping process, making it easier for ports, carriers, logistics providers and other stakeholders to move containers, increase equipment utilization, and optimize payment workflows.
Airbus Ventures, the venture capital arm of French aircraft manufacturer Airbus, on Thursday invested $10.5 million in the Singapore startup Eureka Robotics, which delivers robotic software and systems to automate tasks in precision manufacturing and logistics.
Eureka said it would use the “series A” round to accelerate the development and deployment of its main products, Eureka Controller and Eureka 3D Camera, which enable system integrators and manufacturers to deploy High Accuracy-High Agility (HA-HA) applications in factories and warehouses. Common uses include AI-based inspection, precision handling, 3D picking, assembly, and dispensing.
In addition, Eureka said it planned to scale up the company’s operations in the existing markets of Singapore and Japan, with a plan to launch more widely across Japan, as well as to enter the US market, where the company has already acquired initial customers.
“Eureka Robotics was founded in 2018 with the mission of helping factories worldwide automate dull, dirty, and dangerous work, so that human workers can focus on their creative endeavors,” company CEO and Co-founder Pham Quang Cuong said in a release. “We are proud to reach the next stage of our development, with the support of our investors and the cooperation of our esteemed customers and partners.”
As another potential strike looms at East and Gulf coast ports, nervous retailers are calling on dockworkers union the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) to reach an agreement with port management group the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) before their current labor contract expires on January 15.
The latest call for a quick solution came from the American Apparel & Footwear Association (AAFA), which cheered President-elect Donald Trump for his published comments yesterday indicating that he supports the 45,000 dockworkers’ opposition to increased automation for handling shipping containers.
In response, AAFA’s president and CEO, Steve Lamar, issued a statement urging both sides to avoid the major disruption to the American economy that could be caused by a protracted strike. "We urge the ILA to formally return to the negotiating table to finalize a contract with USMX that builds on the well-deserved tentative agreement of a 61.5 percent salary increase. Like our messages to President Biden, we urge President-elect Trump to continue his work to strengthen U.S. docks — by meeting with USMX and continuing work with the ILA — to secure a deal before the January 15 deadline with resolution on the issue of automation,” Lamar said.
While the East and Gulf ports are currently seeing a normal December calm post retail peak and prior to the Lunar New Year, the U.S. West Coast ports are still experiencing significant import volumes, the ITS report said. That high volume may be the result of inventory being pulled forward due to market apprehension about potential tariffs that could come with the beginning of the Trump administration, as well as retailers already compensating for the potential port strike.
“The volumes coming from Asia on the trans-Pacific trade routes are not overwhelming the supply of capacity as spot rates at origin are not being pushed higher,” Paul Brashier, Vice President of Global Supply Chain for ITS Logistics, said in a release. “For the time being, everything seems balanced. That said, if the US West Coast continues to be a release valve for a potential ILA strike supply chain disruption, there is a high risk that both West Coast Port and Rail operations could become overwhelmed.”