Victoria Kickham started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for DC Velocity.
The United States Mexico Canada Agreement (USMCA) goes into force in less than two weeks and is adding to an already challenging supply chain environment, as companies continue to deal with disruptions from the coronavirus pandemic. Logistics and transportation companies are at the forefront of helping shippers navigate the free trade agreement’s (FTA) rules, and they say bumps along the road are inevitable, but that the longer term outlook calls for smooth sailing thanks to the modernized deal, which replaces the 26-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).
“Adjusting to any new regulations can be challenging,” said David Henry, head of operations in Mexico for freight broker and third-party logistics services provider (3PL) GlobalTranz. “Most shippers have had to make adjustments recently, due to the pandemic—and now with the clarification of USMCA requirements, they are making additional changes. However, looking to the future, once shippers have met the compliance standards, we anticipate more effective supply chain operations that will benefit companies throughout North America.”
USMCA—or CUSMA (Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement) as it’s known in Canada and T-Mex (Tratado entre México, Estados Unidos y Canadáin) in Mexico—takes effect July 1 and is designed to improve and increase trade flow among North America’s three largest trading partners. The deal raises the amount of content that must be made or sourced in North America in order to achieve zero-tariff levels for some items (the “rules of origin” requirement) and also addresses environmental, labor, and enforcement issues. Rules governing e-commerce and the digital economy are also key, experts say, as they were not addressed under NAFTA.
Looking ahead to July 1, Henry and others say compliance, documentation, and navigating an already complex supply chain are the main issues facing shippers engaged in cross-border trade.
Compliance, complications
Working toward USMCA compliance requires communication and a thorough review of the rule of origin that applies to a firm’s particular goods, according to Jeff Simpson, trade policy manager for transportation and 3PL C.H. Robinson. Because content rules have changed, companies can’t assume that what they were shipping on June 30 still meets tariff requirements on July 1.
“It is important that companies review the rule of origination for their goods under USMCA and don’t make the mistake of assuming it will qualify for USMCA if it qualified for NAFTA,” Simpson explained. “Companies need to actively communicate both internally and externally to ensure all affected parties will be ready on July 1… Talk to your broker to develop a collaborative SOP [standard operating procedure] to handle the new FTA and ensure they are ready to go as well.”
Henry points out that USMCA includes important changes to the rules of origin for specific industries, including automobiles, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, and cosmetics. He adds that businesses had been lacking final guidance on many issues until earlier this month, when the federal government published information detailing how the transition to USMCA will take place. The situation exacerbated an already challenging environment many companies were facing due to the Covid-19 pandemic, which created closures across supply chains.
“That is something that many industry leaders and private organizations were waiting on,” Henry said of the updated guidance. “[This tells us], specifically, how all this will take place. Having this now really allows for planning at a high level.”
The difference is in the documents
Kevin Doucette, director of North American trade policy and compliance at C.H. Robinson, says the transport of goods across borders should look relatively the same on July 1 as it does today. The key difference is in the documentation companies will use to claim USMCA compliance. The USMCA does not require a specific compliance form, as NAFTA does, and instead allows companies to make a claim in multiple formats, including electronically.
“Since this is not a formalized form … customs brokerage departments could have a difficult time determining where this information resides,” he explained, adding that “brokerage departments and customers should be collaborating on a [procedure] to ensure that a process is in place for a smooth transition. If not, you could see missed opportunities where a certification was present but a claim was not made or, conversely, a claim being made by a brokerage department with no certification in hand, [creating] a compliance issue.”
Henry agrees that initial disruptions may occur as companies work through the new processes and shift their supply base as needed based on sourcing requirements. He also agrees that communication and careful preparation will help ensure success amid the many other challenges facing the logistics sector.
“... shippers that are working proactively to address these challenges will be better suited for effective, compliant processes across their supply chains,” Henry said. “The pandemic continues to present challenges for shippers, especially now as the U.S. continues to reopen. We’re already seeing disruptions created by a combination of pent-up demand and the industry slowly coming back online. We’re working with customers right now to share daily market updates, and how market volatility is affecting capacity. We’re also navigating new routing guides to find opportunities in volume that didn’t exist before.”
Congestion on U.S. highways is costing the trucking industry big, according to research from the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI), released today.
The group found that traffic congestion on U.S. highways added $108.8 billion in costs to the trucking industry in 2022, a record high. The information comes from ATRI’s Cost of Congestion study, which is part of the organization’s ongoing highway performance measurement research.
Total hours of congestion fell slightly compared to 2021 due to softening freight market conditions, but the cost of operating a truck increased at a much higher rate, according to the research. As a result, the overall cost of congestion increased by 15% year-over-year—a level equivalent to more than 430,000 commercial truck drivers sitting idle for one work year and an average cost of $7,588 for every registered combination truck.
The analysis also identified metropolitan delays and related impacts, showing that the top 10 most-congested states each experienced added costs of more than $8 billion. That list was led by Texas, at $9.17 billion in added costs; California, at $8.77 billion; and Florida, $8.44 billion. Rounding out the top 10 list were New York, Georgia, New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and Tennessee. Combined, the top 10 states account for more than half of the trucking industry’s congestion costs nationwide—52%, according to the research.
The metro areas with the highest congestion costs include New York City, $6.68 billion; Miami, $3.2 billion; and Chicago, $3.14 billion.
ATRI’s analysis also found that the trucking industry wasted more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel fuel in 2022 due to congestion, resulting in additional fuel costs of $32.1 billion.
ATRI used a combination of data sources, including its truck GPS database and Operational Costs study benchmarks, to calculate the impacts of trucking delays on major U.S. roadways.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
DAT Freight & Analytics has acquired Trucker Tools, calling the deal a strategic move designed to combine Trucker Tools' approach to load tracking and carrier sourcing with DAT’s experience providing freight solutions.
Beaverton, Oregon-based DAT operates what it calls the largest truckload freight marketplace and truckload freight data analytics service in North America. Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but DAT is a business unit of the publicly traded, Fortune 1000-company Roper Technologies.
Following the deal, DAT said that brokers will continue to get load visibility and capacity tools for every load they manage, but now with greater resources for an enhanced suite of broker tools. And in turn, carriers will get the same lifestyle features as before—like weigh scales and fuel optimizers—but will also gain access to one of the largest networks of loads, making it easier for carriers to find the loads they want.
Trucker Tools CEO Kary Jablonski praised the deal, saying the firms are aligned in their goals to simplify and enhance the lives of brokers and carriers. “Through our strategic partnership with DAT, we are amplifying this mission on a greater scale, delivering enhanced solutions and transformative insights to our customers. This collaboration unlocks opportunities for speed, efficiency, and innovation for the freight industry. We are thrilled to align with DAT to advance their vision of eliminating uncertainty in the freight industry,” Jablonski said.
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.