In the face of an increasingly complex supply chain, experts point to data, automation, and flexibility as building blocks of a successful fulfillment strategy.
Victoria Kickham started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for DC Velocity.
Refining your order-fulfillment strategy is an ongoing process for most organizations, especially in light of the increasingly complex supply chains that companies find themselves in today. Satisfying demand for a wider range of products and ever-faster delivery is enough to keep most shippers busy evaluating new technology and equipment, and considering process changes that can help them whisk orders through the pipeline to the end-consumer. And although technology plays a larger role than ever in that process, experts caution that companies looking to make improvements should take a fundamentals-based approach to evaluating their fulfillment strategies in order to make the right moves.
Adrian Kumar, global head of operations science and analytics for third-party logistics service provider (3PL) DHL Supply Chain, explains that there are an infinite number of "solution sets" available to companies seeking to improve the fulfillment process, and he says it takes patience and a detailed approach to analyzing a company's needs and goals in order to chart the best course.
"We all hear what the industry leaders are doing," he says, pointing to the highly automated fulfillment centers of Amazon.com and other large e-commerce players that have made big investments in warehouse robotics. "[But for] someone whose warehouse has 30 or 40 people, that type of automation wouldn't pay off. [We say] 'Where are you on that spectrum and let's figure out what options are available to you.'"
Kumar and other supply chain experts offer three tips for evaluating your order-fulfillment strategy in 2020: start with data, be honest about your automation requirements, and embrace the flexibility of the technology solutions on the market today.
1. DRILL DOWN TO THE BEST DATA
The first step in evaluating your order-fulfillment strategy is to create a company profile. This can be done internally or as you are working with a 3PL or consultant. Essentially, management and operations personnel should answer a series of questions regarding the type and variety of orders the company receives (large retail or wholesale orders, e-commerce orders, or a combination), the size of items being handled (can a human pick it up?), how those orders are picked (batch, wave, or zone; manually, automatically, or some combination of the two), and how they are packaged and shipped. Answers to these questions can rule out many design options, according to Kumar.
"We need to collect data and look at the [customer's] profile to see what [its] warehouse should look like," Kumar explains. "Understanding the profile will make you go one way or the other."
Kumar points to storage requirements as an example. A warehouse that primarily ships pallets of a particular high-demand item will require a large storage area to accommodate the pallets. In comparison, a fashion retailer may have a large inventory that contains a limited number of each particular item, requiring a more segmented approach to storage. Each will require a different combination of material handling equipment and technology as well as the development of a tailored slotting strategy to maximize the efficiency of its fulfillment process. The data collected at the evaluation stage feeds all of those efforts, Kumar says.
Companies should also factor in their short- and long-term objectives. For example, is e-commerce a small but growing portion of the business? How quickly are you expecting to ramp up e-commerce sales? Also consider how seasonal peaks affect your fulfillment process; this is especially important in developing training programs that can get temporary employees up to speed with equipment and processes as quickly as possible.
"[You need to] understand all those different things as well," Kumar says.
On an even more fundamental level, what are the larger, "big picture" goals the company is trying to achieve? For some businesses, minimizing operating costs and/or capital investments is most important. For others, maximizing throughput capacity while maintaining the best service level may outweigh the high cost of investing in advanced automated equipment and systems. And for many companies, doing all of these things simultaneously may be the ultimate goal—creating a need to strike a balance between competing objectives, Kumar adds.
Gathering and processing data is a key part of providing analytics solutions, adds Arnaud Morvan, senior engagement director for Aera Technology, which uses machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) to develop cognitive automation software solutions for supply chain operations. Aera works with large brands in the consumer packaged goods (CPG), pharmaceutical, and medical-device industries, among others, and counts Johnson & Johnson, Merck, and Unilever among its customers. Morvan says the data-collection phase consists of gathering information from a company's various IT systems—enterprise resource planning (ERP), warehouse management software (WMS), and transportation management software (TMS), for example—and analyzing it to understand patterns and business performance. In Aera's case, combining analytics, AI, and process modeling allows the firm to deploy solutions that "understand" how a business works so that they can make recommendations, predict outcomes, and ultimately, act autonomously. Whether or not a company uses such advanced solutions, the data-gathering and analytics process opens the door to a critical component in developing a better fulfillment strategy: visibility.
"When we work with companies, we ask them 'What visibility do you have?'" Morvan explains, adding that organizations often are very "siloed" and lack visibility across their end-to-end supply chain. Drilling down and analyzing fulfillment-process data creates a "holistic" visibility that allows for better decision-making.
2. SET REALISTIC AUTOMATION GOALS
Determining the appropriate level of automation for a warehouse or fulfillment center is an important next step in the evaluation process. The ultimate strategy will depend on the data gathered in the profile stage, but experts say companies should be careful to look before they leap. For example, it's easy to get carried away with the idea of a fully automated goods-to-person picking system that will boost throughput and allow you to meet same- or next-day delivery goals, but if only a small portion of your business demands hyper-fast delivery, it may not make sense to invest in such a system, Kumar observes.
"You hear about [demand for] same-day, next-day delivery ... but depending on what you're selling, that might not be what matters most for your company. Every company may not need to set up a warehouse to accommodate that," Kumar explains.
That said, advanced solutions are beginning to make sense for a wider variety of companies, especially as businesses continue to deal with low unemployment rates and the resulting tight labor market, and as the cost of technology drops. November statistics from the Robotics Industries Association (RIA) help support that argument. The group said robot orders in North America rose 5.2% in the first three quarters of 2019 compared with the same period in 2018. Automakers drove the growth, increasing their orders by 47%, but the association says it is also seeing growing interest in robotics from a wide range of other companies, including those that have never invested the technology before.
"Orders from non-automotive customers remain near record numbers, a healthy sign for the long-term growth of the robotics industry," the association said in mid-November.
3. LEVERAGE TECHNOLOGICAL FLEXIBILITY
Companies should also consider the flexibility of today's automation and technology solutions—understanding that they don't need to start from scratch or reinvent the wheel when upgrading or revamping all or part of their fulfillment systems.
"The technology just gets better and better, and a lot more flexible," Kumar explains. "If you have a warehouse operation, you don't necessarily need to scrap the whole thing and put in some new automation and get rid of your entire layout. A lot of this technology is more collaborative in nature [today]."
Kumar points to a new breed of warehouse execution systems (WES) that can optimize and prioritize work to avoid congestion and shortages, and improve productivity. These systems require limited additional hardware and they work behind the scenes, directing work based on real-time feedback. For example, new high-priority orders can be inserted into operators' task queues without having to wait for the next wave to be released.
He points to robots that can work within a company's existing aisles and those that incorporate machine learning to improve navigation as further examples of how technology is becoming more collaborative.
"It's getting better and better all the time," Kumar says.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.