Tariffs, technology, slowing economy drive 3PLs to adapt — again
2020 is shaping up as a uniquely challenging time for freight brokers and third-party logistics service providers. Those who can adapt may find opportunities aplenty.
Gary Frantz is a contributing editor for DC Velocity and its sister publication, Supply Chain Xchange. He is a veteran communications executive with more than 30 years of experience in the transportation and logistics industries. He's served as communications director and strategic media relations counselor for companies including XPO Logistics, Con-way, Menlo Logistics, GT Nexus, Circle International Group, and Consolidated Freightways. Gary is currently principal of GNF Communications LLC, a consultancy providing freelance writing, editorial and media strategy services. He's a proud graduate of the Journalism program at California State University–Chico.
Third-party logistics service providers (3PLs) and freight brokers face another challenging year ahead. Among those challenges are the ongoing consequences of geopolitical events, the battle over tariff and trade policies, a global manufacturing and industrial sector that's tapping the brakes on output, new technologies disrupting traditional models, and difficulties in finding the next generation of logistics professionals—including truck drivers.
Above all else, shippers are looking to their 3PLs and brokers to be flexible, responsive, and creative in helping them overcome a myriad of supply chain challenges.
"There is an emphasis on supply chain agility, creating the ability to modify supply chains [quickly] to accommodate situational 'best cost,'" says Michael Labadie, global lead for automotive and industrial at Houston, Texas-based 3PL Crane Worldwide Logistics.
The impact of the trade war has been "increased cost pressure on transportation and increased focus on customs and importation practices," Labadie says, adding that as the tail end of 2019 approaches, demand for transportation and logistics services in North America and moving goods from China continues to soften. "I cannot emphasize enough that there are winners and losers in every change that is made in global trade," says Labadie. He believes 3PLs remain a key enabler that can help shippers sail through choppy trade waters and mitigate the worst impacts.
Jason Bergman is chief customer officer for Overland Park, Kansas-based YRC Worldwide and its logistics arm, HNRY Logistics. He agrees with Crane's Labadie that "supply chain flexibility is the most requested" capability sought by shippers today because of all the current market uncertainty. HNRY Logistics, Bergman says, specializes in "finding high-quality and consistent solutions" for customer supply chain needs. "The goal," he says, "is to create consistency and continuity" in any economic cycle.
HNRY Logistics is an "asset-backed" 3PL that has access to the capacity, coverage, and resources of its sister trucking units at YRC Worldwide. Bergman says the asset-backed model is a value differentiator. "At the end of the day, it's about consistent communication and a seamless experience for the customer. When you take our logistics arm and combine it with our assets, that provides a significant advantage," he says.
Going into the new year, what are three core issues that keep Bergman up at night? "Attracting and retaining quality talent. Managing our business in a time of economic uncertainty," and "managing in a more difficult regulatory environment," he says.
TOSSING OUT THE OLD PLAYBOOK
Flexibility and diversification are two qualities that Randy Sinker, vice president of commercial sales for Winnsboro, Texas-based 3PL Team Worldwide, says are critical to successful logistics service providers. "If you are a traditional freight forwarder and you don't diversify and become more flexible, you will go out of business," he says.
He cites the uncertainty of tariff and trade policies as well, which have made manufacturers reluctant to pursue investment and growth plans, and have reduced freight volumes, particularly air freight. Shippers also continue to embrace vendor consolidation strategies, winnowing down their list of suppliers to small teams of highly skilled and resourced core logistics suppliers. All of that means a 3PL's service portfolio has to stand out and demonstrate an ability to consistently solve an ever-growing list of supply chain challenges if the company hopes to stay in the game. "It's expensive [for shippers] to use different companies," says Sinker. "Those that can do more [for the shipper's supply chain] and who can think outside of the box will remain competitive and successful."
He adds that shippers, while still requiring competent performance of tactical logistics tasks, increasingly want strategy help. Sinker believes it's imperative for 3PLs to be able to "plan with customers for what's [expected to] happen a year from now, not [just] tomorrow's shipment."
Privately held Team Worldwide operates under the "agency" model, which Sinker believes is a unique strength. The company covers a broad swath of the supply chain: import/export ocean and air, customs brokerage, warehousing and distribution, and final mile. Sinker says chief among its strengths is an entrepreneurial culture, with each station having local ownership and control. "We tell customers we're large enough to service you and small enough to know you," he adds.
Unlike larger 3PLs, which are leaving smaller cities and consolidating operations in regional offices, Team Worldwide is expanding into secondary and tertiary markets, complementing its presence in key metro areas. The company has opened eight new offices in the last 22 months, currently has over 45 local branch offices within North America, and has additional expansion plans on the drawing board for 2020. "The biggest thing we push is service," says Sinker, citing the value of a flat organization with minimal bureaucracy and red tape. Decisions on operations and customer service are made "where the rubber meets the road at the branch level, with the branch owner."
THE VISIBILITY CHALLENGE
In addition to the strategic challenges, 3PLs and brokers face constant pressure on the technology front. The emergence of new tech providers such as Uber Freight, Convoy, and others hawking new digital brokerage platforms and visibility solutions has forever changed the logistics market—and forced traditional players to evolve and adapt.
That means a 3PL's or broker's tech platform has to be able to tap into—or otherwise effectively interact with—multiple transportation sources, management systems, order platforms, and online marketplaces. Industry executives say they're consequently faced with tough decisions about how to upgrade and modernize their technology platforms to support these new systems, which are becoming ingrained in normal supply chain operations. "If you don't, you'll be left behind," says one executive.
Geoff Turner, founder and chief executive officer of Preston, Maryland-based 3PL and freight broker Choptank Transport, is familiar with this dilemma. Turner says Choptank's top request from customers is for visibility into their loads—including where they are en route and if they'll meet the projected ETA. That's been a challenge, especially in a fragmented truckload market where some 80 percent of capacity is provided by thousands of "micro" carrier fleets of 10 or fewer trucks and independent owner-operators.
Like many progressive brokers and 3PLs, Choptank has been methodically investing in and improving the technology tools and capabilities his customers and carrier-partners want. In a given year, Choptank will engage with some 30,000 trucking service providers. To help customers navigate this complexity, Choptank deployed a visibility solution from Reston, Virginia-based Trucker Tools, which has increased carrier visibility compliance from less than 30% to consistently between 90% and 95% of loads, according to Turner.
"Those I speak with say not many [brokers and 3PLs] are seeing tracking success at this level. It's a benefit that goes directly to our customers and solves one of their most pressing needs," he says.
Logistics has always been an evolving and competitive space, with technology continually pushing the boundaries. But as Turner sees it, technology is not the whole story. One area where he says traditional brokers still have a value advantage is the tribal knowledge and expertise of skilled, experienced people, and the relationships they maintain with the carrier community.
"When there is an issue, they [carriers] really want to talk with someone," especially when exceptions come up or an issue arises at the shipper's dock. "It's that ability to [get on the phone with someone and] quickly resolve an issue" that might otherwise delay the driver or potentially cause harm to the shipper's supply chain. "Carriers are our customers too, and they want to work with people they know, trust, and like," so the personal connection, especially for managing exceptions and solving urgent issues, still makes a difference, Turner says.
EMERGENCE OF "MARKETPLACE SYSTEMS"
Greg Aimi, research vice president with Gartner Inc., has trod the logistics business's winding path for nearly 30 years, running software companies, managing logistics operations, and studying the market as a research analyst. He sees this most recent revolution of digital transportation platforms diverging into two models.
In one model, companies are essentially "coming up and saying your people-based [approach] is unnecessary. The whole process can be automated." These tech platforms, Aimi believes, are disintermediating the traditional broker. They are licensed brokers who are "allowing demand to source supply through their network. I can connect the parties automatically ... and let the constituent parties work together directly." In this case, the "platform" is doing the transaction.
In the other model, companies are essentially taking the current traditional brokerage model and automating the process of freight matching, booking capacity, and tracking loads. Aimi describes these as "marketplace systems," which engage multiple carriers and brokers, "enabling platforms where the constituents are doing the transactions themselves" and carriers are working on the platform with brokerage houses "to quickly provide [and secure] quoted capacity."
He notes that one of the biggest benefits to a carrier of this third-party multiparty platform model is a one-to-many relationship. "As someone [a carrier] who has capacity, I can put myself on many networks, but I prefer this [multiparty, multibroker] one because it is low cost, it's more lively, and I get [automated] matching of supply and demand" that can be refined and targeted to a specific geography, city, lane, or type of load, he explains. In this case, the parties themselves still participate in the transaction but with the support of automated, intelligent systems. It's also easier and less time-consuming for the carrier to manage versus being on multiple single-use platforms.
He says it is an enabling marketplace of supply and demand in which small to mid-market brokerage players can jump on the platform and have the same technology power as the big digital guys, but still with the benefit—and advantage—of what Aimi calls "customer touch."
The network is the "big deal," Aimi says. But when it's all said and done, for traditional brokers and 3PLs, "customer touch will [continue to] make them different."
Autonomous forklift maker Cyngn is deploying its DriveMod Tugger model at COATS Company, the largest full-line wheel service equipment manufacturer in North America, the companies said today.
By delivering the self-driving tuggers to COATS’ 150,000+ square foot manufacturing facility in La Vergne, Tennessee, Cyngn said it would enable COATS to enhance efficiency by automating the delivery of wheel service components from its production lines.
“Cyngn’s self-driving tugger was the perfect solution to support our strategy of advancing automation and incorporating scalable technology seamlessly into our operations,” Steve Bergmeyer, Continuous Improvement and Quality Manager at COATS, said in a release. “With its high load capacity, we can concentrate on increasing our ability to manage heavier components and bulk orders, driving greater efficiency, reducing costs, and accelerating delivery timelines.”
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but it follows another deployment of DriveMod Tuggers with electric automaker Rivian earlier this year.
Manufacturing and logistics workers are raising a red flag over workplace quality issues according to industry research released this week.
A comparative study of more than 4,000 workers from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia found that manufacturing and logistics workers say they have seen colleagues reduce the quality of their work and not follow processes in the workplace over the past year, with rates exceeding the overall average by 11% and 8%, respectively.
The study—the Resilience Nation report—was commissioned by UK-based regulatory and compliance software company Ideagen, and it polled workers in industries such as energy, aviation, healthcare, and financial services. The results “explore the major threats and macroeconomic factors affecting people today, providing perspectives on resilience across global landscapes,” according to the authors.
According to the study, 41% of manufacturing and logistics workers said they’d witnessed their peers hiding mistakes, and 45% said they’ve observed coworkers cutting corners due to apathy—9% above the average. The results also showed that workers are seeing colleagues take safety risks: More than a third of respondents said they’ve seen people putting themselves in physical danger at work.
The authors said growing pressure inside and outside of the workplace are to blame for the lack of diligence and resiliency on the job. Internally, workers say they are under pressure to deliver more despite reduced capacity. Among the external pressures, respondents cited the rising cost of living as the biggest problem (39%), closely followed by inflation rates, supply chain challenges, and energy prices.
“People are being asked to deliver more at work when their resilience is being challenged by economic and political headwinds,” Ideagen’s CEO Ben Dorks said in a statement announcing the findings. “Ultimately, this is having a determinantal impact on business productivity, workplace health and safety, and the quality of work produced, as well as further reducing the resilience of the nation at large.”
Respondents said they believe technology will eventually alleviate some of the stress occurring in manufacturing and logistics, however.
“People are optimistic that emerging tech and AI will ultimately lighten the load, but they’re not yet feeling the benefits,” Dorks added. “It’s a gap that now, more than ever, business leaders must look to close and support their workforce to ensure their staff remain safe and compliance needs are met across the business.”
The “2024 Year in Review” report lists the various transportation delays, freight volume restrictions, and infrastructure repair costs of a long string of events. Those disruptions include labor strikes at Canadian ports and postal sites, the U.S. East and Gulf coast port strike; hurricanes Helene, Francine, and Milton; the Francis Scott key Bridge collapse in Baltimore Harbor; the CrowdStrike cyber attack; and Red Sea missile attacks on passing cargo ships.
“While 2024 was characterized by frequent and overlapping disruptions that exposed many supply chain vulnerabilities, it was also a year of resilience,” the Project44 report said. “From labor strikes and natural disasters to geopolitical tensions, each event served as a critical learning opportunity, underscoring the necessity for robust contingency planning, effective labor relations, and durable infrastructure. As supply chains continue to evolve, the lessons learned this past year highlight the increased importance of proactive measures and collaborative efforts. These strategies are essential to fostering stability and adaptability in a world where unpredictability is becoming the norm.”
In addition to tallying the supply chain impact of those events, the report also made four broad predictions for trends in 2025 that may affect logistics operations. In Project44’s analysis, they include:
More technology and automation will be introduced into supply chains, particularly ports. This will help make operations more efficient but also increase the risk of cybersecurity attacks and service interruptions due to glitches and bugs. This could also add tensions among the labor pool and unions, who do not want jobs to be replaced with automation.
The new administration in the United States introduces a lot of uncertainty, with talks of major tariffs for numerous countries as well as talks of US freight getting preferential treatment through the Panama Canal. If these things do come to fruition, expect to see shifts in global trade patterns and sourcing.
Natural disasters will continue to become more frequent and more severe, as exhibited by the wildfires in Los Angeles and the winter storms throughout the southern states in the U.S. As a result, expect companies to invest more heavily in sustainability to mitigate climate change.
The peace treaty announced on Wednesday between Isael and Hamas in the Middle East could support increased freight volumes returning to the Suez Canal as political crisis in the area are resolved.
The French transportation visibility provider Shippeo today said it has raised $30 million in financial backing, saying the money will support its accelerated expansion across North America and APAC, while driving enhancements to its “Real-Time Transportation Visibility Platform” product.
The funding round was led by Woven Capital, Toyota’s growth fund, with participation from existing investors: Battery Ventures, Partech, NGP Capital, Bpifrance Digital Venture, LFX Venture Partners, Shift4Good and Yamaha Motor Ventures. With this round, Shippeo’s total funding exceeds $140 million.
Shippeo says it offers real-time shipment tracking across all transport modes, helping companies create sustainable, resilient supply chains. Its platform enables users to reduce logistics-related carbon emissions by making informed trade-offs between modes and carriers based on carbon footprint data.
"Global supply chains are facing unprecedented complexity, and real-time transport visibility is essential for building resilience” Prashant Bothra, Principal at Woven Capital, who is joining the Shippeo board, said in a release. “Shippeo’s platform empowers businesses to proactively address disruptions by transforming fragmented operations into streamlined, data-driven processes across all transport modes, offering precise tracking and predictive ETAs at scale—capabilities that would be resource-intensive to develop in-house. We are excited to support Shippeo’s journey to accelerate digitization while enhancing cost efficiency, planning accuracy, and customer experience across the supply chain.”
Donald Trump has been clear that he plans to hit the ground running after his inauguration on January 20, launching ambitious plans that could have significant repercussions for global supply chains.
As Mark Baxa, CSCMP president and CEO, says in the executive forward to the white paper, the incoming Trump Administration and a majority Republican congress are “poised to reshape trade policies, regulatory frameworks, and the very fabric of how we approach global commerce.”
The paper is written by import/export expert Thomas Cook, managing director for Blue Tiger International, a U.S.-based supply chain management consulting company that focuses on international trade. Cook is the former CEO of American River International in New York and Apex Global Logistics Supply Chain Operation in Los Angeles and has written 19 books on global trade.
In the paper, Cook, of course, takes a close look at tariff implications and new trade deals, emphasizing that Trump will seek revisions that will favor U.S. businesses and encourage manufacturing to return to the U.S. The paper, however, also looks beyond global trade to addresses topics such as Trump’s tougher stance on immigration and the possibility of mass deportations, greater support of Israel in the Middle East, proposals for increased energy production and mining, and intent to end the war in the Ukraine.
In general, Cook believes that many of the administration’s new policies will be beneficial to the overall economy. He does warn, however, that some policies will be disruptive and add risk and cost to global supply chains.
In light of those risks and possible disruptions, Cook’s paper offers 14 recommendations. Some of which include:
Create a team responsible for studying the changes Trump will introduce when he takes office;
Attend trade shows and make connections with vendors, suppliers, and service providers who can help you navigate those changes;
Consider becoming C-TPAT (Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism) certified to help mitigate potential import/export issues;
Adopt a risk management mindset and shift from focusing on lowest cost to best value for your spend;
Increase collaboration with internal and external partners;
Expect warehousing costs to rise in the short term as companies look to bring in foreign-made goods ahead of tariffs;
Expect greater scrutiny from U.S. Customs and Border Patrol of origin statements for imports in recognition of attempts by some Chinese manufacturers to evade U.S. import policies;
Reduce dependency on China for sourcing; and
Consider manufacturing and/or sourcing in the United States.
Cook advises readers to expect a loosening up of regulations and a reduction in government under Trump. He warns that while some world leaders will look to work with Trump, others will take more of a defiant stance. As a result, companies should expect to see retaliatory tariffs and duties on exports.
Cook concludes by offering advice to the incoming administration, including being sensitive to the effect retaliatory tariffs can have on American exports, working on federal debt reduction, and considering promoting free trade zones. He also proposes an ambitious water works program through the Army Corps of Engineers.