Contributing Editor Toby Gooley is a writer and editor specializing in supply chain, logistics, and material handling, and a lecturer at MIT's Center for Transportation & Logistics. She previously was Senior Editor at DC VELOCITY and Editor of DCV's sister publication, CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly. Prior to joining AGiLE Business Media in 2007, she spent 20 years at Logistics Management magazine as Managing Editor and Senior Editor covering international trade and transportation. Prior to that she was an export traffic manager for 10 years. She holds a B.A. in Asian Studies from Cornell University.
Earlier this year, World Customs Organization (WCO) Secretary General Kunio Mikuriya spoke of e-commerce bringing a "tsunami of small packages to the doorsteps of customs administrations and other regulatory agencies around the world." Mikuriya was not exaggerating.
Millions of international packages are shipped to consumers daily, and that volume is rising fast. E-Commerce Logistics in the United States, a 2018 report by the market research firm Armstrong & Associates, says cross-border e-commerce today accounts for 15 to 20 percent of the world's online traffic. Growing at about twice the rate of domestic e-commerce, it's expected to represent 22 percent of global online sales by 2020, the report says. The surge is straining customs operations and creating challenges for authorities around the globe.
WHO GOES THERE?
Historically, customs agencies have dealt with large-scale industrial transactions between established companies that are known to government authorities. But the Internet makes it easy for even the smallest businesses and entrepreneurs to sell their wares overseas. As a result, business-to-consumer (B2C) transactions often involve "one-off" orders shipped by companies or individuals that customs authorities may not know and that are bound for individuals who are also unfamiliar. This has made it harder for authorities to identify criminals and fraudulent activity, including duty evasion, smuggling, and improperly described goods.
Furthermore, e-commerce has created a new category of casual buyers and sellers with limited knowledge of export/import processes and regulations. Consequently, documentation, product descriptions, and declared values for B2C shipments often are incomplete or inaccurate.
In such circumstances, imports can be flagged for review and held up for hours, or even days. But e-commerce merchants who compete on timely deliveries are anxious to keep merchandise moving. That puts pressure on customs authorities to clear shipments quickly, sometimes without sufficient staffing to handle the huge growth in volume, said Amy Magnus, president of the National Customs Brokers & Forwarders Association of America (NCBFAA) and director of customs affairs and compliance for customs broker A.N. Deringer, at the Coalition of New England Companies for Trade's (CONECT) Northeast Trade & Transportation Conference in April.
THE DE MINIMIS DILEMMA
For U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), perhaps the biggest issue is that many e-commerce orders fall below the de minimis value threshold. That means the shipment's value is so low that it's exempt from duties and only minimal information must be provided to CBP when the goods enter the United States.
Under the Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015 (TFTEA), Congress raised the U.S. de minimis for merchandise to $800 from $200, with the aim of reducing paperwork and speeding up customs clearance for small shipments. That change has led to a series of problems, creating what the NCBFAA has called the "de minimis dilemma."
The new threshold made millions of additional shipments eligible for the documentation and duty exemptions, and therefore a potential source of risk. The identity of the receiver is required, but that of the buyer, which may differ from the receiver, is not. This makes it harder for CBP to screen importers for wrongdoing. Nor is the Harmonized Tariff System (HTS) commodity-identification code required; a written description is deemed sufficient.
The incomplete information constrains customs authorities' ability to collect trade data for economic analysis and to identify imports that violate intellectual property law. Magnus pointed out that other government agencies relying on import data supplied by CBP might not receive sufficient information to carry out their own assessments. However, CBP and other federal agencies can still require formal entries and inspections for certain imports, such as those that are subject to quotas.
The updated regulation regarding de minimis, popularly referred to as "Section 321," says that the exemption from duties, taxes, and most customs-clearance formalities can be claimed for articles "imported by one person on one day" with a "fair retail value in the country of shipment" of $800 or less. It also says that merchandise covered by a single order or contract that is shipped in separate lots to avoid duties does not qualify for de minimis. This has been difficult to enforce, partly due to ambiguity surrounding the definition of "one person" and to shippers' ability to manipulate shipments to meet the "one order" criterion.
Some third-party logistics service providers (3PLs) have set up fulfillment centers in Mexico and Canada that are "filled with goods, waiting for e-commerce orders" specifically to take advantage of the $800 threshold, Magnus said. One example is XB Fulfillment, which says it offers "a legal way to completely eliminate duties" under Section 321.
In one example from the company's brochure, merchandise imported in container or pallet loads via air or ocean to Los Angeles moves immediately in-bond to XB's warehouse in Tijuana, Mexico, and thus is not subject to U.S. import duties. When an e-commerce order is received from a client, XB says, it ships the order from Tijuana to meet the promised delivery times to the end consumer in the U.S. According to the brochure, the shipment is considered duty-free as long as each order is sent to an individual buyer/consignee, each consignee receives no more than one shipment per day, each consignee receives a separate commercial invoice, and the value of each order does not exceed $800.
While such practices—akin to taking advantage of a tax loophole—appear to comply with the letter of the law, they may also create problems. For instance, some shipments may violate the rule that merchandise under a single order or contract that is shipped in separate lots to avoid duties does not qualify for de minimis.
These low-value orders often are consolidated and shipped in truckloads to the United States. Currently, according to Magnus, if a truck arrives in the U.S. from Canada or Mexico and no shipment or consignment on that truck is valued at over $800, and the goods are not otherwise subject to other U.S. federal agencies' requirements, then no advance notice is required and the driver can simply present a paper manifest to CBP at the border. (However, if even one shipment on the truck is valued at over $800, then the carrier must transmit the manifest electronically to CBP at least one hour in advance of arrival.) Additionally, if, according to the manifest, every shipment on the truck meets the de minimis criteria, then no formal entry is required and no HTS numbers need appear on that document. The carrier is responsible for preparing the manifest based in part on information received from the foreign shipper(s). That information may well be incomplete, a common problem with e-commerce shipments. For example, a description of "plastic bags" could represent anything from food packaging to parts of medical devices; without an HTS number, it's impossible to know.
This situation places customs officers in a difficult position when it comes to regulatory compliance, security, and risk assessment, said an unidentified CBP officer who was in the audience at the CONECT conference. An officer must figure out what to do with no advance notice, very little information, and a thick pile of paper to work from, he said. "The officer is forced to make a decision: Do we delay the truck, and thousands of small packages, to inspect them? That would take a whole day."
Without access to detailed information or advance notice of a shipment's arrival, customs authorities are hampered in their efforts to target suspicious shipments, Magnus agreed, adding, "Low value does not mean low risk."
SEARCHING FOR REMEDIES
With millions of low-value packages shipping daily, the potential lost revenue and lack of data could have significant consequences. Trade data in countries with large e-commerce volumes has already become distorted due to the large number of de minimis shipments, according to WCO officials.
Authorities are well aware of the problems, and a variety of potential remedies are currently under discussion. For example:
In February, attendees at the WCO's first-ever Global Cross-Border E-Commerce Conference endorsed a proposed e-commerce framework that would standardize and harmonize customs regulations and legislative approaches, establish mechanisms for the exchange of advance electronic data, and enhance security, among other goals. The WCO working group that proposed the framework is also advocating for simplified processing for e-commerce shipments but with more data points and detail than most countries currently require.
NCBFAA, the customs brokers and forwarders group, has urged CBP to establish an electronic entry solution for de minimis shipments within the Automated Commercial Environment (ACE), an information system designed for enforcement of customs regulations and risk-based targeting of inbound shipments.
CBP in March released an e-commerce strategy it developed with input from the Commercial Customs Operations Advisory Committee (COAC). That plan would enhance legal and regulatory authorities to better address threats, help affected CBP operations respond to the rapid growth of e-commerce, and drive private-sector compliance through enforcement and incentives. However, COAC, which includes a cross-section of trade stakeholders, did not agree with CBP on several proposals, such as filing Section 321 entries in ACE and the amount of detail to be required for product descriptions.
Governments inevitably will try to prevent e-commerce shippers from avoiding duties and taxes, wrote Chris Jones, an executive vice president at logistics software developer Descartes Systems Group, in a blog post earlier this year. Jones predicts that sellers will be required to provide information to help governments assess and collect duties, and that carriers and logistics service providers could be required to help enforce laws and collect duties on customs agencies' behalf.
It's hard to say which of these and other proposed responses to e-commerce problems will actually be implemented. But given the spectacular growth of cross-border e-commerce, and with national security and revenue at stake, international traders should be prepared for customs authorities around the world to take aggressive action sooner rather than later.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
A Canadian startup that provides AI-powered logistics solutions has gained $5.5 million in seed funding to support its concept of creating a digital platform for global trade, according to Toronto-based Starboard.
The round was led by Eclipse, with participation from previous backers Garuda Ventures and Everywhere Ventures. The firm says it will use its new backing to expand its engineering team in Toronto and accelerate its AI-driven product development to simplify supply chain complexities.
According to Starboard, the logistics industry is under immense pressure to adapt to the growing complexity of global trade, which has hit recent hurdles such as the strike at U.S. east and gulf coast ports. That situation calls for innovative solutions to streamline operations and reduce costs for operators.
As a potential solution, Starboard offers its flagship product, which it defines as an AI-based transportation management system (TMS) and rate management system that helps mid-sized freight forwarders operate more efficiently and win more business. More broadly, Starboard says it is building the virtual infrastructure for global trade, allowing freight companies to leverage AI and machine learning to optimize operations such as processing shipments in real time, reconciling invoices, and following up on payments.
"This investment is a pivotal step in our mission to unlock the power of AI for our customers," said Sumeet Trehan, Co-Founder and CEO of Starboard. "Global trade has long been plagued by inefficiencies that drive up costs and reduce competitiveness. Our platform is designed to empower SMB freight forwarders—the backbone of more than $20 trillion in global trade and $1 trillion in logistics spend—with the tools they need to thrive in this complex ecosystem."
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.