Contributing Editor Toby Gooley is a writer and editor specializing in supply chain, logistics, and material handling, and a lecturer at MIT's Center for Transportation & Logistics. She previously was Senior Editor at DC VELOCITY and Editor of DCV's sister publication, CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly. Prior to joining AGiLE Business Media in 2007, she spent 20 years at Logistics Management magazine as Managing Editor and Senior Editor covering international trade and transportation. Prior to that she was an export traffic manager for 10 years. She holds a B.A. in Asian Studies from Cornell University.
Earlier this year, World Customs Organization (WCO) Secretary General Kunio Mikuriya spoke of e-commerce bringing a "tsunami of small packages to the doorsteps of customs administrations and other regulatory agencies around the world." Mikuriya was not exaggerating.
Millions of international packages are shipped to consumers daily, and that volume is rising fast. E-Commerce Logistics in the United States, a 2018 report by the market research firm Armstrong & Associates, says cross-border e-commerce today accounts for 15 to 20 percent of the world's online traffic. Growing at about twice the rate of domestic e-commerce, it's expected to represent 22 percent of global online sales by 2020, the report says. The surge is straining customs operations and creating challenges for authorities around the globe.
WHO GOES THERE?
Historically, customs agencies have dealt with large-scale industrial transactions between established companies that are known to government authorities. But the Internet makes it easy for even the smallest businesses and entrepreneurs to sell their wares overseas. As a result, business-to-consumer (B2C) transactions often involve "one-off" orders shipped by companies or individuals that customs authorities may not know and that are bound for individuals who are also unfamiliar. This has made it harder for authorities to identify criminals and fraudulent activity, including duty evasion, smuggling, and improperly described goods.
Furthermore, e-commerce has created a new category of casual buyers and sellers with limited knowledge of export/import processes and regulations. Consequently, documentation, product descriptions, and declared values for B2C shipments often are incomplete or inaccurate.
In such circumstances, imports can be flagged for review and held up for hours, or even days. But e-commerce merchants who compete on timely deliveries are anxious to keep merchandise moving. That puts pressure on customs authorities to clear shipments quickly, sometimes without sufficient staffing to handle the huge growth in volume, said Amy Magnus, president of the National Customs Brokers & Forwarders Association of America (NCBFAA) and director of customs affairs and compliance for customs broker A.N. Deringer, at the Coalition of New England Companies for Trade's (CONECT) Northeast Trade & Transportation Conference in April.
THE DE MINIMIS DILEMMA
For U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), perhaps the biggest issue is that many e-commerce orders fall below the de minimis value threshold. That means the shipment's value is so low that it's exempt from duties and only minimal information must be provided to CBP when the goods enter the United States.
Under the Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015 (TFTEA), Congress raised the U.S. de minimis for merchandise to $800 from $200, with the aim of reducing paperwork and speeding up customs clearance for small shipments. That change has led to a series of problems, creating what the NCBFAA has called the "de minimis dilemma."
The new threshold made millions of additional shipments eligible for the documentation and duty exemptions, and therefore a potential source of risk. The identity of the receiver is required, but that of the buyer, which may differ from the receiver, is not. This makes it harder for CBP to screen importers for wrongdoing. Nor is the Harmonized Tariff System (HTS) commodity-identification code required; a written description is deemed sufficient.
The incomplete information constrains customs authorities' ability to collect trade data for economic analysis and to identify imports that violate intellectual property law. Magnus pointed out that other government agencies relying on import data supplied by CBP might not receive sufficient information to carry out their own assessments. However, CBP and other federal agencies can still require formal entries and inspections for certain imports, such as those that are subject to quotas.
The updated regulation regarding de minimis, popularly referred to as "Section 321," says that the exemption from duties, taxes, and most customs-clearance formalities can be claimed for articles "imported by one person on one day" with a "fair retail value in the country of shipment" of $800 or less. It also says that merchandise covered by a single order or contract that is shipped in separate lots to avoid duties does not qualify for de minimis. This has been difficult to enforce, partly due to ambiguity surrounding the definition of "one person" and to shippers' ability to manipulate shipments to meet the "one order" criterion.
Some third-party logistics service providers (3PLs) have set up fulfillment centers in Mexico and Canada that are "filled with goods, waiting for e-commerce orders" specifically to take advantage of the $800 threshold, Magnus said. One example is XB Fulfillment, which says it offers "a legal way to completely eliminate duties" under Section 321.
In one example from the company's brochure, merchandise imported in container or pallet loads via air or ocean to Los Angeles moves immediately in-bond to XB's warehouse in Tijuana, Mexico, and thus is not subject to U.S. import duties. When an e-commerce order is received from a client, XB says, it ships the order from Tijuana to meet the promised delivery times to the end consumer in the U.S. According to the brochure, the shipment is considered duty-free as long as each order is sent to an individual buyer/consignee, each consignee receives no more than one shipment per day, each consignee receives a separate commercial invoice, and the value of each order does not exceed $800.
While such practices—akin to taking advantage of a tax loophole—appear to comply with the letter of the law, they may also create problems. For instance, some shipments may violate the rule that merchandise under a single order or contract that is shipped in separate lots to avoid duties does not qualify for de minimis.
These low-value orders often are consolidated and shipped in truckloads to the United States. Currently, according to Magnus, if a truck arrives in the U.S. from Canada or Mexico and no shipment or consignment on that truck is valued at over $800, and the goods are not otherwise subject to other U.S. federal agencies' requirements, then no advance notice is required and the driver can simply present a paper manifest to CBP at the border. (However, if even one shipment on the truck is valued at over $800, then the carrier must transmit the manifest electronically to CBP at least one hour in advance of arrival.) Additionally, if, according to the manifest, every shipment on the truck meets the de minimis criteria, then no formal entry is required and no HTS numbers need appear on that document. The carrier is responsible for preparing the manifest based in part on information received from the foreign shipper(s). That information may well be incomplete, a common problem with e-commerce shipments. For example, a description of "plastic bags" could represent anything from food packaging to parts of medical devices; without an HTS number, it's impossible to know.
This situation places customs officers in a difficult position when it comes to regulatory compliance, security, and risk assessment, said an unidentified CBP officer who was in the audience at the CONECT conference. An officer must figure out what to do with no advance notice, very little information, and a thick pile of paper to work from, he said. "The officer is forced to make a decision: Do we delay the truck, and thousands of small packages, to inspect them? That would take a whole day."
Without access to detailed information or advance notice of a shipment's arrival, customs authorities are hampered in their efforts to target suspicious shipments, Magnus agreed, adding, "Low value does not mean low risk."
SEARCHING FOR REMEDIES
With millions of low-value packages shipping daily, the potential lost revenue and lack of data could have significant consequences. Trade data in countries with large e-commerce volumes has already become distorted due to the large number of de minimis shipments, according to WCO officials.
Authorities are well aware of the problems, and a variety of potential remedies are currently under discussion. For example:
In February, attendees at the WCO's first-ever Global Cross-Border E-Commerce Conference endorsed a proposed e-commerce framework that would standardize and harmonize customs regulations and legislative approaches, establish mechanisms for the exchange of advance electronic data, and enhance security, among other goals. The WCO working group that proposed the framework is also advocating for simplified processing for e-commerce shipments but with more data points and detail than most countries currently require.
NCBFAA, the customs brokers and forwarders group, has urged CBP to establish an electronic entry solution for de minimis shipments within the Automated Commercial Environment (ACE), an information system designed for enforcement of customs regulations and risk-based targeting of inbound shipments.
CBP in March released an e-commerce strategy it developed with input from the Commercial Customs Operations Advisory Committee (COAC). That plan would enhance legal and regulatory authorities to better address threats, help affected CBP operations respond to the rapid growth of e-commerce, and drive private-sector compliance through enforcement and incentives. However, COAC, which includes a cross-section of trade stakeholders, did not agree with CBP on several proposals, such as filing Section 321 entries in ACE and the amount of detail to be required for product descriptions.
Governments inevitably will try to prevent e-commerce shippers from avoiding duties and taxes, wrote Chris Jones, an executive vice president at logistics software developer Descartes Systems Group, in a blog post earlier this year. Jones predicts that sellers will be required to provide information to help governments assess and collect duties, and that carriers and logistics service providers could be required to help enforce laws and collect duties on customs agencies' behalf.
It's hard to say which of these and other proposed responses to e-commerce problems will actually be implemented. But given the spectacular growth of cross-border e-commerce, and with national security and revenue at stake, international traders should be prepared for customs authorities around the world to take aggressive action sooner rather than later.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.