It's been nearly a decade since DHL ceased domestic U.S. express service. Its future success here will depend on executing in a very different delivery environment.
Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
Inside the halls of delivery giant DHL, the Jan. 30, 2009, termination of its money-hemorrhaging domestic U.S. express service is characterized as a "repositioning" and not a withdrawal. Semantics aside, it was a humbling blow to a company that had known little but resounding successes during its first 40 years.
Yet with those billions of dollars in losses came understanding. DHL Express returned to its original model, where the U.S. was one node in the company's 220-country air and ground delivery network, by far the world's largest. From the 2009 date on, all U.S. pickups and deliveries would have an international origin or destination.
Results over the subsequent years appear to bear out the wisdom of the move: Since 2013, its U.S. inbound volumes have risen 13 percent, compounded annually. Outbound volumes increased at an 8- to 10-percent compound annual rate from 2010 to 2017. Annual revenue compounded annually by 9 percent over that time.
DHL Express today averages 200,000 daily shipments moving to and from the U.S., roughly double its 2009 totals. In 2017, a rare year of synchronized global growth, outbound U.S. revenues rose by 14 percent over the prior year. U.S. daily inbound shipments grew 16 percent in 2017. Through May, inbound traffic is up 14 percent relative to the same period a year ago.
What may surprise those who perceived that DHL Express had abandoned the U.S. is that its footprint has expanded since it ended the domestic service. Today, the U.S. business employs about 10,000 people, roughly doubling its work force from 2009. It operates 4,300 vehicles, up from 2,500 in 2009. It has between 105 and 110 U.S. service centers today, compared with 95 in 2009.
Besides the improving U.S. and global economies and a more appropriate alignment with the rest of the DHL network, the U.S. unit's express operation has benefited from what would first be a nascent and then a dramatic increase in global e-commerce traffic. Today, e-commerce accounts for 40 percent of its outbound revenue. Six out of every 10 total domestic shipments it handles has a residential component. That is a far cry from DHL Express's near-exclusive reliance on domestic business-to-business (B2B) traffic nearly a decade ago.
If the DHL business units (besides Express, it has a large contract logistics business called DHL Supply Chain; DHL eCommerce, a dedicated e-commerce operation that works closely with the U.S. Postal Service (USPS); and a freight forwarding and logistics service called DHL Global Forwarding) are to sustain their U.S. success, e-commerce will likely be the talisman. According to SJ Consulting, a transport consultancy, about 38 percent of all U.S. parcels today move in distances of less than 300 miles, up from 29 percent in 2008. The weight of the average domestic shipment has declined by 17 percent over that time, according to SJ data. This reflects a migration to lighter and localized shipments triggered by more e-commerce activity, said Mark D'Amico, an analyst for the firm.
It also demonstrates a dramatic change in mix. For example, parcels today account for about 90 percent of DHL eCommerce Americas' current shipments, according to Lee Spratt, CEO of its Americas operations. A decade ago, Spratt said in a phone interview last month, virtually all of the unit's shipments consisted of large envelopes, newsletters, and magazines known in postal lingo as "flats." To reflect the change, the unit was rebranded in 2014 from DHL Global Mail, which had been in the U.S. market since 2004.
To put the market shifts in perspective, e-tailer giant Amazon.com Inc. today handles four times the U.S. volumes per year that DHL Express did in 2007, according to SJ data. In another sign of the times, DHL Express manages Amazon's daytime sortation operations at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, which Amazon is sharing as its temporary air hub until its own hub there is operational sometime in 2020.
"STRATEGY 2020"
Dominating global e-commerce logistics is one of the two core components of DHL's broad mission known as "Strategy 2020" (the other component is expanding within developing economies). Given its mandate, and because e-commerce is broadening beyond the small-package segment to include heavier, more industrial-type goods, all of DHL's components will have to operate in sync in order to maximize its value.
"We will need to be a full-service provider" to hit all of business's e-commerce needs, said Spratt, whose unit moves 400 million parcels a year in the Americas (most of them in the U.S. through a partnership with the USPS), in a phone interview.
While offering end-to-end services sounds good in concept, it could present a challenge in the execution. That's because each business unit has its own culture, a different service niche, and, perhaps most important, its own operating platform. The siloed model has been by design. DHL Express, for instance, offers time-definite service in the U.S. with an international origin and destination point, whereas DHL eCommerce interacts with USPS for domestic services that aren't time-specific and are offered at a lower price point. Integrating the sales, marketing, and IT (information technology) services for different types of customers could create more problems than it solves.
Spratt said DHL is working with third-party software developers to build more connectivity across its disparate business units. "It's a huge focus for us," he said.
To be sure, there are areas of cooperation. DHL has a dedicated unit that cross-sells its portfolio to big shippers. In addition, the Americas e-commerce unit uses space in four of DHL Supply Chain's fulfillment centers—Columbus, Ohio; Mexico City; Los Angeles; and Newark, N.J., which was scheduled to open around mid-July. The e-commerce unit also leverages its sister unit's technology, according to Spratt.
If there is one product that underscores how DHL is reacting to the changing times, it is "Parcel Metro," which was launched last March in Chicago. Run by the e-commerce unit, Parcel Metro provides e-commerce deliveries without utilizing DHL vans or drivers. Instead, it relies on local and regional professional delivery firms as well as a cast of crowdsourced citizen drivers and their vehicles, both of which are vetted by DHL before hitting the road.
DHL's goal is to use its brand and technology to build credibility with retailers and their third-party e-commerce partners such as Shopify. DHL also wants to attract a critical mass of qualified drivers who can cover as much geography as possible. In addition to Chicago, the product has been rolled out in New York, Dallas, and Los Angeles. It was expected to be launched in Atlanta at this writing, and will be available in San Francisco and Washington, D.C., later in the year.
Perhaps most important, DHL has gotten the jump on rivals FedEx Corp. and UPS Inc., neither of which has a similar product. If it succeeds, Parcel Metro is likely to boost the DHL unit's 2 percent share of the U.S.-origin e-commerce delivery market.
One unit that is unlikely to leverage Parcel Metro, however, is DHL Express. Its U.S. operations are unionized, and it's hard to imagine the Teamsters union going along with such a concept. What's more, Greg Hewitt, the CEO of the unit's U.S. operations, said in a separate interview that the DHL name is too powerful not to be as visible as possible. "We see great value in the DHL-branded vehicle," he said.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.