Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
Rays of sun are often found in even the cloudiest skies. In today's trucking industry, the cloud formations are dark and thick, as a super-tight capacity climate caused by shortages of equipment and drivers, compliance with new federal regulations, and an uptick in demand has sent rates soaring, truckers scrambling, and shippers and intermediaries groaning.
The sunray? This business has a knack for building better mousetraps.
Take P&S Transportation, a Birmingham, Ala.-based company ranked by industry journal Transport Topics as the country's fourth-largest flatbed carrier, with a fleet of more than 2,500 power units. Until seven years ago, P&S had one type of business: asset-based carriage. But co-founder and CEO Scott Smith wanted to add value to customer relationships. In addition, he wanted to mitigate the impact of the next capacity-tightening cycle, whenever it struck.
Smith hit on an unconventional strategy. P&S would offer select shippers a chance to take full or partial ownership in a separate and independent trucking company. The shipper would pony up a negotiated amount of capital. P&S, through its relationships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other sources, would allocate a specified number of trucks and drivers to the partnership. P&S would manage the operations and handle the certification, driver recruitment, insurance, fuel, and equipment maintenance. The shipper could tailor its truck and driver utilization any way it saw fit.
In periods of slack capacity, or when supply and demand are roughly in balance, the shipper could use the fleet for one-way irregular-route service, with P&S charging the prevailing per-mile rate. P&S, which also operates third-party logistics (3PL) and brokerage operations that are integrated with its asset-based service, would then find loads to fill the trailer for the next move in its network.
However, in brutally tight conditions such as the flatbed industry finds itself in today—consultancy DAT Solutions reported in mid-March that an unprecedented 88 flatbed loads were posted on its spot-market loadboard for every truck that posted—the shipper-owner could notify P&S that it wants to convert to dedicated contract carriage to assure it has adequate equipment and drivers. Because the assets are under the shipper's full or partial ownership, the conversion can occur within one or two days, according to D. Houston Vaughn, P&S's president and chief operating officer.
The key for the shipper, as in any dedicated relationship, would be to ensure sufficient volumes to create round-trip revenue. However, P&S can locate loads through its backhaul network for the return trip to the shipper's location, meaning the shipper would effectively pay just the rate for the outbound move, Vaughn said.
The model eschews the multiyear commitments that are a core part of traditional dedicated agreements, again because the shipper is also an owner or part owner, Vaughn said. Shippers can mix and match their fleet needs, using some of the assets for irregular-route operations and others for dedicated service. There are opt-out clauses for non-performance, and the shipper can sell its equity position back to P&S, he added.
"We are providing customers [with] the control and capacity assurance that comes with a private fleet operation without the cost burdens and the headaches of running one," Vaughn said in an interview earlier this month.
The model works best in the flatbed world, which has predictable volume flows because demand for commodities such as construction equipment, flatbed's bread and butter, is as much seasonal as it is economically sensitive (construction work generally takes place in the late spring, summer, and early fall). However, Vaughn said there's no reason the model couldn't also be applied to dry van operations. "It all comes down to knowing your customers, their freight, and their requirements," he said.
TRY EVERYTHING AND HOPE SOMETHING STICKS
Initiatives like the P&S partnership are not cure-alls for the capacity crisis afflicting all parts of trucking. Even Vaughn acknowledged that flatbed carriers are not yet doing a great job managing the problem. Yet it reflects the slew of ideas, some completely foreign to traditional trucking, being marshaled to cope with what some are starting to call the worst crunch in the industry's long history. "The market is looking for every option it can get its hands on," said Chris Jones, executive vice president, marketing and services for Canadian logistics IT (information technology) company Descartes Systems Group Inc.
For example, Miami-based Ryder Systems Inc. unveiled a program in late March matching businesses needing short-term tractor-trailer capacity with asset holders whose equipment would normally sit idle, the first time the asset-sharing platform popularized by hospitality site Airbnb has been deployed in trucking. A multiparty dedicated model has been developed in the last-mile delivery space allowing small to mid-sized retailers that otherwise can't justify their own networks to share space and technology aboard vehicles as long as each retailer's data is aggregated so it can't be seen by others. Jones, whose company is out front in the initiative, said large truckers are expressing interest in participating, particularly in areas where density is relatively low and assets are available.
Truckload carriers are looking to expand their presence in the multistop delivery market to offer a lower-cost alternative to traditional less-than-truckload (LTL) services. However, Mark Cubine, vice president, marketing and enterprise systems for Birmingham, Ala.-based IT firm McLeod Software, said the discussions are focusing on building dedicated agreements for these services. According to Cubine, in the new era of compliance with the government's electronic logging device (ELD) mandate, where drivers must now operate within their lawful hours of service rather than add a couple of hours to their runs and then fudge their paper logbooks, few truckers will commit to multistop routes that might take more than one day to complete without the assurance of dedicated agreements. Hours-of-service compliance "is the new definition of capacity," Cubine said.
The dedicated model, which many predicted was a solution just waiting for a problem, appears to be in full flower. Capacity is assured for a multiyear period, price increases are negotiated ahead of time, and good providers can find loads to fill backhauls so the customer—who in the traditional dedicated model pays for round-trip capacity whether the equipment is utilized or not—is shielded from a potential financial hit if it lacks adequate return volume. NFI, a Cherry Hill, N.J.-based trucker with a strong dedicated carriage footprint, is using the capacity crisis "as an opportunity to lock up good business," said Bill Mahoney, the company's senior vice president of sales. Mahoney added that NFI is marketing dedicated's value as it always has, but the difference today is that "it's taking less convincing" to get customer buy-in.
Another relatively new model is "volume LTL" or "partial truckload," which are options for shippers with loads that are too heavy or dimensionally outsized for an LTL trailer but are smaller than a full truckload. There are factors that could make partial truckload a more cost-effective buy than volume LTL, especially if a shipment's profile falls outside the optimal size for an LTL trailer. One caveat is that the program isn't suitable for moves of less than 250 miles because the short-haul may not be worth it for the carrier. However, in a cycle where capacity is as dear as can be, shippers may be willing to pay to make it worthwhile for the carrier, experts said.
BACK TO BASICS
Perhaps lost amid the crisis, and the innovations being developed to combat it, is the pressing need for shippers, third parties, and truckers to better manage the daily blocking-and-tackling. The capacity problem has been "festering for years," said Charles W. Clowdis Jr., a long-time transport executive and consultant who heads his own consulting firm. That's because many shippers grew complacent and negligent in a two-decades-long buyer's market and failed to make their freight "carrier- and driver-friendly" long before it became a current-day marketing slogan, he said.
Failure to move drivers on and off the docks within an hour or two, or even providing drivers with an attractive level of amenities to pass the time, has come back to bite shippers now that truckers and drivers can effectively cherry-pick their loads, Clowdis said. He estimates that the inability to address and resolve these basic issues is the cause of half of the current crisis.
Another long-timer, Larry Menaker, whose consulting firm specializes in dedicated service, said shippers shouldn't count on an endless supply of dedicated capacity. "There is only so much capacity right now. If carriers are offered new dedicated opportunities, and to meet those needs requires them to pull equipment from satisfactory volume, they may be hesitant to do that," he said.
Menaker added that the trucking industry's public line that the driver shortage is at the root of the crisis masks the hard realities behind why a crisis exists to begin with. "What seems less touted are reducing empty miles by matching loads better, increasing velocity of load count by reducing loading and unloading delays, and increasing velocity by matching loading and unloading schedules better," he said. "These factors require cooperation among various players who have infrequently shown willingness to do this in the past, plus it requires change, a very hard psychological barrier to overcome."
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
The “series B” funding round was financed by an unnamed “strategic customer” as well as Teradyne Robotics Ventures, Toyota Ventures, Ranpak, Third Kind Venture Capital, One Madison Group, Hyperplane, Catapult Ventures, and others.
The fresh backing comes as Massachusetts-based Pickle reported a spate of third quarter orders, saying that six customers placed orders for over 30 production robots to deploy in the first half of 2025. The new orders include pilot conversions, existing customer expansions, and new customer adoption.
“Pickle is hitting its strides delivering innovation, development, commercial traction, and customer satisfaction. The company is building groundbreaking technology while executing on essential recurring parts of a successful business like field service and manufacturing management,” Omar Asali, Pickle board member and CEO of investor Ranpak, said in a release.
According to Pickle, its truck-unloading robot applies “Physical AI” technology to one of the most labor-intensive, physically demanding, and highest turnover work areas in logistics operations. The platform combines a powerful vision system with generative AI foundation models trained on millions of data points from real logistics and warehouse operations that enable Pickle’s robotic hardware platform to perform physical work at human-scale or better, the company says.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."