The pragmatic futurist: interview with Shekar Natarajan
Shekar Natarajan not only foresees the future of supply chain management, he is helping to shape it by finding new and revolutionary ways to apply technology to solve business challenges.
Contributing Editor Toby Gooley is a writer and editor specializing in supply chain, logistics, and material handling, and a lecturer at MIT's Center for Transportation & Logistics. She previously was Senior Editor at DC VELOCITY and Editor of DCV's sister publication, CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly. Prior to joining AGiLE Business Media in 2007, she spent 20 years at Logistics Management magazine as Managing Editor and Senior Editor covering international trade and transportation. Prior to that she was an export traffic manager for 10 years. She holds a B.A. in Asian Studies from Cornell University.
If, in the future, a drone is taking inventory in your warehouse, autonomous robots are delivering groceries to your customers' kitchens, or you're delivering products to consumers before they even realize they need them, you might be taking advantage of innovations conceived and developed by Chandrashekar (Shekar) Natarajan and the teams of forward-thinking supply chain and engineering professionals he has led over the past 15 years.
From redesigning material handling systems and adapting autonomous vehicles for logistics applications to improving urban logistics and rethinking supply chain planning methodology (to name just a few examples), Natarajan can cite many achievements in his multifaceted career—and he's not even 40 years old yet.
A protegé of the late Richard Muther, a pioneering industrial engineer known as "the Father of Systematic Planning," Natarajan has been a supply chain executive at some of the best-known companies on the planet, including Coca-Cola Bottling Co., Alliance Rubber Co., PepsiCo, and Anheuser Busch. In addition, he has served in executive leadership roles at The Walt Disney Co., Walmart Inc., and Target Corp. His name is on hundreds of patents, and he's authored or co-authored four books on systematic planning and network design. Perhaps not surprisingly, Natarajan, who was honored as a DC Velocity Rainmaker in 2009, has earned a host of industry accolades, including the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) Supply Chain Innovation Award.
Currently, Natarajan is focusing on finding new ways to apply technology to solve business challenges and revolutionize how supply chains serve consumers. He recently spoke with DC Velocity Contributing Editor Toby Gooley about the future of supply chain technology and how supply chain professionals can prepare themselves and their companies to succeed in a constantly changing world.
Q: You advocate encouraging "productivity of the mind" in supply chain organizations. What do you mean by that, and why is it important?
A: Productivity of thinking is something you can actually measure as the ability to have situational awareness and react very quickly. People often address problems with mundane solutions if they don't have a structured way of thinking about them. If you have a framework for thinking about problems, it drives you to consider both the obvious and the non-obvious. This should increase situational awareness—anticipating what will happen before it happens and pre-positioning responses ahead of time.
Businesses today are evolving rapidly. The primary axes of change include time, networks, networks of networks, relationships with our customers, and the use of data in real time. And all of these are changing asynchronously. To take advantage of these changes, navigate them, and deal with threats, the productivity of our thinking must increase dramatically. We need to incorporate and implement our peoples' ideas and realign ourselves very quickly.
One way to do that is to think through more than one solution to a problem. What was contextually right at one point in time may be completely wrong two years later. If you have "A to B" and "B to A" scenarios, you will be better prepared for change. You will know how to respond because you have already thought through two opposite solutions for that scenario. When you have determined the right approach, you will have strategic options ready to execute. In this way, you can accelerate organizational change.
Another is to have all employees see themselves as a potential provider of personalized service; when that happens, hyperlocal opportunities quickly emerge. For example, an employee might deliver a package for a customer on the way home; another might offer a painting service for a customer who is apprehensive about doing the painting.
Q: When you were in the beverage industry, you were instrumental in improving product handling equipment and processes. Tell us about one solution that continues to have a significant impact.
A: At Coca-Cola Bottling Co., we developed the CooLift beverage-delivery system, which is now a standard throughout the industry. The specially designed carts and pallets make the job of moving beverages from truck to store much quicker, safer, and more efficient. We developed the solution by looking for a merchandising delivery system that reduced the risk of injury and could be used easily by anyone. We analyzed the whole supply chain as a system, deconstructed it, and identified where and how we could improve it.
When I was with PepsiCo, the same "system" approach led to a host of other innovations, including geo-based delivery, automation of the manufacturing-to-merchandising processes, building orders like Lego bricks so they could be merchandised in minutes versus hours, centralizing and automating routing and dispatching, implementing reputational integrity systems to manage bad actors, and virtual control towers to handle the order flow on an exception basis. In this way, every one of our cumbersome processes got a facelift. As a result, we were able to launch several billion-dollar brands and simplify the work of thousands of field associates. I am grateful to the teams that enabled this and the executives who inspired us to think this way.
Q: Your name is on some 300 patents. What are some of the areas you've focused on?
A: My purpose in filing patents has been to support and protect my employer's business with respect to the future of logistics and commerce. Some of the subject areas that emerged in the past few years include autonomous vehicles—air, ground, on the road, and in the home; the last 100 feet into a consumer's home and in the kitchen; cognitive commerce, where data collection and analysis allows me to know you so well that even before you need something I will get it to you, which leapfrogs search altogether; just-in-time replenishment to the home according to values, affinities, and preferences held in the cloud, which obviates the need for ordering or in-home inventory; and hyperspectral imaging, which gauges a food product's internal qualities, and blockchains to ensure food safety and freshness.
Some others include temperature control and Internet of Things (IoT) systems that enable virtual control towers; engaging customers with virtual reality and augmented reality; virtual malls and the monetization of virtual space; moving "digital duplex" conversations with inanimate objects that are coded with information from the point of purchase to engage the consumer at the point of consumption; personalized business-to-person products, services, and communications; emotive and psychological measurement systems that can adapt the selling process to each customer in real time; algorithms that power gamified virtual planning towers; and continuous dynamic reconfiguration of the supply chain so that it is always optimized.
All of these have an underlying systemic implication for the supply chain's architecture and for the dynamic response networks that need to be created to enable them.
Q: How do you go about determining which technologies are important and where to apply them?
A: The jobs that must be done in commerce and logistics don't fundamentally change. Customers will always want to buy clothes, and we will always have to complete a financial transaction and provide the goods, for instance. But evolving technologies can overcome resource constraints, provide step-change cost advantages, and give us new opportunities to delight the customer. So, I look at the jobs we need to do and map to them the relevant technologies to create a framework of opportunities. As an example, if a package of pretzels can "talk" digitally to the customer and engage in the process of cooking, suddenly the concept of food logistics and brand packaging looks very different. New value gets unlocked for customers and brand companies.
Here's another example: When they are choosing clothes, customers are regularly at the mercy of the sizes and colors that are already available. The technology exists that would allow a customer to choose the style, fabric, size, color, and other options for the garment to be made to order and shipped out overnight. Then, the customer could have exactly what he or she wanted each time without the risk of the size or preferred color being out of stock.
Q: Any predictions about what will be the hot areas for supply chain in the next five to 10 years?
A: Yes, I think the following areas will be most important:
The Internet of Things will enable full visibility of the supply chain from factory to customer.
Blockchains will enable track and trace and will limit the influence of bad actors.
Logistics services will become available as Logistics as a Service (LaaS), where a third party provides platform-based turnkey solutions for end-to-end processes.
"Frenemy networks" will include competitors in a service offering.
Every supply chain job will change due to digitization, through such means as apps, advanced analytics, and cloud computing power.
"Networks of networks" will develop through the constant realignment of networks with new partners to enable value delivery.
We will see highly personalized business-to-individual (B2i) communications and commerce.
Robots and autonomous vehicles will play an increasingly significant role.
Q: Why is know-how about emerging sciences critical to businesses in general and supply chain organizations in particular? How will the roles of supply chain professionals evolve?
A: I firmly believe that a company must grow as fast as its market to survive in the long term. Since the rate of change in the markets is going up continuously, innovation and growth must be everyone's job, not just that of a select few.
Let me address this using an example. Today, a transportation leader is rewarded for securing the right contractual rates, managing drivers for safety and compliance, and executing on time and within budget. In a world of autonomous vehicles, there is no driver to manage, and the job of the transport leader is to ensure and build the right algorithms, manage the integrity of assets, and ensure good customer interactions. Because so much must change, being ahead of it is critical.
My experience has made me a firm believer in the ability of logistics to drive revenue and create new business models. Logistics can drive customer intimacy, operational excellence, and product leadership. Autonomous vehicles, for instance, will improve efficiency, but there are numerous ways they can be a source of revenue. Those that carry passengers can be mobile kiosks, making sales to passengers. And while they are carrying passengers, the trunks can be carrying packages for delivery.
Supply chain leaders need to be alert to these opportunities and be able to capitalize upon them. To do that, they must think as businesspeople—more like a general manager and less like a transaction-focused logistics manager.
Autonomous forklift maker Cyngn is deploying its DriveMod Tugger model at COATS Company, the largest full-line wheel service equipment manufacturer in North America, the companies said today.
By delivering the self-driving tuggers to COATS’ 150,000+ square foot manufacturing facility in La Vergne, Tennessee, Cyngn said it would enable COATS to enhance efficiency by automating the delivery of wheel service components from its production lines.
“Cyngn’s self-driving tugger was the perfect solution to support our strategy of advancing automation and incorporating scalable technology seamlessly into our operations,” Steve Bergmeyer, Continuous Improvement and Quality Manager at COATS, said in a release. “With its high load capacity, we can concentrate on increasing our ability to manage heavier components and bulk orders, driving greater efficiency, reducing costs, and accelerating delivery timelines.”
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but it follows another deployment of DriveMod Tuggers with electric automaker Rivian earlier this year.
Manufacturing and logistics workers are raising a red flag over workplace quality issues according to industry research released this week.
A comparative study of more than 4,000 workers from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia found that manufacturing and logistics workers say they have seen colleagues reduce the quality of their work and not follow processes in the workplace over the past year, with rates exceeding the overall average by 11% and 8%, respectively.
The study—the Resilience Nation report—was commissioned by UK-based regulatory and compliance software company Ideagen, and it polled workers in industries such as energy, aviation, healthcare, and financial services. The results “explore the major threats and macroeconomic factors affecting people today, providing perspectives on resilience across global landscapes,” according to the authors.
According to the study, 41% of manufacturing and logistics workers said they’d witnessed their peers hiding mistakes, and 45% said they’ve observed coworkers cutting corners due to apathy—9% above the average. The results also showed that workers are seeing colleagues take safety risks: More than a third of respondents said they’ve seen people putting themselves in physical danger at work.
The authors said growing pressure inside and outside of the workplace are to blame for the lack of diligence and resiliency on the job. Internally, workers say they are under pressure to deliver more despite reduced capacity. Among the external pressures, respondents cited the rising cost of living as the biggest problem (39%), closely followed by inflation rates, supply chain challenges, and energy prices.
“People are being asked to deliver more at work when their resilience is being challenged by economic and political headwinds,” Ideagen’s CEO Ben Dorks said in a statement announcing the findings. “Ultimately, this is having a determinantal impact on business productivity, workplace health and safety, and the quality of work produced, as well as further reducing the resilience of the nation at large.”
Respondents said they believe technology will eventually alleviate some of the stress occurring in manufacturing and logistics, however.
“People are optimistic that emerging tech and AI will ultimately lighten the load, but they’re not yet feeling the benefits,” Dorks added. “It’s a gap that now, more than ever, business leaders must look to close and support their workforce to ensure their staff remain safe and compliance needs are met across the business.”
The “2024 Year in Review” report lists the various transportation delays, freight volume restrictions, and infrastructure repair costs of a long string of events. Those disruptions include labor strikes at Canadian ports and postal sites, the U.S. East and Gulf coast port strike; hurricanes Helene, Francine, and Milton; the Francis Scott key Bridge collapse in Baltimore Harbor; the CrowdStrike cyber attack; and Red Sea missile attacks on passing cargo ships.
“While 2024 was characterized by frequent and overlapping disruptions that exposed many supply chain vulnerabilities, it was also a year of resilience,” the Project44 report said. “From labor strikes and natural disasters to geopolitical tensions, each event served as a critical learning opportunity, underscoring the necessity for robust contingency planning, effective labor relations, and durable infrastructure. As supply chains continue to evolve, the lessons learned this past year highlight the increased importance of proactive measures and collaborative efforts. These strategies are essential to fostering stability and adaptability in a world where unpredictability is becoming the norm.”
In addition to tallying the supply chain impact of those events, the report also made four broad predictions for trends in 2025 that may affect logistics operations. In Project44’s analysis, they include:
More technology and automation will be introduced into supply chains, particularly ports. This will help make operations more efficient but also increase the risk of cybersecurity attacks and service interruptions due to glitches and bugs. This could also add tensions among the labor pool and unions, who do not want jobs to be replaced with automation.
The new administration in the United States introduces a lot of uncertainty, with talks of major tariffs for numerous countries as well as talks of US freight getting preferential treatment through the Panama Canal. If these things do come to fruition, expect to see shifts in global trade patterns and sourcing.
Natural disasters will continue to become more frequent and more severe, as exhibited by the wildfires in Los Angeles and the winter storms throughout the southern states in the U.S. As a result, expect companies to invest more heavily in sustainability to mitigate climate change.
The peace treaty announced on Wednesday between Isael and Hamas in the Middle East could support increased freight volumes returning to the Suez Canal as political crisis in the area are resolved.
The French transportation visibility provider Shippeo today said it has raised $30 million in financial backing, saying the money will support its accelerated expansion across North America and APAC, while driving enhancements to its “Real-Time Transportation Visibility Platform” product.
The funding round was led by Woven Capital, Toyota’s growth fund, with participation from existing investors: Battery Ventures, Partech, NGP Capital, Bpifrance Digital Venture, LFX Venture Partners, Shift4Good and Yamaha Motor Ventures. With this round, Shippeo’s total funding exceeds $140 million.
Shippeo says it offers real-time shipment tracking across all transport modes, helping companies create sustainable, resilient supply chains. Its platform enables users to reduce logistics-related carbon emissions by making informed trade-offs between modes and carriers based on carbon footprint data.
"Global supply chains are facing unprecedented complexity, and real-time transport visibility is essential for building resilience” Prashant Bothra, Principal at Woven Capital, who is joining the Shippeo board, said in a release. “Shippeo’s platform empowers businesses to proactively address disruptions by transforming fragmented operations into streamlined, data-driven processes across all transport modes, offering precise tracking and predictive ETAs at scale—capabilities that would be resource-intensive to develop in-house. We are excited to support Shippeo’s journey to accelerate digitization while enhancing cost efficiency, planning accuracy, and customer experience across the supply chain.”
Donald Trump has been clear that he plans to hit the ground running after his inauguration on January 20, launching ambitious plans that could have significant repercussions for global supply chains.
As Mark Baxa, CSCMP president and CEO, says in the executive forward to the white paper, the incoming Trump Administration and a majority Republican congress are “poised to reshape trade policies, regulatory frameworks, and the very fabric of how we approach global commerce.”
The paper is written by import/export expert Thomas Cook, managing director for Blue Tiger International, a U.S.-based supply chain management consulting company that focuses on international trade. Cook is the former CEO of American River International in New York and Apex Global Logistics Supply Chain Operation in Los Angeles and has written 19 books on global trade.
In the paper, Cook, of course, takes a close look at tariff implications and new trade deals, emphasizing that Trump will seek revisions that will favor U.S. businesses and encourage manufacturing to return to the U.S. The paper, however, also looks beyond global trade to addresses topics such as Trump’s tougher stance on immigration and the possibility of mass deportations, greater support of Israel in the Middle East, proposals for increased energy production and mining, and intent to end the war in the Ukraine.
In general, Cook believes that many of the administration’s new policies will be beneficial to the overall economy. He does warn, however, that some policies will be disruptive and add risk and cost to global supply chains.
In light of those risks and possible disruptions, Cook’s paper offers 14 recommendations. Some of which include:
Create a team responsible for studying the changes Trump will introduce when he takes office;
Attend trade shows and make connections with vendors, suppliers, and service providers who can help you navigate those changes;
Consider becoming C-TPAT (Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism) certified to help mitigate potential import/export issues;
Adopt a risk management mindset and shift from focusing on lowest cost to best value for your spend;
Increase collaboration with internal and external partners;
Expect warehousing costs to rise in the short term as companies look to bring in foreign-made goods ahead of tariffs;
Expect greater scrutiny from U.S. Customs and Border Patrol of origin statements for imports in recognition of attempts by some Chinese manufacturers to evade U.S. import policies;
Reduce dependency on China for sourcing; and
Consider manufacturing and/or sourcing in the United States.
Cook advises readers to expect a loosening up of regulations and a reduction in government under Trump. He warns that while some world leaders will look to work with Trump, others will take more of a defiant stance. As a result, companies should expect to see retaliatory tariffs and duties on exports.
Cook concludes by offering advice to the incoming administration, including being sensitive to the effect retaliatory tariffs can have on American exports, working on federal debt reduction, and considering promoting free trade zones. He also proposes an ambitious water works program through the Army Corps of Engineers.