Today's transportation software can help you pick the best carrier, rate, and route. Tomorrow's will be able to do it faster and better—and remove humans from the decision-making loop.
Ben Ames has spent 20 years as a journalist since starting out as a daily newspaper reporter in Pennsylvania in 1995. From 1999 forward, he has focused on business and technology reporting for a number of trade journals, beginning when he joined Design News and Modern Materials Handling magazines. Ames is author of the trail guide "Hiking Massachusetts" and is a graduate of the Columbia School of Journalism.
Moving freight is a complex business, and variables like rates, reliability, and capacity can change with the weather, the season, or the latest retail craze. In an effort to get the most from their freight transportation dollar, many companies turn to transportation management systems (TMS).
A good TMS tracks dozens of key performance indicators (KPIs) so users can weigh the variables and pick the optimal carrier, rate, and route. But what if a TMS could leverage the power of big data and ultra-fast processors to remove humans from the decision-making loop? Such a system could analyze far more variables than any human could handle, refresh its records with real-time data, quickly calculate the optimal shipping method, and even act on its findings.
That vision is quickly becoming a reality, thanks to the power of computer analytics, experts say. Adding embedded analytics to a TMS platform allows shippers, brokers, and carriers to make decisions based on the data they're actually collecting, not just on the trends they think they see, said Monica Wooden, chief executive officer (CEO) and co-founder of MercuryGate International Inc., a TMS provider based in Cary, N.C. "We're seeing this really evolve," Wooden said. "More and more every year, it's getting more robust and real time. And that allows everybody to benefit."
RISING DEMAND FOR ANALYTICS
As is so often the case today, the rising interest in advanced analytics has a lot to do with the e-commerce explosion. Retailers face mounting pressure to meet escalating demands for next-day delivery and omnichannel fulfillment, both of which carry significant costs, Wooden said. In response, logistics executives and chief information officers are pushing for greater use of data-driven technologies like business intelligence and data analytics to help trim time and cost from their supply chains.
The fast growth of sophisticated inventory-tracking networks has given them the reams of raw data necessary to achieve that objective. By pulling data from smartphone apps, global positioning systems (GPSs), and electronic logging devices (ELDs), supply chain practitioners can quickly determine a shipment's precise location and its delivery status.
But the possibilities go well beyond tracking. "It's not just improved productivity, but true decision-making," Wooden said. "With embedded analytics, you can take empty miles out of the supply chain, work with people in certain lanes, make sure containers are full, and generally help the world be a better place."
For example, embedded analytics could help a TMS automatically book space on a preferred carrier in the Atlanta-Tampa (Fla.) lane, then revert to a second choice if the first carrier doesn't have the needed capacity, she said. Or it could suggest efficiency enhancements—such as showing that a carrier would save money by making multiple stops along its delivery route, instead of scheduling multiple trips with partially filled trucks.
That's not to say that only automated systems can make these determinations. People working in manual transportation operations make similar kinds of judgments all the time. The benefit to using a TMS to handle basic decisions is that it frees up human specialists for more nuanced decision-making, according to Wooden. An automated TMS would not replace human employees, but enable them to concentrate on more advanced tasks, she said.
CLEAN DATA REQUIRED
Wooden is not alone in her assessment. Adding embedded analytics or "machine learning" capabilities to logistics software will reinforce, not replace, the supply chain workforce, agrees Eric Gilmore, CEO of Turvo, a collaborative logistics platform provider.
"The value of machine learning is to augment human intelligence and make people super-human," Gilmore said. He cautioned, however, that this requires a certain amount of database maintenance and upkeep on the user's part. Adding artificial intelligence to a TMS will not produce decent results unless the software includes accurate, recent data, he warned. Most businesses keep databases full of unstructured information, which include duplicate entries that can cause database chaos.
"You need good 'data hygiene'," Gilmore said. "You really have to feel that data is strategic to your business, and you need data scientists to cleanse it. You can't even talk about making a machine smart if you don't do that first. It's like the old saying: 'Garbage in, garbage out.'"
Companies are now starting to realize that they can't manage warehouses full of inventory without hiring data scientists to manage databases full of information, according to Jim Vrtis, chief technology officer of New Plymouth, Idaho-based trucking loadboard provider Truckstop.com.
"Data is the fuel for a good algorithm, which drives machine learning," Vrtis said. "We're past the time when it was just important to store the data in a database. We now have to understand it and leverage that information to make better decisions."
That's where data specialists can help. "A good data scientist can draw conclusions from the data that are impactful and actionable," said Vrtis. "It's almost like the gold rush. People say, 'I have a lot of data; now I need to hire a data scientist to come analyze it, so I can find the gold and make money.'"
A NEED FOR CREATIVE SOLUTIONS
The best TMS platforms allow users to be creative and flexible in making better decisions and saving money, said Mitch Weseley, CEO of Shelton, Conn.-based TMS provider 3Gtms.
That need is particularly important in light of changes in the TMS customer base, Weseley said. Twenty years ago, big shippers dominated the market, accounting for the majority of TMS sales. Today, however, most of the demand comes from small and mid-sized shippers and third-party logistics service providers (3PLs), he said.
"Creativity is so important. Both shippers and 3PLs have more levers they can pull nowadays," Weseley said. "You can't look at all the options and manually figure it out. So a TMS frees people up to do the things that can't be automated."
With tools like improved algorithms, robust database-building capabilities, and embedded analytics, software providers can help TMS users reach new levels of creativity, industry experts said.
"Those things empower today's [practitioner] to handle more freight, be more efficient, be more productive, and grow the business," Truckstop.com's Vrtis said. "They can spend less time connecting the dots and begin to take a tactical approach to freight matching and to improving service levels. I think it's going to be really fun to see."
Powered by embedded analytics, technology could soon help solve many of the problems that vex the logistics industry today. "This journey is at Day Zero in terms of what's possible in building intelligent software that makes the human smarter," Turvo's Gilmore said. "And supply chain is the most fascinating application for these techniques."
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
A Canadian startup that provides AI-powered logistics solutions has gained $5.5 million in seed funding to support its concept of creating a digital platform for global trade, according to Toronto-based Starboard.
The round was led by Eclipse, with participation from previous backers Garuda Ventures and Everywhere Ventures. The firm says it will use its new backing to expand its engineering team in Toronto and accelerate its AI-driven product development to simplify supply chain complexities.
According to Starboard, the logistics industry is under immense pressure to adapt to the growing complexity of global trade, which has hit recent hurdles such as the strike at U.S. east and gulf coast ports. That situation calls for innovative solutions to streamline operations and reduce costs for operators.
As a potential solution, Starboard offers its flagship product, which it defines as an AI-based transportation management system (TMS) and rate management system that helps mid-sized freight forwarders operate more efficiently and win more business. More broadly, Starboard says it is building the virtual infrastructure for global trade, allowing freight companies to leverage AI and machine learning to optimize operations such as processing shipments in real time, reconciling invoices, and following up on payments.
"This investment is a pivotal step in our mission to unlock the power of AI for our customers," said Sumeet Trehan, Co-Founder and CEO of Starboard. "Global trade has long been plagued by inefficiencies that drive up costs and reduce competitiveness. Our platform is designed to empower SMB freight forwarders—the backbone of more than $20 trillion in global trade and $1 trillion in logistics spend—with the tools they need to thrive in this complex ecosystem."
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.