Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
For years, the mantra in logistics was "information about the shipment is more important than the shipment itself." That may be a stretch: You don't go to the store for a carton of data. That being said, information technology (IT) has never been more pervasive in this business than it is today. It is no longer about automating manual processes. It is about leveraging data to make everyone's business better. That is a quantum leap.
CHRIS ELLIOTT
ABTIN HAMIDI
MARIO HARIK
MONICA WOODEN
DC Velocity asked four IT leaders for their views on how their disciplines fit into today's logistics world. They are Abtin Hamidi, vice president of sales for Cargo Chief, a broker whose IT platform connects shippers and carriers; Chris Elliott, senior consultant, strategy services for consultancy Blue Horseshoe; Mario Harik, CIO of transport and logistics service provider XPO Logistics Inc.; and Monica Wooden, founder and CEO of transportation management systems (TMS) provider MercuryGate International Inc. The four addressed where the logistics industry needs to fully embrace IT, what will drive the business for the balance of the decade, and how to cope with the 800-pound gorilla: Amazon.com Inc.
Q: It's been said that transportation and logistics companies—with some exceptions—are latecomers to IT. Is there one area where the most work needs to be done to bring businesses up to competitive speed?
AH: Converting EDI (electronic data interchange) to APIs (application programming interfaces). Our industry is still primarily built on legacy systems, and although they are secure and scalable, they can't meet the new demands of the continuously changing environment. By upgrading to modern systems, we can set ourselves up for faster, more robust integrations. The result will be the improved and automated communications that many of us have come to expect.
CE: Replacing aging infrastructure and systems implementations. Many companies are operating on systems installed in the late '90s and early 2000s, when capital budgets for logistics systems were looser. Bringing systems up to date will enable increased functionality and can make data easier to access.
MH: Legacy technology can make it difficult to rapidly customize applications to meet customer needs. It's a challenge to move fast or to innovate on these aging systems. There are a few scalable packaged solutions, but they're also plagued by legacy technology. Modernizing these platforms enables automation, self-service marketplaces, and big data algorithms, and ultimately makes it easier to match capacity and demand. This is a big reason why we've chosen to develop our own systems—a cloud-based platform gives us the flexibility to deploy new software very quickly.
MW: In the past, large companies with significant transportation budgets were the primary beneficiaries of transportation and logistics IT solutions. The advent of cloud-based solutions has made it possible for companies of all sizes to access transportation management systems (TMS) and other technology tools and realize cost savings and improved efficiency. One of the most significant areas of opportunity is transportation optimization. In the past, companies may have viewed optimization solutions as too expensive, too difficult to implement, or not user-friendly. However, in today's market, there are many cloud-based solutions that are affordable and easy to use for any business.
Q: All of you work in logistics, but in your own unique subsegments. What area within IT will deliver the most profound benefits for logistics operations over the next two to three years?
AH: Developing technology to connect the world in different ways and collecting data for creating better outcomes for all concerned. Our technology, and the data that is derived from it, results in more profitable carriers, which in turn means better service for shippers.
CE: Cloud computing. In the next few years, we are going to see increased functionality from cloud-based logistics solutions and greater potential to integrate applications. This will allow people to access applications from mobile devices anywhere they have an Internet connection. The benefits are the ability to be more agile and flexible in how solutions are delivered and how data is displayed by the business.
MH: Automation is impacting everything we do. We're seeing tremendous value in using our IT to match freight with capacity—that's in both truck brokerage and intermodal. And we're using sophisticated technology in our logistics facilities, including advanced robotics. Not too far down the road, we expect automation in the form of autonomous vehicles.
MW: There are a number of trends that we are following, such as e-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment, as well as the IoT (Internet of Things) and GPS-enabled mobile devices. We view predictive analytics and big data as very promising in terms of providing information that will support more informed decision-making in real time by logistics practitioners.
Q: What feedback do you get from businesses as to why they are reluctant to make investments in IT services?
AH: Until recently, there wasn't a need for transportation companies to make huge changes. Change would come only in response to a crisis. In addition, the available solutions were too expensive and required extensive change management that was not always welcomed by the culture. All of transportation is like a legacy business—which by definition tends to be slow to adapt to change. A "tipping point" will occur within the next 18 months. Over that time, reduced IT costs will lead to increased adoption. These factors will force companies to commit to a tech approach instead of an old-school brokerage approach.
CE: Cost is the excuse that's given, but in reality, businesses have a hard time explaining the benefits to senior management. For shippers, logistics is seen as an expense, and it is challenging to justify the increased expense of IT investments versus the benefits. A lot of companies have been burned in the past by not being able to demonstrate an ROI [return on investment] on their logistics IT investments. This makes senior executives wary of new investments without a lot more due diligence.
MH: Many companies in our industry have legacy systems that are 30-plus years old. These systems are built on obsolete technology and are not upgradeable. It would be a risky, years-long process for them to replace these mainframe systems with a new platform. This technical debt is inhibiting innovation.
MW: Companies may be reluctant to invest in IT systems that they deem too costly, too cumbersome, and incompatible with existing systems. On the other hand, if companies do not evaluate and invest in an IT solution, they must often deal with disparate systems that cause inefficiencies and decisions made in silos. These become manually intensive processes and make it difficult to maximize profit, growth, and customer satisfaction.
Q: All of you, to one degree or another, touch trucking. Will we see autonomous tractor-trailers on the road by the time the decade ends? If so, what restrictions, if any, will be placed on their operation?
AH: Self-driving trucks will be on the road within the next 18 months. The physical component is developed; the only thing missing is data. Initially, about 10 to 15 percent of vehicle miles will be converted to self-driving trucks. What happens to pricing? People don't know how to price, but self-driving could stabilize it, as well as ensure that more drivers can come home every night and have a stable income. Flat rates could become prevalent on busy, stable routes like Chicago to Los Angeles.
CE: Platooning, at a minimum, should go live by decade's end. That means there will be an active driver in the lead truck, with the other trucks following. The challenge will be in regulating the operations to demonstrate trucks can operate safely on the interstates. Restrictions could vary from needing someone to take control, to not allowing operations outside of very specific routes.
MH: They will be with us sooner than later. Several truck manufacturers are piloting more advanced autonomous vehicles now. There will be regulatory and cultural hurdles to overcome, so industrywide adoption is still a number of years out. But that's where we are headed.
MW: With the rapid changes in technology, it is difficult to predict if we will see autonomous tractor-trailers on the road by the end of the decade. In our view, safety is the primary issue that will need to be addressed in regard to the operations of autonomous tractor-trailers.
Q: How has omnichannel fulfillment, and by extension the "Amazon effect," changed the way logistics services are executed? And how will it shape the future of the industry?
AH: Consumer behavior has changed everything. The shift in consumer buying habits has had the biggest effect on trucking. Before, consumers expected to receive orders in a week. Now, it's within a day. Predicting demand is the key, not working to stabilize inventory levels. Trucking must shift with retailers, becoming more agile and efficient. Obtaining and leveraging data will be critical.
CE: The biggest impact is in the changing of customer expectations. Customers now have inflated expectations about the speed of logistics services. This requires companies to provide greater access to cross-channel inventory, direct inventory to the best location in and across channels, and move shipments faster around the world. The current challenge for many companies is enabling this faster tempo. Whether you are B2B [business to business] or B2C [business to consumer], the expectation is that you are able to quickly react to customer demands. However, many companies don't have the processes and systems in place to make this change.
MH: Omnichannel, and particularly the direct-to-consumer component, has reshaped logistics and transport forever. The entire supply chain has to run like a well-oiled machine so the retailer can keep its promises and its brand is protected. Returns must be just as seamless. None of this is possible without technology. This means focusing on automation, quality, and overall increased labor productivity to service the end consumer in a cost-effective way.
MW: Companies planning to emulate the Amazon model must develop robust omnichannel fulfillment strategies. This environment is increasing the use of parcel by a wide range of companies. In the past, many transportation management systems separated parcel shipping from other modes. Today's robust TMS platforms natively support parcel along with all other modes, allowing companies to consolidate shipments across modes, customers, and business units. This results in cost savings in transportation spending and efficiencies in the holistic management of transportation processes.
Congestion on U.S. highways is costing the trucking industry big, according to research from the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI), released today.
The group found that traffic congestion on U.S. highways added $108.8 billion in costs to the trucking industry in 2022, a record high. The information comes from ATRI’s Cost of Congestion study, which is part of the organization’s ongoing highway performance measurement research.
Total hours of congestion fell slightly compared to 2021 due to softening freight market conditions, but the cost of operating a truck increased at a much higher rate, according to the research. As a result, the overall cost of congestion increased by 15% year-over-year—a level equivalent to more than 430,000 commercial truck drivers sitting idle for one work year and an average cost of $7,588 for every registered combination truck.
The analysis also identified metropolitan delays and related impacts, showing that the top 10 most-congested states each experienced added costs of more than $8 billion. That list was led by Texas, at $9.17 billion in added costs; California, at $8.77 billion; and Florida, $8.44 billion. Rounding out the top 10 list were New York, Georgia, New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and Tennessee. Combined, the top 10 states account for more than half of the trucking industry’s congestion costs nationwide—52%, according to the research.
The metro areas with the highest congestion costs include New York City, $6.68 billion; Miami, $3.2 billion; and Chicago, $3.14 billion.
ATRI’s analysis also found that the trucking industry wasted more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel fuel in 2022 due to congestion, resulting in additional fuel costs of $32.1 billion.
ATRI used a combination of data sources, including its truck GPS database and Operational Costs study benchmarks, to calculate the impacts of trucking delays on major U.S. roadways.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.