Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
UPS Inc. yesterday unveiled a series of sweeping operational measures designed to avoid a repeat of the delivery problems
that plagued it during last year's peak holiday shipping season. The moves should also position the company for the rapid and
secular changes occurring in shipping habits and their impact on its business.
For the first time in UPS' 107-year history, it will operate a full U.S. air and ground pickup, delivery, and sorting
network on the day after Thanksgiving, which this year falls on Nov. 28. In the past, the Atlanta-based transportation and
logistics giant has only operated its domestic air-delivery network on that day.
By deploying its full network capabilities on Nov. 28, UPS will gain an additional operating day during what will be, like
last year, a relatively compressed peak season. It will also help UPS maintain a more balanced operation throughout the peak
period because it will not forfeit a full pickup and delivery schedule, Mark Wallace, vice president of engineering for U.S.
domestic operations, told reporters yesterday in Louisville, Ky., the site of UPS' main global air hub known as "Worldport."
UPS this peak season will have 19 delivery days and 18 pickup days (it does not make pickups on Christmas Eve). There were 17
delivery days in 2013. One additional day this year will come by virtue of the calendar. Operating its full network on the day
after Thanksgiving will create the second additional day, Wallace said.
UPS will add about 6,000 of its familiar brown package-delivery cars to its fleet over the peak season, a move Wallace said
will boost its package-car capabilities by 10 percent over last year. At Worldport, UPS will add 900 staging positions for the
trailers that bring letters and packages to the 5-million-square-foot facility for sorting and that then deliver sorted pieces
to their final destinations. The trailer expansion will bring the number of trailer-staging positions at Worldport up to 1,500.
It also signals a major change in the 32-year-old Worldport's utilization from being almost exclusively an air hub to being a
facility with greater multimodal capabilities, Wallace said. The expanded package-car and trailer-staging operations will remain
in place after peak season, Wallace added.
UPS has also built what it calls "mobile distribution center (DC) villages" that will function across its U.S. network,
starting with the peak period, Wallace said. The facilities, which the executive described as "pop-up" DCs, will be hauled by
train to selected sites, assembled, and placed in operation. The centers come in different sizes, with their dimensions
distinguished by the number of truck dock doors. A prototype of the largest size, which consists of 90 doors, was used in Queens,
N.Y., during last year's peak year; it has since been moved to Richmond, Calif., near Oakland, where it sits today. In the years
ahead, UPS plans to reposition these mobile centers to provide additional capacity as e-commerce demand warrants, Wallace said.
In the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, an increasingly important part of UPS' network, the company will open a 400,000-square-foot
hub and packaging center facility at Fort Worth's Alliance Airport complex. This facility, set to open by the start of peak season,
will be capable of processing 20,000 packages per hour and accommodating 152 package cars. If the complex opens on time, it will
have been built in less than a year. Wallace says that it is unprecedented for UPS to construct a fully operational hub from
scratch in such a short period of time. In addition, UPS will open a package pickup and delivery facility with 150 package car
positions and 24 dock doors in McKinney, a north Dallas suburb.
UPS is also making other investments in anticipation of peak season, according to Wallace. The company plans to significantly
increase the number of aircraft available to it during peak season, Wallace said, although he would not further elaborate. UPS'
contract carriers that see a lot of action during peak will be equipped with more IT visibility tools than ever before, he said.
By the start of the peak season, twice as many company drivers as last year will possess the company's "On-Road Integrated
Optimization and Navigation" (ORION) driver navigation software designed to direct drivers along the most efficient delivery
route, Wallace said. The software evaluates more than 200,000 alternate ways a driver can operate a route and is slated to be
available to all U.S. drivers by 2017.
Wallace emphasized that the multiple steps are designed for "peak season and beyond." In UPS' case, the post-peak world will be
one increasingly dominated by e-commerce. Today, business-to-consumer (B2C) shipments, the vast majority of which come from online
orders, comprise 40 to 45 percent of UPS' traffic mix. The surge in B2C traffic has come faster and stronger than the company
anticipated, forcing it to re-adjust its business. It also shifts UPS' emphasis from the business-to-business (B2B) segment—its
bread and butter—to lower-yielding B2C traffic.
AVOIDING ANOTHER HOLIDAY DELIVERY DISASTER
The moves will also be a culmination of a year of intense planning—and a $500 million investment—following the
much-publicized delivery snafus that occurred during last year's peak season. At that time, a deluge of e-commerce shipments,
many of which came from online orders placed as late as Dec. 21 and 22, unexpectedly hit UPS' network, causing millions of holiday
packages to be delivered after Christmas.
A number of parcel delivery experts cast the blame for the late shipments on merchants that overpromised on delivery
commitments and blindsided UPS with unanticipated volumes. However, the problems gave UPS a reputational black eye, and
led company executives to vow that such a situation would never happen again.
UPS' image was not helped by comments from e-tailing giant Amazon.com soon after the holidays that it would re-evaluate its
delivery options in the wake of the problems. Throughout 2014, Amazon has expanded the Sunday delivery network it operates in
concert with the U.S. Postal Service (USPS). Amazon is also considering building its own delivery network comprising independent
truck operators dedicated to Amazon, regional parcel carriers, and USPS. Under the concept, UPS and FedEx Corp. would play only
marginal role in the new Amazon network.
In January, UPS sent a letter to key customers apologizing for the mishaps, explaining why they occurred, and assuring them
there would be no repeat. During the year, UPS has met regularly with high-level customers to prepare for the upcoming cycle.
The customer meetings, many of which have been conducted weekly, have focused on improving forecasting methods, which were found
lacking last year as a result of the unforeseen explosion in e-commerce. The goal, according to Wallace, is for UPS and its
customers to be in sync when determining volume commitments so UPS can size its network capabilities to predetermined traffic
flows.
Wallace said industrial engineering executives have been meeting regularly with large customers since the beginning of 2014;
never before in its history have UPS' engineers been so deeply and regularly involved with customers from such an early stage in
the process, he said.
Wallace said a combination of factors—inclement weather in parts of the country as well as capacity and forecasting
shortcomings—led to the problems last year. "There wasn't one area you could point to," he said.
This year's peak will be the first major test for David L. Abney as UPS' new CEO. The impact of this season's performance will
be amplified for Abney, who had been UPS' chief operating officer and was arguably better at his job than anyone in transportation
and logistics. Abney assumed his new post Sept. 1.
Of all the uncertainties surrounding this year's peak, one clear message emerges: E-commerce will dominate holiday shopping and
shipping. According to consultancy Forrester Research, nearly three-quarters of all annualized e-commerce now occurs during the
holiday season.
According to FedEx, the proposed breakup will create flexibility for the two companies to handle the separate demands of the global parcel and the LTL markets. That approach will enable FedEx and FedEx Freight to deploy more customized operational execution, along with more tailored investment and capital allocation strategies. At the same time, the two companies will continue to cooperate on commercial, operational, and technology initiatives.
Following the split, FedEx Freight will become the industry’s largest LTL carrier, with revenue of $9.4 billion in fiscal 2024. The company also boasts the broadest network and fastest transit times in its industry, the company said.
After spinning of that business, the remaining FedEx units will have a combined revenue of $78.3 billion based on fiscal year 2024 results for its range of time- and day-definite delivery and related supply chain technology services to more than 220 countries and territories through an integrated air-ground express network.
The move comes after FedEx has operated its freight unit for decades. After launching in 1971 as an overnight air courier service, FedEx grew quickly and in 1998 acquired Caliber System inc., creating a transportation “powerhouse” comprising the traditional FedEx distribution service and small-package ground carrier RPS, LTL carrier Viking Freight, Caliber Logistics, Caliber Technology, and Roberts Express. And in 2006, FedEx acquires Watkins Motor Lines, enhancing FedEx Freight’s ability to serve customers in the long-haul LTL freight market.
FedEx share prices rose after the announcement, as investors cheered a resolution to the debate that had lingered since June about whether the event would happen, according to a statement from Bascome Majors, a market analyst with Susquehanna Financial Group. And FedEx Freight will become a major player in the sector, based on its 16% share of industry revenue in 2023, well above Old Dominion Freight Lines (ODFL)’s 10% and SAIA’s 5%, he said.
Likewise, TD Cowen issued a “buy” rating for FedEx based on the long-awaited move, according to Jason Seidl, senior analyst focused on rail, trucking and logistics. That came as investors were soothed about their worries of potential “dis-synergies” from the split by the detail that FedEx Freight and legacy FDX have signed agreements that will continue the connectivity of the two networks.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.