Art van Bodegraven was, among other roles, chief design officer for the DES Leadership Academy. He passed away on June 18, 2017. He will be greatly missed.
Who, us? Well, yes. And we swell a bit with pride whenever the strains of that anthem from the late, and much lamented, Freddie Mercury and Queen drift in on the iPod or XM/Sirius.
It is no longer very arguable. Supply chain management has usurped operations and/or manufacturing as the driving force behind corporate performance, financial success, and shareholder delight. A few cling to last-century paradigms, but an enlightened C-suite is making what our profession does: 1) a strategic differentiator, and 2) the magic that transforms vision to operational reality.
It is a very good time to be in supply chain management, and the future looks to be even brighter, in terms of organizational performance and individual opportunities.
WHO ARE THE CHAMPIONS?
Champions abound in our field. Some are people—the movers, the shakers, the thought leaders, the visionaries, and the talent scouts who create legions of superbly competent and highly motivated followers. They are (and have been) dispersed throughout our universe, to the benefit of their employers and the next generation of champions that they are nurturing. They were and are the academic pioneers and practitioners who virtually invented the profession—the Andraskis, the Bowersoxes, the LaLondes. They are the next generation, who lead powerful assemblages of supply talent and are busy creating more followers, those who build legends in the industry at places such as Kraft, L Brands, Johnson & Johnson, Apple, Coca-Cola, Tesco, and others, too many to be listed.
Some are the corporations, including those already mentioned, who lead the field in the collection of sundry annual listings of the however-many best supply chains.
WHAT DEFINES A CHAMPION?
Sticking with the corporate theme, the champions are, firstly, winners. They set the bar high in anyone's assessment of leaders and laggards, to use the popular but awkward consulting pet terms. Their costs are typically low, their service levels typically high; their asset leverage is powerful; and their companies' overall performance tends to lead the pack.
But "winning" is an event, a transient experience. What really counts is winning repeatedly over the long haul. Those annual lists of the "best" always seem to include a new name or two. Some pop up once, then disappear. Others stay, eventually supplanting many—if not most—of the names from the original list.
Winning once does not define a champion. Winning several times, then fading into obscurity, does not define a champion. Taking the noble science of pugilism as a metaphor, we expect a boxing champion to lose a little power over time and no longer be a champion. We expect, and should, that organizations can renew themselves and stay fresh and strong, if not forever, at least for some generations.
THE DIFFICULTY OF WINNING
Anyone, or any organization, with championship aspirations tends to concentrate on winning now, winning the next battle, being the best this year, as if a snapshot of the driver who has won the Indianapolis 500 pouring milk all over his hat defines him (sorry, Danica) for all time.
The fact is that, while trying to win every time out and leaving it all on the field of combat is a minimum requirement, winning it all, all the time, is extraordinarily challenging. And genuine champions have learned to live with that reality, even though the effort to win every time remains a defining characteristic.
The 1972 Miami Dolphins are much heralded for their unmatched unbeaten (16-0) season. While the NFL, its competitors, and its predecessors have seen other undefeated seasons, they occurred in the game's golden era, when Monsters truly ruled the Midway and Ohio was the football capital of the universe. No other Super Bowl winner has experienced a season without a loss.
The only heavyweight boxing champion to retire undefeated was the Pride of Brockton, Rocky Marciano, in the 1950s. Other legendary figures, including Mike Tyson, Jack Dempsey, Muhammad Ali, and Jack Johnson, all experienced losses. (Note: Marciano lost one fight, to Muhammad Ali, 13 years after his retirement and last previous bout.)
The Atlanta Braves, in baseball, managed by Bobby Cox and with Ted Turner finally smart enough to stay out of the team's affairs, strung together 14 consecutive divisional championships in 1991-2005, unequaled before or since. They only won the World Series once during that remarkable run. Winners? Of course. Champions? You bet.
WHAT MAKES CHAMPIONS DIFFERENT?
OK, so champions don't win each and every time. What's the point? There are several. One is that champions try to win every time, especially following a loss. Another is that champions look past this year, or this year's rankings, or next quarter's financial performance. They are focused on repeated and repeatable high performance levels for as far as they can see into the future. Sometimes that means sacrificing the short-term in favor of the long-term as a conscious management call.
A huge difference between champions and mere winners in the moment is that champions take loss not as a motivation to try harder, but as an experience to learn from. They build new strategies and fine-tune execution to overcome the factors that led to a loss, then catch and pass whomever beat them out. Then, they concentrate on widening the gap between themselves and the competition by continuing to restrategize and re-engineer and re-imagine what makes them special in the marketplace. This, coupled with integrated planning among supply chain management, senior management, sales and marketing, and information technology, continues to reinforce the likelihood of continued success—and more championships.
CHAMPIONS COME AND GO
We have noted that there is a lot of churning in the "best supply chain" listings, which, despite attempts at quantitative objectivity, are essentially subjective assessments by seasoned professionals. Household names appear, then disappear, for no apparent reason (at least as seen by distant observers). But others, notably Apple, hover at or near the top year after year. Are the placements and distinctions real? Is #8 really all that much "better" than #17? Perhaps. Time will tell.
But we do have some parallels in other measures. Xerox was an early technology-breakthrough darling. And now? 3M was a legendary innovator, with a constant stream of new products and new applications. Until Kodak owned cameras, film, and motion picture media markets, and even pioneered digital photo technology. And today Polaroid Eastern Airlines? Long-distance passenger rail? TWA? Arthur Treacher's Fish & Chips? And on and on.
From a supply chain perspective, did Best Buy's supply chain spell the end for Circuit City? And is that one-time advantage helping it now? Does Walmart's supply chain prominence help Sam's Club as it engages in mOréal combat with Costco? Can Aldi's low prices continue to overcome the disadvantage of a widely dispersed thin footprint? Do megaplayers (not limited to Walmart) stumble when they try to impose merchandising and supply chain techniques in unfamiliar markets?
FOR THE FUTURE
Are there no champions forever? The economic battlefield is littered with the bodies of one-time winners and sometime champions. Is the best we can hope for a couple of generations of dominance?
We don't honestly know. But we are pretty sure that taking a breather and enjoying a cooling breeze after winning one race is not the way to approach the demands of a steady stream of new days.
We are also pretty sure that champions go down fighting. And that champions get up and fight again. Sometimes they win—and win big—after losing. Oops, there's that pesky Apple again.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
That challenge is one of the reasons that fewer shoppers overall are satisfied with their shopping experiences lately, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Zebra said in its “17th Annual Global Shopper Study.”th Annual Global Shopper Study.” While 85% of shoppers last year were satisfied with both the in-store and online experiences, only 81% in 2024 are satisfied with the in-store experience and just 79% with online shopping.
In response, most retailers (78%) say they are investing in technology tools that can help both frontline workers and those watching operations from behind the scenes to minimize theft and loss, Zebra said.
Just 38% of retailers currently use AI-based prescriptive analytics for loss prevention, but a much larger 50% say they plan to use it in the next 1-3 years. That was followed by self-checkout cameras and sensors (45%), computer vision (46%), and RFID tags and readers (42%) that are planned for use within the next three years, specifically for loss prevention.
Those strategies could help improve the brick and mortar shopping experience, since 78% of shoppers say it’s annoying when products are locked up or secured within cases. Adding to that frustration is that it’s hard to find an associate while shopping in stores these days, according to 70% of consumers. In response, some just walk out; one in five shoppers has left a store without getting what they needed because a retail associate wasn’t available to help, an increase over the past two years.
The survey also identified additional frustrations faced by retailers and associates:
challenges with offering easy options for click-and-collect or returns, despite high shopper demand for them
the struggle to confirm current inventory and pricing
lingering labor shortages and increasing loss incidents, even as shoppers return to stores
“Many retailers are laying the groundwork to build a modern store experience,” Matt Guiste, Global Retail Technology Strategist, Zebra Technologies, said in a release. “They are investing in mobile and intelligent automation technologies to help inform operational decisions and enable associates to do the things that keep shoppers happy.”
The survey was administered online by Azure Knowledge Corporation and included 4,200 adult shoppers (age 18+), decision-makers, and associates, who replied to questions about the topics of shopper experience, device and technology usage, and delivery and fulfillment in store and online.
An eight-year veteran of the Georgia company, Hakala will begin his new role on January 1, when the current CEO, Tero Peltomäki, will retire after a long and noteworthy career, continuing as a member of the board of directors, Cimcorp said.
According to Hakala, automation is an inevitable course in Cimcorp’s core sectors, and the company’s end-to-end capabilities will be crucial for clients’ success. In the past, both the tire and grocery retail industries have automated individual machines and parts of their operations. In recent years, automation has spread throughout the facilities, as companies want to be able to see their entire operation with one look, utilize analytics, optimize processes, and lead with data.
“Cimcorp has always grown by starting small in the new business segments. We’ve created one solution first, and as we’ve gained more knowledge of our clients’ challenges, we have been able to expand,” Hakala said in a release. “In every phase, we aim to bring our experience to the table and even challenge the client’s initial perspective. We are interested in what our client does and how it could be done better and more efficiently.”
Although many shoppers will
return to physical stores this holiday season, online shopping remains a driving force behind peak-season shipping challenges, especially when it comes to the last mile. Consumers still want fast, free shipping if they can get it—without any delays or disruptions to their holiday deliveries.
One disruptor that gets a lot of headlines this time of year is package theft—committed by so-called “porch pirates.” These are thieves who snatch parcels from front stairs, side porches, and driveways in neighborhoods across the country. The problem adds up to billions of dollars in stolen merchandise each year—not to mention headaches for shippers, parcel delivery companies, and, of course, consumers.
Given the scope of the problem, it’s no wonder online shoppers are worried about it—especially during holiday season. In its annual report on package theft trends, released in October, the
security-focused research and product review firm Security.org found that:
17% of Americans had a package stolen in the past three months, with the typical stolen parcel worth about $50. Some 44% said they’d had a package taken at some point in their life.
Package thieves poached more than $8 billion in merchandise over the past year.
18% of adults said they’d had a package stolen that contained a gift for someone else.
Ahead of the holiday season, 88% of adults said they were worried about theft of online purchases, with more than a quarter saying they were “extremely” or “very” concerned.
But it doesn’t have to be that way. There are some low-tech steps consumers can take to help guard against porch piracy along with some high-tech logistics-focused innovations in the pipeline that can protect deliveries in the last mile. First, some common-sense advice on avoiding package theft from the Security.org research:
Install a doorbell camera, which is a relatively low-cost deterrent.
Bring packages inside promptly or arrange to have them delivered to a secure location if no one will be at home.
Consider using click-and-collect options when possible.
If the retailer allows you to specify delivery-time windows, consider doing so to avoid having packages sit outside for extended periods.
These steps may sound basic, but they are by no means a given: Fewer than half of Americans consider the timing of deliveries, less than a third have a doorbell camera, and nearly one-fifth take no precautions to prevent package theft, according to the research.
Tech vendors are stepping up to help. One example is
Arrive AI, which develops smart mailboxes for last-mile delivery and pickup. The company says its Mailbox-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform will revolutionize the last mile by building a network of parcel-storage boxes that can be accessed by people, drones, or robots. In a nutshell: Packages are placed into a weatherproof box via drone, robot, driverless carrier, or traditional delivery method—and no one other than the rightful owner can access it.
Although the platform is still in development, the company already offers solutions for business clients looking to secure high-value deliveries and sensitive shipments. The health-care industry is one example: Arrive AI offers secure drone delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, lab samples, and the like to hospitals and other health-care facilities. The platform provides real-time tracking, chain-of-custody controls, and theft-prevention features. Arrive is conducting short-term deployments between logistics companies and health-care partners now, according to a company spokesperson.
The MaaS solution has a pretty high cool factor. And the common-sense best practices just seem like solid advice. Maybe combining both is the key to a more secure last mile—during peak shipping season and throughout the year as well.