Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
Those waiting for the consolidation needle to be moved in the deeply fragmented U.S. truck brokerage field
need not wait any longer.
On March 18, Chicago-based Coyote Logistics LLC acquired rival Access America Transport (AAT) in what is viewed
as a significant first step towards concentrating the $50 billion-a-year brokerage industry into the hands of fewer players.
Terms of the transaction were not publicly disclosed. However, an industry source said Coyote bought AAT for $125 million, of
which $98 million was cash.
The move blends companies with complementary service lines and operating strategies, which would appear to be a plus so
long as the integration is properly implemented. But it also combines disparate corporate cultures, which, if not handled
correctly, could cause heartburn for Coyote Founder and CEO Jeff Silver and his team. Though both firms have entrepreneurial
bents, Coyote functions in a more aggressive, flashy atmosphere with younger staffers whose drive mirrors Chicago's
rough-and-tumble mindset, according to a top industry executive familiar with both companies. AAT, by contrast, brings less
sizzle to the table and has a more blue-collar attitude that stems from its smaller-town Chattanooga, Tenn., roots, the executive
said.
It will be up to Silver, the hard-charging executive who co-founded Coyote in 2006 after taking a five-year sabbatical
from transportation to pursue advanced degrees, including a Masters of Engineering in Logistics from the Massachusetts Institute
of Technology, to meld the two cultures without alienating AAT employees. The integrations of Coyote's two prior acquisitions,
Memphis-based Integra Logistics in 2008 and Atlanta-based General Freight Services in early 2009, did not go well in part because
employees of the acquired firms resisted Coyote's corporate approach, the executive said.
Chris Pickett, Coyote's chief strategy officer, however, said that despite the geographic differences, the Coyote and AAT
cultures are more alike than they may seem. Pickett said that the cultural similarities were a key reason for doing the deal,
and that Coyote put a lot of forethought into the issue. The previous deals were five and six years ago, and "we've learned a
lot along the way," he said.
The deal spells big paydays for AAT's three founders, Ted Alling, Barry Large, and Allen Davis, Chattanooga-based venture
capitalists in their mid-30s who launched AAT in 2002. In recent years, the three have drifted away from AAT to focus on other
holdings of the Lamp Post Group, their venture capital firm. AAT President Chad Eichelberger, who has been handling the day-to-day
business, will stay on to run the new company's brokerage operations.
The Coyote-AAT combination will have annual gross revenues (revenues before the cost of purchased transportation) of $2
billion, 17 North American locations, and a partner base of 40,000 carriers. Coyote generated slightly more than $1 billion
in gross revenue in 2013, but its first quarter gross revenue was 35 percent higher than in the prior quarter, according to
Pickett. AAT generated $400 million in gross revenue in 2012, the last year information was available.
Coyote's fortes are in dry van—the most commonly used form of truck transport—refrigerated trucking, and to a
lesser extent, intermodal. AAT's strengths lie in flatbed transport and in moving outsized commodities requiring special handling.
It also has a stronger presence in the less-than-truckload arena, a fertile market for brokers. Coyote's information technology
(IT) system, which goes by the internal name "Bazooka," will serve as the platform for the new entity. Bazooka is considered one
of the better broker IT networks in a world of largely mediocre systems.
The two companies also have different operating models, according to Evan Armstrong, president of Armstrong & Associates,
a West Allis, Wis.-based third-party logistics (3PL) consultancy. AAT works in teams that handle both sales and carrier operations,
Armstrong said. By contrast, Coyote uses what Armstrong calls a "split buy/sell operational model," where different groups focus
on securing loads and procuring trucks. Armstrong said the Coyote model is more efficient because employees can focus on one task
instead of juggling two roles.
Pickett said Coyote is "keeping an open mind" about what it can learn from AAT. However, he added that two elements of Coyote's
model will remain untouched: its philosophy of providing a single point of contact for the company's shipper and carrier base
and its centralized capacity management structure. The centralized structure has proven to be effective in leveraging Coyote's
network to build lane density, the holy grail for brokers. The brokerage model in general is easily scalable because it is
sales-driven and operates with significant variable costs, meaning a company can get to critical mass of network capacity
without a massive fixed investment.
"MEGABROKER"
Armstrong said the deal creates a "megabroker" to rival a select group of firms that preside over a marketplace of
thousands of mom-and-pop-like brokers. The market leader is C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. with more than $13 billion in
total 2013 gross revenue. Of that, $8.6 billion came from the "domestic transportation management/freight brokerage" category,
according to Armstrong data. The other major players are Greenwich, Conn.-based XPO Logistics Inc. (which is on a fast-growth
track of its own); Cincinnati-based Total Quality Logistics (TQL), and Chicago-based Echo Global Logistics Inc. The biggest
potential threat to this tight-knit group could come from traditional truckload carriers, which are muscling in on the action
to round out their product offerings and to diversify away from no-growth, over-the-road transport services.
Although there are approximately 10,000 licensed brokers in the United States, only about 28 have annual gross revenue
of more than $200 million, according to Armstrong data. Robinson reported net revenue (revenue after transportation costs) of
more than $1.3 billion from the domestic brokerage segment last year. The next 29 largest had combined net revenues of $2.2
billion, Armstrong data show.
Kerry R. Byrne, executive vice president of TQL, said he's unsure the Coyote-AAT deal will dramatically alter the
brokerage landscape because of the industry's size and continued fragmentation. Byrne said in an e-mail that he wasn't
surprised by the announcement because there has been much talk about merger and acquisition activity. (Echo, for its part,
in late February snapped up Comcar Logistics, a small Jacksonville, Fla.-based broker primarily serving the Southeast and Rocky
Mountain regions.) Although TQL plans to follow an organic expansion path, "growth through acquisition has been, and will continue
to be, a popular strategy for many others going forward," Byrne said.
Armstrong takes a different view, saying the transaction will spur "further consolidation within the small freight broker
ranks" as larger, better-capitalized brokers seek to beef up their service offerings, geographic reach, and lane density. The
industry executive said the broker/3PL market will shrink into a oligopoly of sorts. Under this model, only two or three big
vendors will have the necessary physical, technological, and capital resources to reorganize a traditionally inefficient business
and to offer large and small shippers the end-to-end solutions they increasingly demand. At the same time, the business itself
could easily double in revenue as more small to mid-sized shippers migrate to brokers and larger shippers use more of their
brokers' portfolio, the executive said.
Pickett of Coyote said the jury is out as to whether the AAT purchase will be the first big salvo in the consolidation wars.
But he is hardly oblivious to the wind's direction. "We hear from more than a few shippers that they're looking to rationalize
their vendor network," he said.
By the numbers, fourth quarter shipment volume was down 4.7% compared to the prior quarter, while spending dropped 2.2%.
Geographically, fourth-quarter shipment volume was low across all regions. The Northeast had the smallest decline at 1.2% with the West just behind with a contraction of 2.1%. And the Southeast saw shipments drop 6.7%, the most of all regions, as hurricanes impacted freight activity.
“While this quarter’s Index revealed spending overall on truck freight continues to decline, we did see some signs that spending per truck is increasing,” said Bobby Holland, U.S. Bank director of freight business analytics. “Shipments falling more than spending – even with lower fuel surcharges – suggests tighter capacity.”
The U.S. Bank Freight Payment Index measures quantitative changes in freight shipments and spend activity based on data from transactions processed through U.S. Bank Freight Payment, which processes more than $43 billion in freight payments annually for shippers and carriers across the U.S.
“It’s clear there are both cyclical and structural challenges remaining as we look for a truck freight market reboot,” Bob Costello, senior vice president and chief economist at the American Trucking Associations (ATA) said in a release on the results. “For instance, factory output softness – which has a disproportionate impact on truck freight volumes – is currently weighing heavily on our industry.”
Volvo Autonomous Solutions will form a strategic partnership with autonomous driving technology and generative AI provider Waabi to jointly develop and deploy autonomous trucks, with testing scheduled to begin later this year.
The announcement came two weeks after autonomous truck developer Kodiak Robotics said it had become the first company in the industry to launch commercial driverless trucking operations. That milestone came as oil company Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. used two RoboTrucks—which are semi-trucks equipped with the Kodiak Driver self-driving system—to deliver 100 loads of fracking material on routes in the Permian Basin in West Texas and Eastern New Mexico.
Atlas now intends to scale up its RoboTruck deployment “considerably” over the course of 2025, with multiple RoboTruck deployments expected throughout the year. In support of that, Kodiak has established a 12-person office in Odessa, Texas, that is projected to grow to approximately 20 people by the end of Q1 2025.
Businesses are scrambling today to insulate their supply chains from the impacts of a trade war being launched by the Trump Administration, which is planning to erect high tariff walls on Tuesday against goods imported from Canada, Mexico, and China.
Tariffs are import taxes paid by American companies and collected by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) Agency as goods produced in certain countries cross borders into the U.S.
In a last-minute deal announced on Monday, leaders of both countries said the tariffs on goods from Mexico will be delayed one month after that country agreed to send troops to the U.S.-Mexico border in an attempt to stem to flow of drugs such as fentanyl from Mexico, according to published reports.
If the deal holds, it could avoid some of the worst impacts of the tariffs on U.S. manufacturers that rely on parts and raw materials imported from Mexico. That blow would be particularly harsh on companies in the automotive and electrical equipment sectors, according to an analysis by S&P Global Ratings.
However, tariff damage is still on track to occur for U.S. companies with tight supply chain connections to Canada, concentrated in commodity-related processing sectors, the firm said. That disruption would increase if those countries responded with retaliatory tariffs of their own, a move that would slow the export of U.S. goods. Such an event would hurt most for American businesses in the agriculture and fishing, metals, and automotive areas, according to the analysis from Satyam Panday, Chief US and Canada Economist, S&P Global Ratings.
To dull the pain of those events, U.S. business interests would likely seek to cushion the declines in output by looking to factors such as exchange rate movements, availability of substitutes, and the willingness of producers to absorb the higher cost associated with tariffs, Panday said.
Weighing the long-term effects of a trade war
The extent to which increased tariffs will warp long-standing supply chain patterns is hard to calculate, since it is largely dependent on how long these tariffs will actually last, according to a statement from Tony Pelli, director of supply chain resilience, BSI Consulting. “The pause [on tariffs with Mexico] will help reduce the impacts on agricultural products in particular, but not necessarily on the automotive industry given the high degree of integration across all three North American countries,” he said.
“Tariffs on Canada or Mexico will disrupt supply chains beyond just finished goods,” Pelli said. “Some products cross the US, Mexico, and Canada borders four to five times, with the greatest impact on the auto and electronics industries. These supply chains have been tightly integrated for around 30 years, and it will be difficult for firms to simply source elsewhere. There are dense supplier networks along the US border with Mexico and Canada (especially Ontario) that you can’t just pick up and move somewhere else, which would likely slow or even stop auto manufacturing in the US for a time.”
If the tariffs on either Canada or Mexico stay in place for an extended period, the effects will soon become clear, said Hamish Woodrow, head of strategic analytics at Motive, a fleet management and operations platform. “Ultimately, the burden of these tariffs will fall on U.S. consumers and retailers. Prices will rise, and businesses will pass along costs as they navigate increased expenses and uncertainty,” Woodrow said.
But in the meantime, companies with international supply chains are quickly making contingency plans for any of the possible outcomes. “The immediate impact of tariffs on trucking, freight, and supply chains will be muted. Goods already en route, shipments six weeks out on the water, and landed inventory will continue to flow, meaning the real disruption will be felt in Q2 as businesses adjust to the new reality,” Woodrow said.
“By the end of the day, companies will be deploying mitigation strategies—many will delay inventory shipments to later in the year, waiting to see if the policy shifts or exemptions are introduced. Those who preloaded inventory will likely adopt a wait-and-see approach, holding off on further adjustments until the market reacts. In the short term, sourcing alternatives are limited, forcing supply chains to pause and reassess long-term investments while monitoring policy developments,” said Woodrow.
Editor's note: This story was revised on February 3 to add input from BSI and Motive.
Businesses dependent on ocean freight are facing shipping delays due to volatile conditions, as the global average trip for ocean shipments climbed to 68 days in the fourth quarter compared to 60 days for that same quarter a year ago, counting time elapsed from initial booking to clearing the gate at the final port, according to E2open.
Those extended transit times and booking delays are the ripple effects of ongoing turmoil at key ports that is being caused by geopolitical tensions, labor shortages, and port congestion, Dallas-based E2open said in its quarterly “Ocean Shipping Index” report.
The most significant contributor to the year-over-year (YoY) increase is actual transit time, alongside extraordinary volatility that has created a complex landscape for businesses dependent on ocean freight, the report found.
"Economic headwinds, geopolitical turbulence and uncertain trade routes are creating unprecedented disruptions within the ocean shipping industry. From continued Red Sea diversions to port congestion and labor unrest, businesses face a complex landscape of obstacles, all while grappling with possibility of new U.S. tariffs," Pawan Joshi, chief strategy officer (CSO) at e2open, said in a release. "We can expect these ongoing issues will be exacerbated by the Lunar New Year holiday, as businesses relying on Asian suppliers often rush to place orders, adding strain to their supply chains.”
Lunar New Year this year runs from January 29 to February 8, and often leads to supply chain disruptions as massive worker travel patterns across Asia leads to closed factories and reduced port capacity.
That changing landscape is forcing companies to adapt or replace their traditional approaches to product design and production. Specifically, many are changing the way they run factories by optimizing supply chains, increasing sustainability, and integrating after-sales services into their business models.
“North American manufacturers have embraced the factory of the future. Working with service providers, many companies are using AI and the cloud to make production systems more efficient and resilient,” Bob Krohn, partner at ISG, said in the “2024 ISG Provider Lens Manufacturing Industry Services and Solutions report for North America.”
To get there, companies in the region are aggressively investing in digital technologies, especially AI and ML, for product design and production, ISG says. Under pressure to bring new products to market faster, manufacturers are using AI-enabled tools for more efficient design and rapid prototyping. And generative AI platforms are already in use at some companies, streamlining product design and engineering.
At the same time, North American manufacturers are seeking to increase both revenue and customer satisfaction by introducing services alongside or instead of traditional products, the report says. That includes implementing business models that may include offering subscription, pay-per-use, and asset-as-a-service options. And they hope to extend product life cycles through an increasing focus on after-sales servicing, repairs. and condition monitoring.
Additional benefits of manufacturers’ increased focus on tech include better handling of cybersecurity threats and data privacy regulations. It also helps build improved resilience to cope with supply chain disruptions by adopting cloud-based supply chain management, advanced analytics, real-time IoT tracking, and AI-enabled optimization.
“The changes of the past several years have spurred manufacturers into action,” Jan Erik Aase, partner and global leader, ISG Provider Lens Research, said in a release. “Digital transformation and a culture of continuous improvement can position them for long-term success.”