Contributing Editor Toby Gooley is a writer and editor specializing in supply chain, logistics, and material handling, and a lecturer at MIT's Center for Transportation & Logistics. She previously was Senior Editor at DC VELOCITY and Editor of DCV's sister publication, CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly. Prior to joining AGiLE Business Media in 2007, she spent 20 years at Logistics Management magazine as Managing Editor and Senior Editor covering international trade and transportation. Prior to that she was an export traffic manager for 10 years. She holds a B.A. in Asian Studies from Cornell University.
Lift trucks are the "workhorses of the warehouse"—essential tools for shipping, receiving, picking, and putaway. But no piece of equipment can last forever; sooner or later, every lift truck will reach the point when it should be put out to pasture, so to speak.
How do you know when it's time to say goodbye? If you lease the equipment, it's not an issue—the "retirement" date will be set as part of the leasing agreement. But if you own the equipment, this can be a tough call. The key, experts say, is determining when a lift truck has reached the end of its "economic life." That's the point when the cost to operate a vehicle exceeds the value it provides, and keeping it going would be akin to throwing money away. Several factors play into that decision, including hours of operation, operating conditions, utilization rates, maintenance costs, and productivity.
HOURS ON THE JOB
For an automobile, mileage is a better indicator than age of expected longevity. Similarly, the number of operating hours a lift truck has logged is a more reliable measure of its expected lifespan than its age. The typical lift truck engine is good for 10,000 to 20,000 hours, although some last much longer.
But the average number of operating hours is only a broad guideline; there are several other factors that also influence how long an individual truck will last. For example, electrics generally run more total hours than internal combustion (IC) trucks do. Operating conditions also play a big role, says Bill Rowan, president of Sunbelt Industrial Trucks, a dealer that represents Narrow Aisle, Nissan (now UniCarriers), Komatsu, and Doosan. You'll get more hours, for instance, from a truck that operates indoors in clean, dry conditions than you will from one that's exposed to extreme temperatures or messy loads that can gum things up.
One of the most important factors affecting operating hours is maintenance. A properly managed planned-maintenance program will help any truck operate more efficiently and last longer. "Being proactive on the maintenance side is one way to increase the economic life of the lift truck," Rowan says.
Utilization also affects longevity; a lift truck carrying heavy loads over multiple shifts will not last as long as one that sees light duty in a single-shift operation. In some cases, though, it is possible to extend a truck's lifespan, says Scott Craver, product manager of business and information solutions for The Raymond Corp. If a few trucks have lower utilization rates than others in a fleet, "locking out" some high-mileage forklifts for a while and using the low-utilization trucks will wring more hours from the latter and allow the fleet vehicles to wear at the same rate. But, he cautions, it's critical to investigate why certain vehicles are underutilized and to make sure there's nothing wrong with them before putting them to heavier use.
THE COST OF MAINTENANCE
For companies that buy their trucks rather than lease or rent them, it's tempting to focus on getting as many hours as possible out of each piece of equipment. But that approach is counterproductive. Experts advise fleet owners to pay equal attention to maintenance costs, because these can eventually outweigh the benefits of keeping an older truck running.
Maintenance costs, which include parts and labor, usually are predictable for the first couple years of a lift truck's life. But after a few years and several thousand hours of use (the numbers will vary depending on individual circumstances), maintenance costs inevitably rise. In a hypothetical but common scenario, a new truck might have no maintenance expenses to speak of in its first year, and in its second year, maintenance might cost $1.50 an hour, says Bill Pedriana, director of sales for Big Joe Forklifts. "Then, in year five, that may go up to $3 per hour, even with good, planned maintenance," he says.
Major repairs are to be expected later in a lift truck's life. Components like motors, drive units, transmissions, and electronics may require repairs or replacement after about 10,000 hours and/or six or seven years, says Maria Schwieterman, a marketing product manager for Crown Equipment Corp. "That's a good time to question whether to keep the truck or not," she says.
In fact, the type of repair is a critical consideration when deciding whether or not to hold onto a truck, says Brian Markison, senior manager, national accounts for UniCarriers Americas Corp. (formerly Nissan Forklift Corp. North America and TCM America). Costs for "wearables," such as wheels, belts, and other parts that routinely require replacement throughout the life of the truck, are not relevant—"You will have tire replacements no matter how old the truck is," he says. Scheduled preventive maintenance costs also should be excluded from the analysis. More important are the big-ticket repairs like engines, transmissions, drive motors on electrics, and other components that potentially could require a rebuild and trigger capital expenditures, he says.
Markison suggests looking at how many work orders (other than preventive maintenance) have been opened on the truck in a 12-month rolling period. If there have been more than four, the truck bears watching and may be a candidate for replacement. "It doesn't necessarily have to be for major repairs," he observes. At a certain age, an old truck goes into "nickel and diming mode"—generating small but continual maintenance expenses, he says.
A sudden, unexpected increase in maintenance costs may be a sign that a lift truck is reaching the end of the road. But rather than assume that's the case, "it's worth the time to dig into why you're having to make those repairs," says Michael McKean, manager of fleet sales and marketing for Toyota Material Handling U.S.A. Inc. (TMHU). If an analysis shows that maintenance costs spiked because of avoidable problems like inadequate maintenance or a one-time event like an accident, then you'll have uncovered an opportunity to prevent such problems in the future and won't be getting rid of a truck that may still have plenty of life in it.
When do maintenance expenses cross the line from "acceptable" to "not worth it"? If you're spending more than 10 percent of the truck's purchase price year after year on maintenance, then it's no longer economical and it's probably time to retire the vehicle, McKean says.
Some fleet owners will retire a vehicle when the annual maintenance spend on a unit exceeds its resale value, Pedriana says. Raymond's Craver suggests giving serious thought to retiring a truck when the average maintenance cost per month approaches or exceeds the monthly payment for a new vehicle.
No matter what your criteria, you won't be able to judge when maintenance costs have become unacceptably high without accurate, complete data, Schwieterman points out. Fleet management systems are invaluable aids for collecting, tracking, and reporting that information, but small fleets with just a few trucks could manually collect the necessary information and use a spreadsheet to sort it out.
BETTER PRODUCTIVITY
If a lift truck is becoming a drag on productivity, it's probably time to replace it, Craver says. There are several reasons that might happen: excessive downtime for repairs, inadequate ergonomics or outdated safety features, or the truck simply wasn't designed for its current (or future) job.
Downtime can be a huge productivity buster. The longer you hang onto a lift truck, the more downtime you are likely to experience. According to Hyster Co. estimates, replacing a truck after 10,000 hours will on average improve uptime by nearly 50 percent compared with replacing it at 20,000 hours. Some fleet owners that operate their trucks three shifts a day routinely replace them after five years because uptime typically declines after that point.
Downtime is expensive, too. There's much more at stake than the cost of an idle driver or actual maintenance expenses, Rowan says. Any lost time can be significant; to what degree depends on how downtime affects your operations, he notes. "If you promise to ship something but a truck breaks down and you can't meet your commitment to a customer, or an operator tells you he's losing time every week because a truck is being repaired, that all goes into your costs," he observes.
In some cases, the ergonomic and safety features that let operators today drive and handle loads faster than in the past may make older trucks obsolete, Schwieterman says. In high-volume multishift operations, these features may boost productivity enough to warrant replacing older trucks, she says. And if you plan to use a forklift differently—for more shifts, increased hours, or a new application—first consider whether the current truck will be up to the task or should be replaced, she adds.
THE FINANCE ANGLE
The decision to retire a forklift should take into account not only the factors mentioned above, but also a truck's "book" value and its resale value. One common problem, McKean says, is that a company's finance department may insist on keeping a lift truck on the books for seven or more years until it is fully depreciated, without considering the vehicle's hours, maintenance costs, or resale value.
That means fleet managers may be told to put thousands of dollars into repairs because a lift truck has several more years to depreciate, even though the maintenance costs might be high or the trade-in value may be considerably less than its book value. "Once a truck is over a certain age, the trade-in value drops significantly," Rowan says. To help make the case for replacement, he suggests, show your finance people how rapidly maintenance costs will rise and the trade-in value will decline while an older truck remains on the books.
To bring some clarity to the economics of lift truck ownership, forklift makers have put together charts to help fleet owners find the sweet spot—where all of the factors affecting a lift truck's value and productivity are favorable—as well as determine when a truck has reached the end of its economic life. See Exhibits 1 and 2 for a couple of examples.
Exhibit 1 maps maintenance, ownership, and total costs per hour over the life of the truck. The point where the total cost is lowest is the best time to retire a forklift, say the experts interviewed for this article. After that, total costs will only rise, and the longer you hang onto a truck, the more it will cost to maintain and operate.
Exhibit 2 segments the trucks in a fleet into green, yellow, and red zones denoting peak (keep), declining (watch), and poor (replace) performance. Which category a truck falls into depends on its productivity and maintenance costs. As their productivity declines and maintenance costs rise, they move into less desirable categories.
Keep in mind that fleet segmentation may not automatically translate into replacements, because a company's capital expenditure planning will influence whether replacement purchases will be approved. "How many trucks you leave in the yellow and red zones will be partly based on whether you have enough dollars to replace X number of trucks," Markison explains.
Does this sound like fleet managers need a degree in finance to do their jobs? It all might seem a little daunting, but experts say digging into costs is worth the trouble. Given the relationships among maintenance, operating, tax, and other costs associated with forklift ownership, a manager who wants to run the most productive fleet at the lowest cost will benefit from understanding how all of these pieces fit together.
What to do with that tired old truck?
Suppose you've weighed all the evidence and decided that it's time to retire one or more of your lift trucks. Now what? Here are a few suggestions:
Reassign it. "In some circumstances, it can pay to reassign a truck to a less demanding job," says Bill Pedriana, director of sales for Big Joe Forklifts. It will cost more per hour to operate than a new one, but it may still be cost-effective for applications or facilities requiring fewer hours.
A successful redeployment requires that the truck meet certain cost, safety, and reliability criteria. "If a truck has hit the economic wall, I would not recommend rotating it somewhere else, even if it's to something with low hours," says Brian Markison, senior manager, national accounts for UniCarriers Americas Corp. (formerly Nissan Forklift Corp. North America and TCM America). "There probably will be issues with it, and you will still have to make a lot of repairs."
Keep it as a spare. When a truck has become too expensive to operate on a regular basis but is still on a depreciation schedule, it might make sense to keep it as spare equipment—something every facility needs, says Michael McKean, manager of fleet sales and marketing for Toyota Material Handling U.S.A. Inc. (TMHU). For instance, an older truck could fill in when a newer one is down for maintenance.
If you regularly experience seasonal or short-term spikes in volume, it may be more cost-effective to keep a well-maintained "retired" truck on hand instead of renting an extra one for those periods, says Pedriana.
And if you have a good-sized fleet, you might even consider keeping an old forklift for spare parts, suggests Scott Craver, product manager of business and information solutions for The Raymond Corp. "There are times when the parts might be worth more than the truck's resale value, plus you save time if you don't have to wait for next-day parts delivery," he says.
Trade it in. Dealers often like to get used lift trucks to fix up and sell as reconditioned vehicles. Some manufacturers have established formal programs to give qualified trucks a "second life." Under Crown Equipment Corp.'s Encore program, for example, technicians strip down used forklifts, repair or replace components as needed, rebuild the vehicle, apply a new coat of paint, and sell it as a remanufactured truck. Any trade-in should be "young" enough—10,000 hours or less—to retain its resale value, though. Otherwise, you won't get much for it.
Sell it. It's possible to sell a used truck directly to an end user, but manufacturers caution against it because of potential liability issues. Instead, look for third-party brokers who repair and resell trucks on the secondary market or break them up for parts and scrap. It shouldn't be hard to find a buyer. There's plenty of demand for used trucks because companies hung onto their equipment during the recession, and the supply of used vehicles dried up, says Markison.
Scrap it. When all else fails, check out the equipment's scrap value, suggests Bill Rowan, president of Sunbelt Industrial Trucks Inc. "The scrap value these days is pretty high—typically about $1,500," he says. That will vary, of course, depending on the condition and type of truck as well as on the local scrap market. Whatever you do, if it's an electric truck, be sure to dispose of the battery properly. (See "The basics of battery recycling.")
Even as a last-minute deal today appeared to delay the tariff on Mexico, that deal is set to last only one month, and tariffs on the other two countries are still set to go into effect at midnight tonight.
Once new U.S. tariffs go into effect, those other countries are widely expected to respond with retaliatory tariffs of their own on U.S. exports, that would reduce demand for U.S. and manufacturing goods. In the context of that unpredictable business landscape, many U.S. business groups have been pressuring the White House to pull back from the new policy.
Here is a sampling of the reaction to the tariff plan by the U.S. business community:
American Association of Port Authorities (AAPA)
“Tariffs are taxes,” AAPA President and CEO Cary Davis said in a release. “Though the port industry supports President Trump’s efforts to combat the flow of illicit drugs, tariffs will slow down our supply chains, tax American businesses, and increase costs for hard-working citizens. Instead, we call on the Administration and Congress to thoughtfully pursue alternatives to achieving these policy goals and exempt items critical to national security from tariffs, including port equipment.”
Retail Industry Leaders Association (RILA)
“We understand the president is working toward an agreement. The leaders of all four nations should come together and work to reach a deal before Feb. 4 because enacting broad-based tariffs will be disruptive to the U.S. economy,” Michael Hanson, RILA’s Senior Executive Vice President of Public Affairs, said in a release. “The American people are counting on President Trump to grow the U.S. economy and lower inflation, and broad-based tariffs will put that at risk.”
National Association of Manufacturers (NAM)
“Manufacturers understand the need to deal with any sort of crisis that involves illicit drugs crossing our border, and we hope the three countries can come together quickly to confront this challenge,” NAM President and CEO Jay Timmons said in a release. “However, with essential tax reforms left on the cutting room floor by the last Congress and the Biden administration, manufacturers are already facing mounting cost pressures. A 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico threatens to upend the very supply chains that have made U.S. manufacturing more competitive globally. The ripple effects will be severe, particularly for small and medium-sized manufacturers that lack the flexibility and capital to rapidly find alternative suppliers or absorb skyrocketing energy costs. These businesses—employing millions of American workers—will face significant disruptions. Ultimately, manufacturers will bear the brunt of these tariffs, undermining our ability to sell our products at a competitive price and putting American jobs at risk.”
American Apparel & Footwear Association (AAFA)
“Widespread tariff actions on Mexico, Canada, and China announced this evening will inject massive costs into our inflation-weary economy while exposing us to a damaging tit-for-tat tariff war that will harm key export markets that U.S. farmers and manufacturers need,” Steve Lamar, AAFA’s president and CEO, said in a release. “We should be forging deeper collaboration with our free trade agreement partners, not taking actions that call into question the very foundation of that partnership."
Healthcare Distribution Alliance (HDA)
“We are concerned that placing tariffs on generic drug products produced outside the U.S. will put additional pressure on an industry that is already experiencing financial distress. Distributors and generic manufacturers and cannot absorb the rising costs of broad tariffs. It is worth noting that distributors operate on low profit margins — 0.3 percent. As a result, the U.S. will likely see new and worsened shortages of important medications and the costs will be passed down to payers and patients, including those in the Medicare and Medicaid programs," the group said in a statement.
National Retail Federation (NRF)
“We support the Trump administration’s goal of strengthening trade relationships and creating fair and favorable terms for America,” NRF Executive Vice President of Government Relations David French said in a release. “But imposing steep tariffs on three of our closest trading partners is a serious step. We strongly encourage all parties to continue negotiating to find solutions that will strengthen trade relationships and avoid shifting the costs of shared policy failures onto the backs of American families, workers and small businesses.”
Businesses are scrambling today to insulate their supply chains from the impacts of a trade war being launched by the Trump Administration, which is planning to erect high tariff walls on Tuesday against goods imported from Canada, Mexico, and China.
Tariffs are import taxes paid by American companies and collected by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) Agency as goods produced in certain countries cross borders into the U.S.
In a last-minute deal announced on Monday, leaders of both countries said the tariffs on goods from Mexico will be delayed one month after that country agreed to send troops to the U.S.-Mexico border in an attempt to stem to flow of drugs such as fentanyl from Mexico, according to published reports.
If the deal holds, it could avoid some of the worst impacts of the tariffs on U.S. manufacturers that rely on parts and raw materials imported from Mexico. That blow would be particularly harsh on companies in the automotive and electrical equipment sectors, according to an analysis by S&P Global Ratings.
However, tariff damage is still on track to occur for U.S. companies with tight supply chain connections to Canada, concentrated in commodity-related processing sectors, the firm said. That disruption would increase if those countries responded with retaliatory tariffs of their own, a move that would slow the export of U.S. goods. Such an event would hurt most for American businesses in the agriculture and fishing, metals, and automotive areas, according to the analysis from Satyam Panday, Chief US and Canada Economist, S&P Global Ratings.
To dull the pain of those events, U.S. business interests would likely seek to cushion the declines in output by looking to factors such as exchange rate movements, availability of substitutes, and the willingness of producers to absorb the higher cost associated with tariffs, Panday said.
Weighing the long-term effects of a trade war
The extent to which increased tariffs will warp long-standing supply chain patterns is hard to calculate, since it is largely dependent on how long these tariffs will actually last, according to a statement from Tony Pelli, director of supply chain resilience, BSI Consulting. “The pause [on tariffs with Mexico] will help reduce the impacts on agricultural products in particular, but not necessarily on the automotive industry given the high degree of integration across all three North American countries,” he said.
“Tariffs on Canada or Mexico will disrupt supply chains beyond just finished goods,” Pelli said. “Some products cross the US, Mexico, and Canada borders four to five times, with the greatest impact on the auto and electronics industries. These supply chains have been tightly integrated for around 30 years, and it will be difficult for firms to simply source elsewhere. There are dense supplier networks along the US border with Mexico and Canada (especially Ontario) that you can’t just pick up and move somewhere else, which would likely slow or even stop auto manufacturing in the US for a time.”
If the tariffs on either Canada or Mexico stay in place for an extended period, the effects will soon become clear, said Hamish Woodrow, head of strategic analytics at Motive, a fleet management and operations platform. “Ultimately, the burden of these tariffs will fall on U.S. consumers and retailers. Prices will rise, and businesses will pass along costs as they navigate increased expenses and uncertainty,” Woodrow said.
But in the meantime, companies with international supply chains are quickly making contingency plans for any of the possible outcomes. “The immediate impact of tariffs on trucking, freight, and supply chains will be muted. Goods already en route, shipments six weeks out on the water, and landed inventory will continue to flow, meaning the real disruption will be felt in Q2 as businesses adjust to the new reality,” Woodrow said.
“By the end of the day, companies will be deploying mitigation strategies—many will delay inventory shipments to later in the year, waiting to see if the policy shifts or exemptions are introduced. Those who preloaded inventory will likely adopt a wait-and-see approach, holding off on further adjustments until the market reacts. In the short term, sourcing alternatives are limited, forcing supply chains to pause and reassess long-term investments while monitoring policy developments,” said Woodrow.
Editor's note: This story was revised on February 3 to add input from BSI and Motive.
Businesses dependent on ocean freight are facing shipping delays due to volatile conditions, as the global average trip for ocean shipments climbed to 68 days in the fourth quarter compared to 60 days for that same quarter a year ago, counting time elapsed from initial booking to clearing the gate at the final port, according to E2open.
Those extended transit times and booking delays are the ripple effects of ongoing turmoil at key ports that is being caused by geopolitical tensions, labor shortages, and port congestion, Dallas-based E2open said in its quarterly “Ocean Shipping Index” report.
The most significant contributor to the year-over-year (YoY) increase is actual transit time, alongside extraordinary volatility that has created a complex landscape for businesses dependent on ocean freight, the report found.
"Economic headwinds, geopolitical turbulence and uncertain trade routes are creating unprecedented disruptions within the ocean shipping industry. From continued Red Sea diversions to port congestion and labor unrest, businesses face a complex landscape of obstacles, all while grappling with possibility of new U.S. tariffs," Pawan Joshi, chief strategy officer (CSO) at e2open, said in a release. "We can expect these ongoing issues will be exacerbated by the Lunar New Year holiday, as businesses relying on Asian suppliers often rush to place orders, adding strain to their supply chains.”
Lunar New Year this year runs from January 29 to February 8, and often leads to supply chain disruptions as massive worker travel patterns across Asia leads to closed factories and reduced port capacity.
That changing landscape is forcing companies to adapt or replace their traditional approaches to product design and production. Specifically, many are changing the way they run factories by optimizing supply chains, increasing sustainability, and integrating after-sales services into their business models.
“North American manufacturers have embraced the factory of the future. Working with service providers, many companies are using AI and the cloud to make production systems more efficient and resilient,” Bob Krohn, partner at ISG, said in the “2024 ISG Provider Lens Manufacturing Industry Services and Solutions report for North America.”
To get there, companies in the region are aggressively investing in digital technologies, especially AI and ML, for product design and production, ISG says. Under pressure to bring new products to market faster, manufacturers are using AI-enabled tools for more efficient design and rapid prototyping. And generative AI platforms are already in use at some companies, streamlining product design and engineering.
At the same time, North American manufacturers are seeking to increase both revenue and customer satisfaction by introducing services alongside or instead of traditional products, the report says. That includes implementing business models that may include offering subscription, pay-per-use, and asset-as-a-service options. And they hope to extend product life cycles through an increasing focus on after-sales servicing, repairs. and condition monitoring.
Additional benefits of manufacturers’ increased focus on tech include better handling of cybersecurity threats and data privacy regulations. It also helps build improved resilience to cope with supply chain disruptions by adopting cloud-based supply chain management, advanced analytics, real-time IoT tracking, and AI-enabled optimization.
“The changes of the past several years have spurred manufacturers into action,” Jan Erik Aase, partner and global leader, ISG Provider Lens Research, said in a release. “Digital transformation and a culture of continuous improvement can position them for long-term success.”
Women are significantly underrepresented in the global transport sector workforce, comprising only 12% of transportation and storage workers worldwide as they face hurdles such as unfavorable workplace policies and significant gender gaps in operational, technical and leadership roles, a study from the World Bank Group shows.
This underrepresentation limits diverse perspectives in service design and decision-making, negatively affects businesses and undermines economic growth, according to the report, “Addressing Barriers to Women’s Participation in Transport.” The paper—which covers global trends and provides in-depth analysis of the women’s role in the transport sector in Europe and Central Asia (ECA) and Middle East and North Africa (MENA)—was prepared jointly by the World Bank Group, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), the German Agency for International Cooperation (GIZ), the European Investment Bank (EIB), and the International Transport Forum (ITF).
The slim proportion of women in the sector comes at a cost, since increasing female participation and leadership can drive innovation, enhance team performance, and improve service delivery for diverse users, while boosting GDP and addressing critical labor shortages, researchers said.
To drive solutions, the researchers today unveiled the Women in Transport (WiT) Network, which is designed to bring together transport stakeholders dedicated to empowering women across all facets and levels of the transport sector, and to serve as a forum for networking, recruitment, information exchange, training, and mentorship opportunities for women.
Initially, the WiT network will cover only the Europe and Central Asia and the Middle East and North Africa regions, but it is expected to gradually expand into a global initiative.
“When transport services are inclusive, economies thrive. Yet, as this joint report and our work at the EIB reveal, few transport companies fully leverage policies to better attract, retain and promote women,” Laura Piovesan, the European Investment Bank (EIB)’s Director General of the Projects Directorate, said in a release. “The Women in Transport Network enables us to unite efforts and scale impactful solutions - benefiting women, employers, communities and the climate.”