Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
Truckingboards.com is a lively forum where truckers, who are normally opinionated people, go
online to vent on the issues of the day. One recent post, from the handle of "Docker," who ostensibly
is a unionized employee at ABF Freight System Inc., contained the image of a political button
inscribed with the warning that "We Don't Want to Strike, But We Will!"
That could easily be dismissed as an idle, even foolish, threat since a Teamster strike could push the
financially troubled less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier, which has lost about $230 million since 2009, over
the edge, with thousands of jobs going with it. Yet it should be remembered that the 7,500 or so Teamsters
employed at Fort Smith, Ark.-based ABF have been known to march to their own collective drummer.
In May 2010, while their union brethren at chief rival YRC Worldwide Inc. agreed to three separate
wage and benefit concessions to drive down YRC's costs and keep it afloat, ABF's rank-and-file rejected
similar givebacks that management said were needed to remain competitive. In the process, it defied its
own union leadership that had negotiated the concessions.
Nearly three years later, ABF and its Teamster workers face each other again. The current five-year contract expired March 31 but last week was extended until April 30, giving both
sides more time to talk. The union said in a terse statement that "slow progress continues to be
made" and that "significant issues need to be discussed." The company, in an equally terse communiqué,
said that both sides "continued to make progress" towards an agreement. Talks will reconvene sometime next
week.
At this time, there is scant evidence that ABF customers are diverting their freight. Part of it
could be shipper ennui; there hasn't been a strike in the LTL industry since 1994, so shippers may
be unconcerned that this dispute would break the pattern. Part of it could be that shippers of
hard-to-handle freight have come to rely on ABF's skills in that area and are loath to look for
an alternative.
But as the calendar turns with the big issue—namely wage and benefit concessions—yet to be
discussed, it would appear that prudence would be in order for ABF shippers. David G. Ross, transport
analyst at investment firm Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., said in a research note today that shippers should have
contingency plans in place by the last week of April if a contract isn't signed by then.
For now, no one seems willing to budge. ABF warned in December that it would be forced to make
"extensive changes" to its network if it can't cut costs and increase flexibility through a new labor
deal. The company insists that it needs a lower operating structure to compete for business it now has to turn
away. The union, meanwhile, appears loath to agree to major concessions until it has evidence that ABF
has its operational house in order. ABF has the highest labor costs of any LTL carrier, but critics say
its terminal network is too large and its freight density too light to be profitable under the current
structure.
VARIOUS OPTIONS
There are several bargaining options available to both sides. Those include an extension of the
existing contract, even one as long as two years, a timeframe that would coincide with the 2015
expiration of YRC's contract. Operations could continue without a contract, a dicey scenario for
both sides; a union can strike a company without notice, though at the same time it can be decertified
and lose access to hard-won contractual benefits. And there could be a strike on May 1.
No one knows how efficiently the marketplace would absorb ABF's freight if it were dispersed in the
event of a work stoppage. Charles W. Clowdis Jr., managing director of transportation advisory services
for consultancy IHS Global Insight, said customers shouldn't have trouble finding alternative transport
services. Clowdis added, however, that he wouldn't be surprised if various carriers impose emergency
surcharges to move ABF's goods.
The last time the LTL sector dealt with a major dislocation was in 2002 when the venerable carrier
Consolidated Freightways, unable to pay its insurance premiums, suddenly went belly up. After a brief
period of indigestion, however, other carriers picked up the slack.
Between now and month's end, several events will take place that could influence the talks. On April
10, a federal appeals court in St. Louis will hear arguments in ABF's long-running suit against YRC and
the Teamsters over the three separate concessionary agreements. ABF argues the agreements were illegal
because they circumvented the National Master Freight Agreement (NMFA), the compact that governs trucking
labor relations.
ABF sued the Teamsters and YRC in November 2010, asking that the compacts be made null and void and that
YRC's cost structure be returned to NMFA status. ABF also asked for $750 million in damages. However, ABF
has made little headway in the courts, and some believe its resources would be better spent on contract
bargaining and not in pursuing a legal fight against the union it is trying to come to terms with.
On April 19, YRC Freight, YRC's long-haul LTL unit, will meet with leaders of Teamster locals to discuss
the company's proposal to rationalize its network by closing three breakbulk terminals and consolidating 29
smaller, "end-of-line" terminals used as freight pickup and final delivery points. The move, designed to
reduce freight-handling costs and expedite goods movement, could save YRC about $30 million a year.
UPS Freight, the unionized LTL arm of UPS Inc., is also in the process of negotiating its own contract
with the Teamsters. The talks are running concurrently with the much-larger negotiations involving UPS
and the union's 250,000-member small-package division. UPS Freight has about 15,000 Teamster members,
though their contract does not fall under the NMFA umbrella.
UPS has made no secret of its desire to reach agreements on both contracts long before their July 31
expirations. UPS Freight negotiations are scheduled to resume in mid-month.
Congestion on U.S. highways is costing the trucking industry big, according to research from the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI), released today.
The group found that traffic congestion on U.S. highways added $108.8 billion in costs to the trucking industry in 2022, a record high. The information comes from ATRI’s Cost of Congestion study, which is part of the organization’s ongoing highway performance measurement research.
Total hours of congestion fell slightly compared to 2021 due to softening freight market conditions, but the cost of operating a truck increased at a much higher rate, according to the research. As a result, the overall cost of congestion increased by 15% year-over-year—a level equivalent to more than 430,000 commercial truck drivers sitting idle for one work year and an average cost of $7,588 for every registered combination truck.
The analysis also identified metropolitan delays and related impacts, showing that the top 10 most-congested states each experienced added costs of more than $8 billion. That list was led by Texas, at $9.17 billion in added costs; California, at $8.77 billion; and Florida, $8.44 billion. Rounding out the top 10 list were New York, Georgia, New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and Tennessee. Combined, the top 10 states account for more than half of the trucking industry’s congestion costs nationwide—52%, according to the research.
The metro areas with the highest congestion costs include New York City, $6.68 billion; Miami, $3.2 billion; and Chicago, $3.14 billion.
ATRI’s analysis also found that the trucking industry wasted more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel fuel in 2022 due to congestion, resulting in additional fuel costs of $32.1 billion.
ATRI used a combination of data sources, including its truck GPS database and Operational Costs study benchmarks, to calculate the impacts of trucking delays on major U.S. roadways.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.