Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
Just before midnight Dec. 4, ship management and striking clerical workers reached a tentative contract ending an eight-day battle that had shut the Port of Los Angeles, the nation's busiest seaport, and dramatically reduced operations at the adjacent Port of Long Beach, the second-busiest. The six-year contract should be ratified sometime today.
Longshoremen—whose decision to honor the clerical workers' picket
lines had shuttered 10 of the port complex's 14 terminals—returned to work this morning, and the supply chain began what is expected to be a multi-week process to clear the backlog of goods.
Stephen E. Schatz Sr., a spokesman for the National Retail Federation (NRF), said in an e-mail that it could take 16 to 24 days to empty the pipeline. That is based on a calculation that it takes two to three days to push freight out the door for each day it sits idle due to a work stoppage.
The time frame for recovery may be lengthened depending on the availability of equipment at the complex, Schatz said. Equipment availability had become a serious issue by the time the strike was settled.
Fortunately for U.S. retailers and consumers, the walkout occurred during a relatively slow time at the ports. Most holiday merchandise has already entered U.S. commerce, and retailers were still several days away from the
last replenishment push before Christmas. Still, with inventory levels at record lows, there was concern that a strike lasting into next week would have caused problems for retailers that faced unplanned surges in demand.
Had the strike continued without an agreement or without government intervention, importers would have been forced to rely on expensive air freight to rush holiday goods to market. However, the rush to secure air freight
would have tightened capacity so quickly and dramatically that many importers would have been shut out anyway.
The strike's resolution could provide a short-term boost for truckers as shippers and importers may opt for the quickest possible ground transportation mode to rush idled freight to market. For their part, the nation's two
main western railroads, BNSF Railway and Union Pacific Corp. (UP), say they are prepared to go with the flow.
"We are ready to resume normal operations," said Aaron Hunt, a UP spokesperson.
"Our rail operations and facilities remain fluid and are well positioned to move containers as the situation is
resolved," Krista K. York-Woolley, a BNSF spokeswoman, said yesterday.
DISPUTE OVER OUTSOURCING
Neither side would comment on details of yesterday's agreement. However, the International Longshore and
Warehouse Union (ILWU), which represents the clerical unit, said in a statement last night that the unit
wins "new protections that will help prevent jobs from being outsourced to Texas, Taiwan, and beyond." It
was unclear at press time when the unit's rank-and-file would vote to ratify the agreement.
The unit, which has been working without a contract since June 2010, struck Nov. 27 in protest over alleged
plans by the Harbor Employers Association (HEA) to outsource clerical jobs to lower-cost locations in the United
States and overseas. The management group has denied the union claim, saying no clerical jobs have been
outsourced and none are expected to be.
The unit at the ports is considered the highest-paid clerical workers in the nation. Management said its
most recent contract offer, which the unit had rejected, would have paid each member as much as $190,000 a
year in wages, pensions, and the monetary value of health benefits.
The needle on settling the dispute began to move on Monday when Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa became
directly involved in the talks after cutting short an overseas trip to return to the city. Late yesterday, the Federal
Mediation & Conciliation Service (FMCS), an independent government agency tasked with keeping labor-management peace,
said it was asked by both sides to arbitrate the dispute.
FMCS Director George H. Cohen and Deputy Director Scot L. Beckenbaugh arrived in Los Angeles late yesterday, but
it is unclear what influence they had in bringing about an agreement.
ATTENTION TURNS EAST
With the strike settled, FMCS can return its attention to the East and Gulf Coasts, where it is
mediating a long-simmering dispute between the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA)
and the U.S. Maritime Association (USMX). Both sides are working under a mutually agreed upon 90-day contract
extension. The agreement was reached when it became clear that they wouldn't come to terms before the scheduled
Sept. 30 contract expiration date and that a work stoppage during the peak shipping season was becoming a strong
possibility.
Management says the ILA has failed to consider any changes to archaic work rules at the 13 ports. USMX is also
still concerned about excessive worker pay and benefits that result in millions of dollars being paid for time not worked.
For their part, the ILA has accused management of forcing the union to give up an eight-hour work guarantee that has been
standard practice for years and wanting to radically change contract language governing the payment of worker overtime.
When the extension was announced Sept. 20, Cohen said the two sides had made progress on "several important subjects" that
he declined to specify. There has been no public comment from the FMCS since then. The current extension expires Dec. 29.
Even as he hailed the settlement on the West Coast, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the NRF, said the group won't rest
until tensions are quelled in the East and along the Gulf.
"Retailers, manufacturers, and the rest of the business community cannot afford another shutdown," Shay said in a statement.
"Our economy cannot withstand another port disruption."
Congestion on U.S. highways is costing the trucking industry big, according to research from the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI), released today.
The group found that traffic congestion on U.S. highways added $108.8 billion in costs to the trucking industry in 2022, a record high. The information comes from ATRI’s Cost of Congestion study, which is part of the organization’s ongoing highway performance measurement research.
Total hours of congestion fell slightly compared to 2021 due to softening freight market conditions, but the cost of operating a truck increased at a much higher rate, according to the research. As a result, the overall cost of congestion increased by 15% year-over-year—a level equivalent to more than 430,000 commercial truck drivers sitting idle for one work year and an average cost of $7,588 for every registered combination truck.
The analysis also identified metropolitan delays and related impacts, showing that the top 10 most-congested states each experienced added costs of more than $8 billion. That list was led by Texas, at $9.17 billion in added costs; California, at $8.77 billion; and Florida, $8.44 billion. Rounding out the top 10 list were New York, Georgia, New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and Tennessee. Combined, the top 10 states account for more than half of the trucking industry’s congestion costs nationwide—52%, according to the research.
The metro areas with the highest congestion costs include New York City, $6.68 billion; Miami, $3.2 billion; and Chicago, $3.14 billion.
ATRI’s analysis also found that the trucking industry wasted more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel fuel in 2022 due to congestion, resulting in additional fuel costs of $32.1 billion.
ATRI used a combination of data sources, including its truck GPS database and Operational Costs study benchmarks, to calculate the impacts of trucking delays on major U.S. roadways.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.