Art van Bodegraven was, among other roles, chief design officer for the DES Leadership Academy. He passed away on June 18, 2017. He will be greatly missed.
Anyone returning from a visit to the United Kingdom is likely to be much taken with the signature admonition from London's Tube, designed to keep people from stepping into the open space between subway trains and the platform, risking either death or life-altering maiming. We have another gap to deal with, and a failure to do so could easily have economic life-altering negative consequences.
The gap in question is the comprehensive talent shortage that afflicts nearly every facet of supply chain management. The problem goes well beyond truck operators, although the driver shortage is staggering, with a looming shortfall numbering in the hundreds of thousands. It's also about a shortage of comparable magnitude in analytic talent—not to mention in forklift drivers, order selectors, and customer service specialists. The list could go on and on.
All this goes a long way toward explaining why we are, in the collective, experiencing a nearly unprecedented boom in corporate efforts to capture, develop, and retain top-level performers in supply chain management. The forward-looking organizations are investing significantly in educating, training, recruiting, and rewarding human resources at all levels and in all supply chain functions. Many, regrettably, are not. They will be the ones hearing Ross Perot's giant sucking sound as their key employees run like the wind into the arms of progressive companies as economic recovery continues.
At the end of the day, however, these initiatives are focused on getting a bigger slice of a pie that is too small to feed the entire supply chain community. Getting more than one's fair share of drivers, for example, does nothing to alleviate the overall industry shortage. One vital question becomes, "What are we doing, as an industry, as a nation, to create a bigger pie—an adequate talent pool at all levels in all supply chain functions?"
The short answer is, "Not nearly enough."
In some functional areas, immigration could provide some ongoing relief, difficult as that message might be to accept while the overall economy still struggles. Retraining displaced workers from other industries can also help take the edge off resource shortages in operational supply chain functionality. But these, unless pursued on a broad scale, could turn out to be mere bandages.
One of the most important developments in growing the supply chain resource base and talent pool has been Walgreens' initiative in integrating disabled workers into supply chain operations and management. Senior Vice President Randy Lewis's vision and commitment have created a heretofore unrecognized talent pool. And the concept is rolling out into many other companies' operations.
But the total solution needs to be broader, deeper, more comprehensive, national, and sustainable—not to mention starting earlier in individuals' education and career progression. We cannot solve the entire challenge in this space, nor can we define the entire solution. But we do know that we, as a nation, must solve the calculus of the equation.
Whatever shape the solution might take, there will be roles for academia, business, and government. And we need to recognize that current solutions in those arenas are not filling all the gaps that need to be plugged.
WHERE WE FALL SHORT TODAY
The gaps begin to show themselves in the current generation of supply chain management practitioners. We don't have enough visionary leaders. The weeds are full of people in leadership positions who are merely managers, at best, and miscast dweebs at worst. In mid-level populations, fluency in the application of analytic tools tends to be limited, and not everyone realizes that PowerPoint is not an analytic tool.
Functional specialists, in both management and execution, too often have a view of the supply chain that includes not much more than their siloed responsibilities. The concept of a holistic and integrated end-to-end supply chain is, to them, something that academics and consultants natter on about, interrupting their focus on the task at hand.
Many, but not nearly enough, members of senior management teams get what supply chain is all about, and there is an unhealthy residual focus on supply chain activities as costs to be reduced, rather than as investments to be leveraged for corporate success.
Further, peer organizations within the company usually have no clue about the role, power, and contribution of supply chain management, and how it needs to interact with them, even how it can work with them for collaborative cross-functional solutions.
The next wave of leaders, practitioners, analysts, managers, and other associates shows promise, but is far from promising a solution.
WELL-EDUCATED YET ILL-PREPARED
Although there are more logistics and supply chain management curricula in colleges, universities, community colleges, and even high schools than ever before, the output is not filling all of the industry's needs. We are turning out graduates with incredible analytic skills and tools, and unprecedented exposure to advanced supply chain and logistics concepts. Yet industry is not completely happy with these resources.
Perhaps the solution lies in more and better collaboration between business and academia. Certainly, there are roles for both in developing supply chain talent for now and for the future. But where do today's graduates fail to meet either needs or expectations?
For starters, they don't grasp the big picture, in two significant dimensions. One is that end-to-end supply chain concept. They can say the words, but they too often look at the supply chain as a collection of functions, rather than as an integrated whole.
Then there's the woeful under-appreciation of how, where, and to what extent supply chain management contributes to corporate performance—and ultimately, success or failure. This partly reflects innocence of how and why supply chain management needs to link into the corporate mission and with the strategies that support it.
It also reveals an abysmal lack of familiarity and comfort with the language of finance and enterprise performance. Things like ROA, ROI, ROE, EBITD, and free cash flow. This severely limits the practitioner's comprehension of the full value of his or her efforts and the ability to communicate effectively with senior management.
Reflecting a failing of the incumbent generation, the highly educated newcomers don't get the difference between management and leadership, and they have not learned the roles and value of each. They, sadly, gravitate more toward a management perspective.
In a possibly related development, the elements of sustainable change management are not among their skill sets, and change is more often seen as a matter of announcement than a problem with cultural, behavioral, and attitudinal dimensions.
While the newbies may be reasonably good at working in teams, they have very little in the way of skills or appreciation in relationship building and maintenance. This is deadly enough internally, but is doubly destructive in external relationships with customers, suppliers, and service providers.
In general, young people are coming out of school prepared to rely extensively on brainpower and analytic skills to succeed, to the near-exclusion of the so-called "soft" skills that are becoming essential to individual and organizational success in the 21st century.
Finally, and not surprisingly, the new kids are short on experience. Maybe more corporate projects as part of curricula could help, and perhaps more internships could take the edge off its perception. But many young people don't take the time to gain employment experience between picking up a B.S. and an M.B.A.
ADDRESSING THE CONTENT SHORTFALL
As for how to solve the content shortfall problem, the answers are not completely obvious. We might make a case for addressing more of the gaps outlined above in academic curricula. But at what cost? With time provided by the elimination or de-emphasis of what?
Certainly, individual companies could build many of the needed skills in individualized development programs. But on what schedule, given the immediacy of the need? And at what investment level, given imperatives for performance and productivity?
External education and training to cover many of the issues is also a possibility but raises many of the same questions.
IN CONCLUSION
So, here we are. Not enough people to meet resource needs in supply chain management. People on the job who aren't measuring up to today's needs. A new generation that needs both new skills and seasoning to take us into the future.
Our work is cut out for us. And this is a set of challenges that we **ital{must} meet if we are to truly lead in a global environment.
Whoops! That gap is a little bigger than we might have imagined. Maybe it could swallow us up.
Congestion on U.S. highways is costing the trucking industry big, according to research from the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI), released today.
The group found that traffic congestion on U.S. highways added $108.8 billion in costs to the trucking industry in 2022, a record high. The information comes from ATRI’s Cost of Congestion study, which is part of the organization’s ongoing highway performance measurement research.
Total hours of congestion fell slightly compared to 2021 due to softening freight market conditions, but the cost of operating a truck increased at a much higher rate, according to the research. As a result, the overall cost of congestion increased by 15% year-over-year—a level equivalent to more than 430,000 commercial truck drivers sitting idle for one work year and an average cost of $7,588 for every registered combination truck.
The analysis also identified metropolitan delays and related impacts, showing that the top 10 most-congested states each experienced added costs of more than $8 billion. That list was led by Texas, at $9.17 billion in added costs; California, at $8.77 billion; and Florida, $8.44 billion. Rounding out the top 10 list were New York, Georgia, New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and Tennessee. Combined, the top 10 states account for more than half of the trucking industry’s congestion costs nationwide—52%, according to the research.
The metro areas with the highest congestion costs include New York City, $6.68 billion; Miami, $3.2 billion; and Chicago, $3.14 billion.
ATRI’s analysis also found that the trucking industry wasted more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel fuel in 2022 due to congestion, resulting in additional fuel costs of $32.1 billion.
ATRI used a combination of data sources, including its truck GPS database and Operational Costs study benchmarks, to calculate the impacts of trucking delays on major U.S. roadways.
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
DAT Freight & Analytics has acquired Trucker Tools, calling the deal a strategic move designed to combine Trucker Tools' approach to load tracking and carrier sourcing with DAT’s experience providing freight solutions.
Beaverton, Oregon-based DAT operates what it calls the largest truckload freight marketplace and truckload freight data analytics service in North America. Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but DAT is a business unit of the publicly traded, Fortune 1000-company Roper Technologies.
Following the deal, DAT said that brokers will continue to get load visibility and capacity tools for every load they manage, but now with greater resources for an enhanced suite of broker tools. And in turn, carriers will get the same lifestyle features as before—like weigh scales and fuel optimizers—but will also gain access to one of the largest networks of loads, making it easier for carriers to find the loads they want.
Trucker Tools CEO Kary Jablonski praised the deal, saying the firms are aligned in their goals to simplify and enhance the lives of brokers and carriers. “Through our strategic partnership with DAT, we are amplifying this mission on a greater scale, delivering enhanced solutions and transformative insights to our customers. This collaboration unlocks opportunities for speed, efficiency, and innovation for the freight industry. We are thrilled to align with DAT to advance their vision of eliminating uncertainty in the freight industry,” Jablonski said.
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.