James Cooke is a principal analyst with Nucleus Research in Boston, covering supply chain planning software. He was previously the editor of CSCMP?s Supply Chain Quarterly and a staff writer for DC Velocity.
Tired of sweating higher diesel fuel prices? Then maybe it's time to find a trucking company that's running its delivery fleet on liquefied natural gas (LNG) instead of diesel.
LNG is the liquid form of natural gas, which is primarily methane. It's related to compressed natural gas (CNG), which, as the name suggests, is condensed under high pressure. Although truck engines can run on both LNG and CNG, it does not make sense to use CNG for longhaul trucking because compressed gas adds weight that must be carried along with the freight, according to experts.
"In general, if your operating range is over 400 miles, it's usually best to go with LNG," says Andy Douglas, Kenworth Truck Co.'s national sales manager for specialty markets.
Although natural gas is more economical than diesel, there is currently no national infrastructure that would make it easy for a driver to refuel a rig traveling from, say, Boston to Los Angeles. But that doesn't mean shippers should wait to transition to alternate fuels; they can act now. Here's why it might make sense.
The alternative fossil fuel
Although size estimates vary, there is no disputing that the United States has huge reserves of natural gas within its borders and that this abundance of supply plays a key role in keeping the cost lower than other energy sources.
As for how much lower, the weekly fuel price report by Clean Energy Fuels Corp., a major LNG supplier, provides some comparisons. For the week of Feb. 27, when diesel in the United States sold for $4.05 a gallon, the equivalent amount of LNG cost $2.82 and CNG just $2.32, according to the company.
Although trucks can be adapted to run on both LNG and CPG, the equipment carries a higher price tag. A typical Class 8 truck running on diesel costs anywhere from $100,000 to $125,000, according to Glen P. Kedzie, vice president at the American Trucking Associations (ATA). If a motor carrier were to use LNG-powered rigs, the price for the truck would climb at least another $50,000 per unit and maybe as much as $90,000, depending on the additional features.
Aside from a lower cost per gallon, LNG has another advantage. It's considered to be a "green" fuel in that it emits less carbon dioxide than oil fuels. It also produces fewer pollutants and particulate emissions than other hydrocarbon fuels.
The biggest hurdle has been the lack of a nationwide infrastructure of fueling stations. Kedzie says it's a classic "chicken and egg" situation. He notes that companies are reluctant to build out the infrastructure until enough truckers use LNG, and truckers aren't willing to commit to using LNG without a refueling network in place.
In an effort to spur creation of an LNG market, legislation has been introduced in both houses of Congress to provide tax credits for LNG-powered vehicles as well as the refueling infrastructure. Given the fact that the credits would cost the U.S. treasury $5 billion in lost revenue at a time of a looming federal deficit, the legislation faces an uncertain future.
According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), there were, as of last year, 44 fueling stations for LNG trucks in the United States. Most of those stations were in California, according to EIA. Among the companies operating LNG trucks in that state is Wal-Mart Stores Inc., which is currently using LNG-fueled Peterbilt trucks to make delivery runs from its DC in Apple Valley to retail outlets in Southern California. Another is commercial and residential flooring manufacturer Mohawk Industries, which is leasing LNG-powered trucks from Ryder System Inc. for deliveries in the region. Mohawk is not the only shipper giving LNG a try. Ryder says that to date, it has leased 35 LNG-powered Class 8 day cabs (20 Peterbilts and 15 Freightliners) to customers for use in Southern California.
In 2011, UPS Inc. acquired 48 LNG-powered heavy-duty trucks, which it is running from Las Vegas to Ontario, Calif. UPS received a $3.9 million grant from a state environmental agency, SouthCoast Air Quality Management, to help defray the trucks' cost.
Charting the future
Although LNG's proponents have been pushing for the government to create a market for LNG-powered fleets, it's already there for shippers with fixed routes willing to sign a contract that incentivizes the carrier to deploy the vehicles. Dillon Transport Inc. of Burr Ridge, Ill., has begun offering just such a program in Texas and Ohio for Owens Corning, which generates enough steady business for Dillon to justify dedicated service.
Phil Crofts, director of marketing at Dillon, declined to provide specifics about the deal. However, he said Dillon was prepared to offer other shippers a fixed price to move goods on an LNG truck.
"We would feel comfortable offering a customer a guarantee that the fuel surcharge would not go up for a year," he said.
Other truckers may be willing to offer a similar arrangement to shippers. Such an arrangement would give the shipper the assurance of having a firm line item in his transportation budget for one year.
"Once shippers understand this, they will be requesting the major carriers to do this and get a break on the fuel charge," says Crofts.
In a volatile oil market with diesel fuel prices seemingly headed higher, there's clearly a business case to be made for moving freight on LNG trucks. But shippers need not wait for the government to dole out subsidies. They can reach out to willing motor carriers, commit shipments to an LNG carrier in exchange for a contract guaranteeing a fixed rate, and save freight dollars right now.
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
The “series B” funding round was financed by an unnamed “strategic customer” as well as Teradyne Robotics Ventures, Toyota Ventures, Ranpak, Third Kind Venture Capital, One Madison Group, Hyperplane, Catapult Ventures, and others.
The fresh backing comes as Massachusetts-based Pickle reported a spate of third quarter orders, saying that six customers placed orders for over 30 production robots to deploy in the first half of 2025. The new orders include pilot conversions, existing customer expansions, and new customer adoption.
“Pickle is hitting its strides delivering innovation, development, commercial traction, and customer satisfaction. The company is building groundbreaking technology while executing on essential recurring parts of a successful business like field service and manufacturing management,” Omar Asali, Pickle board member and CEO of investor Ranpak, said in a release.
According to Pickle, its truck-unloading robot applies “Physical AI” technology to one of the most labor-intensive, physically demanding, and highest turnover work areas in logistics operations. The platform combines a powerful vision system with generative AI foundation models trained on millions of data points from real logistics and warehouse operations that enable Pickle’s robotic hardware platform to perform physical work at human-scale or better, the company says.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."