Rising fuel and shipping costs, coupled with a weak economy, have companies searching for distribution sites that will help cut operating costs. They're finding some attractive opportunities.
In today's uncertain domestic economy and with increasing global cost pressures, many companies are finding the best way to improve the bottom line for their warehouses and distribution centers is to focus on the cost side of the ledger, not on the revenue side.
With fuel and shipping rates projected to rise significantly in 2012 and beyond, comparative costs in areas like labor, property taxes, energy, and real estate are under the site selection microscope like never before. With the exception of shipping rates, which are often negotiable, most operating costs facing the distribution warehouse planner are fixed. For many, a less-than-optimum operating cost structure for their warehouses can compromise their competitive position for years.
That's one reason why many companies are considering relocating warehouses and distribution centers right now. Those that are searching for sites that will help cut operating costs now and in the future are finding attractive opportunities.
Location matters
Exhibit 1 shows the annual BizCosts.com comparative cost ranking of U.S. cities based on their housing a hypothetical 150-worker distribution center occupying 450,000 square feet and serving a national market with over-the-road truckload shipments.1 Total costs include labor, land, construction, taxes, utilities, and shipping. They can range from a high of $24.5 million per year in San Francisco to a low of $13.1 million in Greenville/Spartanburg, S.C.
These costs are expected to rise throughout the coming year. Despite continued advancements in warehouse automation technologies, overall operating costs for distribution warehousing are expected to increase by 14 to 16 percent in 2012 due to a rise in diesel fuel costs, above-average utility rate increases, and recovering real estate markets in most locales. These costs will be up from an estimated 13-percent increase for 2011. Labor costs, however, will continue on the flat-to-weak trajectory they have followed since 2009, with a projected increase of 2.1 percent in 2012 for non-exempt warehouse personnel.
There are many other variables that can affect the attractiveness of one location versus another. One of the newest is cap-and-trade legislation designed to reduce carbon emissions and improve the environment. New Jersey, for example, recently opted out of the Northeast Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative in a move to improve its competitiveness against neighboring Pennsylvania, which is not a member. New Jersey authorities may be right to worry: Industry insiders believe the fruit and juice company Ocean Spray's recent decision to relocate its Bordentown, N.J., distribution facility to Pennsylvania's Lehigh Valley was in response to concerns about New Jersey's carbon program and escalating utility prices.
Another business climate variable that companies continue to monitor is the relative strength of unions in each state. "Right-to-work" status continues to be a hot-button issue for many companies involved in distribution. Right-to-work legislation restricts the power of organized labor by barring practices such as requiring union membership to work in a warehouse or factory. This can be very important for some projects, as labor costs can account for as much as 50 percent of overall warehouse operating expenses. Lower labor costs and more favorable labor/management relations tend to be found in the 22 states that have right-to-work legislation, mostly in the South and West.
Nowhere is the strength of the unions more of an issue for the supply chain field than in California, where California Bill AB 950 could effectively keep the now-dominant independent drayage trucks from working at California's major ports, including Los Angeles/Long Beach. That measure could lead to larger, possibly unionized trucking organizations controlling drayage operations between the ports and regional warehouses.
The likely result of the California legislation would be a further increase in distribution costs in that state. The rise in costs could then drive distribution projects to other markets along the I-15 and I-10 corridors, including North Las Vegas and Mesquite, Nev.; St. George, Utah; and Phoenix, Kingman, and Casa Grande, Ariz. All of these locations are in right-to-work states where land and industrial space costs are also at historic lows due to the real estate collapse in those markets.
Expanding trade attracts warehousing
Not just the domestic economy but also the global economy is having a profound effect on the location of distribution centers. The cities that are especially well-positioned to attract new distribution projects are those that link to the global economy through ports, airports, and access to NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) trade corridors like the Canamex Corridor in the U.S. West and the I-35 NAFTA Superhighway, which extends from Mexico to Canada in our nation's Heartland region.
Booming north-south NAFTA trade in the manufacturing sector and a resurgent agricultural economy led by corn and ethanol are driving the logistics economies of Heartland cities along the I-35 trade route, including Omaha, Neb.; Kansas City, Mo.; and Oklahoma City, Okla. North-south trade, up 15 percent in 2011 from 2010 levels, is expected to continue to grow as the Canadian economy outpaces that of the United States and the Canadian dollar reaches parity with its U.S. counterpart.
As the Canadian economy grows, some Canadian companies are developing a keen interest in establishing U.S.-based distribution facilities. Due to the strength of the Canadian dollar, and with U.S. real estate prices at all-time lows, the economics are very attractive for Canadian companies that are looking to set up shop in the States for the first time.
In addition, the expansion of the Panama Canal, set for completion in 2014, is already affecting distribution warehouse site selection. Container shipments are projected to increase tremendously at U.S. East Coast ports, creating inland warehouse opportunities (not unlike California's Inland Empire) for communities situated within a few hours' drive by truck from deepwater ports in Miami and Jacksonville, Fla.; Savannah, Ga.; Charleston, S.C.; Norfolk, Va.; Baltimore, Md.; Wilmington, Del.; Newark/Elizabeth, N.J.; and Boston, Mass.
Airfreight growth also has been a positive force for a number of distribution projects, especially those close to major hubs operated by UPS in Louisville, Ky., and FedEx in Memphis, Tenn. In addition, Minneapolis, Minn.; Chicago, Ill.; and St. Louis, Mo., have strong air-cargo service to and from China, a huge plus for a growing number of companies in those areas.
A warm welcome
While the weak economic recovery and rising costs have had some negative effects on the warehousing market, they have also resulted in at least one positive consequence. It used to be that many communities were resistant to new warehousing projects and viewed them with skepticism. Now, however, communities are actively courting logistics industries because the economic benefits are clear and compelling. Indeed, for cash-strapped municipalities, warehouses are a significant source of new jobs. Large warehouses on extensive acreages translate into huge property tax revenue. Other coveted revenue streams generated by a new warehouse or distribution center for the host municipality and state include sales taxes, personal property taxes, utility taxes, fuel taxes, telecommunications taxes, and personal and corporate income taxes.
As a result, state and local economic development organizations have been providing warehouse operators with access to millions of dollars in financial incentives, and communities have been warmly welcoming them. Additionally, residents of local communities are beginning to see distribution and warehouse facilities as an employer of choice. In years past, the typical warehouse labor force was dominated by lower-skilled and lower-paid material handling workers and a small clerical pool. Today's highly automated and computer-driven warehouses, however, depend on a wide range of both blue-collar employees and well-compensated white-collar employees who manage such sophisticated technologies as radio-frequency identification technology (RFID), automated storage and retrieval systems (AS/RS), mobile robotics, inventory tracking, and software-driven pick-and-pack systems.
Warehouses and distribution centers should continue to be seen as employers of choice, in part because an increasing number of them are opting to relocate other value-added functions to the lower-cost warehouse environment. These functions typically include final assembly and quality control, customer service, accounting, call center operations, regional sales, information technology, and other "back office" functions that traditionally are carried out at the more expensive head office or regional office location.
Endnote
1. BizCosts is a registered trademark of The Boyd Company Inc.
Editor's note: This story first appeared in the 2011 special bonus issue of CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly, a journal of thought leadership for the supply chain management profession and a sister publication to AGiLE Business Media's DC Velocity. Readers can obtain a subscription by joining the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (whose membership includes the Quarterly's subscription fee). Subscriptions are also available to non-members for $89 a year. For more information, visit www.SupplyChainQuarterly.com.
The Port of Oakland has been awarded $50 million from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Maritime Administration (MARAD) to modernize wharves and terminal infrastructure at its Outer Harbor facility, the port said today.
Those upgrades would enable the Outer Harbor to accommodate Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCVs), which are now a regular part of the shipping fleet calling on West Coast ports. Each of these ships has a handling capacity of up to 24,000 TEUs (20-foot containers) but are currently restricted at portions of Oakland’s Outer Harbor by aging wharves which were originally designed for smaller ships.
According to the port, those changes will let it handle newer, larger vessels, which are more efficient, cost effective, and environmentally cleaner to operate than older ships. Specific investments for the project will include: wharf strengthening, structural repairs, replacing container crane rails, adding support piles, strengthening support beams, and replacing electrical bus bar system to accommodate larger ship-to-shore cranes.
Commercial fleet operators are steadily increasing their use of GPS fleet tracking, in-cab video solutions, and predictive analytics, driven by rising costs, evolving regulations, and competitive pressures, according to an industry report from Verizon Connect.
Those conclusions come from the company’s fifth annual “Fleet Technology Trends Report,” conducted in partnership with Bobit Business Media, and based on responses from 543 fleet management professionals.
The study showed that for five consecutive years, at least four out of five respondents have reported using at least one form of fleet technology, said Atlanta-based Verizon Connect, which provides fleet and mobile workforce management software platforms, embedded OEM hardware, and a connected vehicle device called Hum by Verizon.
The most commonly used of those technologies is GPS fleet tracking, with 69% of fleets across industries reporting its use, the survey showed. Of those users, 72% find it extremely or very beneficial, citing improved efficiency (62%) and a reduction in harsh driving/speeding events (49%).
Respondents also reported a focus on safety, with 57% of respondents citing improved driver safety as a key benefit of GPS fleet tracking. And 68% of users said in-cab video solutions are extremely or very beneficial. Together, those technologies help reduce distracted driving incidents, improve coaching sessions, and help reduce accident and insurance costs, Verizon Connect said.
Looking at the future, fleet management software is evolving to meet emerging challenges, including sustainability and electrification, the company said. "The findings from this year's Fleet Technology Trends Report highlight a strong commitment across industries to embracing fleet technology, with GPS tracking and in-cab video solutions consistently delivering measurable results,” Peter Mitchell, General Manager, Verizon Connect, said in a release. “As fleets face rising costs and increased regulatory pressures, these technologies are proving to be indispensable in helping organizations optimize their operations, reduce expenses, and navigate the path toward a more sustainable future.”
Businesses engaged in international trade face three major supply chain hurdles as they head into 2025: the disruptions caused by Chinese New Year (CNY), the looming threat of potential tariffs on foreign-made products that could be imposed by the incoming Trump Administration, and the unresolved contract negotiations between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the U.S. Maritime Alliance (USMX), according to an analysis from trucking and logistics provider Averitt.
Each of those factors could lead to significant shipping delays, production slowdowns, and increased costs, Averitt said.
First, Chinese New Year 2025 begins on January 29, prompting factories across China and other regions to shut down for weeks, typically causing production to halt and freight demand to skyrocket. The ripple effects can range from increased shipping costs to extended lead times, disrupting even the most well-planned operations. To prepare for that event, shippers should place orders early, build inventory buffers, secure freight space in advance, diversify shipping modes, and communicate with logistics providers, Averitt said.
Second, new or increased tariffs on foreign-made goods could drive up the cost of imports, disrupt established supply chains, and create uncertainty in the marketplace. In turn, shippers may face freight rate volatility and capacity constraints as businesses rush to stockpile inventory ahead of tariff deadlines. To navigate these challenges, shippers should prepare advance shipments and inventory stockpiling, diversity sourcing, negotiate supplier agreements, explore domestic production, and leverage financial strategies.
Third, unresolved contract negotiations between the ILA and the USMX will come to a head by January 15, when the current contract expires. Labor action or strikes could cause severe disruptions at East and Gulf Coast ports, triggering widespread delays and bottlenecks across the supply chain. To prepare for the worst, shippers should adopt a similar strategy to the other potential January threats: collaborate early, secure freight, diversify supply chains, and monitor policy changes.
According to Averitt, companies can cushion the impact of all three challenges by deploying a seamless, end-to-end solution covering the entire path from customs clearance to final-mile delivery. That strategy can help businesses to store inventory closer to their customers, mitigate delays, and reduce costs associated with supply chain disruptions. And combined with proactive communication and real-time visibility tools, the approach allows companies to maintain control and keep their supply chains resilient in the face of global uncertainties, Averitt said.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.