Just as the threat of further labor disruptions at U.S. ports began to evaporate, new government rules took effect that could disrupt the distribution networks of businesses that import goods into the United States.
There's always something to keep importers awake at night. Just as the threat of further labor disruptions at U.S. ports began to evaporate, new government rules took effect that could disrupt the distribution networks of businesses that import goods into the United States.
If you import goods into your distribution system, you already know that U.S. Customs demands detailed information on what's being carried on ships headed for the United States 24 hours before the goods are loaded. The regulation containing the 24-hour requirement, known as the Cargo Security Initiative (CSI), took effect at the beginning of December. Customs gave ocean carriers two months to implement the new rules fully, a period that expires early next month. If Customs doesn't receive the information, containers may quite literally miss the boat to the United States, leaving the freight inside stranded on the dock.
The new rules represent a major departure from past practice. Previously, shippers could submit documentation to the carrier after the vessel had departed. Carriers could file a vessel manifest with U.S. Customs up to two weeks following a ship's departure from the foreign port. "The new regulation now requires this information in advance," says John Urban, president of GT Nexus,a logistics software company that specializes in international shipping. "It essentially collapses that two-week window while requiring more detailed and precise descriptions of cargoes."
Many observers expect that the rules' implementation will raise shipping costs and create delays in the movement of goods, at least in the near term. The volume of freight affected by the rules is enormous. Nearly half of the goods involved in U.S. inbound trade (when measured by value) arrive by ocean carrier, and about six million containers arrive in the United States each year.
High anxiety
The CSI, which was drafted to address concerns regarding freight security following the Sept .11, 2001, terrorist attacks, attempts to strike a balance between tightening security requirements and minimizing delays. If the regulation achieves its four main objectives, the Customs Service will be able to routinely use automated information to identify and target high-risk containers; pre-screen those containers identified as high risk before they a rrive at U.S. ports; use detection technology to pre-screen high-risk containers quickly; and push for the use of smarter, tamper-proof containers.
To keep the customs clearance process from getting bogged down, the CSI mandates that all information be sent electronically. Specifically, it requires shippers and carriers to file full line-item detail in shipping manifests with U.S. Customs' Automated Manifest System 24 hours before goods bound for the United States can be loaded aboard ships in a foreign port. The rules affect all shipments headed for the United States, including those that will transship to other nations through the United States as well as freight bound for other nations on ships making U.S. port calls en route.
Because ocean lines depend on the bill of lading instructions for this information, the new regulation will require importers or their export agents overseas to provide accurate and complete shipment documentation to the ocean lines much earlier than before. And the information required is not limited to a precise description of the cargo. According to GT Nexus, Customs now requires detailed information on the shipper and consignee as well.
The potential penalties are high for any shipper that fails to meet those information demands. Aberdeen Group, a business technology research and advisory firm that specializes in supply chain technology, predicts that the new rules could cause shipments without the proper documentation to be left on the docks at the port of departure for days or even weeks after their scheduled departure dates. And even compliant shippers could run into problems if they share container space with others who don't meet the requirements.
Many see technology as importers' best hope for achieving compliance quickly. "Employing existing and proven technology will be the key in achieving compliance with the new CSI regulations," said Jack Maynard, research director, collaborative business solutions for the Aberdeen Group, in prepared comments. To achieve timely compliance,he says, companies must have access to the manifest data at the lineitem detail level—including harmonized codes—as well as the ability to move the information electronically to U.S. Customs. "Importers and carriers," he says, "need to act immediately and will be well served by deploying systems that capture the relevant information and streamline these processes today."
Rough sailing
Customs' initial goal was to have the top 20 foreign ports, based on cargo volume shipped to the United States, participating in the program. As of late last year, 11 of those ports had agreed to participate.
But the implementation has not been without its problems. Late in December, for example, the European Commission charged that the ports that had agreed to implement the CSI were breaking European law, which prohibits bilateral agreements between individual members and foreign states. The commission planned to bring charges against France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany, according to news reports, and it could file charges against the United Kingdom and Italy. In response, U.S. Customs Service commissioners said they would expand the CSI to include the ports responsible for nearly all shipments to the United States in order to overcome charges that the CSI agreements with select ports created unfair trade distortions.
In the meantime, with Customs about to start enforcing the two-month-old rules, U.S. importers have little time to get their information systems in order.
Cracking the code
Confused by the alphabet soup of acronyms used to identify the U.S. Customs Service's various automation initiatives? Here's a quick guide to help you tell the CSI from the C-TPAT:
ACE:
The Automated Commercial Environment is the overarching initiative to modernize U.S. Customs' information-processing capabilities.
CSI:
The Container Security Initiative requires shippers to electronically present detailed manifest data before the loading of cargo destined for U.S. ports.
C-TPAT:
The Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism is a cooperative endeavor between the trade community and the U.S. Customs Service to develop, enhance and maintain effective security processes throughout the global supply chain.
ITDS:
The International Trade Data System project aims to create a single database and processing platform for trade-related data used by 104 federal agencies.
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.