The president's push to double U.S. exports in five years could stimulate the economy and create 2 million new jobs. It could also be our ticket to gridlock of epic proportions.
In his 2010 State of the Union address, President Obama announced a plan to boost U.S. exports, calling it an avenue to job growth. That plan, the National Export Initiative (NEI), has aggressive goals and an aggressive timeline—doubling exports from $1.57 trillion in 2009 to $3.14 trillion by 2015. It would also have a big payoff—the White House says the program would create 2 million new jobs. But unless we act quickly to address our infrastructure woes, it could create something else as well: gridlock of epic proportions.
Since the announcement, the government has moved ahead quickly with the program. In March, the White House laid out the NEI's eight objectives or "priorities" and tasked a multi-agency executive panel with developing a plan to achieve them. The priorities are as follows:
Priority 1: Exports by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Encourage participation among SMEs by providing export assistance to first-time exporters and helping current exporters identify new markets.
Priority 2: Federal export assistance. Raise awareness of federal resources available to U.S. companies seeking assistance with exporting.
Priority 3: Trade missions. Ensure that U.S. government-led trade missions are effectively promoting exports by U.S. companies.
Priority 4: Commercial advocacy. Raise awareness of government programs to help U.S. companies compete on a more equal footing with foreign companies that benefit from home government support.
Priority 5: Increasing export credit. Make more export financing available to SMEs.
Priority 6: Macroeconomic rebalancing. Work to promote balanced and strong growth in the global economy to spur demand for U.S. imports.
Priority 7: Reducing barriers to trade. Improve access to overseas markets by dismantling trade barriers and robustly enforcing trade agreements.
Priority 8: Export promotion of services. Develop a framework for promoting services trade. Services are the largest component of the U.S. economy, accounting for nearly 70 percent of U.S. GDP, yet they're often overlooked by traditional trade promotion programs.
Of course, setting goals is one thing; achieving them is another. We face a number of obstacles to reaching these objectives. For example, we need to resolve our ongoing dispute with our second largest export trading partner, Mexico. In 2009, Mexico slapped tariffs on $2.4 billion worth of U.S. imports when tensions flared over cross-border trucking. It's apparent that Mexico won't lift those tariffs until an agreement is reached.
Then there's the question of whether our already overburdened transportation system can handle the additional volume. The deficiencies of the nation's infrastructure—especially its roads and bridges—are well documented. And even if we could build out our road network in time, there's still the matter of truck capacity. Trucks are already in short supply in some domestic lanes, and if the predicted driver shortage materializes, carriers say they would be hard pressed to add capacity anytime soon.
Roads aren't the only concern. Although several ports are undergoing expansion, we could see a return to pre-2008 congestion levels at some of the busier ones when volumes pick up. The opening of the expanded Panama Canal will help equalize port traffic, but the expected completion date of 2014 is pretty far into the president's five year cycle.
I could continue, but my intent is not to criticize the NEI. Rather, it's to suggest that it cannot be considered in a vacuum. While job creation is a goal we can all support, it's critical that government and business leaders give some thought to the chaos that could be unleashed on the nation's transportation/logistics system.
If we aren't careful, we'll be like the dog that was chasing the car and caught it.
Supply chain planning (SCP) leaders working on transformation efforts are focused on two major high-impact technology trends, including composite AI and supply chain data governance, according to a study from Gartner, Inc.
"SCP leaders are in the process of developing transformation roadmaps that will prioritize delivering on advanced decision intelligence and automated decision making," Eva Dawkins, Director Analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Composite AI, which is the combined application of different AI techniques to improve learning efficiency, will drive the optimization and automation of many planning activities at scale, while supply chain data governance is the foundational key for digital transformation.”
Their pursuit of those roadmaps is often complicated by frequent disruptions and the rapid pace of technological innovation. But Gartner says those leaders can accelerate the realized value of technology investments by facilitating a shift from IT-led to business-led digital leadership, with SCP leaders taking ownership of multidisciplinary teams to advance business operations, channels and products.
“A sound data governance strategy supports advanced technologies, such as composite AI, while also facilitating collaboration throughout the supply chain technology ecosystem,” said Dawkins. “Without attention to data governance, SCP leaders will likely struggle to achieve their expected ROI on key technology investments.”
The U.S. manufacturing sector has become an engine of new job creation over the past four years, thanks to a combination of federal incentives and mega-trends like nearshoring and the clean energy boom, according to the industrial real estate firm Savills.
While those manufacturing announcements have softened slightly from their 2022 high point, they remain historically elevated. And the sector’s growth outlook remains strong, regardless of the results of the November U.S. presidential election, the company said in its September “Savills Manufacturing Report.”
From 2021 to 2024, over 995,000 new U.S. manufacturing jobs were announced, with two thirds in advanced sectors like electric vehicles (EVs) and batteries, semiconductors, clean energy, and biomanufacturing. After peaking at 350,000 news jobs in 2022, the growth pace has slowed, with 2024 expected to see just over half that number.
But the ingredients are in place to sustain the hot temperature of American manufacturing expansion in 2025 and beyond, the company said. According to Savills, that’s because the U.S. manufacturing revival is fueled by $910 billion in federal incentives—including the Inflation Reduction Act, CHIPS and Science Act, and Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act—much of which has not yet been spent. Domestic production is also expected to be boosted by new tariffs, including a planned rise in semiconductor tariffs to 50% in 2025 and an increase in tariffs on Chinese EVs from 25% to 100%.
Certain geographical regions will see greater manufacturing growth than others, since just eight states account for 47% of new manufacturing jobs and over 6.3 billion square feet of industrial space, with 197 million more square feet under development. They are: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, and Tennessee.
Across the border, Mexico’s manufacturing sector has also seen “revolutionary” growth driven by nearshoring strategies targeting U.S. markets and offering lower-cost labor, with a workforce that is now even cheaper than in China. Over the past four years, that country has launched 27 new plants, each creating over 500 jobs. Unlike the U.S. focus on tech manufacturing, Mexico focuses on traditional sectors such as automative parts, appliances, and consumer goods.
Looking at the future, the U.S. manufacturing sector’s growth outlook remains strong, regardless of the results of November’s presidential election, Savills said. That’s because both candidates favor protectionist trade policies, and since significant change to federal incentives would require a single party to control both the legislative and executive branches. Rather than relying on changes in political leadership, future growth of U.S. manufacturing now hinges on finding affordable, reliable power amid increasing competition between manufacturing sites and data centers, Savills said.
The British logistics robot vendor Dexory this week said it has raised $80 million in venture funding to support an expansion of its artificial intelligence (AI) powered features, grow its global team, and accelerate the deployment of its autonomous robots.
A “significant focus” continues to be on expanding across the U.S. market, where Dexory is live with customers in seven states and last month opened a U.S. headquarters in Nashville. The Series B will also enhance development and production facilities at its UK headquarters, the firm said.
The “series B” funding round was led by DTCP, with participation from Latitude Ventures, Wave-X and Bootstrap Europe, along with existing investors Atomico, Lakestar, Capnamic, and several angels from the logistics industry. With the close of the round, Dexory has now raised $120 million over the past three years.
Dexory says its product, DexoryView, provides real-time visibility across warehouses of any size through its autonomous mobile robots and AI. The rolling bots use sensor and image data and continuous data collection to perform rapid warehouse scans and create digital twins of warehouse spaces, allowing for optimized performance and future scenario simulations.
Originally announced in September, the move will allow Deutsche Bahn to “fully focus on restructuring the rail infrastructure in Germany and providing climate-friendly passenger and freight transport operations in Germany and Europe,” Werner Gatzer, Chairman of the DB Supervisory Board, said in a release.
For its purchase price, DSV gains an organization with around 72,700 employees at over 1,850 locations. The new owner says it plans to investment around one billion euros in coming years to promote additional growth in German operations. Together, DSV and Schenker will have a combined workforce of approximately 147,000 employees in more than 90 countries, earning pro forma revenue of approximately $43.3 billion (based on 2023 numbers), DSV said.
After removing that unit, Deutsche Bahn retains its core business called the “Systemverbund Bahn,” which includes passenger transport activities in Germany, rail freight activities, operational service units, and railroad infrastructure companies. The DB Group, headquartered in Berlin, employs around 340,000 people.
“We have set clear goals to structurally modernize Deutsche Bahn in the areas of infrastructure, operations and profitability and focus on the core business. The proceeds from the sale will significantly reduce DB’s debt and thus make an important contribution to the financial stability of the DB Group. At the same time, DB Schenker will gain a strong strategic owner in DSV,” Deutsche Bahn CEO Richard Lutz said in a release.
Transportation industry veteran Anne Reinke will become president & CEO of trade group the Intermodal Association of North America (IANA) at the end of the year, stepping into the position from her previous post leading third party logistics (3PL) trade group the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), both organizations said today.
Meanwhile, TIA today announced that insider Christopher Burroughs would fill Reinke’s shoes as president & CEO. Burroughs has been with TIA for 13 years, most recently as its vice president of Government Affairs for the past six years, during which time he oversaw all legislative and regulatory efforts before Congress and the federal agencies.
Before her four years leading TIA, Reinke spent two years as Deputy Assistant Secretary with the U.S. Department of Transportation and 16 years with CSX Corporation.