Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
For the past year, a quiet war has been waged between the two giant parcel carriers, FedEx Corp. and UPS Inc., and a cluster of self-styled parcel consultants whose mission for nearly a quarter of a century has been to help their clients save money when shipping with one or both of the behemoths.
The stakes are high, but they are completely lopsided. It is no secret that FedEx and UPS would rather work directly with shippers than through third-party specialists who have a deep knowledge of how the carriers price their services, and who use that know-how to help their customers save money. Yet if consultants remain in the game, it won't cause the two companies—with more than a combined $80 billion in annual revenue—to wonder where their next meals are coming from.
For consultants, however, the outcome could determine their very existence as an industry.
In August, AFMS LLC, a Portland, Ore.-based parcel consultant considered by many to be the most influential in the industry, filed suit against the two carriers in federal district court in California. The suit alleges that starting about a year ago, FedEx and UPS have colluded to essentially drive it out of business by forcing its customers to work directly with the carriers or face retaliation such as the imposition of higher rates, the loss of applicable discounts, or the refusal by the carriers to bid on requests for carriage.
The suit charges the carriers with violating federal antitrust laws and state statutes, and seeks unspecified monetary damages. It alleges that AFMS, which has worked with FedEx and UPS since 1992, has suffered "lost profit damages" of at least $15 million to $20 million as a result of the giant carriers' refusal to do business with it.
FedEx spokesman Maury Lane said the company believes the AFMS lawsuit is without merit and that it will "vigorously defend itself" in court. Susan Rosenberg, a UPS spokeswoman, said the suit "wants to punish UPS for dealing directly with our own customers. They want to require us to deal with an intermediary, and that only adds to the ultimate cost of shipping for the consumer."
According to court documents, the war's first salvo was fired at an industry conference in October 2009, when FedEx and UPS representatives publicly announced their "no third-party consultant" policies and "did not deny collusion" when questioned about the competitive impact of the edicts. The suit alleges that both companies needed to adopt similar boycotts at the same time to prevent one from having a competitive advantage over the other.
The suit alleges that the carriers no longer want to deal with consultants whose ability to uncover savings for shippers during often-complex rate negotiations costs the companies "in the low billions" of dollars in revenues and profits every year.
On April 23, UPS circulated an internal e-mail in which it outlined a new policy toward working with third-party consultants, according to a consultant with knowledge of the e-mail and its contents.* Two weeks later, FedEx outlined its own policy in the form of a written presentation.
The FedEx policy, a copy of which was obtained by DC Velocity, is similar to that of UPS, according to the parcel consultant. The FedEx edict rules out "direct engagement with consultants" if it is deemed that the relationship's sole value is "price negotiation." The company said it will "negotiate business relationships directly and exclusively with our customers, not through a third-party consultant."
The document advises the company's sales force to emphasize that working directly with FedEx ensures "confidentiality" for both the company and the customer. By contrast, "working with a third party allows information to be shared that may be proprietary," according to the document.
The policy also urges that the sales staff stress that a direct relationship with FedEx will help shippers go beyond basic rate reductions and help them reduce their overall supply chain costs. This strategy "offers a much greater value than just price alone," according to the document.
The policy allows for exceptions when working with a consultant might be an acceptable option. For example, if a district sales manager believes the relationship with a customer might be jeopardized by not working with a consultant, the manager can discuss with his or her supervisor the need for an exception.
In addition, if working with a consultant offers an opportunity to take business from a competitor, the sales executive should determine the amount of revenue that would shift to FedEx and then discuss the situation with supervisors.
But even those exceptions would come with conditions. To begin with, the customer and consultant must sign a three-way non-disclosure agreement with FedEx. Also, the customer and consultant must agree that FedEx will have access to all parties that are relevant to the bidding process; without that access, FedEx will withdraw from the negotiations, according to the document. In addition, FedEx would be given an opportunity to "present our value proposition with our financial offer to the parties making the final decision," according to the document.
Shipper fallout
At this time, it is unclear what impact, if any, the legal wrangling or the company edicts have had on shipper behavior. In an action separate from the AFMS suit, Levetown & Jenkins LLP, a law firm in Washington, D.C., has begun seeking shippers who might be affected by the reduced role of consultants to certify enough members for a class-action suit against FedEx and UPS.
Meanwhile, the consultant industry—which consists of about 50 companies of varying sizes—is attempting to assess the potential fallout. Writing in the October issue of a parcel industry trade journal, Rob Martinez, president and CEO of consultancy Shipware Systems Corp., said some consultants are "scrambling to change their engagement approach," and several have "moved on to specialize in services unrelated to price negotiation."
Consultants differ in their strategies, with some negotiating with the carriers on behalf of their clients, and others preferring to consult in the background and let the customers negotiate on their own. Some consultants charge a flat fee for their services, while others accept a percentage of any negotiated savings and share it with the shipper.
The consensus is that a knowledgeable consultant—many are former high-level executives at FedEx, UPS, and DHL Express—equipped with robust information technology should save a shipper at least 10 percent a year on its parcel spending by identifying areas of potential overspending as well as opportunities to strike better deals for the traffic it tenders. In its suit, AFMS said that from 2007 to 2009, it unearthed $100 million in savings for customers on their parcel spending. In the past five years, consultants have saved their customers about $1 billion in spending, according to consultant industry estimates.
Ironically, the rupture of the relationship between AFMS, FedEx, and UPS came after 17 years of what AFMS itself characterized as "amicable and mutually profitable business dealings" between the consultant and the carriers.
It also comes amid significant changes in the U.S. parcel landscape. In January 2009, DHL Express, the third largest private carrier in the U.S. parcel business, withdrew from the domestic market and today serves the country only as part of an international pickup or delivery. The U.S. Postal Service has made some progress landing high-volume business-to-business accounts, but it is not yet at a stage where it can regularly challenge FedEx and UPS in the demanding parcel segment.
With DHL gone and FedEx and UPS now dominating the U.S. market for letters and packages, one might argue that the timing of their alleged boycott against parcel consultants was designed to sweep the last check against duopolistic pricing behavior off the field.
Speaking to DC Velocity, Martinez of Shipware says he disagrees with that theory. "Yes, FedEx and UPS dominate the market. But from all I see and hear, they continue to compete very vigorously with each other," he said.
*An earlier version of this story stated that the UPS internal e-mail was sent out on April 9. 2010. It was sent on April 23.
The Port of Oakland has been awarded $50 million from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Maritime Administration (MARAD) to modernize wharves and terminal infrastructure at its Outer Harbor facility, the port said today.
Those upgrades would enable the Outer Harbor to accommodate Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCVs), which are now a regular part of the shipping fleet calling on West Coast ports. Each of these ships has a handling capacity of up to 24,000 TEUs (20-foot containers) but are currently restricted at portions of Oakland’s Outer Harbor by aging wharves which were originally designed for smaller ships.
According to the port, those changes will let it handle newer, larger vessels, which are more efficient, cost effective, and environmentally cleaner to operate than older ships. Specific investments for the project will include: wharf strengthening, structural repairs, replacing container crane rails, adding support piles, strengthening support beams, and replacing electrical bus bar system to accommodate larger ship-to-shore cranes.
Commercial fleet operators are steadily increasing their use of GPS fleet tracking, in-cab video solutions, and predictive analytics, driven by rising costs, evolving regulations, and competitive pressures, according to an industry report from Verizon Connect.
Those conclusions come from the company’s fifth annual “Fleet Technology Trends Report,” conducted in partnership with Bobit Business Media, and based on responses from 543 fleet management professionals.
The study showed that for five consecutive years, at least four out of five respondents have reported using at least one form of fleet technology, said Atlanta-based Verizon Connect, which provides fleet and mobile workforce management software platforms, embedded OEM hardware, and a connected vehicle device called Hum by Verizon.
The most commonly used of those technologies is GPS fleet tracking, with 69% of fleets across industries reporting its use, the survey showed. Of those users, 72% find it extremely or very beneficial, citing improved efficiency (62%) and a reduction in harsh driving/speeding events (49%).
Respondents also reported a focus on safety, with 57% of respondents citing improved driver safety as a key benefit of GPS fleet tracking. And 68% of users said in-cab video solutions are extremely or very beneficial. Together, those technologies help reduce distracted driving incidents, improve coaching sessions, and help reduce accident and insurance costs, Verizon Connect said.
Looking at the future, fleet management software is evolving to meet emerging challenges, including sustainability and electrification, the company said. "The findings from this year's Fleet Technology Trends Report highlight a strong commitment across industries to embracing fleet technology, with GPS tracking and in-cab video solutions consistently delivering measurable results,” Peter Mitchell, General Manager, Verizon Connect, said in a release. “As fleets face rising costs and increased regulatory pressures, these technologies are proving to be indispensable in helping organizations optimize their operations, reduce expenses, and navigate the path toward a more sustainable future.”
Businesses engaged in international trade face three major supply chain hurdles as they head into 2025: the disruptions caused by Chinese New Year (CNY), the looming threat of potential tariffs on foreign-made products that could be imposed by the incoming Trump Administration, and the unresolved contract negotiations between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the U.S. Maritime Alliance (USMX), according to an analysis from trucking and logistics provider Averitt.
Each of those factors could lead to significant shipping delays, production slowdowns, and increased costs, Averitt said.
First, Chinese New Year 2025 begins on January 29, prompting factories across China and other regions to shut down for weeks, typically causing production to halt and freight demand to skyrocket. The ripple effects can range from increased shipping costs to extended lead times, disrupting even the most well-planned operations. To prepare for that event, shippers should place orders early, build inventory buffers, secure freight space in advance, diversify shipping modes, and communicate with logistics providers, Averitt said.
Second, new or increased tariffs on foreign-made goods could drive up the cost of imports, disrupt established supply chains, and create uncertainty in the marketplace. In turn, shippers may face freight rate volatility and capacity constraints as businesses rush to stockpile inventory ahead of tariff deadlines. To navigate these challenges, shippers should prepare advance shipments and inventory stockpiling, diversity sourcing, negotiate supplier agreements, explore domestic production, and leverage financial strategies.
Third, unresolved contract negotiations between the ILA and the USMX will come to a head by January 15, when the current contract expires. Labor action or strikes could cause severe disruptions at East and Gulf Coast ports, triggering widespread delays and bottlenecks across the supply chain. To prepare for the worst, shippers should adopt a similar strategy to the other potential January threats: collaborate early, secure freight, diversify supply chains, and monitor policy changes.
According to Averitt, companies can cushion the impact of all three challenges by deploying a seamless, end-to-end solution covering the entire path from customs clearance to final-mile delivery. That strategy can help businesses to store inventory closer to their customers, mitigate delays, and reduce costs associated with supply chain disruptions. And combined with proactive communication and real-time visibility tools, the approach allows companies to maintain control and keep their supply chains resilient in the face of global uncertainties, Averitt said.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.