The head of the Cargo Airline Association sometimes zigs when official Washington zags. But few in town can match Steve Alterman's grasp of aviation, regulation, and the law.
Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
Washington, D.C., is not for non-conformists. "Go along to get along" is the city's unofficial mantra, and those marching to a different drummer often find themselves getting drummed out of town.
So how does one explain the staying power of Steve Alterman?
Alterman, the long-time president of the Cargo Airline Association, which represents the nation's all-cargo air carriers, isn't a typical Beltway power broker. For one thing, if he could, he would avoid Washington altogether in favor of working from the Outer Banks of North Carolina, where he's had a home for decades.
For another, Alterman doesn't hesitate to speak his mind. He's been known to ruffle the feathers of government officials, such as the time he suggested the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) consider using pigs instead of dogs to sniff out explosives. "Pigs have a better sense of smell, they can work longer hours than dogs, and if they don't work out, you have bacon for breakfast," he said.
But beneath the iconoclastic exterior lies a professional with nonpareil skill in steering his association through the highly complex pathways of aviation, regulation, and the law. With 42 years in D.C.'s trenches—35 of those running the same association—Alterman knows his business inside and out. His knowledge of rules and processes has made him worth his weight in gold to his members. As one executive remarked in the 1990s when Alterman's "association" was just himself: "We get more mileage from one person than from an army of lawyers and lobbyists."
Earlier this year, Alterman spoke with Senior Editor Mark B. Solomon about his outlook for air freight and aviation, and the challenges confronting his group's members.
Q: How did you find your way into the aviation world? A: I had two choices coming out of law school. I was offered a job in the enforcement division of the Civil Aeronautics Board, and a job at a law firm in Boston. I decided I didn't want to sit in the back room of a law firm writing briefs for partners for seven years, working until 10 o'clock every night. I was always interested in aviation, even though I never worked in it. So I came here.
Q: Do you know anyone who's been doing this longer? A: I don't know anyone who's been doing the same job as long as I have. I left the government in 1975 to basically do this. When I started, we were the Air Freight Forwarders Association. After Congress deregulated the air-cargo portion of the airline industry in 1977, we decided our future lay more with those flying the planes. So we began letting airlines into the association, and we eventually morphed into an airline group.
Q: By the time this interview is published, the industry will be required to screen or inspect all cargo moving in the bellies of passenger planes on both domestic and outbound international flights. Do you think the industry will meet the deadline without disruptions? A: Not internationally, and I don't know about domestically. Our members are all-cargo carriers and not affected by the mandate. However, we do use passenger airlines for lift when necessary, so we are interested in the issue.
From an observer's perspective, the TSA has come up with a good idea in theory. But not enough shippers have signed up for the Certified Cargo Screening Program [a voluntary government initiative that authorizes various supply chain participants to screen cargo], so it will put a lot of pressure on freight forwarders to handle the screening if shippers simply turn over the shipments and tell them to do it.
Q: Do you think the screening mandate is overkill, given that for nearly a decade, there has been a risk-based security program in place that has seemed to work effectively? A: I wouldn't phrase it as overkill. But I'm not sure if 100-percent inspection of all freight is necessary. I would say that it would help if there were provisions allowing for [more] K-9s to serve as screeners and take some of the burden off of the individuals. The problem is there aren't enough "government dogs" available and the mandate doesn't call for [private-sector dogs] to be used.
I am very concerned that at some point shippers, who are already paying a premium to ship by air, will look at the compliance edicts and say it's not worth using air freight. And what about the shipment that's booked to fly at 10 p.m. that night but can't be flown out until the next morning because the carrier didn't have enough time to screen it? It defeats the purpose of using air freight, which is speed and reliability. That's more of a danger than the cost of compliance.
Q: You've worked in D.C. since 1968 and have seen administrations come and go. How does this one compare with regard to transportation? A: If you define transportation very broadly, they seem very interested in it. But I don't think that interest has translated into any benefits for air freight or the airlines. In the [2009] stimulus package, airlines got zero money. Meanwhile, the airports got $1.1 billion. You have to wonder what priority the airlines are for the administration.
Q: For decades, you have argued that air freight is a separate and distinct business from air passenger travel and should be treated as such. Do you still feel the need to make that argument? A: Yes, but we need to press it differently. It used to be that air freight was viewed as a byproduct of the passenger airline business. No one really talked about us. Now, air freight has become a major player. The industry is not ignored as it was when I first got into it. But it is still a different business from passenger aviation. We both fly aircraft but in many ways, that's where the similarities end.
For example, there has been an ongoing debate over flight duty time and how many hours pilots can operate. Our pilots have different work schedules and requirements. We operate in a totally different manner than do the passenger airlines, and the rules may need to be different for our segment of the industry.
It extends into security. There are people who have questioned why passenger airlines have to perform 100-percent screening of their freight while all-cargo carriers do not. What they don't take into consideration is that we already screen 100 percent of our packages to protect against the possibility of stowaways, which is the major threat to our industry.
Q: Stowaways? A: Absolutely. The major threat to all-cargo carriers is a 9/11 scenario where someone takes over a plane and uses it as a weapon of mass destruction. We're also sensitive to the threat of explosives, but to us it's a secondary threat.
Q: Other than security, is there one issue that's front burner for your members? A: Fuel costs, and I don't know what to do about it. The margins for our carriers are not great, and the break-even price for oil is about $70 a barrel. Our model is not designed to handle oil prices at $170 a barrel.
Beyond the economics, the reason fuel prices are such a concern is that we can't do anything about them. The issues that worry me the most are the ones we don't have control over.
The Port of Oakland has been awarded $50 million from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Maritime Administration (MARAD) to modernize wharves and terminal infrastructure at its Outer Harbor facility, the port said today.
Those upgrades would enable the Outer Harbor to accommodate Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCVs), which are now a regular part of the shipping fleet calling on West Coast ports. Each of these ships has a handling capacity of up to 24,000 TEUs (20-foot containers) but are currently restricted at portions of Oakland’s Outer Harbor by aging wharves which were originally designed for smaller ships.
According to the port, those changes will let it handle newer, larger vessels, which are more efficient, cost effective, and environmentally cleaner to operate than older ships. Specific investments for the project will include: wharf strengthening, structural repairs, replacing container crane rails, adding support piles, strengthening support beams, and replacing electrical bus bar system to accommodate larger ship-to-shore cranes.
Commercial fleet operators are steadily increasing their use of GPS fleet tracking, in-cab video solutions, and predictive analytics, driven by rising costs, evolving regulations, and competitive pressures, according to an industry report from Verizon Connect.
Those conclusions come from the company’s fifth annual “Fleet Technology Trends Report,” conducted in partnership with Bobit Business Media, and based on responses from 543 fleet management professionals.
The study showed that for five consecutive years, at least four out of five respondents have reported using at least one form of fleet technology, said Atlanta-based Verizon Connect, which provides fleet and mobile workforce management software platforms, embedded OEM hardware, and a connected vehicle device called Hum by Verizon.
The most commonly used of those technologies is GPS fleet tracking, with 69% of fleets across industries reporting its use, the survey showed. Of those users, 72% find it extremely or very beneficial, citing improved efficiency (62%) and a reduction in harsh driving/speeding events (49%).
Respondents also reported a focus on safety, with 57% of respondents citing improved driver safety as a key benefit of GPS fleet tracking. And 68% of users said in-cab video solutions are extremely or very beneficial. Together, those technologies help reduce distracted driving incidents, improve coaching sessions, and help reduce accident and insurance costs, Verizon Connect said.
Looking at the future, fleet management software is evolving to meet emerging challenges, including sustainability and electrification, the company said. "The findings from this year's Fleet Technology Trends Report highlight a strong commitment across industries to embracing fleet technology, with GPS tracking and in-cab video solutions consistently delivering measurable results,” Peter Mitchell, General Manager, Verizon Connect, said in a release. “As fleets face rising costs and increased regulatory pressures, these technologies are proving to be indispensable in helping organizations optimize their operations, reduce expenses, and navigate the path toward a more sustainable future.”
Businesses engaged in international trade face three major supply chain hurdles as they head into 2025: the disruptions caused by Chinese New Year (CNY), the looming threat of potential tariffs on foreign-made products that could be imposed by the incoming Trump Administration, and the unresolved contract negotiations between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the U.S. Maritime Alliance (USMX), according to an analysis from trucking and logistics provider Averitt.
Each of those factors could lead to significant shipping delays, production slowdowns, and increased costs, Averitt said.
First, Chinese New Year 2025 begins on January 29, prompting factories across China and other regions to shut down for weeks, typically causing production to halt and freight demand to skyrocket. The ripple effects can range from increased shipping costs to extended lead times, disrupting even the most well-planned operations. To prepare for that event, shippers should place orders early, build inventory buffers, secure freight space in advance, diversify shipping modes, and communicate with logistics providers, Averitt said.
Second, new or increased tariffs on foreign-made goods could drive up the cost of imports, disrupt established supply chains, and create uncertainty in the marketplace. In turn, shippers may face freight rate volatility and capacity constraints as businesses rush to stockpile inventory ahead of tariff deadlines. To navigate these challenges, shippers should prepare advance shipments and inventory stockpiling, diversity sourcing, negotiate supplier agreements, explore domestic production, and leverage financial strategies.
Third, unresolved contract negotiations between the ILA and the USMX will come to a head by January 15, when the current contract expires. Labor action or strikes could cause severe disruptions at East and Gulf Coast ports, triggering widespread delays and bottlenecks across the supply chain. To prepare for the worst, shippers should adopt a similar strategy to the other potential January threats: collaborate early, secure freight, diversify supply chains, and monitor policy changes.
According to Averitt, companies can cushion the impact of all three challenges by deploying a seamless, end-to-end solution covering the entire path from customs clearance to final-mile delivery. That strategy can help businesses to store inventory closer to their customers, mitigate delays, and reduce costs associated with supply chain disruptions. And combined with proactive communication and real-time visibility tools, the approach allows companies to maintain control and keep their supply chains resilient in the face of global uncertainties, Averitt said.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.