James Cooke is a principal analyst with Nucleus Research in Boston, covering supply chain planning software. He was previously the editor of CSCMP?s Supply Chain Quarterly and a staff writer for DC Velocity.
Next month, representatives of major world governments will gather at the Climate Control Conference in Copenhagen, Denmark, in what some see as a "make or break" attempt to negotiate a global climate treaty. They will discuss ways to advance the Kyoto Protocol, a treaty to curb emissions of greenhouse gases, a treaty that has been signed by more than 180 nations (although the United States isn't one of them), a treaty that runs out in 2012.
Although the upcoming summit has dominated the headlines, it's just one of many looming eco-initiatives that could change the way distribution executives do their jobs. Regardless of what happens in Copenhagen, it's likely that U.S. companies next year will face some type of legislative or industry mandate to begin reducing emissions of a key greenhouse gas—carbon dioxide (CO2)—in their distribution operations. (Distribution operations are liable to be targeted because supply chains account for an estimated 30 percent of those emissions in the United States.)
What should distribution managers keep an eye out for? First, there's the legislative push in the current Congress to adopt a "cap and trade" system much like the one many European nations have already put in place to comply with the Kyoto Protocol. Under cap and trade, a company or industry is given a permit to give off a quota of carbon dioxide. If it stays below its quota, a company can sell its unused allowances to a company that's exceeding its quota, enabling it to avoid fines.
Back in June, the U.S. House of Representatives narrowly passed the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009—legislation that would not only establish a cap-and-trade program but would also mandate that by 2020, the United States must reduce the amount of CO2 in the nation's atmosphere by 17 percent from 2005 levels. Action on a companion bill awaits in the Senate.
Since industry and conservative groups have raised objections to the legislation (including the fact that the other top producers of greenhouse gases, China and India, have not yet committed to reducing their own emissions), the bill's fate is uncertain. However, there will be a push for federal regulatory action, since the U.S. Supreme Court two years ago ruled that the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has the authority to regulate greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act. This fall, the EPA proposed greenhouse gas rules for factories, oil refineries, and power plants. Many Washington observers expect the agency to put forward similar CO2 emissions rules for trucks and automobiles in 2010.
Sizing the carbon footprint
But it isn't just the federal government that's pushing for restrictions on carbon dioxide emissions. There's also a private initiative under way by Wal-Mart Stores Inc. that would force suppliers to clean up their act.
This past summer, the retail giant announced that it would begin developing a sustainability index, with the eventual goal of creating environmental labels for all products sold in its stores. The index would measure a product's carbon footprint along with a number of other environmental attributes like the amount of water used to create it and the volume of solid waste generated in its production. The retailer plans to fund a university consortium to develop the label along with related metrics (although when it comes to measuring the carbon generated during manufacturing and distribution, it plans to piggyback on work already being done in the United Kingdom by the Carbon Trust). As a first step, this fall Wal-Mart surveyed its top 100,000 suppliers to find out whether they had instituted reduction targets for greenhouse gases. If your company is a supplier to Wal-Mart, you'll likely be mandated at some point to show you're doing something to combat global warming.
Although the details regarding compliance—whether with federal laws, federal regulations, or an industry mandate—are still being worked out, it's virtually certain that transportation will be targeted for greenhouse gas reductions. Some clues as to what managers might eventually be required to do can be gleaned from the experience of yogurt maker Stonyfield Farm of Londonderry, N.H.
Putting CO2 out to pasture
An organic foods producer with a longstanding commitment to sustainable practices, Stonyfield Farm hasn't been waiting around for government or industry mandates. It has already launched a companywide initiative to reduce its carbon footprint. In the area of finished-goods transportation, for example, Stonyfield Farm has set an ambitious goal of cutting greenhouse gas emissions to 40 percent of its 2006 baseline by the year 2014. In the first year of its program, the company achieved a significant reduction in CO2 emissions just by managing its private fleet and for-hire carriers more efficiently. Through better planning and equipment utilization, it was able to reduce both the number of trips made and miles traveled, with a corresponding reduction in emissions.
More recently, the company has been looking at shifting freight from road to rail and at incorporating more-efficient equipment into its private fleet. But even that may not be enough. Although these initiatives are producing measurable savings, Stonyfield Farm believes it will have to do still more if it expects to reach its long-term goals. The company is now preparing to take a hard look at its entire supply chain network, modeling the location of plants and distribution centers with the aim of minimizing shipping distances.
Stonyfield Farm's experience suggests that other companies too will have to step back and evaluate their entire supply chain operation in order to achieve meaningful reductions in CO2 emissions. Actions like buying hybrid-diesel engine trucks will help, but most businesses won't reach exacting targets without a holistic network approach.
Given the current concern about global warming, distribution managers need to start thinking about how they can reduce greenhouse gas emissions associated with inbound and outbound transportation. In the past, companies optimized their distribution operations around cost and service. Now, however, the optimization equation will require a third variable: carbon dioxide emissions.
Distribution managers can expect "carbon mapping" exercises to become a routine part of their job—just like freight bill auditing or issuing requests for proposals. With more and more folks concerned about what's blowing in the wind, both here and around the world, next year will be the year in which managers are asked to do their part to cut back on CO2.
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
The “series B” funding round was financed by an unnamed “strategic customer” as well as Teradyne Robotics Ventures, Toyota Ventures, Ranpak, Third Kind Venture Capital, One Madison Group, Hyperplane, Catapult Ventures, and others.
The fresh backing comes as Massachusetts-based Pickle reported a spate of third quarter orders, saying that six customers placed orders for over 30 production robots to deploy in the first half of 2025. The new orders include pilot conversions, existing customer expansions, and new customer adoption.
“Pickle is hitting its strides delivering innovation, development, commercial traction, and customer satisfaction. The company is building groundbreaking technology while executing on essential recurring parts of a successful business like field service and manufacturing management,” Omar Asali, Pickle board member and CEO of investor Ranpak, said in a release.
According to Pickle, its truck-unloading robot applies “Physical AI” technology to one of the most labor-intensive, physically demanding, and highest turnover work areas in logistics operations. The platform combines a powerful vision system with generative AI foundation models trained on millions of data points from real logistics and warehouse operations that enable Pickle’s robotic hardware platform to perform physical work at human-scale or better, the company says.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."