the voice of the middleman: interview with Robert Voltmann
The brokers who used to hang around truck stops have been replaced by sophisticated transportation intermediaries who do an estimated $162 billion in business each year. It's Robert Voltmann's job to represent them.
Mitch Mac Donald has more than 30 years of experience in both the newspaper and magazine businesses. He has covered the logistics and supply chain fields since 1988. Twice named one of the Top 10 Business Journalists in the U.S., he has served in a multitude of editorial and publishing roles. The leading force behind the launch of Supply Chain Management Review, he was that brand's founding publisher and editorial director from 1997 to 2000. Additionally, he has served as news editor, chief editor, publisher and editorial director of Logistics Management, as well as publisher of Modern Materials Handling. Mitch is also the president and CEO of Agile Business Media, LLC, the parent company of DC VELOCITY and CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly.
It's not easy these days to find an executive who's bullish on his or her organization's growth prospects. But Robert Voltmann is just that. Voltmann is president and CEO of the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an organization that represents thirdparty logistics service companies of all stripes—freight forwarders, brokers, and intermodal marketing companies among them. TIA's membership has been growing for the past eight years, Voltmann reports, and he doesn't see that changing anytime soon. In fact, he aims to increase membership by a whopping 17 percent in 2009 alone.
There are a couple of reasons for Voltmann's optimism. First, he sees a large untapped pool of potential members. "We believe that at 1,200 members, we represent 10 percent of the industry by number—we estimate that there are 12,000 operating licensed brokers," he says. And he's confident the organization has much to offer members—online training classes, insurance and credit reporting services, and, of course, advocacy.
Prior to joining TIA in June 1997, Voltmann was director of policy for the National Industrial Transportation League—a position he took after serving as chief of staff to Interstate Commerce Commissioner Ed Emmett. Before coming to Washington, Voltmann worked for two economic development and area planning associations in Houston, Texas.
Voltmann met recently with DC VELOCITY Group Editorial Director Mitch Mac Donald to discuss the biggest challenges TIA faces today, the economy, and the call he has out to the oracle of Delphi.
Q: Could you begin by telling us a little bit about TIA?
A: TIA is the largest organization representing third-party logistics companies. We're at just over 1,200 members and growing. We have been growing in real terms year over year for the past eight years, and our plan is to double again over the next five years.
The association was established in 1978 by the 14 licensed property brokers that existed in the United States prior to deregulation. They decided to push for deregulation of the brokerage business and make that a provision of the Motor Carrier Act of 1980. The association from that day forward has always been about the free market and ethics. They established a code of ethics for the industry, and we have added to it over the years.
Q: Who are your members?
A: The majority of our members are non-asset or asset "light" companies. About a third of our members own trucks. Maybe two or three hundred own warehouse space or broker warehouse space. Maybe 200 are air freight forwarders, a similar number handle ocean freight, and we have more intermodal marketing companies than the Intermodal Association of North America (IANA)—because we have all the small ones.
Q: How did you come to be in charge of this organization?
A: I came to know the Transportation Brokers Conference of America, which is what it was called at the time, when I was at the Interstate Commerce Commission during the first Bush administration. Then when I was at the National Industrial Transportation League, I worked closely with the association. I actually tried to get the job before and lost out to Joni Casey. If I had to pick somebody to lose out to, Joni is a great person to lose to.
Then the position at IANA opened up, and IANA hired Joni. I lost that to her, too, but this is where I really wanted to be. I knew it was a diamond in the rough, and I believe that I have shown it to be a diamond. There is just a really bright future here. I have more than doubled membership. We have built an online university of training courses for our members. We have entered into an agreement now with the Institute of Logistical Management to double our online course offerings. We have an insurance company. We have built a very effective advocacy department. I am more excited today than I was in June 1997 when I took over.
Q: What are the key issues for your members right now?
A: Right now, one of the key issues is credit management. One of the reasons that the third-party logistics industry has exploded is these companies use their free cash flow to become the industry's bank. What I mean by that is they pay the carrier as quickly as the day of delivery but don't expect to be paid by the shipper for 30 to 45 days. So they are financing the freight on their own cash flow.
Well, that worked well enough in the days when the market was booming and you could check your shipper's credit once and then watch your own receivables from that shipper. But in this market, a shipper can go south on you in 30 days because you don't have a clear picture of its total finances. There were credit bureaus like Dun & Bradstreet that gave you a snapshot of how the corporation was doing overall, but there was not any entity looking at a shipper's transportation-specific credit.
We have been working for the past three years—actually since the last dip in the economy—to build shipper transportation-specific credit reporting. The company that we have been working with, Forius, launched a product on March 2 that's going to allow users to track how shippers pay their small transportation providers on a daily basis.
Q: What other issues are you tracking besides credit?
A: Long term, the biggest threat to the industry is from increased regulation. The industry has worked quite well since the mid '90s, when we ended economic regulation of the industry and concentrated solely on safety. But in the last Congress, legislation was introduced that would have required brokers, forwarders, and motor carriers to reveal all of their costs, all of their income, and every invoice.
This is a devastating thing in any industry. Sure, you'd like to know exactly how much Best Buy paid for that Sony television or how much the auto dealer paid for that car you want to buy. You wouldn't have to go through all this nonsense of negotiation. But in our free market, it doesn't work that way. It would have tremendous ramifications. That is a huge threat on the horizon, and we have increased our presence on Capitol Hill to deal with that.
A: A related issue is that of taxation. We fought a provision in Texas two years ago that would have taxed service industries at their gross revenue level, not at net cost.
Q: That would be a bit onerous, wouldn't it?
A: Yes, very onerous, and other states are looking at this same thing, so as an industry we have got to get our hands around this. We have to figure out how to mobilize the opposition at the state level because, frankly, no state wants somebody from Washington coming in and saying, "We are from Washington and we don't like what you're doing."
Q: Let's shift gears a little. What are the biggest challenges your members face in serving their customers these days?
A: Well, the biggest challenge right now is the lack of freight. Everybody is facing it. As a result, we're seeing the strong preying on the weak to get more volume—for example, they might be offering to pay the carriers even faster.
Q: I almost hesitate to ask because nobody wants to go out on a limb and make a prediction, but we have to go through the routine. Is there an end in sight to this freight recession?
A: I don't know. I'm hearing different things from the group's members. The members who are heavily involved in the auto industtry are really hurt. But I talked to a small member last week who does a lot of work with a box company—a cardboard box company—and its freight is picking up.
I have a call out to the oracle of Delphi, but she hasn't returned my call yet, so I am not sure. I hope it is soon.
Q: We all do. I recall market analyst John Larkin saying at your annual conference, "Every day we are in this situation, we are one day closer to being out of it."
A: Well, I think that's right. I recently went back and read Franklin Roosevelt's first inaugural address. In it, he told the people that things were not as bad as they had been in the past. We are not plagued by locusts and other biblical plagues that our forefathers persevered through.
Things are certainly better today than they were when Roosevelt took office. What we have—and what America in 1933 didn't have—is a modern sophisticated logistics and distribution system. In March 1933, in the depth of the Great Depression, we left food rotting in the fields because we couldn't get it to market. We don't have any of those problems. At the depth of the Depression in 1933, we had 25 percent unemployment. Today, we are pushing at 10 percent—or maybe a little less.
Anyway, we have great things in place. Now that we have passed the stimulus bill, everything should be good. It is time to start instilling hope instead of selling fear.
Q: The economic environment aside, what does the future of logistics hold? If we were to take a nap and wake up 10 years from now, what would the market look like?
A: Oh, man, if I knew exactly what the market would look like 10 years from now, I would be really fat, dumb, and happy.
I think it will look a lot like it does today but with more logistics companies. Over the past 20 years, shippers have shed jobs from what used to be their traffic departments. They are not going to hire those back. They are going to have high-level experts in their systems to oversee outsourced providers and work with them in partnership.
The Port of Oakland has been awarded $50 million from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Maritime Administration (MARAD) to modernize wharves and terminal infrastructure at its Outer Harbor facility, the port said today.
Those upgrades would enable the Outer Harbor to accommodate Ultra Large Container Vessels (ULCVs), which are now a regular part of the shipping fleet calling on West Coast ports. Each of these ships has a handling capacity of up to 24,000 TEUs (20-foot containers) but are currently restricted at portions of Oakland’s Outer Harbor by aging wharves which were originally designed for smaller ships.
According to the port, those changes will let it handle newer, larger vessels, which are more efficient, cost effective, and environmentally cleaner to operate than older ships. Specific investments for the project will include: wharf strengthening, structural repairs, replacing container crane rails, adding support piles, strengthening support beams, and replacing electrical bus bar system to accommodate larger ship-to-shore cranes.
Commercial fleet operators are steadily increasing their use of GPS fleet tracking, in-cab video solutions, and predictive analytics, driven by rising costs, evolving regulations, and competitive pressures, according to an industry report from Verizon Connect.
Those conclusions come from the company’s fifth annual “Fleet Technology Trends Report,” conducted in partnership with Bobit Business Media, and based on responses from 543 fleet management professionals.
The study showed that for five consecutive years, at least four out of five respondents have reported using at least one form of fleet technology, said Atlanta-based Verizon Connect, which provides fleet and mobile workforce management software platforms, embedded OEM hardware, and a connected vehicle device called Hum by Verizon.
The most commonly used of those technologies is GPS fleet tracking, with 69% of fleets across industries reporting its use, the survey showed. Of those users, 72% find it extremely or very beneficial, citing improved efficiency (62%) and a reduction in harsh driving/speeding events (49%).
Respondents also reported a focus on safety, with 57% of respondents citing improved driver safety as a key benefit of GPS fleet tracking. And 68% of users said in-cab video solutions are extremely or very beneficial. Together, those technologies help reduce distracted driving incidents, improve coaching sessions, and help reduce accident and insurance costs, Verizon Connect said.
Looking at the future, fleet management software is evolving to meet emerging challenges, including sustainability and electrification, the company said. "The findings from this year's Fleet Technology Trends Report highlight a strong commitment across industries to embracing fleet technology, with GPS tracking and in-cab video solutions consistently delivering measurable results,” Peter Mitchell, General Manager, Verizon Connect, said in a release. “As fleets face rising costs and increased regulatory pressures, these technologies are proving to be indispensable in helping organizations optimize their operations, reduce expenses, and navigate the path toward a more sustainable future.”
Businesses engaged in international trade face three major supply chain hurdles as they head into 2025: the disruptions caused by Chinese New Year (CNY), the looming threat of potential tariffs on foreign-made products that could be imposed by the incoming Trump Administration, and the unresolved contract negotiations between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the U.S. Maritime Alliance (USMX), according to an analysis from trucking and logistics provider Averitt.
Each of those factors could lead to significant shipping delays, production slowdowns, and increased costs, Averitt said.
First, Chinese New Year 2025 begins on January 29, prompting factories across China and other regions to shut down for weeks, typically causing production to halt and freight demand to skyrocket. The ripple effects can range from increased shipping costs to extended lead times, disrupting even the most well-planned operations. To prepare for that event, shippers should place orders early, build inventory buffers, secure freight space in advance, diversify shipping modes, and communicate with logistics providers, Averitt said.
Second, new or increased tariffs on foreign-made goods could drive up the cost of imports, disrupt established supply chains, and create uncertainty in the marketplace. In turn, shippers may face freight rate volatility and capacity constraints as businesses rush to stockpile inventory ahead of tariff deadlines. To navigate these challenges, shippers should prepare advance shipments and inventory stockpiling, diversity sourcing, negotiate supplier agreements, explore domestic production, and leverage financial strategies.
Third, unresolved contract negotiations between the ILA and the USMX will come to a head by January 15, when the current contract expires. Labor action or strikes could cause severe disruptions at East and Gulf Coast ports, triggering widespread delays and bottlenecks across the supply chain. To prepare for the worst, shippers should adopt a similar strategy to the other potential January threats: collaborate early, secure freight, diversify supply chains, and monitor policy changes.
According to Averitt, companies can cushion the impact of all three challenges by deploying a seamless, end-to-end solution covering the entire path from customs clearance to final-mile delivery. That strategy can help businesses to store inventory closer to their customers, mitigate delays, and reduce costs associated with supply chain disruptions. And combined with proactive communication and real-time visibility tools, the approach allows companies to maintain control and keep their supply chains resilient in the face of global uncertainties, Averitt said.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.