Today's notoriously unforgiving consumers don't care why a product isn't available this minute. They'll just go elsewhere. Two industry giants have come up with breakthrough strategies to keep that from happening.
John Johnson joined the DC Velocity team in March 2004. A veteran business journalist, John has over a dozen years of experience covering the supply chain field, including time as chief editor of Warehousing Management. In addition, he has covered the venture capital community and previously was a sports reporter covering professional and collegiate sports in the Boston area. John served as senior editor and chief editor of DC Velocity until April 2008.
Ice storms, labor shortages, port strikes, power failures—there are plenty of good reasons why a given item's not on the store shelf at a given moment. But the customer who's looking for that item doesn't want to hear any of it. If it's not there, that's it. They're gone, and so, probably, is your chance for a sale.
Consumers today are notoriously difficult to please. Gone are the days when they would wait a week or so for a product that's temporarily out of stock. Gone are the days when they willingly waited a month for a product to be customized to their exact needs.Whether it's duct tape or computers, golf clubs or razors, if you can't deliver what they want, you've lost. And you probably won't get a second chance.
Even companies that sell customized goods aren't getting much of a break. Trained by the likes of Dell to expect almost immediate gratification, consumers of customized high-end goods are looking not only to have it their way, but to have it their way right now.
Consumer-goods manufacturers as diverse as Nike and Gillette are wrestling with these new expectations. And not surprisingly (given that these are supply chain problems), they're looking to the supply chain for answers.
Though Nike and Gillette have come up with radically different approaches, they're most assuredly working toward the same goal: ensuring that their products are available to customers when and where they want it. Athletic gear giant Nike recently hired third-party logistics provider Menlo Worldwide to handle light assembly and customization in order to get its golf clubs into consumers' hands as quickly as possible. Billion dollar conglomerate Gillette has purchased 500 million radio-frequency identification tags to track individual items in its Venus line of women's razors in hopes of eliminating stockouts. Though both initiatives required the investment of some serious money, the two manufacturers clearly have decided that not making the investment will cost them a lot more.
Let's get this (third) party started
Nike Golf 's agreement with Menlo Worldwide, signed in December, calls for the third party to handle not only traditional third-party tasks like logistics and distribution, but assembly management—or light manufacturing—for a wide variety of product categories. This represents a unique expansion of core services for Redwood City, Calif.-based Menlo,which will manage the actual assembly of build-to-order golf clubs for Nike Golf,as well as providing distribution services such as component inventory and finished-goods exportation for clubs.
Under a second agreement, Menlo is customizing and staffing a 234,000-square-foot distribution center in Memphis, Tenn., and will manage North American distribution of Nike Golf apparel and accessories. This spring Menlo will also assume the distribution responsibilities for the golf clubs it customizes.
Light manufacturing isn't entirely new to the company. For years, Menlo has been doing light-duty assembly and packing for Hewlett-Packard's line of printers at its DC in Memphis. But the Nike Golf deal is the first one where Menlo is doing actual materials requirements planning (MRP).
"This is starting as an in-line facility, meaning the assembly we are doing is based on stock product, but over the next five to six months we'll move to custom assembly," says Claude Kramer, Menlo's director of operations. "Customers can order over the Web or at a pro shop, be sized for grips and shafts, and we'll build to order."
Though it may look like Nike is bucking an industry trend, the idea of shifting product completion tasks from Asia to the United States is expected to catch fire. U.S. companies may save money when products are manufactured overseas, but they often suffer due to poor supply chain forecasting in Asia and Mexico, which can lead to poor inventory management in the States.
"A lot of manufacturing is moving into China these days, and given the length of the supply chain, it's very hard to forecast finished goods several months in advance, "says Steve Hill, senior solution manager for Menlo. "One way to help offset that is to have generic products manufactured in China, then shipped to North America to do the product completion function closer to the customer. This is just an example of that."
Shaving costs
Like Nike, consumer-goods giant Gillette is making a big push to satisfy unrelentingly demanding consumers while shaving millions from its supply chain costs. But it has chosen a different path. Gillette recently announced that it had purchased 500 million auto ID tags—composed of tiny dot-sized microprocessors with antennas attached—from Alien Technology Corp., at an estimated cost of $25 million to $50 million. The radio-frequency identification (RFID) tags will track products from the manufacturing line, through the DC and the shipping process, right on to the retail shelf, providing real-time inventory control and helping assure that product is on the shelf when and where it's needed.
Though Gillette is spending a lot of money, it hopes to save even more. Billions of dollars are lost in the supply chain not only from the theft of product en route to its final destination, but also from the loss of revenues when a product is not in stock when the consumer wants it. That's why Gillette sees its multi-million dollar investment as a "multibillion dollar opportunity," according to Paul Fox, Gillette's director of global external relations. "Clearly, we believe the investment behind auto ID technology is justified because the downstream benefits and solutions to current supply chain issues could be significant."
This year Gillette will begin the first large-scale testing o f the RFID tag technology, which was developed by researchers at the Auto ID Center at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge. The company will start by placing tiny RFID tags on products sold at Wal-Mart and at Tesco, a leading U.K. based food retailer. If the trials are successful, up to half a billion tags could be put on Gillette products in the next few years.
Gillette expected to have its distribution center in Fort Devens, Mass., fully equipped with the technology by the end of March. But the company isn't stopping there. It is taking the field test a step further by installing "intelligent shelves" in a Wal-Mart store in Massachusetts and at a Tesco outlet in England.
Using RF technology, intelligent shelving constantly monitors products on the shelf, and sends an immediate alert to store management when inventory dips to a predetermined level. "Often, store shelves remain empty because the staff is simply unaware that a product needs replenishing," says Fox. The combination of RFID tags and intelligent shelving could also serve as a major theft deterrent, alerting store management when a large quantity of product is removed at once.
Tag sales to rise?
As Gillette runs its RFID field trials this year, the consumer and retail worlds will be paying close attention. Depending on the project's success, widespread adoption of RFID tags could be right around the corner, especially if the technology's price continues to drop.
When MIT's Auto ID Center began researching the technology in 1999, the price of the tags (more than 20 cents apiece at the time) prohibited their use commercially. The price has dropped by at least 50 percent (Gillette declined to disclose the per-tag price it paid, but the company had indicated earlier that it would be interested in using the tags if they could be obtained for 10 cents or less), and an anticipated increase in volume should make the tags even more affordable.
And that could happen at any time. Research is currently underway to replace the RF tag's antenna with an ink that can duplicate the antenna's function. The ability to use the ink contained on packaging as an antenna would further reduce the cost of RFID technology, making it available to a wider variety of users. As that user base grows, we'll likely be encountering radio waves at local stores with greater frequency.
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.