You might have thought the recession that's hampered the U.S. economy for the last two years would have driven back the large European-owned third-party logistics (3PL) companies seeking to compete on American turf. Tough times,after all, tend to thin the ranks. But quite the opposite has happened, and the Dutch, German, Swiss and British logistics giants regard their U.S. business as not only key to their continued expansion, but as a crucial factor in transforming themselves into truly international service providers.
David Kulik, president and chief executive officer of TNT Logistics North America—formerly CTI Logistics, which was bought by Holland-based TNT Post Group (TPG) from CSX in 2000—says he's certainly changed his perspective in the last two years. "We were owned by a North American railroad and sold to TPG to become part of a global network. The change for us is symptomatic of what's going on in the entire industry," he says. "We had operations in Europe and South America that we were managing out of Jackson [Mississippi]. We were still mostly competing with the North American players, and the usual suspects were always bidding with us on contracts." Now, Kulik says, the logistics provider is part of a global company and is bidding against competitors such as Kuehne & Nagel and Deutsche Post.
Exel, now the largest pure 3PL in the world,places great importance on its U.S. operations as one of the centers of its international activities. "At Exel, we would not regard ourselves as a 'European 3PL,' given the strong historic roots of our business in the United States and how it has grown, largely organically, over the last 10 years," says John Dawson, director of corporate affairs at Exel, based in England. "I know we are a U.K.-listed organization, but with over 65 percent o f our revenues sourced from countries outside the U.K. -and now over 35 percent from the Americas—we are increasingly regarded as a global business."
Often, it's U.S.-based customers who are demanding global logistics coverage. Kulik says, from his perspective in the United States, customer needs have changed. "Far more customers are looking for 3PLs with global reach and global capabilities. They want the repeatability and consistency of a service that will yield the same results regardless of geography," he says.
Bruce Edwards, Exel's divisional chief executive for the Americas, agrees. "I'm finding that increasingly customers here are placing value on our international capability. Even if they're not able to take advantage of it at the moment, the sharp folks are realizing that in the future they probably will, so they're starting with us on some domestic projects with the idea that some day they're going to have to pull off something global," he says. Edwards points out that many large companies are getting more international simply through getting larger. "In the last two or three years,there have been at least 15 major mergers in our customer base," he reports. "But, whether it's the result of buying other companies or sourcing differently, they're going to be playing in a different sort of economy."
Third (party) watch
It's no wonder European 3PLs don't want to be pigeonholed as, well, European 3PLs. Logistics markets in Europe have become saturated and therefore not so profitable, forcing the providers to look abroad for business. "From a logistics point of view and an international 3PL point of view, Europe is the third most important market," says Richard Armstrong, founder of the consulting firm Armstrong & Associates. "It's really North America first, then … you go to the Asian markets. The only potential for profits in Europe is in what was behind the Iron Curtain."
"The market's more fragmented in Europe," says Jamie Ward, a business analyst specializing in logistics at analyst firm Datamonitor in London. "There are differences between countries and it's difficult to break down the barriers. That's still affecting things especially when you get into operations like pharmaceuticals where there are still regulatory boundaries between countries."
Although these 3PLs have been talking an international game for some time,it seems the talk is only just now becoming reality. All of them have made significant inroads into the U.S. market through acquisition in the last three years. TNT bought CTI Logistics. Kuehne & Nagel bought USCO Logistics. Exel bought F.X. Coughlin, among others. Deutsche Post bought Danzas/AEI and DHL. Assimilating those companies has taken time.
Competition,meanwhile, comes from home grown companies as well. Federal Express, United Parcel Service and Menlo Worldwide are fighting hard to become international freight and logistics service providers, the better to serve their already massive established customer base in the United States. According to Armstrong & Associates, Fed Ex now covers geographical areas that supply 99 percent of the world's gross domestic product and UPS has "nearly global coverage." Menlo, an operating company of CNF Corp., has logistics operations throughout North America and Latin America and in major points in the Pacific Rim and Europe. The financials also tell an interesting story. UPS reported revenue of $ 31.4 billion for 2002, of which $4.7 billion represented international revenue. That means its presence outside the United States is significant, but it is predominantly serving U.S.-based customers. The same thing goes for Fed Ex, which reported overall revenue of $20.1 billion, $4.2 billion of which counted as international revenue.
With the European 3PLs,however, the financial picture is quite different, Armstrong & Associates says. Deutsche Post World Network (DPWN), which does not break down the figures for DHL, had total revenue for 2002 of $37.3 billion, but $15.4 billion of that came from international revenue, much of it in the United States (these figures will increase if DPWN's intended purchase of the ground network of U.S.-based forwarder Airborne Express, announced in March, is allowed by U.S. regulators). TPG's case is even more extreme, with a total 2002 revenue of $11.2 billion, $10.4 billion of which came from overseas.
Standards issues
One of the challenges for the European 3PLs competing in the U.S. market has been weaving together a smooth information technology system from a patchwork of acquired legacy computer systems. UPS, FedEx and Menlo have particularly emphasized their IT capabilities, and the competition has recently begun to concentrate efforts on aligning their information systems.
TNT, for example, this April launched its TTS project ( "transformation through standardization") across the group. The idea is to standardize all information systems—a huge and expensive task, but one TNT takes very seriously as a competitive advantage. DHL has a similar initiative under way. Hans Toggweiler, chief executive and president of DHL Danzas Air & Ocean, says total computer integration between the companies under the DHL flag is a work in progress expected to be completed during the third quarter of this year.
Kuehne & Nagel is also pushing computer standards hard, both internally and for the IT services it provides to customers. Often customers insist on using their own sy stems, says Klaus Herms, chief executive officer of Kuehne & Nagel, based in Switzerland. "Only when you have standards can you do what we're trying to do—provide an integrated solution from the source to the retailer's shelf. Otherwise you have headaches with different interfacing and high cost," Herms says. Customers that want to go international need to learn the advantages of streamlined computer operations."In the track and trace business, with standards everything becomes easy," Herms says . "Increasingly, people understand it's to their advantage."
In the end, computer standards are merely a way of improving human contact so that internal department s servicing different geographies or industry verticals can compare notes, and customers can keep track of things more easily. DHL , which recently rebranded Danzas/AEI under the DHL name, in July created a "global customer solution group," which is designed to "act in the interest of the customer across all business units and geographies," says Toggweiler of DHL Danzas Air & Ocean, the Newark , N.J.—based subsidiary of DHL, which is in turn owned by Germany's Deutsche Post World Net . "This is not just about customer service, but setting the required service levels for a particular customer across the whole company," says Toggweiler. "We can't afford to have one business unit not service a customer as well as another unit. We want to look at how important a customer is to the company as a whole rather than to individual units."
This is part of a strategy being honed by the European 3PLs to use their American presence to explore possibilities for cross-selling bet ween different divisions. TNT, for example, has a cross-group logistics board that meets once every quarter and communicates informally by phone more often. The different divisions share information about specific customers for whom they 're doing work in one geographic or service area, and discuss ways they could help the same company by involving other divisions.
One for all?
Still, the European 3PLs are shy of pointing to any specific expanded contracts with international customers that clearly come from cross-selling between the old guard and U.S.-based acquisitions. DHL's Toggweiler admits that bringing together DHL and Danzas AEI under one name has implications currently limited to back-office functions and branding. And Kuehne & Nagel's Herms says currently the cross-selling opportunities tend to come between different service areas—for example, getting a customer who uses warehousing services originally won by USCO Logistics and selling it Kuehne & Nagel's freight forwarding service.
However, the future should see these companies selling more services in more countries, based on expanded presence in the United States. All agree China presents exciting opportunities, especia ly as the hub of a growing intra-Asian trade in which U.S.-based manufacturers are likely to take a stake. Meanwhile, India is becoming a major exporter to the United States and Europe. "We know where the market is going; it's a question of what will the customer purchase in each area and how we grow our market s," TNT's Kulik says. "We're all racing to gear up our U.S. operations and leverage the huge market available to us in the United States."
Congestion on U.S. highways is costing the trucking industry big, according to research from the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI), released today.
The group found that traffic congestion on U.S. highways added $108.8 billion in costs to the trucking industry in 2022, a record high. The information comes from ATRI’s Cost of Congestion study, which is part of the organization’s ongoing highway performance measurement research.
Total hours of congestion fell slightly compared to 2021 due to softening freight market conditions, but the cost of operating a truck increased at a much higher rate, according to the research. As a result, the overall cost of congestion increased by 15% year-over-year—a level equivalent to more than 430,000 commercial truck drivers sitting idle for one work year and an average cost of $7,588 for every registered combination truck.
The analysis also identified metropolitan delays and related impacts, showing that the top 10 most-congested states each experienced added costs of more than $8 billion. That list was led by Texas, at $9.17 billion in added costs; California, at $8.77 billion; and Florida, $8.44 billion. Rounding out the top 10 list were New York, Georgia, New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and Tennessee. Combined, the top 10 states account for more than half of the trucking industry’s congestion costs nationwide—52%, according to the research.
The metro areas with the highest congestion costs include New York City, $6.68 billion; Miami, $3.2 billion; and Chicago, $3.14 billion.
ATRI’s analysis also found that the trucking industry wasted more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel fuel in 2022 due to congestion, resulting in additional fuel costs of $32.1 billion.
ATRI used a combination of data sources, including its truck GPS database and Operational Costs study benchmarks, to calculate the impacts of trucking delays on major U.S. roadways.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.