You might have thought the recession that's hampered the U.S. economy for the last two years would have driven back the large European-owned third-party logistics (3PL) companies seeking to compete on American turf. Tough times,after all, tend to thin the ranks. But quite the opposite has happened, and the Dutch, German, Swiss and British logistics giants regard their U.S. business as not only key to their continued expansion, but as a crucial factor in transforming themselves into truly international service providers.
David Kulik, president and chief executive officer of TNT Logistics North America—formerly CTI Logistics, which was bought by Holland-based TNT Post Group (TPG) from CSX in 2000—says he's certainly changed his perspective in the last two years. "We were owned by a North American railroad and sold to TPG to become part of a global network. The change for us is symptomatic of what's going on in the entire industry," he says. "We had operations in Europe and South America that we were managing out of Jackson [Mississippi]. We were still mostly competing with the North American players, and the usual suspects were always bidding with us on contracts." Now, Kulik says, the logistics provider is part of a global company and is bidding against competitors such as Kuehne & Nagel and Deutsche Post.
Exel, now the largest pure 3PL in the world,places great importance on its U.S. operations as one of the centers of its international activities. "At Exel, we would not regard ourselves as a 'European 3PL,' given the strong historic roots of our business in the United States and how it has grown, largely organically, over the last 10 years," says John Dawson, director of corporate affairs at Exel, based in England. "I know we are a U.K.-listed organization, but with over 65 percent o f our revenues sourced from countries outside the U.K. -and now over 35 percent from the Americas—we are increasingly regarded as a global business."
Often, it's U.S.-based customers who are demanding global logistics coverage. Kulik says, from his perspective in the United States, customer needs have changed. "Far more customers are looking for 3PLs with global reach and global capabilities. They want the repeatability and consistency of a service that will yield the same results regardless of geography," he says.
Bruce Edwards, Exel's divisional chief executive for the Americas, agrees. "I'm finding that increasingly customers here are placing value on our international capability. Even if they're not able to take advantage of it at the moment, the sharp folks are realizing that in the future they probably will, so they're starting with us on some domestic projects with the idea that some day they're going to have to pull off something global," he says. Edwards points out that many large companies are getting more international simply through getting larger. "In the last two or three years,there have been at least 15 major mergers in our customer base," he reports. "But, whether it's the result of buying other companies or sourcing differently, they're going to be playing in a different sort of economy."
Third (party) watch
It's no wonder European 3PLs don't want to be pigeonholed as, well, European 3PLs. Logistics markets in Europe have become saturated and therefore not so profitable, forcing the providers to look abroad for business. "From a logistics point of view and an international 3PL point of view, Europe is the third most important market," says Richard Armstrong, founder of the consulting firm Armstrong & Associates. "It's really North America first, then … you go to the Asian markets. The only potential for profits in Europe is in what was behind the Iron Curtain."
"The market's more fragmented in Europe," says Jamie Ward, a business analyst specializing in logistics at analyst firm Datamonitor in London. "There are differences between countries and it's difficult to break down the barriers. That's still affecting things especially when you get into operations like pharmaceuticals where there are still regulatory boundaries between countries."
Although these 3PLs have been talking an international game for some time,it seems the talk is only just now becoming reality. All of them have made significant inroads into the U.S. market through acquisition in the last three years. TNT bought CTI Logistics. Kuehne & Nagel bought USCO Logistics. Exel bought F.X. Coughlin, among others. Deutsche Post bought Danzas/AEI and DHL. Assimilating those companies has taken time.
Competition,meanwhile, comes from home grown companies as well. Federal Express, United Parcel Service and Menlo Worldwide are fighting hard to become international freight and logistics service providers, the better to serve their already massive established customer base in the United States. According to Armstrong & Associates, Fed Ex now covers geographical areas that supply 99 percent of the world's gross domestic product and UPS has "nearly global coverage." Menlo, an operating company of CNF Corp., has logistics operations throughout North America and Latin America and in major points in the Pacific Rim and Europe. The financials also tell an interesting story. UPS reported revenue of $ 31.4 billion for 2002, of which $4.7 billion represented international revenue. That means its presence outside the United States is significant, but it is predominantly serving U.S.-based customers. The same thing goes for Fed Ex, which reported overall revenue of $20.1 billion, $4.2 billion of which counted as international revenue.
With the European 3PLs,however, the financial picture is quite different, Armstrong & Associates says. Deutsche Post World Network (DPWN), which does not break down the figures for DHL, had total revenue for 2002 of $37.3 billion, but $15.4 billion of that came from international revenue, much of it in the United States (these figures will increase if DPWN's intended purchase of the ground network of U.S.-based forwarder Airborne Express, announced in March, is allowed by U.S. regulators). TPG's case is even more extreme, with a total 2002 revenue of $11.2 billion, $10.4 billion of which came from overseas.
Standards issues
One of the challenges for the European 3PLs competing in the U.S. market has been weaving together a smooth information technology system from a patchwork of acquired legacy computer systems. UPS, FedEx and Menlo have particularly emphasized their IT capabilities, and the competition has recently begun to concentrate efforts on aligning their information systems.
TNT, for example, this April launched its TTS project ( "transformation through standardization") across the group. The idea is to standardize all information systems—a huge and expensive task, but one TNT takes very seriously as a competitive advantage. DHL has a similar initiative under way. Hans Toggweiler, chief executive and president of DHL Danzas Air & Ocean, says total computer integration between the companies under the DHL flag is a work in progress expected to be completed during the third quarter of this year.
Kuehne & Nagel is also pushing computer standards hard, both internally and for the IT services it provides to customers. Often customers insist on using their own sy stems, says Klaus Herms, chief executive officer of Kuehne & Nagel, based in Switzerland. "Only when you have standards can you do what we're trying to do—provide an integrated solution from the source to the retailer's shelf. Otherwise you have headaches with different interfacing and high cost," Herms says. Customers that want to go international need to learn the advantages of streamlined computer operations."In the track and trace business, with standards everything becomes easy," Herms says . "Increasingly, people understand it's to their advantage."
In the end, computer standards are merely a way of improving human contact so that internal department s servicing different geographies or industry verticals can compare notes, and customers can keep track of things more easily. DHL , which recently rebranded Danzas/AEI under the DHL name, in July created a "global customer solution group," which is designed to "act in the interest of the customer across all business units and geographies," says Toggweiler of DHL Danzas Air & Ocean, the Newark , N.J.—based subsidiary of DHL, which is in turn owned by Germany's Deutsche Post World Net . "This is not just about customer service, but setting the required service levels for a particular customer across the whole company," says Toggweiler. "We can't afford to have one business unit not service a customer as well as another unit. We want to look at how important a customer is to the company as a whole rather than to individual units."
This is part of a strategy being honed by the European 3PLs to use their American presence to explore possibilities for cross-selling bet ween different divisions. TNT, for example, has a cross-group logistics board that meets once every quarter and communicates informally by phone more often. The different divisions share information about specific customers for whom they 're doing work in one geographic or service area, and discuss ways they could help the same company by involving other divisions.
One for all?
Still, the European 3PLs are shy of pointing to any specific expanded contracts with international customers that clearly come from cross-selling between the old guard and U.S.-based acquisitions. DHL's Toggweiler admits that bringing together DHL and Danzas AEI under one name has implications currently limited to back-office functions and branding. And Kuehne & Nagel's Herms says currently the cross-selling opportunities tend to come between different service areas—for example, getting a customer who uses warehousing services originally won by USCO Logistics and selling it Kuehne & Nagel's freight forwarding service.
However, the future should see these companies selling more services in more countries, based on expanded presence in the United States. All agree China presents exciting opportunities, especia ly as the hub of a growing intra-Asian trade in which U.S.-based manufacturers are likely to take a stake. Meanwhile, India is becoming a major exporter to the United States and Europe. "We know where the market is going; it's a question of what will the customer purchase in each area and how we grow our market s," TNT's Kulik says. "We're all racing to gear up our U.S. operations and leverage the huge market available to us in the United States."
As a contract provider of warehousing, logistics, and supply chain solutions, Geodis often has to provide customized services for clients.
That was the case recently when one of its customers asked Geodis to up its inventory monitoring game—specifically, to begin conducting quarterly cycle counts of the goods it stored at a Geodis site. Trouble was, performing more frequent counts would be something of a burden for the facility, which still conducted inventory counts manually—a process that was tedious and, depending on what else the team needed to accomplish, sometimes required overtime.
So Levallois, France-based Geodis launched a search for a technology solution that would both meet the customer’s demand and make its inventory monitoring more efficient overall, hoping to save time, labor, and money in the process.
SCAN AND DELIVER
Geodis found a solution with Gather AI, a Pittsburgh-based firm that automates inventory monitoring by deploying small drones to fly through a warehouse autonomously scanning pallets and cases. The system’s machine learning (ML) algorithm analyzes the resulting inventory pictures to identify barcodes, lot codes, text, and expiration dates; count boxes; and estimate occupancy, gathering information that warehouse operators need and comparing it with what’s in the warehouse management system (WMS).
Among other benefits, this means employees no longer have to spend long hours doing manual inventory counts with order-picker forklifts. On top of that, the warehouse manager is able to view inventory data in real time from a web dashboard and identify and address inventory exceptions.
But perhaps the biggest benefit of all is the speed at which it all happens. Gather AI’s drones perform those scans up to 15 times faster than traditional methods, the company says. To that point, it notes that before the drones were deployed at the Geodis site, four manual counters could complete approximately 800 counts in a day. By contrast, the drones are able to scan 1,200 locations per day.
FLEXIBLE FLYERS
Although Geodis had a number of options when it came to tech vendors, there were a couple of factors that tipped the odds in Gather AI’s favor, the partners said. One was its close cultural fit with Geodis. “Probably most important during that vetting process was understanding the cultural fit between Geodis and that vendor. We truly wanted to form a relationship with the company we selected,” Geodis Senior Director of Innovation Andy Johnston said in a release.
Speaking to this cultural fit, Johnston added, “Gather AI understood our business, our challenges, and the course of business throughout our day. They trained our personnel to get them comfortable with the technology and provided them with a tool that would truly make their job easier. This is pretty advanced technology, but the Gather AI user interface allowed our staff to see inventory variances intuitively, and they picked it up quickly. This shows me that Gather AI understood what we needed.”
Another factor in Gather AI’s favor was the prospect of a quick and easy deployment: Because the drones can conduct their missions without GPS or Wi-Fi, the supplier would be able to get its solution up and running quickly. In the words of Geodis Industrial Engineer Trent McDermott, “The Gather AI implementation process was efficient. There were no IT infrastructure or layout changes needed, and Gather AI was flexible with the installation to not disrupt peak hours for the operations team.”
QUICK RESULTS
Once the drones were in the air, Geodis saw immediate improvements in cycle counting speed, according to Gather AI. But that wasn’t the only benefit: Geodis was also able to more easily find misplaced pallets.
“Previously, we would research the inventory’s systemic license plate number (LPN),” McDermott explained. “We could narrow it down to a portion or a section of the warehouse where we thought that LPN was, but there was still a lot of ambiguity. So we would send an operator out on a mission to go hunt and find that LPN,” a process that could take a day or two to complete. But the days of scouring the facility for lost pallets are over. With Gather AI, the team can simply search in the dashboard to find the last location where the pallet was scanned.
And about that customer who wanted more frequent inventory counts? Geodis reports that it completed its first quarterly count for the client in half the time it had previously taken, with no overtime needed. “It’s a huge win for us to trim that time down,” McDermott said. “Just two weeks into the new quarter, we were able to have 40% of the warehouse completed.”
The less-than-truckload (LTL) industry moved closer to a revamped freight classification system this week, as the National Motor Freight Traffic Association (NMFTA) continued to spread the word about upcoming changes to the way it helps shippers and carriers determine delivery rates. The NMFTA will publish proposed changes to its National Motor Freight Classification (NMFC) system Thursday, a transition announced last year, and that the organization has termed its “classification reimagination” process.
Businesses throughout the LTL industry will be affected by the changes, as the NMFC is a tool for setting prices that is used daily by transportation providers, trucking fleets, third party logistics service providers (3PLs), and freight brokers.
Representatives from NMFTA were on hand to discuss the changes at the LTL-focused supply chain conference Jump Start 25 in Atlanta this week. The project’s goal is to make what is currently a complex freight classification system easier to understand and “to make the logistics process as frictionless as possible,” NMFTA’s Director of Operations Keith Peterson told attendees during a presentation about the project.
The changes seek to simplify classification by grouping similar items together and assigning most classes based solely on density. Exceptions will be handled separately, adding other characteristics when density alone is not enough to determine an accurate class.
When the updates take effect later this year, shippers may see shifts in the LTL prices they pay to move freight—because the way their freight is classified, and subsequently billed, could change as a result.
NMFTA will publish the proposed changes this Thursday, January 30, in a document called Docket 2025-1. The docket will include more than 90 proposed changes and is open to industry feedback through February 25. NMFTA will follow with a public meeting to review and discuss feedback on March 3. The changes will take effect July 19.
NMFTA has a dedicated website detailing the changes, where industry stakeholders can register to receive bi-weekly updates: https://info.nmfta.org/2025-nmfc-changes.
Trade and transportation groups are congratulating Sean Duffy today for winning confirmation in a U.S. Senate vote to become the country’s next Secretary of Transportation.
Once he’s sworn in, Duffy will become the nation’s 20th person to hold that post, succeeding the recently departed Pete Buttigieg.
Transportation groups quickly called on Duffy to work on continuing the burst of long-overdue infrastructure spending that was a hallmark of the Biden Administration’s passing of the bipartisan infrastructure law, known formally as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA).
But according to industry associations such as the Coalition for America’s Gateways and Trade Corridors (CAGTC), federal spending is critical for funding large freight projects that sustain U.S. supply chains. “[Duffy] will direct the Department at an important time, implementing the remaining two years of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, and charting a course for the next surface transportation reauthorization,” CAGTC Executive Director Elaine Nessle said in a release. “During his confirmation hearing, Secretary Duffy shared the new Administration’s goal to invest in large, durable projects that connect the nation and commerce. CAGTC shares this goal and is eager to work with Secretary Duffy to ensure that nationally and regionally significant freight projects are advanced swiftly and funded robustly.”
A similar message came from the International Foodservice Distributors Association (IFDA). “A safe, efficient, and reliable transportation network is essential to our industry, enabling 33 million cases of food and related products to reach professional kitchens every day. We look forward to working with Secretary Duffy to strengthen America’s transportation infrastructure and workforce to support the safe and seamless movement of ingredients that make meals away from home possible,” IFDA President and CEO Mark S. Allen said in a release.
And the truck drivers’ group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) likewise called for continued investment in projects like creating new parking spaces for Class 8 trucks. “OOIDA and the 150,000 small business truckers we represent congratulate Secretary Sean Duffy on his confirmation to lead the U.S. Department of Transportation,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a release. “We look forward to continue working with him in advancing the priorities of small business truckers across America, including expanding truck parking, fighting freight fraud, and rolling back burdensome, unnecessary regulations.”
With the new Trump Administration continuing to threaten steep tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China as early as February 1, supply chain organizations preparing for that economic shock must be prepared to make strategic responses that go beyond either absorbing new costs or passing them on to customers, according to Gartner Inc.
But even as they face what would be the most significant tariff changes proposed in the past 50 years, some enterprises could use the potential market volatility to drive a competitive advantage against their rivals, the analyst group said.
Gartner experts said the risks of acting too early to proposed tariffs—and anticipated countermeasures by trading partners—are as acute as acting too late. Chief supply chain officers (CSCOs) should be projecting ahead to potential countermeasures, escalations and de-escalations as part of their current scenario planning activities.
“CSCOs who anticipate that current tariff volatility will persist for years, rather than months, should also recognize that their business operations will not emerge successful by remaining static or purely on the defensive,” Brian Whitlock, Senior Research Director in Gartner’s supply chain practice, said in a release.
“The long-term winners will reinvent or reinvigorate their business strategies, developing new capabilities that drive competitive advantage. In almost all cases, this will require material business investment and should be a focal point of current scenario planning,” Whitlock said.
Gartner listed five possible pathways for CSCOs and other leaders to consider when faced with new tariff policy changes:
Retire certain products: Tariff volatility will stress some specific products, or even organizations, to a breaking point, so some enterprises may have to accept that worsening geopolitical conditions should force the retirement of that product.
Renovate products to adjust: New tariffs could prompt renovations (adjustments) to products that were overdue, as businesses will need to take a hard look at the viability of raising or absorbing costs in a still price-sensitive environment.
Rebalance: Additional volatility should be factored into future demand planning, as early winners and losers from initial tariff policies must both be prepared for potential countermeasures, policy escalations and de-escalations, and competitor responses.
Reinvent: As tariff volatility persists, some companies should consider investing in new projects in markets that are not impacted or that align with new geopolitical incentives. Others may pivot and repurpose existing facilities to serve local markets.
Reinvigorate: Early winners of announced tariffs should seek opportunities to extend competitive advantages. For example, they could look to expand existing US-based or domestic manufacturing capacity or reposition themselves within the market by lowering their prices to take market share and drive business growth.
By the numbers, global logistics real estate rents declined by 5% last year as market conditions “normalized” after historic growth during the pandemic. After more than a decade overall of consistent growth, the change was driven by rising real estate vacancy rates up in most markets, Prologis said. The three causes for that condition included an influx of new building supply, coupled with positive but subdued demand, and uncertainty about conditions in the economic, financial market, and supply chain sectors.
Together, those factors triggered negative annual rent growth in the U.S. and Europe for the first time since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009, the “Prologis Rent Index Report” said. Still, that dip was smaller than pandemic-driven outperformance, so year-end 2024 market rents were 59% higher in the U.S. and 33% higher in Europe than year-end 2019.
Looking into coming months, Prologis expects moderate recovery in market rents in 2025 and stronger gains in 2026. That eventual recovery in market rents will require constrained supply, high replacement cost rents, and demand for Class A properties, Prologis said. In addition, a stronger demand resurgence—whether prompted by the need to navigate supply chain disruptions or meet the needs of end consumers—should put upward pressure on a broad range of locations and building types.