Halo 3 hit the market last month amid great fanfare?and tight security. But an emerging RFID-based technology might make security hassles a thing of the past.
John Johnson joined the DC Velocity team in March 2004. A veteran business journalist, John has over a dozen years of experience covering the supply chain field, including time as chief editor of Warehousing Management. In addition, he has covered the venture capital community and previously was a sports reporter covering professional and collegiate sports in the Boston area. John served as senior editor and chief editor of DC Velocity until April 2008.
In a scene reminiscent of last year's pre-holiday releases of Nintendo's Wii game station and Sony's PlayStation 3, video game enthusiasts lined up for their chance to purchase the latest version of the popular video game Halo in September. The interactive video game, the final chapter in a trilogy that began in 2001 with the launch of Microsoft's original Xbox game console, surpassed $170 million in sales on the first day it hit the market, making the game the biggest entertainment launch ever.
But with all the hype about the game's lifelike images and dramatic story line, one factor was overlooked: the daunting security challenges presented by a launch of this scale. Theft is an ever present concern with video game distribution—industry statistics show that approximately 10 percent of new releases disappear into the black market. A high-profile launch like Halo 3's only ups the ante, essentially presenting Microsoft's distribution team with a challenge on a par with Master Chief's quest to save the galaxy from predators one more time before riding off into the sunset.
"The early shipments of Halo would be gold dust to thieves, so we did take a few extra measures," acknowledges David Warrick, general manager for Microsoft's entertainment and devices manufacturing and supply chain group for the Europe, Middle East, Africa, & Asia Pacific regions. Specifically, Microsoft employed third-party freight security firms to help it understand the risks involved and recommend best practices. It also worked directly with carriers to create security plans, which included the use of convoys as well as GPS tracking devices.
All in all, Warrick reports, Microsoft spent at least 12 months laying out its distribution strategy in preparation for the launch, which represented the video game industry's equivalent of this summer's Harry Potter book release. Included in the deliberations were numerous sessions that focused on security.
Safer travels
Right now, Microsoft and other entertainment industry players have little choice but to spend millions of dollars on security each time they release a new video game or movie. But relief might be on the way. An emerging RFID-based tech-tion, the technology could be used to secure shipments of nology is showing great promise for discouraging theft without sending costs into the stratosphere.
The new technology differs from traditional RFID-based security applications in one important way: Rather than simply leveraging the technology's tracking and tracing capabilities, it also makes use of its capacity to activate and deactivate electronics. In other words, it allows suppliers to disable items like video games, DVDs, and consumer electronics while they move through the supply chain and onto store shelves. Once a consumer has paid for it, an item can be scanned and reactivated at the point of sale in a matter of seconds. The idea is that thieves will have no incentive to steal a pallet of goods from a DC or a tractor-trailer if they know the product won't work.
With the new system, which is being developed by San Francisco-based Kestrel Wireless, an enhanced RFID chip is embedded into the product at the point of manufacture. The RFID chips used for this purpose incorporate innovations such as RFA (radio frequency activation) specific activation logic; protected memory to support security requirements; power outputs to manage an external activation switch; and connectors for an external antenna. Of course, these enhancements come at an added cost. Altogether, they add about 20 percent to the cost of an RFID tag.
Though video games and DVDs are an obvious application, the technology could be used to secure shipments of a wide range of electronics, says Frank LoVerme, senior vice president of business development at Kestrel. He says the system would work for anything that carries a power switch, including television sets, printers, and video cameras. Many of those items are now manufactured in China and other overseas locations, which holds down costs but increases their exposure to theft and pilferage. "Consumer goods that are manufactured in China are at risk of theft every step of the way along the supply chain," says LoVerme, who adds that the cost of insuring these items can be prohibitive.
LoVerme says that radio-frequency activation technology offers other potential advantages as well. For example, by minimizing the threat of pilferage, the technology would allow manufacturers to simplify packaging and eliminate waste. In addition, it would allow products to be displayed openly, rather than under lock and key, in venues like grocery stores, which would encourage more impulse buys.
Kestrel is in the process of recruiting retailers and consumer electronics distributors in the United States and Europe for a pilot program that will get under way early next year. A major U.S. grocery store chain has already agreed to test the technology, and Kestrel says it's close to reaching agreement with a big electronics retailer to participate in the project.
Many happier returns
Potential applications for the RFA technology aren't limited to security. The technology also holds great promise for slashing product return costs, particularly for DVD producers, according to LoVerme.
For DVD makers, reverse logistics costs can be an enormous financial drain—the cost to return a single DVD can exceed $1, which is more than it costs to make it. And with return rates on new releases running as high as 30 percent at big box retailers, the expenses mount up quickly. There's little chance manufacturers will recoup those expenses—studios acknowledge that they end up destroying about half the returns.
RFA technology could eliminate a step in the returns process by killing the release at the retail site. That would allow it to be shipped directly to a materials recycler, instead of going back to the manufacturer before being sent on to the recycler. Streamlining the process would reduce manufacturers' costs and spare retailers the headaches of securing the products in their DCs until they can be returned. There's another potential advantage as well. Theft in the returns channel tends to be high, often leading to disputes between retailers and manufacturers when they go to settle their accounts. RFA technology could eliminate that problem, too.
The technology could also be used to increase retail sales without increasing logistics costs. For example, when a new movie is released on DVD, it may be bundled with a downloadable version of the movie's soundtrack, which is not part of the original DVD purchase. When the consumer takes the movie home, he or she could then use a near-field communications-enabled cell phone to authenticate the DVD to gain access to a restricted music download site, where the soundtrack can be purchased for a specific fee. The retailer gets a percentage of the sale from the download—with no added logistics costs. Kestrel's network tracks and limits uses of the soundtracks'"rights certificates" and reconciles the number of uses per licensor for settlement.
User beware
While all of this might sound like science fiction, Kestrel executives say the technology is just around the corner. In fact, they plan to follow the retail pilots with a commercial rollout late next year.
Though he's careful to stress that the technology is still in the early stages and has yet to be thoroughly tested, LoVerme reports that it is generating a lot of excitement. "Everybody wants to shake out the system and see what the details are," he says. "The attraction for some suppliers is to get in on the ground floor and [help influence the technology's development] as well as get a head start on the competition as far as merchandising opportunities."
Security experts, however, advise shippers to use caution when evaluating new technologies designed to enhance security.
Barry Brandman, president of Danbee Investigations, a Midland Park, N.J., firm that provides investigative, loss prevention, and security consulting services, says that his company endorses the use of technology in security applications, but warns users that many technologies are over-hyped in terms of applications and reliability.
"While I can safely say we do support and utilize a good deal of security technology, at the same time, the old expression of caveat emptor is extremely relevant," he says. "There are a certain percentage of providers introducing new technologies as a silver bullet, but no silver bullet exists. If it did, everybody would have it in their pocket."
Businesses engaged in international trade face three major supply chain hurdles as they head into 2025: the disruptions caused by Chinese New Year (CNY), the looming threat of potential tariffs on foreign-made products that could be imposed by the incoming Trump Administration, and the unresolved contract negotiations between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the U.S. Maritime Alliance (USMX), according to an analysis from trucking and logistics provider Averitt.
Each of those factors could lead to significant shipping delays, production slowdowns, and increased costs, Averitt said.
First, Chinese New Year 2025 begins on January 29, prompting factories across China and other regions to shut down for weeks, typically causing production to halt and freight demand to skyrocket. The ripple effects can range from increased shipping costs to extended lead times, disrupting even the most well-planned operations. To prepare for that event, shippers should place orders early, build inventory buffers, secure freight space in advance, diversify shipping modes, and communicate with logistics providers, Averitt said.
Second, new or increased tariffs on foreign-made goods could drive up the cost of imports, disrupt established supply chains, and create uncertainty in the marketplace. In turn, shippers may face freight rate volatility and capacity constraints as businesses rush to stockpile inventory ahead of tariff deadlines. To navigate these challenges, shippers should prepare advance shipments and inventory stockpiling, diversity sourcing, negotiate supplier agreements, explore domestic production, and leverage financial strategies.
Third, unresolved contract negotiations between the ILA and the USMX will come to a head by January 15, when the current contract expires. Labor action or strikes could cause severe disruptions at East and Gulf Coast ports, triggering widespread delays and bottlenecks across the supply chain. To prepare for the worst, shippers should adopt a similar strategy to the other potential January threats: collaborate early, secure freight, diversify supply chains, and monitor policy changes.
According to Averitt, companies can cushion the impact of all three challenges by deploying a seamless, end-to-end solution covering the entire path from customs clearance to final-mile delivery. That strategy can help businesses to store inventory closer to their customers, mitigate delays, and reduce costs associated with supply chain disruptions. And combined with proactive communication and real-time visibility tools, the approach allows companies to maintain control and keep their supply chains resilient in the face of global uncertainties, Averitt said.
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."