Imported oil and its attendant risks. Greenhouse gases and global warming. An economy dependent on a vibrant freight transportation system. Add those up and the result is a growing imperative to find alternatives to traditional fuels.
Peter Bradley is an award-winning career journalist with more than three decades of experience in both newspapers and national business magazines. His credentials include seven years as the transportation and supply chain editor at Purchasing Magazine and six years as the chief editor of Logistics Management.
In 1925, a pair of German scientists applied for a patent for a process they had developed to turn carbon monoxide and hydrogen derived from coal into a liquid fuel. Franz Fischer and Hans Tropsch may not have thought of the process they developed as an alternative fuel in the way we think about that term today. But diesel fuel created through the Fischer-Tropsch process is one of a number of technologies that could transform the way freight carriers fuel their vehicles.
In some ways, the future is already here, with trucks of all sorts running on propane, compressed natural gas (CNG), and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Carriers like UPS and FedEx as well as many utility companies have been using alternative fuels in their fleet vehicles for several years.
What's driving these initiatives is a combination of worrisome issues. To start with, American politicians and the public want to reduce the nation's dependence on imported petroleum—though opinions vary on how to reach that goal. There's also a growing movement to reduce greenhouse gases as more scientists come to a consensus that the earth is warming and carbon emissions are part of the reason. And at $90 a barrel, oil has become an expensive commodity.
That all adds up to growing pressure on carriers and their equipment suppliers to find ways to run clean and lean operations.
"We want to lessen dependence on crude oil," says Robert Hall, director of vehicle engineering for UPS. "The world is using up its crude oil. To sustain our fleet and our business, we need to be prepared long term for the use of multiple fuels. Emissions reduction and quality are another issue." UPS says it has the largest fleet of vehicles operating on alternative fuels in the transportation industry, including 600 vehicles running on propane and 800 running on CNG.
Ready to come clean?
The imperative seems clear enough. But are American trucking fleets ready to make wholesale changes to their operations? In an internal document provided by one large contract fleet company that operates thousands of vehicles, company fleet managers candidly assessed the variety of technologies available to them. (The document was made available to DC VELOCITY with the understanding that its source would not be disclosed.)
Though it acknowledged the potential benefits of shifting to alternative fuels—reduced exhaust emissions, reduced dependence on imported petroleum, cost savings, and burnishing the corporate image—the analysis also carried some caveats. For example, reduction of some types of pollutants can occasionally lead to an increase in other types. It also warned that potential savings in fuel costs have to be balanced against potential higher costs in vehicle operations, including vehicle costs, payload capacity, vehicle range, power and torque, and fuel availability.
But alternative fuels and associated technologies aimed at more efficient operations are almost certainly in the offing for most fleets. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has established a number of programs in partnership with industry aimed at research into and development of alternative fuels and a variety of technologies aimed at cleaner, more efficient freight operations.
Not surprisingly, much of the impetus for improvement comes from the West Coast, particularly California, where air quality has become a key public health concern. In June, for instance, California's South Coast Air Quality Management District, an air pollution control agency, approved a $2.9 million expenditure for 20 LNG heavy duty vehicles from Westport Innovations Inc., a Vancouver, B.C.-based developer of alternative fuel technology. The trucks will be operated by Total Transportation Services at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach.
Also active on the West Coast is WestStart-CALSTART, a not-for-profit consortium of some 145 companies focused on reducing transportation-related air pollution. "Our goal … is to see the development of clean transportation technologies," says John Boesel, the group's president and CEO.
Unlike some industry-sponsored organizations, the group does not promote a particular solution; it remains neutral on both fuel and technology. "We try to act as a strategic partner and facilitator to help all the companies succeed," Boesel says. Its efforts include programs focused on commercial traffic. In September, for example, WestStart-CALSTART sponsored the sixth annual National Hybrid Truck Users Forum in Washington state (for a list of upcoming events, visit www. calstart.org).
Big Brown goes green
In fact, hybrid vehicles have been much in the news recently. Last year, for example, UPS conducted a highly publicized hybrid vehicle test with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). For several months, UPS used a fleet of hydraulic hybrid delivery vehicles in the Detroit area, using a technology it developed in a partnership with the EPA as well as the U.S. Army, International Truck and Engine Corp., and Eaton Corp.
The technology combines an efficient diesel engine with a hydraulic propulsion system in place of the conventional drivetrain and transmission. Hydraulic pumps and storage tanks store energy, similar to what is done with electric motors and batteries in hybrid electric vehicles. Fuel economy is increased in three ways, the EPA explains: Vehicle braking energy is recovered, the engine is operated more efficiently, and the engine can be shut off when stopped or decelerating.
In laboratory testing, the technology achieved a 60- to 70-percent improvement in fuel economy compared to conventional UPS package vans, according to the EPA. It also produced a 40-percent-plus reduction in carbon dioxide emissions.
The EPA estimates that when the hybrid components are manufactured in high volume, the added costs could be recovered in less than three years through lower fuel and brake maintenance costs. The trucks may also be eligible to qualify for a tax credit of up to 40 percent of the incremental cost of the vehicle, the EPA says.
A question of cost
Boesel reports that today's research initiatives go well beyond the fuels themselves to include ways to improve aerodynamics, boost fuel economy, and reduce vehicle weight. In fact, today, the drawback to greater deployment of innovative technologies is often not so much the availability of the technology itself, but cost. Batteries for hybrids are heavy and expensive. Conversion costs to make use of new fuels can be high. "The technology manufacturers need to keep working on lowering costs," concedes Boesel. "We are getting to the point on a life-cycle basis where these systems are making sense, but often fleets buy on the purchase cost."
As for how to make the technology more affordable, the answer could be as simple as scaling up production. As demand for a technology picks up, unit costs would likely fall. But that's not quite as easy as it sounds. "We have the chicken and the egg," Boesel says. Producing advanced technology trucks in low volume limits demand, but demand is required for manufacturers to ramp up production. The issue is creating the demand. But if market forces don't do it, regulation and law might.
Take the current and controversial proposal by the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. The two ports have proposed to the Federal Maritime Commission a plan to implement what they call their Clean Truck Program. According to an analysis by the National Industrial Transportation League, which is contesting the proposal, this program would require drayage companies to meet an accelerated schedule for implementing state and federal emissions standards.
Additionally, the California legislature late in its session this year adopted a bill aimed at raising smog abatement fees for all vehicles to fund research on alternative fuels. In mid-October, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger signed the bill into law.
In the meantime, fleet managers continue to investigate a range of possibilities. UPS's Hall says, "Over the short term—the next five to 15 years—it appears that hybrid electrics will be the leaders in getting us where we need to be. CNG and propane can play a role as well." He agrees with Boesel's assessment that technological advances and lower prices will spur more widespread adoption.
The road ahead
Right now, additional research is under way under a variety of auspices. The DOE's National Renewable Energy Laboratory, for example, sponsors research under the umbrella of its Advanced Heavy Hybrid Propulsion Systems Project. NREL says on its Web site that it projects that its efforts will "increase the fuel efficiency of heavy trucks and buses by as much as 100 percent, and improve their emissions to meet the Environmental Protection Agency's 2007-2010 emission standards."
Also active on the research front is the 21st Century Truck Partnership, an industry-government collaboration among heavy-duty engine manufacturers, heavy-duty truck and bus manufacturers, heavy hybrid powertrain manufacturers, and four federal government agencies. The consortium, which develops both public and proprietary research projects, supports research, development, and demonstration projects in five areas: engine systems, heavy-duty hybrids, idle reduction, safety, and parasitic losses (factors like aerodynamic drag resistance and rolling resistance).
In the meantime, the switch to alternative fuels and technologies is already under way in both public and private fleets, driven by economic, political, regulatory, and other forces. Given the size of the nation's fleet and the infrastructure challenges, the revolution will likely be slow to ignite. But ignite it will. A warming planet and volatility in oil supplies have put alternative fuels and technologies back in the spotlight for the first time since the energy crisis of the '70s—and this time, it's likely for good.
what are the options?
Any discussion of alternative fuels raises the question of what fuels are available—or might become available in the near future. What follows is an edited version of a list of alternative fuels compiled by the U.S. Department of Energy's Alternative Fuels and Advanced Vehicles Data Center and other sources. Not all of the alternatives may be appropriate for freight operations.
Biodiesel is a renewable alternative fuel produced from vegetable oils and animal fats. Although pure biodiesel (or biodiesel blended with petroleum diesel) can be used to fuel diesel vehicles, providing emissions and safety benefits, it may also produce increased NOx emissions. It has physical properties similar to those of petroleum diesel. A blend of 5 percent biodiesel and 95 percent petroleum diesel is currently accepted by all diesel engine manufacturers.
Electricity can be used to power electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles directly from the power grid. Vehicles that run on electricity produce no tailpipe emissions. The only emissions that can be attributed to electricity are those generated in the production process at the power plant. Electricity is easily accessible for short-range driving.
Ethanol, also known as ethyl alcohol or grain alcohol, is a renewable fuel primarily made from starch crops, like corn. E85—a blend of 85 percent ethanol and 15 percent gasoline—can be used in light-, medium-, and heavy-duty vehicles. Its usage results in a 20-percent reduction in miles per gallon over conventional gasoline. Nearly one-third of U.S. gasoline contains ethanol in a low-level blend to reduce air pollution.
Hydrogen, the simplest and most abundant element in the universe, can be produced from fossil fuels and biomass and by electrolyzing water. Producing hydrogen with renewable energy and using it in fuel-cell vehicles holds the promise of virtually pollution-free transportation. Because hydrogen has a small amount of energy by volume compared with other fuels, storing sufficient quantities on a vehicle using currently available technology would require a tank larger than a typical car's trunk. Other primary problems at this time include the high cost of both the vehicles and the fuel.
Methanol, also known as wood alcohol, can be used as an alternative fuel. The use of methanol has declined significantly since the early 1990s, and auto makers are no longer manufacturing vehicles that run on it. It is used in some heavy truck and bus applications, but is not widely available.
Natural gas, a mixture of hydrocarbons, predominantly methane, is a domestically produced alternative fuel that can produce significantly fewer harmful emissions than gasoline or diesel when used in natural gas vehicles. It has a high octane rating and excellent properties for spark-ignited internal combustion engines. Although natural gas accounts for approximately one-quarter of the energy used in the United States, only about one-tenth of 1 percent is currently used for transportation fuel. It must be stored onboard a vehicle in either a compressed or liquefied state.
Propane is the most commonly used alternative transportation fuel. Also known as liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), it has a high energy density, giving propane vehicles good driving range. Propane has a high octane rating and excellent properties for spark-ignited internal combustion engines. Produced as a by-product of natural gas processing and crude oil refining, propane is non-toxic and presents no threat to soil, surface water, or groundwater.
Several other vehicle fuels are in the early stages of development, according to the Alternative Fuels and Advanced Vehicles Data Center. They include:
Biobutanol, an alcohol that can be produced through processing of domestically grown crops, like corn and sugar beets. Like ethanol, it can be used in gasoline-powered internal combustion engines.
Biogas, sometimes called swamp gas, landfill gas, or digester gas. Biogas is produced from the anaerobic digestion of organic matter such as animal manure, sewage, and municipal solid waste. After processing, it becomes a renewable substitute for natural gas and can be used to fuel natural gas vehicles. DOE says a 2007 report estimated that 12,000 vehicles are being fueled with upgraded biogas worldwide, with 70,000 biogas-fueled vehicles predicted by 2010.
Biomass-to-liquids fuels, which are produced through the conversion of diverse biomass feedstocks into a range of liquid fuels. One major benefit of these fuels is their compatibility with existing vehicle technologies and fuel distribution systems: Biomass-derived gasoline and diesel could be transported through existing pipelines, dispensed at existing fueling stations, and used to fuel today's gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles.
Fischer-Tropsch diesel, which is made by converting gaseous hydrocarbons, like natural gas and gasified coal or biomass, into liquid fuel. Fischer-Tropsch diesel can be substituted directly for petroleum diesel to fuel diesel-powered vehicles without modification to the vehicle engine or fueling infrastructure.
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
The “series B” funding round was financed by an unnamed “strategic customer” as well as Teradyne Robotics Ventures, Toyota Ventures, Ranpak, Third Kind Venture Capital, One Madison Group, Hyperplane, Catapult Ventures, and others.
The fresh backing comes as Massachusetts-based Pickle reported a spate of third quarter orders, saying that six customers placed orders for over 30 production robots to deploy in the first half of 2025. The new orders include pilot conversions, existing customer expansions, and new customer adoption.
“Pickle is hitting its strides delivering innovation, development, commercial traction, and customer satisfaction. The company is building groundbreaking technology while executing on essential recurring parts of a successful business like field service and manufacturing management,” Omar Asali, Pickle board member and CEO of investor Ranpak, said in a release.
According to Pickle, its truck-unloading robot applies “Physical AI” technology to one of the most labor-intensive, physically demanding, and highest turnover work areas in logistics operations. The platform combines a powerful vision system with generative AI foundation models trained on millions of data points from real logistics and warehouse operations that enable Pickle’s robotic hardware platform to perform physical work at human-scale or better, the company says.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."