You can source from around the world, but how do you know which is the best trading partner for you? Total landed cost tools have evolved in ways that may help.
Remember the glittering dot-com era? Well, perhaps those days are best forgotten. But recently an old buzzword from those heady times has surfaced again like an old lover—total landed cost engines.
The original idea was that, when you went to calculate transportation costs, it would be helpful to have online access to a database of all the various taxes, tariffs and duties associated with trade between one country and another. It would also be useful to be instantly notified if the trading party involved in the transaction was on any government "denied party" sanctions list for security or fraud reasons; and, even better, if the Web-based service would pop up with PDF files of forms you needed to fill out for this particular shipment, ready to be printed out and filled in.
Hop on the bus, Gus
And so, four years ago, the floodgates opened and vendors poured into the marketplace. There were the international trade logistics (ITL) companies that offered total landed cost capabilities as a stand-alone service among others related to cross-border trade—NextLinx, Vastera and Syntra. There were companies that mostly focused on landed cost calculation alone—Xporta, Open Harbor, Tarrific, Precision Software and World Tariff (an early leader in the field), to name but a few. Then Syntra changed its name to ClearCross and bought International Software Marketing, a specialist in global commerce management for the European Union; TradePoint Systems, a Customs services company, bought ClearCross; FedEx bought World Tariff and invested first in Vastera, then NextLinx, which meanwhile teamed up with BridgePoint, an online track-and-trace company.
All this turmoil wasn't just about the general public's losing confidence in the magic of the Internet. It turned out to be mighty expensive to gather all the constantly changing information about tariffs and trade barriers from every corner of the world. Automatically suggesting and offering paperwork was also a big headache. Plus there were just too many vendors for the uncertain market to sustain them as pure landed cost providers. The service typically became just one in a bundle of trade software offerings, as vendors widened their scope.
In the jumble of mergers, failures and revised business plans, a surprising number are still offering total landed cost calculation. But where total landed cost used to be a sub-section of transportation management, it has now emerged as a tool useful in supply chain and sourcing decisions.
That reflects a fundamental key change in the international trade melody. Buying and transporting goods from foreign countries brings into play an increasingly complex web of trade agreements, often between a single country pair. Importers looking for a deal are constantly being caught out by unexpected tariffs, taxes and duties. A manufacturer in Brazil may be offering you kitten heel pumps in this season's hottest colors with an unbeatable price, but when all's said and done, you might have been better off buying them locally.
Make a new plan, Stan
Another, newer, concern is the increasing reliance on China as a single source of imported goods, leading to vulnerability in the supply chain because of local disruptions— whether Avian flu, SARS or plain old political unrest. Other trade regions present similar risks, such as mad cow disease or terrorism scares.
"Companies that previously operated in a particular zone because of advantages in shipping costs and so on, now have to look at new regions because they can't use those countries or adjoining countries," says Ulrike Szalay, an international trade planning consultant affiliated with International Trade Services Corp., based in Washington, D.C. "Also, they have to think about contingency planning —where do they turn if something goes wrong?"
With total landed cost calculation, importers can be as quick on their feet as a boxer in the ring about assessing and choosing new trading partners.
So, it makes more sense than ever, but who's buying? Among the more enthusiastic users of total landed cost (TLC) services are the freight forwarders and third-party logistics providers who pass on the capability to their customers —often by incorporating the Web-based service into their own so that people don't even know they're using another company's software: what's known as "private label" usage. Early adopters include Exel, the UK-based logistics company. Others—including Danzas, Maersk Logistics, TNT, FedEx and UPS—have taken it up in response to the changing face of customer service.
No need to be coy, Roy
And logistics providers are, in turn, being prompted by increased interest from shippers. John Little, director of compliance at Houston-based Elite Group, a freight forwarder and Customs brokerage firm that started offering NextLinx's product on a private-label basis to its customers 18 months ago, says clients are increasingly asking for a little TLC.
Initially, Little was looking for a new denied-party screening mechanism, having become dissatisfied with his existing one. Along came NextLinx, based in Rockville, Md., which won Little over when it demonstrated its ability to screen for trading partners who are prohibited under U.S. laws for security or other reasons, as well as its "trade wizard," which takes the user step by step through all the processes needed to establish total landed cost. "We often had requests that I had a lot of trouble answering about duty rates for other countries, so that's when we decided to use that part of the product," says Little, who reports that he's delighted with the added capability.
"I think it's because people are realizing that it's a competitive advantage if you know what the duty rate is, going into the bidding process. If they know what that duty is going to be, they can lower their price to make up the difference," says Little.
Customers, he says, often just want a one-time quote on total cost implications associated with a tentative deal. Partly, the service appeals to logistics providers because smaller companies with lower rates of transactions can't afford to buy it.
Philadelphia-based logistics service provider BDP, for example, is eager to provide some landed cost capabilities to its customers, but it's working with G-Log—a relatively new entrant into the TLC market—to build its own, cheaper, services to check for regulatory compliance and tariffs and add those to G-Log's existing shipment execution, visibility and reporting services.
"You have to look at expense and value and how much the customer is prepared to pay," says Mark Stocksdale, director of software development at BDP. "The question is: How big is the demand? I think our clients would love to see it, but they're not really willing to pay for it. That's what we found out. It died out when they found out the cost."
Just trying to keep the customer satisfied
Robin Roberts, analyst with investment bank Stephens Inc. in Little Rock, Ark., says the TLC vendors aren't making much money out of this product yet. "The companies are having a hard time gaining traction, although in theory, demand should increase along with increased regulations. Although the total landed cost engine is a great tool, they have a hard time showing return on investment to customers," Roberts says.
The vendors' survival strategy has been to offer to be much more than an online database for customers. Vastera, for example, took over both the U.S. and the Mexican global trade operations divisions of Ford Motor Co. NextLinx still makes more money from software than from its trade data content. (The company says that this year will see that part of the business become profitable for the first time.) Xporta, like many others, has restricted the number of countries it covers to the top 40 importers, and many vendors have built their importer databases before turning to the much-trickier matter of export controls and tariffs.
Roberts says that, until the total landed cost calculator can be bundled with end-to-end solutions of data management, it's probably not going to gain as much market traction as everyone would have hoped. But vendors are making efforts to do just that.
Darren Maynard, chief operating officer at NextLinx, says the company is tailoring the service as it learns more about customers' needs. Maynard says, for example, that NextLinx staff discovered that their logistics company customers were using the trade wizard to manually populate spreadsheets with data, in order to compare multiple potential trade routes and partners. "We decided to give them a tool that did that—a trade planning tool, which can put in multiple sources to importing country or multiple exporting into one country—so you can work out the best place to sell from and the best place to buy from,"Maynard says.
"I think the science of landed cost analysis and determination is very important but only in the context of other applications," says Dave Horne, president and chief executive officer of Xporta in Santa Clara, Calif.
"What we find is that clients are looking for a complete solution to help them manage data throughout the global supply chain," says George Weise, vice president of global trade content at Vastera in Dulles,Va. "Landed cost calculation is a component of that. So we haven't focused on LCC but embedded it in our comprehensive whole."
"In my opinion, this is where the industry is going to go," says Little, describing the competitive advantage landed cost calculation adds to his logistics services. "In order to prosper, you're going to have to do things like this. It's certainly a far cry from what we were doing 20 or 30 years ago."
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
Keith Moore is CEO of AutoScheduler.AI, a warehouse resource planning and optimization platform that integrates with a customer's warehouse management system to orchestrate and optimize all activities at the site. Prior to venturing into the supply chain business, Moore was a director of product management at software startup SparkCognition. He is a graduate of the University of Tennessee, where he earned a Bachelor of Science degree in mechanical engineering.
Q: Autoscheduler provides tools for warehouse orchestration—a term some readers may not be familiar with. Could you explain what warehouse orchestration means?
A: Warehouse orchestration tools are software control layers that synthesize data from existing systems to eliminate costly delays, streamline inefficient workflows, and [prevent the waste of] resources in distribution operations. These platforms empower warehouses to optimize operations, enhance productivity, and improve order accuracy by dynamically prioritizing work continuously to ensure that the operation is always running optimally. This leads to faster trailer turn times, reduced costs, and a network that runs like clockwork, even during fluctuating demands.
Q: How is orchestration different from a typical warehouse management system?
A: A warehouse management system (WMS) focuses on tracking inventory and managing warehouse operations. Warehouse orchestration goes a step further by integrating and optimizing all aspects of warehouse activities in a capacity-constrained way. Orchestration provides a dynamic, real-time layer that coordinates various systems and processes, enabling more agile and responsive operations. It enhances decision-making by considering multiple variables and constraints.
Q: How does warehouse orchestration help facilities make their workers more productive?
A: Two ways to make labor in a warehouse more productive are to work harder and to work smarter. For teams that want to work harder, most companies use a labor management system to track individual performances against an expected standard. Warehouse orchestration technology focuses on the other side of the coin, helping warehouses "work smarter."
Warehouse orchestration technology optimizes labor by providing real-time insights into workload demands and resource availability based on actual fluctuating constraints around the building. It enables dynamic task assignments based on current priorities and worker skills, ensuring that labor is allocated where it's needed most, even accounting for equipment availability, flow constraints, and overall work speed. This approach reduces idle time, balances workloads, and enhances employee productivity.
Q: How can visibility improve operations?
A: Due to the software ecosystem in place today, most distribution operations are highly reactive environments where there is always a "hair on fire" problem that needs to be solved. By leveraging orchestration technologies, this problem is mitigated because you're providing the site with added visibility into the past, present, and future state of the operation. This opens up a vast number of doors for distribution leadership. They go from learning about a problem after it's happened to gaining the ability to inform customers and transportation teams about potential service issues that are 24 hours away.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.