First they wanted your parcel business. Then all they went after ground freight and international business. Now the companies best known for moving small packages have become big-time players in third-party logistics.
Peter Bradley is an award-winning career journalist with more than three decades of experience in both newspapers and national business magazines. His credentials include seven years as the transportation and supply chain editor at Purchasing Magazine and six years as the chief editor of Logistics Management.
It seems mighty odd in retrospect. Yet back when the term 3PL, or third-party logistics, first entered the lexicon, the radical notion of handing off responsibility for this crucial business function caused barely a stir. That's not to say Corporate America greeted the notion of logistics outsourcing with a collective shrug: The topic was endlessly debated at conferences and in the trade press. But the arguments centered less on the wisdom of outsourcing logistics than on the best kind of provider. Was it wiser to use an asset-based provider that could call upon its own trucks, warehouses, or whatever in a pinch? Or was it more prudent to seek out partners with no assets to speak of but that boasted strong logistics management skills?
Barely mentioned in the debate were some very big logistics players: United Parcel Service, Federal Express, Airborne Express and a company with only a small share of U.S. business at the time, DHL. Their early entry into the third-party business escaped most people's notice. Yet they were there right from the start, opening parts depot operations in which they stored clients' inventory close to their air hubs so they could rush the parts right out when needed.
But the days when the "express" carriers' third-party services carried a low profile are long gone. Today, UPS, FedEx and DHL—which swallowed up Airborne in 2003—all operate large business units designed for clients that want to outsource all or part of their logistics operations. Their 3PL businesses have developed well beyond the parts depot operations that gave them a toehold in the market.
Today, those businesses encompass everything from ocean shipping, customs brokerage, freight forwarding, warehousing and fulfillment to consulting. What's more, these carriers bring formidable networks and technological prowess to bear on the market.
Not surprisingly, shippers are signing on in droves. For example, DHL announced in February that it had been awarded all of Caboodles Cosmetics' distribution business. Caboodles, a Memphis-based supplier of cosmetics and accessories for teens, ships to retailers from DCs in Memphis and Mississauga, Ontario, and has a huge stake in ensuring that its cross-border shipments flow smoothly. And it appears that where Caboodles' deal with DHL is concerned, it's so far, so good. "By switching to DHL, we increased our on-time delivery service performance, reduced penalties for shipment delays and significantly improved the satisfaction of our retail customers," reports Patrick Duffy, the company's transportation manager.
Replacing the engine
Like Caboodles, Hub Distributing, an Ontario, Calif.-based owner of clothing stores, just completed outsourcing its entire distribution process to UPS Supply Chain Solutions. Hub Distributing (no relation to the intermodal marketing company Hub Group) is the parent of Anchor Blue, a 157-store apparel chain that markets to mid-income 16- to 19-yearolds, and Levi's Outlets by MOST, a 50-store chain selling Levi Strauss & Co. apparel.
The decision to outsource was made by Richard Space, senior vice president of logistics for Hub Distributing, who joined the company shortly after it was acquired by Sun Capital Partners. What he found was a company with an antiquated distribution system. The former owners, Space says, "thought store operations were the most important. They didn't look at what was keeping the engine running."
The sputtering engine Space inherited clearly hadn't seen much in the way of maintenance for quite some time. "The ERP was inadequate to handle the process flow," Space recalls. "We had nine miles of conveyor, no WMS, and 550,000 square feet of space." Receiving operations had gotten bogged down to the point where products weren't available until hours after their arrival (the facility receives 5,600 cartons a day from some 250 vendors, on average). Worse yet, the company, which ships about 5,000 cartons a day to the stores, had no visibility of shipments from the time they left the facility until they arrived at the stores. Even then, store managers had to open cartons to find out what they had received.
Though Space took some intermediate steps to get the goods moving through the building faster (he installed flow racking to replace picking off pallets, for example), he quickly became convinced that the situation called for more drastic measures. "We decided after doing some due diligence that by the time we retrofitted the building and brought in a new WMS, it would cost $5 million to $7 million and take two years," he says. "We wanted it much faster than that."
Though time was of the essence, Space tried not to rush the process of reviewing the outsourcing bids he gathered. "I've gone through five or six outsourcing projects," he says. "When you're outsourcing your DC—that's your lifeblood—you want to be sure of your partner in the operation." After reviewing seven proposals, the company picked UPS. "At the end of the day," Space says, "UPS brought more to the table in terms of technology and a partnership."
Hub Distributing is hardly alone among apparel companies in taking the outsourcing route. "Clothing is a particular sweet spot [for UPS]," says Scott Carter, a vice president of consulting in UPS Supply Chain Solutions' retail and consumer products consulting services unit. Part of the reason is that the business is highly seasonal. (Space, for example, reports that Anchor Blue has two peak seasons: back to school and Christmas.) "Your typical retailer [earns] 70 percent of its revenue in a short window at the end of the year," says Carter, noting that UPS is well geared to handle seasonal business.
Of course, seasonal business isn't limited to clothing companies. Carter cites the case of another customer that makes outdoor furniture (which requested anonymity)."They have a very narrow window to sell a lot of patio furniture," he says. Using sophisticated technology, UPS set up a system that allowed the furniture maker to meet 80 percent of its demand with non-expedited freight, shipping only the final 20 percent via expedited service. It was cheaper for the company to use that expedited freight than to carry the inventory in advance or to build a permanent nfrastructure that would be needed only eight weeks a year.
Quest for world domination
For all their success, it appears that UPS, FedEx and DHL are not content to gobble up domestic business. As more U.S. companies start sourcing and selling overseas, all three are aggressively marketing their international experience and expertise. For example, FedEx Trade Networks now offers an array of international business services, including customs brokerage, air and ocean forwarding, and trade consultancy services. Along with sister companies like FedEx Ground and FedEx Freight, FedEx Trade Networks can manage the flow of goods from point of origin to final destination, often bypassing customers' distribution centers.
"Our target audience—it may be a seasonal issue—does not want to go through the normal supply chain," says Gerald Leary, FedEx Trade Networks' executive vice president and chief operating officer. "We're finding more and more companies are part of an international supply chain. We can shave two to three weeks off the transit time over putting goods into a regular DC."
Not only is it quicker, it's easier. Take the case of a FedEx customer that purchased Halloween goods in China for distribution across the United States. (Again, the customer requested anonymity.) "We did a consolidation in China that made up several container loads," Leary says. "We moved the shipment to Los Angeles, where we cleared it through Customs." Some containers went to a nearby FedEx facility for stripping and deconsolidation into individual store shipments; others moved by rail to different regions of the United States. The result, says Leary: "The customer gets distribution to 400 outlets from one consolidation, then gets a single bill."
Leary touts FedEx's technology as a key differentiator from traditional forwarding service. "We know where the product is at all times," he says.
For its part, UPS offers international services through its Trade Direct business. "Trade Direct was born out of retail customers' needs," says Carter. "They want the perfect order from a supply base thousands of miles, three languages, and eight time zones away."
The idea, he insists, is not to create express shipments, but to build what he calls "warehouses in motion.""We want to create the ability to bypass DC operations in North America and go direct to the store shelf or as near as we can. We do that by managing order flow from the purchase order to handling containers in Asia. We're creating outbound containers that are store orders, so they can be distributed directly to the store. So we reduce the material handling requirements and number of touches."
A big plus, Carter adds, is the visibility provided by UPS's service. "The customer has a consistent, high-visibility flow of goods," he says. "We create a steady flow that allows customers to make real-time decisions based on real-time information without incurring unnecessary cost. For a clothing retailer, obsolescence or lost sales are a huge cost. If he knows he's getting too many large blues, he can stop the flow and instead arrange to get the pink smalls that are flying off the store shelves."
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.