Third-party service provider Agility proved it's got game during the holiday shipping rush, when it whisked hot-selling PS3 and Wii consoles to retailers under often-harrowing circumstances. An inside look at the challenges the company overcame.
John Johnson joined the DC Velocity team in March 2004. A veteran business journalist, John has over a dozen years of experience covering the supply chain field, including time as chief editor of Warehousing Management. In addition, he has covered the venture capital community and previously was a sports reporter covering professional and collegiate sports in the Boston area. John served as senior editor and chief editor of DC Velocity until April 2008.
There were days during the holiday shopping season when Russ Krueger probably felt a lot like Santa Claus. But there were many others when he undoubtedly felt more like the Grinch—particularly when he heard about consumers lining up outside stores in hopes of scoring one of the season's hot-selling videogame consoles. Krueger, whose company was responsible for moving shipments of Wii and Playstation 3 (PS3) game consoles to retail outlets in the weeks before Christmas, knew that most of those hopefuls would go home empty-handed. And there was not a thing he could do.
The 2006 holiday selling season will likely be best remembered for the widespread shortages of Wiis and PS3s, and the legions of disappointed gamers. But that is only part of the story. The other part is a tale of the million or so units that did make it into stores and the behind-the-scenes heroics performed by companies like Agility that made it possible.
Krueger, who is Agility's senior vice president of distribution services, could hardly have known what challenges lay ahead when the third-party service provider contracted to distribute the Nintendo Wii and Sony Playstation 3 consoles. Though the PS3 was widely expected to be this year's Christmas hit, no one could have foreseen the manufacturing problems that later developed (see box), leaving it in short supply. Nor did Agility have any way of predicting the explosion in demand for the Wii or the frenzy that developed around both units.
And frenzy it was. In a scene repeated over and over in the weeks leading up to Christmas, a retailer would announce that it was expecting a limited shipment of gaming units. Consumers would scramble for a place in line outside the store, waiting up to 12 hours in the bone-chilling cold for a chance to grab one of the devices. More often than not, they went home disappointed. But a lucky few left the store with one of the highly sought after units under their arm. For that, they likely had Krueger and his staff to thank. Though Agility did not handle all of the units delivered to retailers before Christmas, it did move about a quarter-million PS3 and Wii consoles to roughly 6,500 retail outlets nationwide in the six weeks leading up to the holiday.
Gaming units continued to fly off the shelves after the holidays, and demand for the units remains high. In mid- January, Sony, which had shipped 1 million PS3s to North America by the end of 2006, was still airlifting more than 100,000 systems a week into the United States. (According to research firm NPD, Sony sold just under 500,000 units in December alone, while Nintendo sold 604,200 Wiis in the United States during that period.) Nintendo, however, has reportedly chosen not to use airlifts, and the Wii shortage is not expected to ease anytime soon.
The craziest year
Summing up the whole experience, Krueger says that trying to keep retailers supplied with consoles this past holiday season was one of the most demanding tasks his firm has ever faced. "I've been doing this for over 10 years and this was the craziest year we've been through," he says. "I do not recall a year when demand for the hardware product was as high as this year. It was just crazy."
As is often the case, the turmoil wasn't caused by any one factor. A perfect storm of conditions conspired to make distribution of the Wii and PS3 the challenge that it was. For starters, the two units were released within two days of each other in mid-November. (When the Sony PS2 and Nintendo GameCube were released several years ago, by contrast, they were unveiled several months apart.)
At the same time, Agility was also handling distribution of Microsoft's Xbox 360, which sold briskly in 2006 (with 1.1 million units sold). On top of that, Agility was distributing game accessories as well as software releases for all three systems.
But perhaps the biggest challenge of all for Krueger and his staff was the manufacturers' inability to forecast deliveries accurately. That left the Agility staff unable to predict when product would be arriving from overseas and, in the case of the PS3, where it would be delivered. With the Nintendo units, Krueger at least knew where the Wii systems (and accompanying software and accessories) would be arriving. All of the shipments came into Nintendo's 380,000-square-foot distribution center in North Bend, Wash., just outside of Seattle—though not always with much in the way of advance notice. Things were far more chaotic with the Sony units, which might arrive at any one of five distribution centers—Los Angeles, Philadelphia, Chicago, Atlanta or Fresno, Calif.
"It was difficult to do a lot of advance planning because we never knew where the product was going to come from and we didn't know how much product would be available, so we had to make lots of decisions on the fly," says Krueger, who notes that he would often get word late in the afternoon that a shipment would be arriving in a few hours. "The retailers needed all the product they could get because it was literally flying off the shelves."
Quick turnaround
In preparation for what turned out to be a wild ride, Agility had carefully mapped out a plan of action for distributing the merchandise. Once notified of an incoming shipment (and if time permitted), Agility would arrange to have the products picked up from the supplier and moved to its local DC. There, staff members would perform any kitting and re-packaging required by the retailers, which received store allocations from the manufacturer.
Upon arrival, the product was broken down, and master cartons were routed to a pick line, where workers opened them, broke down the cartons and built overpacks. The overpack cartons were then re-sealed, labeled and re-palletized so the carrier could pick them up.
Krueger reports that outbound shipments to retailers varied widely in size. Sometimes, a retailer might receive four dozen units in a shipment. Other times, a retailer (particularly if it was a smaller store) might receive just one or two units.
In cases where Agility was merely re-shipping master cartons, the staff simply took the cartons off the trailer, counted them, removed the shrink wrap, labeled the merchandise while it was still on the pallets, reapplied shrink wrap, and tendered it to the carrier. But things weren't usually so simple. Because the product was in such short supply, most retailers were not getting large allocations. That meant that most of the time, Agility had to break down pallets and ship individual units—a far more complicated process.
The challenge, says Krueger, lay not so much in the tasks that needed to be done, but in the severe time constraints. "We picked up the product, brought it to our facilities, and processed it through our facilities in the quickest possible time," he says. "There is a massive amount of coordination that needs to occur between the retailer, the manufacturer and the courier. What made it more challenging this year is that the hardware cartons are much more bulky than cartons of videogame software—so you've got increased size of cartons, and you've got massive volumes that you are expected to process, secure space with the courier and deliver as quickly as possible."
Because of the merchandise's high value, security was tight throughout the process. The Wii units retail for $250 and the Sony console sells for an average of $500, with the games typically running $50 apiece. To keep close tabs on the units, inventory was counted several times when it was loaded onto trucks at the manufacturer's facility. Product was counted again when it reached Agility's DCs, and again when it was tendered to the courier (DHL).
Any (air)port in a storm
For all Agility's carefully laid plans, there were still times when the company was forced to skip the step of moving products to its own facilities for processing because time was too short. Anticipating just that contingency, Agility had stationed four employees in Seattle for a month before Christmas.
That turned out to be a fortuitous decision. When one large order of Wiis arrived in Seattle, for example, the schedule was so aggressive that Agility's staff actually took the merchandise directly from the vendor to a plane-side location at DHL's facility at Boeing Field (also known as King County International Airport) outside Seattle. Workers processed the shipments at a makeshift location there and moved them right onto the planes.
"You've got to be creative during crunch time," says Krueger."Every 30 minutes to an hour counts when you have five or six trailer- loads of products and not enough time to take it to your facility and work it."
PS3: not just playing hard to get
As reports of retailers selling out of Sony's new Playstation 3 (PS3) units mounted in December, rumors persisted that the shortages were part of a publicity stunt. But those rumors don't carry much weight with retail industry analysts.
"If they could have shipped more consoles, they certainly would have, and given its margin contribution to the company, it's too important for them not to hit a home run," says Mark Hillman, supply chain research director at AMR Research. "The indications are that retailers were as surprised as everyone else when volumes didn't turn out to be what was initially expected. With the cost of inventory, it would not have made sense for them to stockpile 3 million units either, but they certainly didn't intend to have the launch go as poorly as it did."
Hillman attributes the shortage not to an elaborate publicity campaign, but to Sony's high-risk decision to incorporate complex components into its game consoles. Only a limited number of suppliers are capable of producing the Blu-ray laser diodes used in the high-definition DVD player within the PS3. So Hillman says it came as little surprise to him when Sony ran into trouble meeting demand for the PS3 because of, yes, a severe shortage of Blu-ray laser diodes.
a game of what-ifs
There's nothing like the launch of a new, untried electronic gadget to create havoc in a distribution center. Whether they underestimate or overestimate demand for the new product, DCs inevitably end up scrambling to adjust their operations as the true picture emerges. And just as inevitably, they end up making those adjustments just when they're at their busiest.
It's not as if they can count on the manufacturers to provide accurate demand projections. "You just cannot forecast accurately with a brand new product that may or may not be a 'wow,'" says Steve Banker, supply chain analyst for ARC Advisory Group. "Obviously, if they were able to forecast better, it would improve distribution, but with these kinds of products it's very difficult to get it right." Kevin Hume, director of consulting services at supply chain consulting firm ESYNC, agrees. "When estimates are made for a new release, you're either right, you overshoot it and demand doesn't meet expectations, or it can far exceed expectations. I've seen all three happen," says Hume.
Though the consequences of underestimating demand are clear enough, overestimating demand has its perils too. Take the case of an online retailer that stocked up on the Zune, Microsoft's answer to Apple's wildly successful iPod. When sales of the Zune lagged behind expectations, the retailer found itself scrambling to re-assign spots in its distribution center to faster-moving products to keep up with peak holiday demands.
Of course, it's that much harder when multiple new products are involved. "When you get a single new release of a very popular product, that's usually pretty manageable because you know when it's coming in and you know the product dimensions," says Hume. "It becomes more challenging if you're making these projections across multiple SKUs, and you have to essentially guess which will perform better than others."
Autonomous forklift maker Cyngn is deploying its DriveMod Tugger model at COATS Company, the largest full-line wheel service equipment manufacturer in North America, the companies said today.
By delivering the self-driving tuggers to COATS’ 150,000+ square foot manufacturing facility in La Vergne, Tennessee, Cyngn said it would enable COATS to enhance efficiency by automating the delivery of wheel service components from its production lines.
“Cyngn’s self-driving tugger was the perfect solution to support our strategy of advancing automation and incorporating scalable technology seamlessly into our operations,” Steve Bergmeyer, Continuous Improvement and Quality Manager at COATS, said in a release. “With its high load capacity, we can concentrate on increasing our ability to manage heavier components and bulk orders, driving greater efficiency, reducing costs, and accelerating delivery timelines.”
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but it follows another deployment of DriveMod Tuggers with electric automaker Rivian earlier this year.
Manufacturing and logistics workers are raising a red flag over workplace quality issues according to industry research released this week.
A comparative study of more than 4,000 workers from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia found that manufacturing and logistics workers say they have seen colleagues reduce the quality of their work and not follow processes in the workplace over the past year, with rates exceeding the overall average by 11% and 8%, respectively.
The study—the Resilience Nation report—was commissioned by UK-based regulatory and compliance software company Ideagen, and it polled workers in industries such as energy, aviation, healthcare, and financial services. The results “explore the major threats and macroeconomic factors affecting people today, providing perspectives on resilience across global landscapes,” according to the authors.
According to the study, 41% of manufacturing and logistics workers said they’d witnessed their peers hiding mistakes, and 45% said they’ve observed coworkers cutting corners due to apathy—9% above the average. The results also showed that workers are seeing colleagues take safety risks: More than a third of respondents said they’ve seen people putting themselves in physical danger at work.
The authors said growing pressure inside and outside of the workplace are to blame for the lack of diligence and resiliency on the job. Internally, workers say they are under pressure to deliver more despite reduced capacity. Among the external pressures, respondents cited the rising cost of living as the biggest problem (39%), closely followed by inflation rates, supply chain challenges, and energy prices.
“People are being asked to deliver more at work when their resilience is being challenged by economic and political headwinds,” Ideagen’s CEO Ben Dorks said in a statement announcing the findings. “Ultimately, this is having a determinantal impact on business productivity, workplace health and safety, and the quality of work produced, as well as further reducing the resilience of the nation at large.”
Respondents said they believe technology will eventually alleviate some of the stress occurring in manufacturing and logistics, however.
“People are optimistic that emerging tech and AI will ultimately lighten the load, but they’re not yet feeling the benefits,” Dorks added. “It’s a gap that now, more than ever, business leaders must look to close and support their workforce to ensure their staff remain safe and compliance needs are met across the business.”
The “2024 Year in Review” report lists the various transportation delays, freight volume restrictions, and infrastructure repair costs of a long string of events. Those disruptions include labor strikes at Canadian ports and postal sites, the U.S. East and Gulf coast port strike; hurricanes Helene, Francine, and Milton; the Francis Scott key Bridge collapse in Baltimore Harbor; the CrowdStrike cyber attack; and Red Sea missile attacks on passing cargo ships.
“While 2024 was characterized by frequent and overlapping disruptions that exposed many supply chain vulnerabilities, it was also a year of resilience,” the Project44 report said. “From labor strikes and natural disasters to geopolitical tensions, each event served as a critical learning opportunity, underscoring the necessity for robust contingency planning, effective labor relations, and durable infrastructure. As supply chains continue to evolve, the lessons learned this past year highlight the increased importance of proactive measures and collaborative efforts. These strategies are essential to fostering stability and adaptability in a world where unpredictability is becoming the norm.”
In addition to tallying the supply chain impact of those events, the report also made four broad predictions for trends in 2025 that may affect logistics operations. In Project44’s analysis, they include:
More technology and automation will be introduced into supply chains, particularly ports. This will help make operations more efficient but also increase the risk of cybersecurity attacks and service interruptions due to glitches and bugs. This could also add tensions among the labor pool and unions, who do not want jobs to be replaced with automation.
The new administration in the United States introduces a lot of uncertainty, with talks of major tariffs for numerous countries as well as talks of US freight getting preferential treatment through the Panama Canal. If these things do come to fruition, expect to see shifts in global trade patterns and sourcing.
Natural disasters will continue to become more frequent and more severe, as exhibited by the wildfires in Los Angeles and the winter storms throughout the southern states in the U.S. As a result, expect companies to invest more heavily in sustainability to mitigate climate change.
The peace treaty announced on Wednesday between Isael and Hamas in the Middle East could support increased freight volumes returning to the Suez Canal as political crisis in the area are resolved.
The French transportation visibility provider Shippeo today said it has raised $30 million in financial backing, saying the money will support its accelerated expansion across North America and APAC, while driving enhancements to its “Real-Time Transportation Visibility Platform” product.
The funding round was led by Woven Capital, Toyota’s growth fund, with participation from existing investors: Battery Ventures, Partech, NGP Capital, Bpifrance Digital Venture, LFX Venture Partners, Shift4Good and Yamaha Motor Ventures. With this round, Shippeo’s total funding exceeds $140 million.
Shippeo says it offers real-time shipment tracking across all transport modes, helping companies create sustainable, resilient supply chains. Its platform enables users to reduce logistics-related carbon emissions by making informed trade-offs between modes and carriers based on carbon footprint data.
"Global supply chains are facing unprecedented complexity, and real-time transport visibility is essential for building resilience” Prashant Bothra, Principal at Woven Capital, who is joining the Shippeo board, said in a release. “Shippeo’s platform empowers businesses to proactively address disruptions by transforming fragmented operations into streamlined, data-driven processes across all transport modes, offering precise tracking and predictive ETAs at scale—capabilities that would be resource-intensive to develop in-house. We are excited to support Shippeo’s journey to accelerate digitization while enhancing cost efficiency, planning accuracy, and customer experience across the supply chain.”
Donald Trump has been clear that he plans to hit the ground running after his inauguration on January 20, launching ambitious plans that could have significant repercussions for global supply chains.
As Mark Baxa, CSCMP president and CEO, says in the executive forward to the white paper, the incoming Trump Administration and a majority Republican congress are “poised to reshape trade policies, regulatory frameworks, and the very fabric of how we approach global commerce.”
The paper is written by import/export expert Thomas Cook, managing director for Blue Tiger International, a U.S.-based supply chain management consulting company that focuses on international trade. Cook is the former CEO of American River International in New York and Apex Global Logistics Supply Chain Operation in Los Angeles and has written 19 books on global trade.
In the paper, Cook, of course, takes a close look at tariff implications and new trade deals, emphasizing that Trump will seek revisions that will favor U.S. businesses and encourage manufacturing to return to the U.S. The paper, however, also looks beyond global trade to addresses topics such as Trump’s tougher stance on immigration and the possibility of mass deportations, greater support of Israel in the Middle East, proposals for increased energy production and mining, and intent to end the war in the Ukraine.
In general, Cook believes that many of the administration’s new policies will be beneficial to the overall economy. He does warn, however, that some policies will be disruptive and add risk and cost to global supply chains.
In light of those risks and possible disruptions, Cook’s paper offers 14 recommendations. Some of which include:
Create a team responsible for studying the changes Trump will introduce when he takes office;
Attend trade shows and make connections with vendors, suppliers, and service providers who can help you navigate those changes;
Consider becoming C-TPAT (Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism) certified to help mitigate potential import/export issues;
Adopt a risk management mindset and shift from focusing on lowest cost to best value for your spend;
Increase collaboration with internal and external partners;
Expect warehousing costs to rise in the short term as companies look to bring in foreign-made goods ahead of tariffs;
Expect greater scrutiny from U.S. Customs and Border Patrol of origin statements for imports in recognition of attempts by some Chinese manufacturers to evade U.S. import policies;
Reduce dependency on China for sourcing; and
Consider manufacturing and/or sourcing in the United States.
Cook advises readers to expect a loosening up of regulations and a reduction in government under Trump. He warns that while some world leaders will look to work with Trump, others will take more of a defiant stance. As a result, companies should expect to see retaliatory tariffs and duties on exports.
Cook concludes by offering advice to the incoming administration, including being sensitive to the effect retaliatory tariffs can have on American exports, working on federal debt reduction, and considering promoting free trade zones. He also proposes an ambitious water works program through the Army Corps of Engineers.