With truck and driver shortages wreaking havoc on their supply chains, some companies find themselves contemplating what was once unthinkable: starting their own fleets.
Peter Bradley is an award-winning career journalist with more than three decades of experience in both newspapers and national business magazines. His credentials include seven years as the transportation and supply chain editor at Purchasing Magazine and six years as the chief editor of Logistics Management.
It wasn't too many years ago that private fleets seemed to be under siege: In the corner office, they were often viewed as a burden on the balance sheet and a cost center whose operations were completely tangential to the company's core mission. But private fleets have proven resilient, and as for-hire carriage gets more expensive and trucks get harder to find, they seem to be making a comeback. Private fleets may not be cheap to run, but they do offer substantial benefits for some businesses—particularly those with predictable routings, the potential for backhauls, and prickly customers who won't tolerate late or missed deliveries.
It's not that private or dedicated fleet managers are exempt from the problems that plague common carriers—a dwindling supply of drivers, hours of service regulations, astronomical fuel costs (60 cents a gallon over year-earlier costs in mid-June), and so on. But the DC manager who knows he controls his trucks may just sleep a little better at night.
Given the climate, it's probably no surprise that observers are reporting a resurgence of private fleet operations. Gary Petty, president and CEO of the National Private Truck Council (NPTC), a trade group whose members operate and manage private fleets for U.S. businesses, reports that most of his group's members (who represent about 500 private fleets) are expanding or plan to expand their private fleet capacity. In many cases, he says, they're using their fleets to generate cash, selling unused fleet capacity on the open market. At the same time, he reports, some businesses that had given up their private fleets are beginning to explore reviving their fleets.
Desperately seeking trucks
Petty sees several reasons for the revival of interest in the private fleet option. "It's increasingly difficult to get capacity that meets [customers'] delivery expectations," he says. "It's often hard to get at any price. And in cases where you can get it, the price is going up dramatically. Price is in the hands of the carriers. They can pick and choose their customers. That puts the manufacturer or the distributor or the retailer in the unenviable position of being at the mercy of the market."
As a corollary, Petty says some businesses are seeing captive capacity as a component of shareholder value—not only as an assured means of moving freight, but as a valuable marketing tool via the advertising on the sides of the trucks. "That sends a powerful message as well as meeting the transportation needs of the company," he says.
Though he acknowledges that private fleets face the same difficulties finding and retaining drivers that bedevil their for-hire counterparts, Petty believes that private fleets enjoy a few advantages. "The pay is usually better in private fleets," he says, "and working conditions are better. Institutionalized care and feeding programs make private fleets more favorable than others." As evidence of that, Petty points to the results of a survey conducted by NPTC of 200 companies with private fleets. The survey results showed annual driver turnover in the range of 11 to 16 percent—far better than truckload carriers, many of which have turnover rates of 100 percent or higher each year.
Total dedication
Executives whose companies manage dedicated fleets for their customers agree that the capacity shortage is motivating companies to reconsider the private and dedicated options. Gordon Hale, vice president of dedicated operations for Schneider National Inc., says that over the last 15 months, he's seen an explosion of demand for dedicated contract carriage, in which a customer contracts with a third party for exclusive use of fleet drivers and equipment. "People want to lock up capacity," he says, "particularly after the surge of '04. They want to tie up capacity before the surge of '05.
"The second thing I've seen is private fleet owners struggling to find drivers, and they're seeking folks like us to help supplement the fleet," says Hale. "That's driven by the driver shortage." The driver issue affects dedicated carriers, too, of course, although Hale says that for Schneider, finding drivers for those fleets has been an issue only in some regions, like the Northeast and Midwest.
Hale adds that he believes some businesses are turning to companies like Schneider because they want providers that can offer not only trucking, but also the ability to integrate with intermodal, third-party and one-way fleets. He cites the example of one customer with a DC-to-retail operation that needs 10 trucks on Mondays, five each day Tuesday through Thursday, 15 on Friday, and 10 on Saturday. "In the old days, we would size that to a 10-truck fleet. Drivers would sit idle Tuesday to Thursday and some of the Friday freight would be delayed. Now, we can meet the requirement with a baseline of five trucks dedicated. We take the next piece of the surge with a third party, saying we need five trucks on Monday, Friday, and Saturday, giving them three days' worth of freight. For the extra five on Friday, we can cover that with our one-way drivers."
David Bouchard, senior vice president of U.S. supply chain for high-tech and consumer products for Ryder, has also seen an upsurge in the dedicated-fleet business. "We have seen more activity this past year than we've seen in the past several years," he says. "I agree that the capacity situation in the overall market is a factor."
But Bouchard thinks there's more to it than just shippers looking for ways to get around the capacity crunch. "At the end of the day in my mind, a prospect decides on a dedicated operation for service reasons. We see opportunities for companies that have not had dedicated in the past or are looking to make changes in modes or providers. ... Where there can be an engineered solution and improvement in the system to reduce total cost, that's where we see an opportunity."
Like Hale, Bouchard believes customers looking at dedicated carriage see it as part of a bigger picture. "The approach Ryder tries to take is not to focus on the dedicated carriage solution, but to examine movement of product. We try to assess that and come up with the best combination of services to meet the customer's service and cost needs. That's usually an integrated solution."
Like nearly everyone close to the trucking industry, he sees the driver shortage as a serious issue. That includes the private and dedicated sectors of the business. "When families sit around the table, I'm not sure that a lot of them are encouraging their kids to pursue truck driving as a career," he says. "The market should do more to recognize the importance of the driver."
Bouchard echoes Petty's opinion that dedicated and private fleets have advantages over common carriers. "One of the benefits for dedicated is that we make efforts to factor in quality of life into our designs. Being able to be home creates value to [drivers] and their families." That, he says, leads to employees who are more attentive to the service requirements of customers. "A lot of benefits accrue from it."
No shortage of problems
Of course, the driver shortage is by no means the only issue plaguing the trucking industry. Exacerbating the driver shortage are the hours of service rules that took effect at the beginning of last year. Those rules placed new limits on driver work hours, forcing changes in carrier, shipping and receiving operations around the nation. A court challenge has left the fate of those rules uncertain. Right now, they're back in the hands of the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration, although Congress may step in and impose the disputed rules.
Petty says that his members generally support the rules, and in some cases, have found them to be unexpectedly favorable. "What we didn't expect that has happened is cooperation and a willingness to find a middle ground for getting access to DCs," he says. "People are realizing that under hours of service, there's really an incentive to ... get in and out and optimize the allowable drive time," he says. "I think the argument can be made, although not in all cases, that there are more opportunities for productivity [improvements] under the new rules. I just hope we don't go back to the drawing board."
Hale agrees that the rules have had a big impact on truckers' operations. "Hours of service have definitely changed the way we operate," he admits. "We have to go to the marketplace to cover that cost. It takes a lot of communication to help customers understand those costs."
Rising fuel costs have also spurred private fleets to focus on ways to boost productivity. In mid-June, nationwide diesel costs averaged $2.31 a gallon, more than 61 cents above year-earlier levels, and with oil selling at close to $60 a barrel, there's no relief in sight.
Those skyrocketing fuel prices, Petty says, have led to redoubled efforts to improve fuel economy. "Companies are putting in incentives to ensure that drivers are operating in the most efficient way possible," he says. He notes that the NPTC has launched online fuel economy workshops, sponsored by Cummins Engine, on its Web site.
Other efforts to control costs involve expanding use of on-board technology, Petty says. The goal, he adds, is more than capturing operational data to improve efficiency; the monitoring tools also enable fleet managers to measure their costs against the market. That's especially valuable, Petty says, if the fleet is operating as a profit center. "There's not a lot a trucking company can do about the cost of fuel or insurance, but they can do a lot to mitigate the unnecessary costs that flow from not paying attention to things." One example: he cites a study by the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration that showed that tires 2 percent under the correct pressure can add $500 to operating costs through wear and tear and reduced fuel economy.
Heading for a meltdown?
Though private and dedicated fleets may be finding conditions more favorable than they've been in years, that's not to say they foresee a rosy future. They still face severe challenges, as does the entire U.S. transportation network.
Petty is worried that unless industry and policy-makers address many of the issues facing the network and do it soon, the nation could face a transportation meltdown of sorts. "When you look at the long-term perspective, what the volume of freight is going be, and the pressure on the infrastructure in the next 20 years," he says, "you realize we're ... hitting the wall, where with a lack of drivers and the increased demand for goods, we're going to have a logistics crisis. Add to that the huge congestion getting in and out of major markets—especially with some communities not improving access, but figuring ways to restrict access—and there is a time bomb ticking."
Congestion on U.S. highways is costing the trucking industry big, according to research from the American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI), released today.
The group found that traffic congestion on U.S. highways added $108.8 billion in costs to the trucking industry in 2022, a record high. The information comes from ATRI’s Cost of Congestion study, which is part of the organization’s ongoing highway performance measurement research.
Total hours of congestion fell slightly compared to 2021 due to softening freight market conditions, but the cost of operating a truck increased at a much higher rate, according to the research. As a result, the overall cost of congestion increased by 15% year-over-year—a level equivalent to more than 430,000 commercial truck drivers sitting idle for one work year and an average cost of $7,588 for every registered combination truck.
The analysis also identified metropolitan delays and related impacts, showing that the top 10 most-congested states each experienced added costs of more than $8 billion. That list was led by Texas, at $9.17 billion in added costs; California, at $8.77 billion; and Florida, $8.44 billion. Rounding out the top 10 list were New York, Georgia, New Jersey, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and Tennessee. Combined, the top 10 states account for more than half of the trucking industry’s congestion costs nationwide—52%, according to the research.
The metro areas with the highest congestion costs include New York City, $6.68 billion; Miami, $3.2 billion; and Chicago, $3.14 billion.
ATRI’s analysis also found that the trucking industry wasted more than 6.4 billion gallons of diesel fuel in 2022 due to congestion, resulting in additional fuel costs of $32.1 billion.
ATRI used a combination of data sources, including its truck GPS database and Operational Costs study benchmarks, to calculate the impacts of trucking delays on major U.S. roadways.
There’s a photo from 1971 that John Kent, professor of supply chain management at the University of Arkansas, likes to show. It’s of a shaggy-haired 18-year-old named Glenn Cowan grinning at three-time world table tennis champion Zhuang Zedong, while holding a silk tapestry Zhuang had just given him. Cowan was a member of the U.S. table tennis team who participated in the 1971 World Table Tennis Championships in Nagoya, Japan. Story has it that one morning, he overslept and missed his bus to the tournament and had to hitch a ride with the Chinese national team and met and connected with Zhuang.
Cowan and Zhuang’s interaction led to an invitation for the U.S. team to visit China. At the time, the two countries were just beginning to emerge from a 20-year period of decidedly frosty relations, strict travel bans, and trade restrictions. The highly publicized trip signaled a willingness on both sides to renew relations and launched the term “pingpong diplomacy.”
Kent, who is a senior fellow at the George H. W. Bush Foundation for U.S.-China Relations, believes the photograph is a good reminder that some 50-odd years ago, the economies of the United States and China were not as tightly interwoven as they are today. At the time, the Nixon administration was looking to form closer political and economic ties between the two countries in hopes of reducing chances of future conflict (and to weaken alliances among Communist countries).
The signals coming out of Washington and Beijing are now, of course, much different than they were in the early 1970s. Instead of advocating for better relations, political rhetoric focuses on the need for the U.S. to “decouple” from China. Both Republicans and Democrats have warned that the U.S. economy is too dependent on goods manufactured in China. They see this dependency as a threat to economic strength, American jobs, supply chain resiliency, and national security.
Supply chain professionals, however, know that extricating ourselves from our reliance on Chinese manufacturing is easier said than done. Many pundits push for a “China + 1” strategy, where companies diversify their manufacturing and sourcing options beyond China. But in reality, that “plus one” is often a Chinese company operating in a different country or a non-Chinese manufacturer that is still heavily dependent on material or subcomponents made in China.
This is the problem when supply chain decisions are made on a global scale without input from supply chain professionals. In an article in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Kent argues that, “The discussions on supply chains mainly take place between government officials who typically bring many other competing issues and agendas to the table. Corporate entities—the individuals and companies directly impacted by supply chains—tend to be under-represented in the conversation.”
Kent is a proponent of what he calls “supply chain diplomacy,” where experts from academia and industry from the U.S. and China work collaboratively to create better, more efficient global supply chains. Take, for example, the “Peace Beans” project that Kent is involved with. This project, jointly formed by Zhejiang University and the Bush China Foundation, proposes balancing supply chains by exporting soybeans from Arkansas to tofu producers in China’s Yunnan province, and, in return, importing coffee beans grown in Yunnan to coffee roasters in Arkansas. Kent believes the operation could even use the same transportation equipment.
The benefits of working collaboratively—instead of continuing to build friction in the supply chain through tariffs and adversarial relationships—are numerous, according to Kent and his colleagues. They believe it would be much better if the two major world economies worked together on issues like global inflation, climate change, and artificial intelligence.
And such relations could play a significant role in strengthening world peace, particularly in light of ongoing tensions over Taiwan. Because, as Kent writes, “The 19th-century idea that ‘When goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will’ is as true today as ever. Perhaps more so.”
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling today announced its plans to fulfill the domestic manufacturing requirements of the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act for certain portions of its lineup of forklift trucks and container handling equipment.
That means the Greenville, North Carolina-based company now plans to expand its existing American manufacturing with a targeted set of high-capacity models, including electric options, that align with the needs of infrastructure projects subject to BABA requirements. The company’s plans include determining the optimal production location in the United States, strategically expanding sourcing agreements to meet local material requirements, and further developing electric power options for high-capacity equipment.
As a part of the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the BABA Act aims to increase the use of American-made materials in federally funded infrastructure projects across the U.S., Hyster-Yale says. It was enacted as part of a broader effort to boost domestic manufacturing and economic growth, and mandates that federal dollars allocated to infrastructure – such as roads, bridges, ports and public transit systems – must prioritize materials produced in the USA, including critical items like steel, iron and various construction materials.
Hyster-Yale’s footprint in the U.S. is spread across 10 locations, including three manufacturing facilities.
“Our leadership is fully invested in meeting the needs of businesses that require BABA-compliant material handling solutions,” Tony Salgado, Hyster-Yale’s chief operating officer, said in a release. “We are working to partner with our key domestic suppliers, as well as identifying how best to leverage our own American manufacturing footprint to deliver a competitive solution for our customers and stakeholders. But beyond mere compliance, and in line with the many areas of our business where we are evolving to better support our customers, our commitment remains steadfast. We are dedicated to delivering industry-leading standards in design, durability and performance — qualities that have become synonymous with our brands worldwide and that our customers have come to rely on and expect.”
In a separate move, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) also gave its approval for the state to advance its Heavy-Duty Omnibus Rule, which is crafted to significantly reduce smog-forming nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from new heavy-duty, diesel-powered trucks.
Both rules are intended to deliver health benefits to California citizens affected by vehicle pollution, according to the environmental group Earthjustice. If the state gets federal approval for the final steps to become law, the rules mean that cars on the road in California will largely be zero-emissions a generation from now in the 2050s, accounting for the average vehicle lifespan of vehicles with internal combustion engine (ICE) power sold before that 2035 date.
“This might read like checking a bureaucratic box, but EPA’s approval is a critical step forward in protecting our lungs from pollution and our wallets from the expenses of combustion fuels,” Paul Cort, director of Earthjustice’s Right To Zero campaign, said in a release. “The gradual shift in car sales to zero-emissions models will cut smog and household costs while growing California’s clean energy workforce. Cutting truck pollution will help clear our skies of smog. EPA should now approve the remaining authorization requests from California to allow the state to clean its air and protect its residents.”
However, the truck drivers' industry group Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) pushed back against the federal decision allowing the Omnibus Low-NOx rule to advance. "The Omnibus Low-NOx waiver for California calls into question the policymaking process under the Biden administration's EPA. Purposefully injecting uncertainty into a $588 billion American industry is bad for our economy and makes no meaningful progress towards purported environmental goals," (OOIDA) President Todd Spencer said in a release. "EPA's credibility outside of radical environmental circles would have been better served by working with regulated industries rather than ramming through last-minute special interest favors. We look forward to working with the Trump administration's EPA in good faith towards achievable environmental outcomes.”
Editor's note:This article was revised on December 18 to add reaction from OOIDA.
Global trade will see a moderate rebound in 2025, likely growing by 3.6% in volume terms, helped by companies restocking and households renewing purchases of durable goods while reducing spending on services, according to a forecast from trade credit insurer Allianz Trade.
The end of the year for 2024 will also likely be supported by companies rushing to ship goods in anticipation of the higher tariffs likely to be imposed by the coming Trump administration, and other potential disruptions in the coming quarters, the report said.
However, that tailwind for global trade will likely shift to a headwind once the effects of a renewed but contained trade war are felt from the second half of 2025 and in full in 2026. As a result, Allianz Trade has throttled back its predictions, saying that global trade in volume will grow by 2.8% in 2025 (reduced by 0.2 percentage points vs. its previous forecast) and 2.3% in 2026 (reduced by 0.5 percentage points).
The same logic applies to Allianz Trade’s forecast for export prices in U.S. dollars, which the firm has now revised downward to predict growth reaching 2.3% in 2025 (reduced by 1.7 percentage points) and 4.1% in 2026 (reduced by 0.8 percentage points).
In the meantime, the rush to frontload imports into the U.S. is giving freight carriers an early Christmas present. According to Allianz Trade, data released last week showed Chinese exports rising by a robust 6.7% y/y in November. And imports of some consumer goods that have been threatened with a likely 25% tariff under the new Trump administration have outperformed even more, growing by nearly 20% y/y on average between July and September.