The Defense Department is looking to outsource the management of its domestic freight?a contract that could run into the billions of dollars. The program is intended to cut costs and boost service; it could also shake up the industry.
Steve Geary is adjunct faculty at the University of Tennessee's Haaslam College of Business and is a lecturer at The Gordon Institute at Tufts University. He is the President of the Supply Chain Visions family of companies, consultancies that work across the government sector. Steve is a contributing editor at DC Velocity, and editor-at-large for CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly.
Perhaps it's no surprise that the people who brought us stealth technology have launched an all-out war on freight spending and nobody seems to have noticed. And the Department of Defense (DOD) surely is thinking big. In August of this year, DOD began reviewing proposals submitted under its Defense Transportation Coordination Initiative (DTCI) a program through which it will outsource the management of all DOD freight moving commercially in the continental United States.
The goal of DTCI is to improve the speed, predictability and reliability of transportation while simultaneously reducing costs by as much as 20 percent. The rest of us call it third-party logistics (3PL), but hey, this is the government, which rarely misses an opportunity to make up its own acronym.
Now, DTCI is no secret ... the DOD has been working the circuit since early 2004, talking the vision and addressing concerns. It has even created a public Web site devoted to the initiative. But outside of the defense world, it hasn't generated much buzz, and it should.
We're talking billions of dollars in freight over the life of the contract. That's not a typo. Billions of freight dollars. And when you start shifting that kind of money around in a market, changes happen. Not just for the players involved, but for everybody playing in the sandbox.
Looking for leverage
If the DOD is thinking big, it's because the opportunity is big. Today, DOD's freight movement system is decentralized. No central traffic management office exists. Freight costs and freight movement are managed at the local or command level, leaving a wide-open opportunity to improve service and reduce costs through proven techniques like pooling, backhaul management and mode optimization. Policy comes down from on high, but management and execution is left in the hands of the individual services, agencies and suppliers.
Currently, DOD shippers in the continental United States initiate freight movements using commercial freight transportation providers to myriad U.S. destinations, creating thousands of origindestination pairs. Multiple information systems are employed to execute and manage shipment activity. There is no centralized planning, coordination or control.
Individual DOD shippers act unilaterally, independently selecting transportation mode, level of service, and transportation provider. There is limited collaborative visibility or coordination of movement requirements and therefore, there are limited opportunities to implement commercial "best practices" such as cross-docking and consolidation or using alternative modes of transportation to meet customer requirements. By implementing DTCI, DOD hopes to change all that and in the process, cut costs, improve service and gain better visibility of overall traffic patterns and performance across the department's supply chain.
A not-so-modest proposal
To test the plan's feasibility, the DOD in 2001 collaborated with 3PL EGL Eagle Global Logistics on a pilot
project in which it outsourced the management of its freight across the southeastern United States. Encouraged by the results of the pilot, the DOD then hired GENCO, a well-known 3PL, and the non-profit firm LMI Government Consulting to put together a report on the potential benefits of outsourcing. Conservatively, the study estimated savings of 10 to 13 percent, while noting that actual savings could be higher. And, based on pooling opportunities, the study forecast improvements in both service and cycle time.
Once persuaded of outsourcing's feasibility, the DOD moved quickly. On June 22, 2006, the U.S. Transportation Command (USTRANSCOM) issued a Request for Proposal ith an August deadline. The DOD's plan is to award a ong-term contract to a world-class transportation coordinator, and through this relationship employ best commercial practices to achieve the goal of improved performance at lower total cost." It goes on to say, "The coordinator will leverage current commercial capabilities and proven best transportation practices of commercial shippers to manage, consolidate, cross-dock and optimize specified [domestic] freight movements using contractor-chosen modes among DOD shippers."
In all, the main body of the request for proposal ran to 168 pages, excluding supporting data, exhibits and appendices. One bidder reports that its team's proposal weighed 75 pounds. Although tempting, it would be unfair to suggest that the size is driven by the bureaucracy; the military logistics environment, even in the United States, is very complex with some unique requirements.
The successful bidder can expect a very large piece of business. According to Earl Boyanton, assistant deputy under secretary of defense for transportation policy, the DOD spends more than $700 million annually on freight shipments. Of this, once DTCI is fully implemented, DOD anticipates that about one-third, or $250 million, will be actively managed by the coordinator, with freight rates subjected to the competitive pressure of the open market.
Nothing's ever easy
According to the published timeline, the award of the DTCI contract should take place before the end of calendar year 2006, with implementation (which will take place in phases) to begin early in 2007. But any government decision has political implications, and a decision of this magnitude inevitably draws attention from Congress. Recently, Congress directed the Comptroller General to conduct a study of the DTCI and to submit a report no later than Feb. 1, 2007.
Special interest groups have not been idle, either. The American Trucking Associations, for example, continues to oppose key elements of the initiative. As currently described, DTCI will empower and hold accountable the 3PL to negotiate freight rates, using incentive plans as a lever and the power of competition to drive down freight costs. ATA advocates leaving rate negotiation in the hands of the government. And, while DTCI is built to establish a business relationship directly between the 3PL and the carriers, taking the government out of the picture, ATA prefers to maintain government involvement as the ultimate decision-making authority in dispute resolution.
While the taxpayer would still benefit if the ATA succeeded in limiting the initiative's scope, many intimate with DTCI say the program's full power and benefits will be unleashed only if the 3PL is given sufficient authority to execute against the program's objectives. Let's hope the essence of DTCI survives congressional review and lobbying activities.
Delays can also be expected by the award process itself. Competitive award of federal contracts includes "protest" provisions. If anybody files a protest, alleging violation of law or some other action that runs counter to the spirit of free and open competition, the contract may not be legally awarded until the protest is reviewed, objectively considered and a decision is issued. Given the size of the contract, a protest is likely.
Between congressional interest, special interest group lobbying, and the inevitable protests, final award may not take place until the middle of 2007.
On the offense
The military environment in the 21st century is very different from the conflicts for which the U.S. military has been trained, equipped, structured and organized over the past 50 years. During the Cold War, national security processes and policies were designed with a capability set meant to defeat large, powerful nation states with massive armies and weapons systems. Then, threats moved slowly and predictably, which allowed for static distribution network designs.
Today, the adversary is more likely to be a shadowy multinational terrorist network than a foreign government. And so, the push is on to create a nimble, hightech fighting force, supported by an equally nimble, high-tech supply operation.
However, this journey to improved combat capability must be tempered by the need to deliver against the requirements in a cost-effective fashion; DOD does not live in a world of limitless resources.
To meet this challenge, the DOD is trying to leverage contemporary best practices, the power of the commercial sector, and the latest advances in information technology. DTCI is just one part of that deliberate strategy to restructure and rationalize supply chain management capability in response to current and projected threat environments. Or, as Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics) Ken Krieg likes to puts it, "the DOD is pursuing a number of strategic supply chain initiatives to truly make our supply chain an offensive weapon."
Another part of that strategy is the 2005 Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) initiative, finalized earlier this year. Under BRAC, the DOD will shut down 25 major sites and realign 24 others over the next six years. And to create a more flexible and reliable distribution network, it will increase the Defense Logistics Agency's regional distribution hubs from two to four, and shift local stock back toward the regional hubs.
A third example is at the local level, called Joint Regional Inventory and Material Management (JRIMM). It is a DOD-sponsored program designed to streamline and regionalize material handling. Drawing on lean thinking, the program seeks to minimize physical touches of material, streamline the materials management process and minimize inventory layers. Rather than maintaining functional capability at multiple locations within a command or region, JRIMM will draw common operations together and provide distribution excellence as a shared capability.
The opportunity
The award of DTCI, the execution of BRAC and the extension of JRIMM will create very real business opportunities for private sector companies across America. As the management of DOD's freight moves into the private sector and as the department seeks to rationalize its physical network, opportunities will emerge to compete to provide any number of services under the DTCI umbrella, without the complexity, cost and political challenges normally associated with government work. Hundreds of millions of dollars of freight movements and associated distribution activities will move into the open market.
Of course, we should not overlook the potential implication of extensions of DTCI into the international arena. Already, USTRANSCOM is acknowledging the possibility of expanding DTCI, once rollout across the United States is complete. The Department of Defense is one of the largest generators of shipments from the United States to international locations, so there will be downstream multimodal opportunities as well.
President Bush has said, "The real goal is to move beyond marginal improvements to replace existing programs with new technologies and strategies ... to use this window of opportunity to skip a generation ...." DTCI is an attempt to tame a very large problem and deliver near-term benefit to both the warfighter at the tip of the spear and the taxpayer funding our national defense.
As a contract provider of warehousing, logistics, and supply chain solutions, Geodis often has to provide customized services for clients.
That was the case recently when one of its customers asked Geodis to up its inventory monitoring game—specifically, to begin conducting quarterly cycle counts of the goods it stored at a Geodis site. Trouble was, performing more frequent counts would be something of a burden for the facility, which still conducted inventory counts manually—a process that was tedious and, depending on what else the team needed to accomplish, sometimes required overtime.
So Levallois, France-based Geodis launched a search for a technology solution that would both meet the customer’s demand and make its inventory monitoring more efficient overall, hoping to save time, labor, and money in the process.
SCAN AND DELIVER
Geodis found a solution with Gather AI, a Pittsburgh-based firm that automates inventory monitoring by deploying small drones to fly through a warehouse autonomously scanning pallets and cases. The system’s machine learning (ML) algorithm analyzes the resulting inventory pictures to identify barcodes, lot codes, text, and expiration dates; count boxes; and estimate occupancy, gathering information that warehouse operators need and comparing it with what’s in the warehouse management system (WMS).
Among other benefits, this means employees no longer have to spend long hours doing manual inventory counts with order-picker forklifts. On top of that, the warehouse manager is able to view inventory data in real time from a web dashboard and identify and address inventory exceptions.
But perhaps the biggest benefit of all is the speed at which it all happens. Gather AI’s drones perform those scans up to 15 times faster than traditional methods, the company says. To that point, it notes that before the drones were deployed at the Geodis site, four manual counters could complete approximately 800 counts in a day. By contrast, the drones are able to scan 1,200 locations per day.
FLEXIBLE FLYERS
Although Geodis had a number of options when it came to tech vendors, there were a couple of factors that tipped the odds in Gather AI’s favor, the partners said. One was its close cultural fit with Geodis. “Probably most important during that vetting process was understanding the cultural fit between Geodis and that vendor. We truly wanted to form a relationship with the company we selected,” Geodis Senior Director of Innovation Andy Johnston said in a release.
Speaking to this cultural fit, Johnston added, “Gather AI understood our business, our challenges, and the course of business throughout our day. They trained our personnel to get them comfortable with the technology and provided them with a tool that would truly make their job easier. This is pretty advanced technology, but the Gather AI user interface allowed our staff to see inventory variances intuitively, and they picked it up quickly. This shows me that Gather AI understood what we needed.”
Another factor in Gather AI’s favor was the prospect of a quick and easy deployment: Because the drones can conduct their missions without GPS or Wi-Fi, the supplier would be able to get its solution up and running quickly. In the words of Geodis Industrial Engineer Trent McDermott, “The Gather AI implementation process was efficient. There were no IT infrastructure or layout changes needed, and Gather AI was flexible with the installation to not disrupt peak hours for the operations team.”
QUICK RESULTS
Once the drones were in the air, Geodis saw immediate improvements in cycle counting speed, according to Gather AI. But that wasn’t the only benefit: Geodis was also able to more easily find misplaced pallets.
“Previously, we would research the inventory’s systemic license plate number (LPN),” McDermott explained. “We could narrow it down to a portion or a section of the warehouse where we thought that LPN was, but there was still a lot of ambiguity. So we would send an operator out on a mission to go hunt and find that LPN,” a process that could take a day or two to complete. But the days of scouring the facility for lost pallets are over. With Gather AI, the team can simply search in the dashboard to find the last location where the pallet was scanned.
And about that customer who wanted more frequent inventory counts? Geodis reports that it completed its first quarterly count for the client in half the time it had previously taken, with no overtime needed. “It’s a huge win for us to trim that time down,” McDermott said. “Just two weeks into the new quarter, we were able to have 40% of the warehouse completed.”
The less-than-truckload (LTL) industry moved closer to a revamped freight classification system this week, as the National Motor Freight Traffic Association (NMFTA) continued to spread the word about upcoming changes to the way it helps shippers and carriers determine delivery rates. The NMFTA will publish proposed changes to its National Motor Freight Classification (NMFC) system Thursday, a transition announced last year, and that the organization has termed its “classification reimagination” process.
Businesses throughout the LTL industry will be affected by the changes, as the NMFC is a tool for setting prices that is used daily by transportation providers, trucking fleets, third party logistics service providers (3PLs), and freight brokers.
Representatives from NMFTA were on hand to discuss the changes at the LTL-focused supply chain conference Jump Start 25 in Atlanta this week. The project’s goal is to make what is currently a complex freight classification system easier to understand and “to make the logistics process as frictionless as possible,” NMFTA’s Director of Operations Keith Peterson told attendees during a presentation about the project.
The changes seek to simplify classification by grouping similar items together and assigning most classes based solely on density. Exceptions will be handled separately, adding other characteristics when density alone is not enough to determine an accurate class.
When the updates take effect later this year, shippers may see shifts in the LTL prices they pay to move freight—because the way their freight is classified, and subsequently billed, could change as a result.
NMFTA will publish the proposed changes this Thursday, January 30, in a document called Docket 2025-1. The docket will include more than 90 proposed changes and is open to industry feedback through February 25. NMFTA will follow with a public meeting to review and discuss feedback on March 3. The changes will take effect July 19.
NMFTA has a dedicated website detailing the changes, where industry stakeholders can register to receive bi-weekly updates: https://info.nmfta.org/2025-nmfc-changes.
Trade and transportation groups are congratulating Sean Duffy today for winning confirmation in a U.S. Senate vote to become the country’s next Secretary of Transportation.
Once he’s sworn in, Duffy will become the nation’s 20th person to hold that post, succeeding the recently departed Pete Buttigieg.
Transportation groups quickly called on Duffy to work on continuing the burst of long-overdue infrastructure spending that was a hallmark of the Biden Administration’s passing of the bipartisan infrastructure law, known formally as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA).
But according to industry associations such as the Coalition for America’s Gateways and Trade Corridors (CAGTC), federal spending is critical for funding large freight projects that sustain U.S. supply chains. “[Duffy] will direct the Department at an important time, implementing the remaining two years of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, and charting a course for the next surface transportation reauthorization,” CAGTC Executive Director Elaine Nessle said in a release. “During his confirmation hearing, Secretary Duffy shared the new Administration’s goal to invest in large, durable projects that connect the nation and commerce. CAGTC shares this goal and is eager to work with Secretary Duffy to ensure that nationally and regionally significant freight projects are advanced swiftly and funded robustly.”
A similar message came from the International Foodservice Distributors Association (IFDA). “A safe, efficient, and reliable transportation network is essential to our industry, enabling 33 million cases of food and related products to reach professional kitchens every day. We look forward to working with Secretary Duffy to strengthen America’s transportation infrastructure and workforce to support the safe and seamless movement of ingredients that make meals away from home possible,” IFDA President and CEO Mark S. Allen said in a release.
And the truck drivers’ group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) likewise called for continued investment in projects like creating new parking spaces for Class 8 trucks. “OOIDA and the 150,000 small business truckers we represent congratulate Secretary Sean Duffy on his confirmation to lead the U.S. Department of Transportation,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a release. “We look forward to continue working with him in advancing the priorities of small business truckers across America, including expanding truck parking, fighting freight fraud, and rolling back burdensome, unnecessary regulations.”
With the new Trump Administration continuing to threaten steep tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China as early as February 1, supply chain organizations preparing for that economic shock must be prepared to make strategic responses that go beyond either absorbing new costs or passing them on to customers, according to Gartner Inc.
But even as they face what would be the most significant tariff changes proposed in the past 50 years, some enterprises could use the potential market volatility to drive a competitive advantage against their rivals, the analyst group said.
Gartner experts said the risks of acting too early to proposed tariffs—and anticipated countermeasures by trading partners—are as acute as acting too late. Chief supply chain officers (CSCOs) should be projecting ahead to potential countermeasures, escalations and de-escalations as part of their current scenario planning activities.
“CSCOs who anticipate that current tariff volatility will persist for years, rather than months, should also recognize that their business operations will not emerge successful by remaining static or purely on the defensive,” Brian Whitlock, Senior Research Director in Gartner’s supply chain practice, said in a release.
“The long-term winners will reinvent or reinvigorate their business strategies, developing new capabilities that drive competitive advantage. In almost all cases, this will require material business investment and should be a focal point of current scenario planning,” Whitlock said.
Gartner listed five possible pathways for CSCOs and other leaders to consider when faced with new tariff policy changes:
Retire certain products: Tariff volatility will stress some specific products, or even organizations, to a breaking point, so some enterprises may have to accept that worsening geopolitical conditions should force the retirement of that product.
Renovate products to adjust: New tariffs could prompt renovations (adjustments) to products that were overdue, as businesses will need to take a hard look at the viability of raising or absorbing costs in a still price-sensitive environment.
Rebalance: Additional volatility should be factored into future demand planning, as early winners and losers from initial tariff policies must both be prepared for potential countermeasures, policy escalations and de-escalations, and competitor responses.
Reinvent: As tariff volatility persists, some companies should consider investing in new projects in markets that are not impacted or that align with new geopolitical incentives. Others may pivot and repurpose existing facilities to serve local markets.
Reinvigorate: Early winners of announced tariffs should seek opportunities to extend competitive advantages. For example, they could look to expand existing US-based or domestic manufacturing capacity or reposition themselves within the market by lowering their prices to take market share and drive business growth.
By the numbers, global logistics real estate rents declined by 5% last year as market conditions “normalized” after historic growth during the pandemic. After more than a decade overall of consistent growth, the change was driven by rising real estate vacancy rates up in most markets, Prologis said. The three causes for that condition included an influx of new building supply, coupled with positive but subdued demand, and uncertainty about conditions in the economic, financial market, and supply chain sectors.
Together, those factors triggered negative annual rent growth in the U.S. and Europe for the first time since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009, the “Prologis Rent Index Report” said. Still, that dip was smaller than pandemic-driven outperformance, so year-end 2024 market rents were 59% higher in the U.S. and 33% higher in Europe than year-end 2019.
Looking into coming months, Prologis expects moderate recovery in market rents in 2025 and stronger gains in 2026. That eventual recovery in market rents will require constrained supply, high replacement cost rents, and demand for Class A properties, Prologis said. In addition, a stronger demand resurgence—whether prompted by the need to navigate supply chain disruptions or meet the needs of end consumers—should put upward pressure on a broad range of locations and building types.