Peter Bradley is an award-winning career journalist with more than three decades of experience in both newspapers and national business magazines. His credentials include seven years as the transportation and supply chain editor at Purchasing Magazine and six years as the chief editor of Logistics Management.
Black & Decker, the big international toolmaker, has cut millions of dollars from its finished-goods safety stocks, even with a supply chain that stretches around much of the world. The fashion retailer Liz Claiborne has pruned seven to 10 days of inventory from its supply chain, although much of its merchandise arrives from across the Pacific by ship. Williams-Sonoma, the purveyor of high-end cooking equipment, has reduced its ocean freight bill by millions of dollars.
All these international logistics success stories, drawn from a new study by the consulting firm Aberdeen Group, demonstrate that international logistics doesn't have to be a nightmare. That's welcome news at a time when U.S. trade with China and other Pacific Rim nations is exploding. But the story doesn't end there. That study also shows that success in international logistics does not come easily and that even large enterprises cannot go solo when sailing in international waters. Every one of those achievements relied on sophisticated computer systems developed and applied by third parties.
The longer the chain, the greater the risk
That companies need help reining in their sprawling international supply chains should come as no surprise. Unlike its domestic counterpart, the typical global supply chain stretches across thousands of miles, multiple borders and unmanageable oceans. It presents almost limitless opportunities for disruptions from various and ever-changing regulatory and legal requirements. And the potential for delays at any of its numerous touch points makes it subject to enormous variability and unpredictability, which can quickly erode any savings achieved by moving manufacturing abroad.
These problems haven't gone unnoticed. In the Aberdeen Group's study, which was based in part on a survey of 400 international logistics and trade managers, 62 percent of the respondents cited long lead times that hampered their efforts to respond to market demands as one of the major reasons for their companies' push to improve international logistics. A slight majority also noted that unanticipated costs had eroded product cost savings.
The rush to offshored manufacturing in recent years has only magnified the problem. Long lead times and a few added costs that had little effect on the bottom line when a small portion of a company's supply chain was international become increasingly significant as offshore sourcing grows. "What once might have been a rounding error is suddenly seen as a critical part of the core business," says Beth Enslow, vice president of Enterprise Research for Aberdeen Group and author of the new report, Best Practices in International Logistics.
Greg Johnsen of GT Nexus, a company that supplies global logistics and transportation software, notes that international supply chain costs can grow quickly, gobbling up as much as 15 percent of corporate revenues. The problem isn't just the longer order cycle time for international shipments, he says, but also the large range of variability that seems inevitable with the long lead times and multiple touch points in international logistics. For a domestic shipping operation with a week-long order cycle, the worst case might be the potential for three or four days' variability. For its international counterpart with what's nominally a 65-day order cycle, it could be 25 or more days.
That variability far exceeds what anyone might expect to experience in domestic operations. A single shipment can have as many as 20 physical and document touch points, compared to a handful at home. Governments are much more heavily involved in international shipping than in domestic. International shipments may move on several modes, not just, say, by truck. Plus there are the potential complications presented by time zones, currencies, and language barriers and document requirements.
And the list doesn't end there. "You have to allow for storms, port congestion, customs clearance," says Joe Dagnese, a vice president of Menlo Logistics. "Those are just some of the things that can lose days at a time."
Those delays cost companies more than time; they also cost money. Managers typically compensate for variability and delays by stockpiling inventory, using costly expedited transportation, and adding staff or partners, says Johnsen. Those are all expensive solutions. Over time, the added logistics and inventory costs can significantly erode—and in some cases, eliminate—the savings derived from buying the goods from less expensive offshore sources.
Management by guesswork
Managing costs is already a significant challenge in international supply chains. "We don't have nearly the amount of control, from a management perspective, in how to maximize a capital investment as we do in the domestic supply chain," says Enslow. She says the head of international transportation for one large company told her that he knows to the penny what impact domestic fuel surcharges have on his shipments, but that on the international side, he has a tough time figuring out what he spent in a month on shipments going from Shanghai to Long Beach.
That's hardly an isolated case, says Enslow. Few companies have a good handle on their international shipping
costs. "The systems are not established," she notes. "A lot of the expected savings are eroded by transportation costs, brokers' fees, and fines." In fact, Enslow compares the state of international transportation to what domestic transportation in North America was like in the 1970s, unautomated and largely fragmented.
This situation is now coming to a head, Enslow warns. In her report, she writes, "Logistics staffs keep their supply chains moving through hard work, experience-based problem solving, and insistent phoning and faxing of logistics partners. At nearly two-thirds of companies, spreadsheets, department-built Access database applications, and e-mails round out the technology portfolio. Many international logistics groups have reached the breaking point, however. As global sourcing and selling increases, so do transactions, partners, and problems to be managed. But budgets don't allow logistics departments to continue throwing people at these issues. The current manual-intensive process of global logistics is becoming unsustainable."
Can you see it now?
The alternative to manual global logistics management, of course, is automation. And that's exactly what Enslow is urging. She notes that as part of the research, Aberdeen identified eight "best-practice" companies and analyzed their operations to determine what made them stand out. "Analysis of the eight best-practice winners found that greater process automation, improved technologies, and increased reliance on logistics partners were instrumental in driving their successes," she writes.
Johnsen is of the same mind. He adds that the key to managing global supply chain costs and improving logistics performance is to focus on reducing variability—that is, actively managing the supply chain to improve reliability and predictability, and to create systematic ways to signal potential disruptions before they occur.
He says that the systems have to create visibility into not just the flow of goods, but also into the flow of information and costs, and that those systems ought to provide connections between all the participants in a network. That is, of course, what GT Nexus offers. But few would deny that the sort of integration he's urging is crucial to managing a complex international supply chain. The Aberdeen study highlights, for example, Williams-Sonoma's selection of GT Nexus' on-demand transportation management software to manage international transportation spending with a closed loop integrating procurement, execution, auditing and freight payment.
Over the last few years, a number of specialists in international software—companies like GT Nexus, Optiant, TradeBeam and SmartOps—have developed sophisticated global trade optimization tools. In addition, third-party logistics service providers with broad international experience—Menlo Logistics, TNT Logistics, and APL Logistics come to mind—have developed a mix of homegrown and partner platforms. As Menlo Logistics' Dagnese says, "One of the most important things you can do is ensure that your partners have visibility into the information that they need. That allows them to plan their operations. The better we can see, the better we plan."
But few companies have that visibility right now. Enslow writes in the Aberdeen report, "The greatest handicap to logistics performance, according to two-thirds of firms, is the lack of visibility and metrics for managing overseas vendors and logistics service providers."
Though they may have a long way to go, Enslow is optimistic that the laggards will take the necessary steps to turn things around. Companies are generally aware that if they don't take charge of improving their global logistics operations, they risk falling behind, she says. In fact, Enslow expects to see many companies make major strides before the end of the decade. "There will be huge improvements over the next five years," she predicts.
what separates the best from the rest
We've heard a lot about what separates the men from the boys and the wheat from the chaff. But what makes one company a leader and another an also-ran when it comes to international logistics? Beth Enslow, an Aberdeen Group researcher and author of Best Practices in International Logistics, analyzed the operations of eight best-performing companies to look for common denominators. She found that all eight did indeed share common characteristics, which can be summarized as follows:
They take a long-term view, but concentrate on today's details as well. "The logistics strategy must envision the future but action needs to be taken on the discrete, foundational components," Enslow writes. "These elements include such areas as ocean contract management, trade compliance, and visibility."
They find the right logistics partners. "Best-practice winners are figuring out new ways to synchronize activities and increase visibility and control of processes with customs brokers, freight forwarders, ocean carriers, logistics service providers, and others," the study says.
They automate. "Without exception," says the report, "best-practice winners' logistics strategies revolve around decreasing manual processes and increasing automation."
They make a point of getting the visibility they need. Enslow writes, "International logistics is all about managing a network of third-party providers. The foundation for controlling this process is visibility." That doesn't necessarily mean companies must invest in expensive visibility systems. They can also obtain visibility through their logistics partners' systems or through specialists offering on-demand solutions.
They make good use of inventory. A company that has visibility into in-transit inventories can then make use of that information—for example, redirecting inventory around port congestion or diverting it to higher points of demand. In addition, best-practice companies focus on optimizing where and how much inventory to hold.
They manage transportation spending. Enslow believes this is a badly neglected area, even though it might seem hard to ignore. International transportation costs tend to run two to three times higher than domestic transportation and are far more variable.
They focus on streamlining customs processes and make maximum use of benefits available through free trade agreements. One way to do this: Automate import/export compliance and documentation.
They work hard at winning support throughout the entire organization. "Universally, the eight best-practice winners are intensely focused on gaining and maintaining organizational buy-in for their logistics transformation initiatives," Enslow writes. That includes logistics, manufacturing, purchasing and, most important, finance. It also includes vendors and logistics providers.
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
The “series B” funding round was financed by an unnamed “strategic customer” as well as Teradyne Robotics Ventures, Toyota Ventures, Ranpak, Third Kind Venture Capital, One Madison Group, Hyperplane, Catapult Ventures, and others.
The fresh backing comes as Massachusetts-based Pickle reported a spate of third quarter orders, saying that six customers placed orders for over 30 production robots to deploy in the first half of 2025. The new orders include pilot conversions, existing customer expansions, and new customer adoption.
“Pickle is hitting its strides delivering innovation, development, commercial traction, and customer satisfaction. The company is building groundbreaking technology while executing on essential recurring parts of a successful business like field service and manufacturing management,” Omar Asali, Pickle board member and CEO of investor Ranpak, said in a release.
According to Pickle, its truck-unloading robot applies “Physical AI” technology to one of the most labor-intensive, physically demanding, and highest turnover work areas in logistics operations. The platform combines a powerful vision system with generative AI foundation models trained on millions of data points from real logistics and warehouse operations that enable Pickle’s robotic hardware platform to perform physical work at human-scale or better, the company says.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."