Peter Bradley is an award-winning career journalist with more than three decades of experience in both newspapers and national business magazines. His credentials include seven years as the transportation and supply chain editor at Purchasing Magazine and six years as the chief editor of Logistics Management.
Every day, giant container ships chug into the nation's ports and disgorge their contents: 20-foot boxes, 40-foot boxes and 45-foot boxes packed with mer- chandise bound for every corner of the nation. Once unloaded, those containers are swiftly transferred to trains or trucks, which whisk them off to destinations across town and across the country.
At least that's how it's supposed to work. In recent years, things haven't always worked out that way. Freight volumes have exploded over the decades, putting severe pressure on the aging transportation infrastructure. As a result, it's become all too common for intermodal freight to encounter backups and delays at the ports, on the highways and at intermodal terminals. "Our highways, waterways, railroads and aviation networks are simply not keeping up with ordinary demands," says Mike Eskew, chairman of UPS.
Lately, the rails have become a particular concern. Thanks to an upsurge in imports, the railroads are handling more intermodal containers today than at any time in their history. But they're not doing it well. Average train speeds have dropped, and service levels have slipped, prompting public criticism from some of their biggest customers. In recent months, both Scott Davis, chief financial officer of UPS, and Bill Zollars, chairman of YRC Worldwide, have assailed the railroads' poor record of on-time performance. And in April, UPS, the rails' biggest customer, announced that it had reluctantly begun shifting some of its freight from the rails back to the already congested highways.
An Interstate on steel? The looming infrastructure crisis has generated more discussion than solutions to date. But one long-time railroad executive, regulator and now academic observer has come up with a compelling answer to the problem. His vision? He calls it Interstate II. As he sees it, Interstate II would be a 21st century parallel to the Interstate Highway System developed in the 1950s and 1960s, with one important difference. The system he envisions would be based not on pavement, but on steel rails.
Who is this visionary? He's Gilbert Carmichael—known to most of his colleagues as Gil. Carmichael is one of the founders and senior chairman of the Intermodal Transportation Institute at the University of Denver. Appointed by President Ford to the National Transportation Study Committee, he served as chairman of the National Highway Safety Advisory Committee from 1973 to 1976. In 1997, he chaired the North American Intermodal Summit, which brought together highranking transportation officials from the United States, Canada, and Mexico to discuss intermodal policy. In 1990, he received the Founder's Gold Medal Award from the Pan American Railway Congress for a paper he wrote on the role of rail transportation in the 21st century.
In Carmichael's view, high-speed rail isn't just the best answer. It's the only answer. The railroads' current problems notwithstanding, rail represents the nation's sole hope for handling huge volumes of freight. "There is no way highway capacity can increase 2 to 3 percent a year for the next 20 years," he says. "No matter how many billions of dollars we spend, we cannot increase capacity by more than 1 or 2 percent." In contrast, he contends, railroads could double their capacity in that time.
Carmichael believes the technology for creating a highspeed train network is already available. He points to the high-speed passenger rail systems in Europe as an example of what might be. If the United States is willing to invest in the necessary infrastructure, he says, we could be seeing freight trains running at 80 miles per hour (and being passed by passenger trains streaking by at 120 miles per hour) before long.
The future is now
In fact, Carmichael argues that the development of a speedy and reliable rail system is already under way. "It's started," he says. Railroads are already making huge investments in their own systems.
As evidence, he points to the Alameda Corridor, a freight rail "expressway" for containers moving to and from the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. He also cites the Burlington Northern Santa Fe's investment in double track from Los Angeles to Chicago, and a joint venture between the Norfolk Southern and the Kansas City Southern to increase capacity on KCS's Meridian Speedway, a major east-west link in the rail network.
Carmichael also foresees the continued development of large multi-tenant distribution complexes with on-site access to road, rail and in some cases, ocean and air connections.
"New intermodal yards are becoming industrial parks, where trains and trucks swap containers and where companies are building distribution centers," he says. For example, early this year, CSX Corp. announced that it intended to build a 1,250-acre integrated logistics center in Winter Haven, Fla., which it describes as a truck, rail and warehousing hub and intermodal transfer facility. And the Wall Street Journal has reported on a similar development in tiny Rochelle, Ill., where Target, Lowe's and toy-maker RC2 Corp. are all building large DCs in close proximity to the Union Pacific's four-year- old Global III intermodal transfer yard.
Workin' on the railroads
Right now, the railroads are funding these capital projects on their own. But Carmichael would like to see the government step in and encourage them to continue investing. "I just hope that we come up with incentives, like tax-exempt bonds," he says.
Providing those incentives would be good for the nation, not just for the railroad industry, he argues. Railroads, which are easily the most fuel efficient of all the transport modes, can move freight nine times farther than a truck can on the same amount of fuel. With diesel fuel prices closing in on $3 a gallon, he believes it's in the national interest to improve rail performance. "The railroads are just so damned fuel efficient," he says. "And if oil goes to $100 a barrel, they can electrify if they want to."
But incentives alone won't be enough. The long-term development of an intermodal network depends on changing the way transportation executives and policy makers think about transportation issues, Carmichael says. "The old highway lobby hasn't begun to think intermodally yet," he says. "Even congressional committees are still structured by mode. The mindset is just not there yet to do these new intermodal facilities." Despite his Republican roots, he admits to frustration with the current administration. "They do not have a transportation program at all," he laments. He believes leadership on the issue is more likely to emerge from state governments.
Despite the obstacles, Carmichael remains optimistic about Interstate II's prospects. "I may be a little bit Pollyannaish, but with oil at $70 a barrel, we have to have the railroads as part of the solution," he says. "If we can hook rail and highway together, we can make an ethical transportation system, one that's both fuel efficient and environmentally sound. I'm talking about a whole new, safer and more secure transportation system. If we do it just right, the container will become a warehouse in motion."
A move by federal regulators to reinforce requirements for broker transparency in freight transactions is stirring debate among transportation groups, after the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) published a “notice of proposed rulemaking” this week.
According to FMCSA, its draft rule would strive to make broker transparency more common, requiring greater sharing of the material information necessary for transportation industry parties to make informed business decisions and to support the efficient resolution of disputes.
The proposed rule titled “Transparency in Property Broker Transactions” would address what FMCSA calls the lack of access to information among shippers and motor carriers that can impact the fairness and efficiency of the transportation system, and would reframe broker transparency as a regulatory duty imposed on brokers, with the goal of deterring non-compliance. Specifically, the move would require brokers to keep electronic records, and require brokers to provide transaction records to motor carriers and shippers upon request and within 48 hours of that request.
Under federal regulatory processes, public comments on the move are due by January 21, 2025. However, transportation groups are not waiting on the sidelines to voice their opinions.
According to the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), an industry group representing the third-party logistics (3PL) industry, the potential rule is “misguided overreach” that fails to address the more pressing issue of freight fraud. In TIA’s view, broker transparency regulation is “obsolete and un-American,” and has no place in today’s “highly transparent” marketplace. “This proposal represents a misguided focus on outdated and unnecessary regulations rather than tackling issues that genuinely threaten the safety and efficiency of our nation’s supply chains,” TIA said.
But trucker trade group the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) welcomed the proposed rule, which it said would ensure that brokers finally play by the rules. “We appreciate that FMCSA incorporated input from our petition, including a requirement to make records available electronically and emphasizing that brokers have a duty to comply with regulations. As FMCSA noted, broker transparency is necessary for a fair, efficient transportation system, and is especially important to help carriers defend themselves against alleged claims on a shipment,” OOIDA President Todd Spencer said in a statement.
Additional pushback came from the Small Business in Transportation Coalition (SBTC), a network of transportation professionals in small business, which said the potential rule didn’t go far enough. “This is too little too late and is disappointing. It preserves the status quo, which caters to Big Broker & TIA. There is no question now that FMCSA has been captured by Big Broker. Truckers and carriers must now come out in droves and file comments in full force against this starting tomorrow,” SBTC executive director James Lamb said in a LinkedIn post.
The “series B” funding round was financed by an unnamed “strategic customer” as well as Teradyne Robotics Ventures, Toyota Ventures, Ranpak, Third Kind Venture Capital, One Madison Group, Hyperplane, Catapult Ventures, and others.
The fresh backing comes as Massachusetts-based Pickle reported a spate of third quarter orders, saying that six customers placed orders for over 30 production robots to deploy in the first half of 2025. The new orders include pilot conversions, existing customer expansions, and new customer adoption.
“Pickle is hitting its strides delivering innovation, development, commercial traction, and customer satisfaction. The company is building groundbreaking technology while executing on essential recurring parts of a successful business like field service and manufacturing management,” Omar Asali, Pickle board member and CEO of investor Ranpak, said in a release.
According to Pickle, its truck-unloading robot applies “Physical AI” technology to one of the most labor-intensive, physically demanding, and highest turnover work areas in logistics operations. The platform combines a powerful vision system with generative AI foundation models trained on millions of data points from real logistics and warehouse operations that enable Pickle’s robotic hardware platform to perform physical work at human-scale or better, the company says.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR said its Trucking Conditions Index declined in September to -2.47 from -1.39 in August as weakness in the principal freight dynamics – freight rates, utilization, and volume – offset lower fuel costs and slightly less unfavorable financing costs.
Those negative numbers are nothing new—the TCI has been positive only twice – in May and June of this year – since April 2022, but the group’s current forecast still envisions consistently positive readings through at least a two-year forecast horizon.
“Aside from a near-term boost mostly related to falling diesel prices, we have not changed our Trucking Conditions Index forecast significantly in the wake of the election,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release. “The outlook continues to be more favorable for carriers than what they have experienced for well over two years. Our analysis indicates gradual but steadily rising capacity utilization leading to stronger freight rates in 2025.”
But FTR said its forecast remains unchanged. “Just like everyone else, we’ll be watching closely to see exactly what trade and other economic policies are implemented and over what time frame. Some freight disruptions are likely due to tariffs and other factors, but it is not yet clear that those actions will do more than shift the timing of activity,” Vise said.
The TCI tracks the changes representing five major conditions in the U.S. truck market: freight volumes, freight rates, fleet capacity, fuel prices, and financing costs. Combined into a single index indicating the industry’s overall health, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions while a negative score shows the inverse.
Specifically, the new global average robot density has reached a record 162 units per 10,000 employees in 2023, which is more than double the mark of 74 units measured seven years ago.
Broken into geographical regions, the European Union has a robot density of 219 units per 10,000 employees, an increase of 5.2%, with Germany, Sweden, Denmark and Slovenia in the global top ten. Next, North America’s robot density is 197 units per 10,000 employees – up 4.2%. And Asia has a robot density of 182 units per 10,000 persons employed in manufacturing - an increase of 7.6%. The economies of Korea, Singapore, mainland China and Japan are among the top ten most automated countries.
Broken into individual countries, the U.S. ranked in 10th place in 2023, with a robot density of 295 units. Higher up on the list, the top five are:
The Republic of Korea, with 1,012 robot units, showing a 5% increase on average each year since 2018 thanks to its strong electronics and automotive industries.
Singapore had 770 robot units, in part because it is a small country with a very low number of employees in the manufacturing industry, so it can reach a high robot density with a relatively small operational stock.
China took third place in 2023, surpassing Germany and Japan with a mark of 470 robot units as the nation has managed to double its robot density within four years.
Germany ranks fourth with 429 robot units for a 5% CAGR since 2018.
Japan is in fifth place with 419 robot units, showing growth of 7% on average each year from 2018 to 2023.
Progress in generative AI (GenAI) is poised to impact business procurement processes through advancements in three areas—agentic reasoning, multimodality, and AI agents—according to Gartner Inc.
Those functions will redefine how procurement operates and significantly impact the agendas of chief procurement officers (CPOs). And 72% of procurement leaders are already prioritizing the integration of GenAI into their strategies, thus highlighting the recognition of its potential to drive significant improvements in efficiency and effectiveness, Gartner found in a survey conducted in July, 2024, with 258 global respondents.
Gartner defined the new functions as follows:
Agentic reasoning in GenAI allows for advanced decision-making processes that mimic human-like cognition. This capability will enable procurement functions to leverage GenAI to analyze complex scenarios and make informed decisions with greater accuracy and speed.
Multimodality refers to the ability of GenAI to process and integrate multiple forms of data, such as text, images, and audio. This will make GenAI more intuitively consumable to users and enhance procurement's ability to gather and analyze diverse information sources, leading to more comprehensive insights and better-informed strategies.
AI agents are autonomous systems that can perform tasks and make decisions on behalf of human operators. In procurement, these agents will automate procurement tasks and activities, freeing up human resources to focus on strategic initiatives, complex problem-solving and edge cases.
As CPOs look to maximize the value of GenAI in procurement, the study recommended three starting points: double down on data governance, develop and incorporate privacy standards into contracts, and increase procurement thresholds.
“These advancements will usher procurement into an era where the distance between ideas, insights, and actions will shorten rapidly,” Ryan Polk, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Procurement leaders who build their foundation now through a focus on data quality, privacy and risk management have the potential to reap new levels of productivity and strategic value from the technology."